NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2019

NFL Picks (Preseason 2019): 14-6 (+$1,535)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2019): 5-10-1 (-$515)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2019): 10-6 (+$140)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2019): 10-6 (+$1,365)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2019): 12-3 (+$1,240)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2019): 8-7 (+$1,665)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2019): 9-5 (+$2,505)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2019): 8-6 (+$1,130)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2019): 8-7 (+$435)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2019): 3-9-1 (-$770)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2019): 8-5 (+$1,460)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2019): 8-5-1 (-$1,790)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2019): 9-5 (+$1,015)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2019): 9-7 (+$205)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2019): 3-11-2 (-$2,195)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2019): 4-11-1 (-$2,195)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2019): 11-4-1 (+$1,065)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2019): 5-9-2 (-$2,480)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2019): 2-2 (-$330)

NFL Picks (2019): 146-124-9 (+$3,905)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 9, 2:40 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Houston Texans (11-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
Line: Chiefs by 9.5. Total: 51.
Sunday, Jan. 12, 3:05 ET

The Matchup. Edge: Chiefs.

If you’ve followed this site for a while, you might remember that I like to respond to my spam mails. It all started seven years ago, when a man named Jon Wire from the “United Bank of Africoan” promised me an ATM card of some sort, so I responded as a man named Mister Compassion Chuck Norris, who was raised by wolves. The following season, I received e-mails from Richard Held and Loon Bruce, who told me I won a Facebook Award, which comes with a “lump sum pay out of (750,000.00 GBP).” Pretending to be Matthew Millen Kim, I sent out my application and fake money.

I’ve been messing around with spammers ever since, pretending to be Harvey Weinstein, Tom Brady, Ramsay Bolton and Walter White. I have brand new Spam Mails this year, so check them out if you want to see me screw with spammers. I’ll have new ones every week!

The 2019 Adventures of Tom Brady’s Haircuts are complete!

If you missed them, check out the 2019 Adventures of Tom Brady’s Haircuts via the link!

HOUSTON OFFENSE: Deshaun Watson had a brilliant performance the first time he battled the Chiefs this year. He went 30-of-42 for 280 yards, and he scored three touchdowns. Kansas City had absolutely no answer for him in a 31-24 Houston upset.

However, numerous things are far different in the rematch. For one, Chris Jones didn’t play in the initial clash between these teams. Anyone who is familiar with Jones’ work knows how significant this absence was. Jones is one of the best defensive players in the NFL, regardless of position. He can single-handedly change the outcome of a game, as he’s capable of utterly dominating the trenches. Not having him on the field to take advantage of Houston’s poor offensive line gave the Texans a big edge.

The Chiefs’ defense has improved since then for other reasons, including the addition of Terrell Suggs and the emergence of some young players, especially those in the secondary. The Chiefs have maintained a strong pass defense as a result, while their ability to stop the run has improved. Thus, I believe they’ll do a better job on Carlos Hyde this time.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: Things have changed on this side of the ball as well. Jones wasn’t the only important player missing in action. The Chiefs were down several offensive players, including two starting linemen – Eric Fisher, Andrew Wylie – and they were also missing Sammy Watkins. All three will play in this contest.

The Chiefs’ offense sputtered against the Texans because of all those absences. They scored twice quickly, then didn’t do anything for the rest of the afternoon. I have to believe that will change in the rematch. Patrick Mahomes will receive much better protection than he did in the first meeting, and he’ll be able to take advantage of the cleaner pocket by hitting deep throws to a healthier receiving corps for significant gains. Houston’s poor secondary won’t be able to cover Mahomes’ weapons.

The Texans are better against the run than the pass, but we just saw Devin Singletary have some success against them. With the Texans so worried about Mahomes and his weapons, they could forget about Damien Williams and LeSean McCoy. The latter should be fresh after Andy Reid rested him during the regular season.

RECAP: I’ve mentioned multiple reasons why the Chiefs-Texans rematch could be different this time. As a brief recap, Kansas City was missing numerous key players and is now a much better team.

