NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2013

NFL Picks (Preseason 2013): 10-6 (+$720)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2013): 4-11-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2013): 6-10 (+$130)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2013): 9-6-1 (+$20)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2013): 11-4 (+$870)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2013): 8-6 (+$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2013): 4-11 (-$420)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2013): 6-9 (-$730)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2013): 8-5 (+$760)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2013): 5-8 (-$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2013): 9-4-1 (-$110)

NFL Picks (2013): 80-80-2 (+$730)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Nov. 17, 5:55 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

NFL Picks Week 11 - Early Games
Indianapolis?at?Tennessee, NY Jets?at?Buffalo, Baltimore?at?Chicago, Cleveland?at?Cincinnati, Atlanta?at?Tampa Bay, Arizona?at?Jacksonville, Oakland?at?Houston, Washington?at?Philadelphia, Detroit?at?Pittsburgh

NFL Picks Week 11 - Late Games
San Diego?at?Miami, Kansas City at Denver, Minnesota at Seattle, San Francisco at New Orleans, Green Bay at NY Giants, New England at Carolina

BYE: Cowboys, Rams

Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Cincinnati Bengals - The Bengals are missing several key players, and Andy Dalton seems to be regressing.

Kansas City Chiefs - Just because the Chiefs are the last undefeated team doesn't mean they're the best team, or even the fifth-best team. They're No. 8 in my NFL Power Rankings.

Philadelphia Eagles - I'm not buying this Philadelphia facade. The Packers legitimately played evenly with the Eagles in between the 20s with Scott Tolzien.

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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Arizona Cardinals - Outside of the New Orleans and Seattle losses, the Cardinals have been in every single game this year. They legitimately outgained the red-hot 49ers a month ago.

Cleveland Browns - The Browns are 4-1 in games in which Brandon Weeden didn't start.

Houston Texans - I'm not saying the Texans are a very good team or anything, but they're much better than their 2-7 record indicates.

NFL Picks - Nov. 29

2021 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 25

2022 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 15

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 14

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 9

2020 College Football Recruiting Rankings - April 14

2020 NBA Mock Draft - Sept. 27

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 11, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,935)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 11, 2020): 0-5 (-$1,575)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 11, 2020): 1-2 (-$690)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 11, 2020): 11-3 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 11, 2020): +$230

2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-2, 0% (-$1,735)

2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 80-76-5, 51.3% (-$1,115)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 28-31-3, 47.5% (-$2,750)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-14, 60.0% (+$2,585)
2020 Season Over-Under: 83-74-4, 52.9% ($0)
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$420

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,937-2,713-177, 52.0% (+$9,190)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 938-847-49 (52.6%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 436-388-22 (52.9%)
Career Over-Under: 2,406-2,368-65 (50.4%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 43-29-1 (59.7%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-2 (2014-19: 47-50)	Bears: 3-7 (2014-19: 45-48)	Bucs: 4-6 (2014-19: 44-45)	49ers: 5-5 (2014-19: 53-44)
Eagles: 4-6 (2014-19: 55-46)	Lions: 4-5 (2014-19: 53-42)	Falcons: 7-3 (2014-19: 55-45)	Cardinals: 6-4 (2014-19: 45-50)
Giants: 2-8 (2014-19: 52-41)	Packers: 6-4 (2014-19: 54-46)	Panthers: 10-1 (2014-19: 47-52)	Rams: 3-7 (2014-19: 53-41)
Redskins: 4-4 (2014-19: 47-48)	Vikings: 5-5 (2014-19: 51-45)	Saints: 3-7 (2014-19: 49-50)	Seahawks: 5-5 (2014-19: 43-56)

Bills: 5-5 (2014-19: 52-42)	Bengals: 5-3 (2014-19: 42-52)	Colts: 5-5 (2014-19: 50-45)	Broncos: 4-6 (2014-19: 45-48)
Dolphins: 9-1 (2014-19: 47-46)	Browns: 6-3 (2014-19: 46-44)	Jaguars: 4-6 (2014-19: 41-55)	Chargers: 3-5 (2014-19: 46-49)
Jets: 6-4 (2014-19: 50-40)	Ravens: 3-6 (2014-19: 48-47)	Texans: 7-3 (2014-19: 48-47)	Chiefs: 6-4 (2014-19: 56-50)
Patriots: 3-7 (2014-19: 55-53)	Steelers: 4-6 (2014-19: 56-43)	Titans: 6-4 (2014-19: 49-47)	Raiders: 5-5 (2014-19: 43-52)

Divisional: 24-25 (2011-19: 405-394)	2x Game Edge: 37-41 (2011-19: 213-210)	2x Motivation Edge: 20-18 (2011-19: 347-288)	2x Spread Edge: 30-20 (2011-19: 61-55)
2x Vegas Edge: 16-14