However, there’s also one other difference that I haven’t discussed yet, and that would be the scheduling dynamics. One of the reasons I bet the Texans heavily in the earlier meeting was because the Chiefs were looking ahead to their next game – a Thursday night affair at Denver. Kansas City was undoubtedly more focused on battling a divisional rival with three days of rest on the horizon. This ended up panning out, as the Chiefs throttled the Broncos even though Mahomes suffered an injury in that contest.

The scheduling dynamics couldn’t be more different this time. Andy Reid will be fully focused on this opponent, and he’s had two weeks to prepare for the Texans. Reid is one of the best coaches in the NFL when it comes to capitalizing on extra preparation time. Just last year in the divisional round, Reid used the bye week to his advantage in a 31-13 demolition of another AFC South team with a terrific quarterback.

I’m a bit scared of fading Watson with all of these points. Even in blowouts, Watson has a habit of keeping games close. This, however, was not the case when he battled Baltimore earlier in the year. I consider the Chiefs and the Ravens even, so I could see Kansas City winning this game by a wide margin, especially when considering that the Texans will be exhausted from their overtime affair.

Oh, and one more thing: The Texans are the worst team remaining in the playoffs, by far. Every single team remaining in the postseason is ranked 10th or higher in DVOA. Houston is 19th! This is why DVOA has projected this spread to be Kansas City -11.5.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: We have less injury news about these four teams than those playing on Saturday because of one fewer practice day. However, I see no reason to not like the Chiefs considerably, outside of a possible back-door cover by Deshaun Watson.

FRIDAY UPDATE: There’s some major injury news heading into this game. Chris Jones picked up an injury in the middle of the week and even missed practice Friday. He’s questionable now. I’m certainly going to drop my unit count on this game if Jones is ruled out. He’s one of the best defensive players in the NFL, and Kansas City’s defense will be far worse without him.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I really liked the Chiefs earlier in the week, but Chris Jones’ absence is huge. Jones’ return to the lineup was one of the main reasons I liked the Chiefs, given that he wasn’t on the field the last time these teams squared off. His absence will make it easier for Deshaun Watson to throw a back-door touchdown, given that he won’t see as much pressure in the pocket as he would’ve with Jones in the game. I’m going to drop this unit count to one. The best line is -10 -105 at BetUS.

The Motivation. Edge: Chiefs.

The Texans figure to be exhausted following a long overtime game.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Chiefs -9.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: .
Computer Model: Chiefs -10.
DVOA Spread: Chiefs -11.5.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Kansas City: 54% (10,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Deshaun Watson is 6-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 or more.

Andy Reid is 14-7 ATS following a bye.

Opening Line: Chiefs -8.5.

Opening Total: 48.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 39 degrees. Light wind.

Week 19 NFL Pick: Chiefs 31, Texans 14
Chiefs -10 -105 (1 Units) – BetUS — Correct; +$100
Under 51 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Chiefs 51, Texans 31

Seattle Seahawks (12-5) at Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Line: Packers by 4.5. Total: 47.
Sunday, Jan. 12, 6:40 ET

The Matchup. Edge: None.

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Why the Browns Are Bad in 2019

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Emmitt on the Brink Season 12 is complete! Congress finally removes Emmitt as NFL commissioner. What will become of him, and who will be the next NFL commissioner? Perhaps someone with the best story?

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is called My New Dog, Raven.

This week on ESPN, we’re going to have awful announcers calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Dan Fouts and Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Wisconsin where the Seattle Scumbags are taking on the Green Bay Fudge Packers. Guys, I’ve been trying to impeach Charles Davis and Herm, but I’d like to add Jadeveon Clowney to the list because he knocked out Carson Wentz. I’ve been following Clowney around with a knife in my hand, ready to slit his throat, but he always has bodyguards around, so we’re just going to have to do this legally.

Emmitt: Benny, I think you have a problems if you want to slip the throat of Jadevius Clown. Sure, he used his head as a weapon when he try to tackle Donovan McWentz in the last games, but he was just making a football play, and a football play sound like it have something to do with footballs.

Reilly: Emmitt, looks like you’re way off again. Let the impeachment of Herm, Charles Davis and Jadevius Clowney begin!

Tollefson: Kevin, didn’t we already impeach these guys? Why would we do it again if it didn’t work the first time? Don’t you think we’re just angering people who don’t agree with you? Like, won’t it hurt our broadcasting team in the long run? I look at it this way: If a woman I’ve kidnapped misbehaves, I club her over the head with either a lead pipe or a wrench. If I don’t do this, it’ll disrupt the order of my household, and then other kidnapped women will begin misbehaving.

Reilly: Tolly, I don’t have any experience with women, so I wouldn’t really understand. But something I do understand is impeachment. We must impeach!

Jason Witten: Hello, my name is Jason Witten and I just came out of retirement. Guys, I just heard someone say something about women. When you have a woman, you generally don’t have a man. Because a woman is like a man, except instead of a man, it’s a woman. Because we’re talking about a woman. And not a man. If we were talking about a man, we’d be talking about a man. But we’re not. Because we’re talking about a woman. And not just any woman. But a woman we were talking about.

Reilly: Why does this moron continue to speak? Hey Jason, you might be next on my impeachment list! But let’s begin with the questions. Jadevasurs, why did you hurt Carson Wentz and ruin my Philadelphia Eagles!?

Jadeveon Clowney: Wait, what am I doing here? Shouldn’t I be getting ready to play? And what do you mean by your Philadelphia Eagles? Are you part of the team?

Reilly: YES, I AM ON MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES! THEY KNOW I’M THEIR NO. 1 FAN! TELL HIM, NEW DADDY! TELL HIM I’M THEIR NO. 1 FAN!

Cutler: Fan? I forget, do you like the Giants, or something?

Reilly: NO!!!! I LIKE MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES!!! MYYYY PHILADEEEELPHIIIAAA EEEAAGGLLEESS!!!

Fouts: And here’s what he means by liking teams. People who like teams are fans. Now, don’t let this confuse you when discussing fans that blow wind on people. Those types of fans don’t like NFL teams. At least, not that I know of!

Wolfley: DAN, DON’T BE SILLY. IN MY PARALLEL UNIVERSE, CEILING FANS ROOT FOR VARIOUS NFL TEAMS, ESPECIALLY CEILING FANS WITH TWO EYEBALLS.

Reilly: Guys, you’re distracting from impeachment! Now, I plan on charging Jadevetron for ruining my Philadelphia Eagles, Herm for annoying me, and Charles Davis for being an a**hole. I’m going to take it that all of you vote yes because if you don’t, I’ll make sure to get rid of you next year. So, you better shut up and obey. OK, good? Mr. TV Station Owner, we’ve impeached Herm and Charles Davis again! Time to get them off the set!

Mr. TV Station Owner: Ugh, we went over this two weeks ago. You can’t get rid of people just because you don’t like them, especially when the public has voted them into the broadcasting booth. Unless you can find that they actually committed a real crime, you can bring me articles of proposed removal, and I’ll decide if they should be fired, but you’re not basing this off of anything except your hurt feelings. Please don’t bother me with this again unless you have something substantial. I’m not getting rid of NFL analysts people like.

Herm: SOMEONE LIKES HERM! SOMEONE REALLY LIKES HERM! DARE I SAY SOMEONE LOVES HERM! THIS IS EXCITING! THIS IS THRILLING! HERM IS HAPPY! HERM IS EXCITED! HERM IS THRILLED! HERM IS HAPPY! HERM ALREADY SAID HE’S HAPPY! BUT THAT’S BECAUSE HERM’S DOUBLY HAPPY! HERM’S TRIPLY HAPPY! HERM’S QUADRUPLY HAPPY! HERM’S QUINTP… QUIN… uhh… umm…

Reilly: No! Stop being happy! You’re supposed to be sad!

Charles Davis: Kevin, looks like you’re talking about emotions, Kevin. Let’s chat about emotions, Kevin. How about sad, Kevin? Looks like you’re sad your plan didn’t work yet agian, Kevin. How about angry, Kevin? I can see you getting angry, Kevin. How about frustrated, Kevin? This seems very frustrating to you, Kevin. Let’s discuss happy, Kevin. Because you’re definitely not happy, Kevin! Care to tell us some of your other emotions, Kevin?

Reilly: SHUT THE F**K UP, HOW ABOUT THAT, YOU PIECE OF S**T!!??! I WILL FIND A WAY TO IMPEACH YOU, IF IT’S THE LAST THING I DO, MOTHERF***ER!!! We’ll be back after this!

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: I’ve had the Seahawks listed as overrated for most of the year, but I’ve changed my tune lately. They’ve made some strides on both sides of the ball, so the team we’re seeing now is far different from the one that had to get lucky to defeat the Bengals and Buccaneers at home. Comparing this version of Seattle to that one is a grave mistake.

Some of you might be thinking, “Walt, your and idiot, the Seehawk just losted to the Cardinal!” That’s true, but Seattle had a skeleton crew roster in that game. Jadeveon Clowney, Quandre Diggs and Shaq Griffin are some of the best defensive players the Seahawks have on their roster, and none of them played in that game. They’re all fully healthy now, so they should give Aaron Rodgers some problems. Pass protection has been an issue for Rodgers this season, so he could have trouble with Clowney and the rest of Seattle’s defensive line on the other side, especially if Bryan Bulaga can’t clear concussion protocol. Rodgers already has to deal with a poor receiving corps, so he doesn’t need to combat a pass rush that should overwhelm his front.

It’ll help Rodgers immensely if Aaron Jones can pick up the slack and serve as a potent threat in the backfield. The Seahawks rank below average against the run, but those numbers were compiled when the team was ravaged by injury. Seattle should be better against Jones, though I expect the dynamic Green Bay back to make some big plays.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: Russell Wilson, of course, will also have to deal with poor pass protection. That’s just the nature of things in Seattle. The Seahawks have sported a poor offensive line for years, and now left tackle Duane Brown is sidelined.

Wilson, however, is so good at creating time in the pocket and running for his life. He’ll be able to buy himself precious seconds to get free and perhaps find his downfield targets. The only problem with this is that Green Bay’s secondary can match up a lot better with Wilson’s receivers. Following a slow start, nickel corner Tramon Williams has improved, and he should be able to limit Tyler Lockett. Meanwhile, Jaire Alexander has put the clamps down on several talented receivers this season, including Emmanuel Sanders. D.K. Metcalf is a different sort of beast, and he was a monster against Philadelphia. However, there’s a major difference between the Eagles’ defensive backfield and Green Bay’s.

It would help Wilson if he had Chris Carson or even Rashaad Penny at his disposal to counter Green Bay’s defense. Both are injured, however, so the Seahawks will once again have to rely on the raw Travis Homer and the worn-down Marshawn Lynch.

RECAP: This might be my January NFL Pick of the Month. This spread is too high. Every single metric has Green Bay -3 being the correct number even though the Packers are coming off a bye. There may not seem like a big difference between -4 and -3, but both are key numbers. The two most likely results of this game, in my opinion, are Green Bay winning by three and Seattle winning by three, and we’re getting both results with the +4.

Some of you might be wondering why the Packers would be just -3 over the Seahawks. Green Bay is a very fraudulent 13-3. The Packers barely beat the Lions, Panthers and Bears at home, and none of those teams made the playoffs. They needed some luck and a Kenny Golladay concussion to defeat the David Blough-led Lions in Week 17. Aside from the Texans, the Packers are the worst team remaining in the playoffs, per DVOA. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are a better team now with all of their defensive players back from injury.

Something else to consider is that Wilson is absolutely brilliant when it comes to covering as an underdog. He’s 10-4 against the spread in his career as an underdog of more than three points, and he improves to 6-2 ATS when getting four or more points.

There are two things I’m waiting on before I declare this to be my January NFL Pick of the Month. First, Bulaga remaining in concussion protocol would be a nice boon for the Seahawks. I’d like to see Bulaga ruled out, but it’s not a deal-breaker.

Second, I want to see if we get any news on which team Clete Donaghy, I mean, Blakeman will be betting. Blakeman is a dirty official who has a history of taking part in shady results. He gave the Packers a victory over the Lions earlier in the year, and then this news surfaced:

The Lions still covered, so that bodes well for the Seahawks. However, I’m interested in spotting any odd line moves. I’m hoping to see this spread plummet, which would lead me to make a big wager on the Seahawks, perhaps with a sportsbook still posting a stale line. It’s absolutely ridiculous that the NFL is allowing Blakeman to officiate this game, but the fact remains that he’s a major factor in the handicapping process.

I’ll have updates throughout the week, of course. Check back later, or follow me @walterfootball for updates.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: This spread has moved to +4.5. This may sound crazy, but I was hoping that this line would move down to +3.5, which would indicate lots of money being wagered on the Seahawks. Instead, it’s gone the other way. I don’t know if a move from +4 to +4.5 would indicate a Clete Blakeman-type six-figure wager; if this spread shoots up to +6, we’ll definitely know something is up.

FRIDAY UPDATE: Three things: One, there are some questions regarding the Seattle offensive line. Mike Iupati appears to be out, but Duane Brown and George Fant may play. Two, stud Packers defensive tackle Kenny Clark suffered a back injury. It sounds like he’ll play, but back issues tend to hinder players, so Clark may not be himself, which would significantly worsen the defense. Three, there hasn’t been any line movement since the Packers moved to -4.5, so that’s something I’m looking out for.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’ve been debating about making this the January NFL Pick of the Month. I don’t think I can do it. It’s close, but I’m concerned about Clete Blakeman. The fact that this spread rose from -4 to -4.5, even with Duane Brown returning, is quite dubious. I still love the Seahawks, especially with Brown set to play, but Blakeman’s presence on the field is concerning. The best line I found is +4.5 -108 at Heritage.

The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Seahawks.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Packers -3.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: .
Computer Model: Packers -3.
DVOA Spread: Packers -3.

The Vegas. Edge: Packers.
Slight lean on the Seahawks.

Percentage of money on Seattle: 59% (9,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Seahawks are 32-17 ATS in Week 11 or later since 2013.

Russell Wilson is 22-7 ATS as an underdog.

Packers are 33-20 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Aaron Rodgers is 97-67 ATS since 2009.

Opening Line: Packers -4.

Opening Total: 46.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 22 degrees. Light wind.

Week 19 NFL Pick: Seahawks 27, Packers 24
Seahawks +4.5 -108 (5 Units) – Heritage — Incorrect; -$540
Over 46.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Packers 28, Seahawks 23

Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Vikings at 49ers, Titans at Ravens

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Props to be posted here

NFL Picks - Nov. 20

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 12, 2024): 11-3 (+$2,020)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-1 (+$580)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-0 (+$1,400)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 12, 2024): 6-8 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 12, 2024): +$905

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-3, 25.0% (-$1,365)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 89-82-6, 52.0% (-$2,545)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 22-26-1, 45.8% (-$600)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-17, 51.4% (-$155)
2024 Season Over-Under: 82-82-2, 50.0% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$740

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
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2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,510-3,234-202, 52.0% (+$19,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,129-1,011-57 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 571-502-25 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,941-2,916-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-3	Bears: 5-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-4
Eagles: 5-5	Lions: 9-1	Falcons: 6-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 6-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 5-5
Redskins: 5-5	Vikings: 4-6	Saints: 5-6	Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 4-7	Bengals: 2-9	Colts: 6-5	Broncos: 7-4
Dolphins: 4-6	Browns: 3-7	Jaguars: 3-7	Chargers: 6-3
Jets: 6-5	Ravens: 5-5	Texans: 5-6	Chiefs: 4-5
Patriots: 6-3	Steelers: 4-6	Titans: 6-3	Raiders: 5-5

Divisional: 21-23 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 18-14 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 31-25 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 21-30 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 33-47 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 13-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-8 (2011-23: 33-37)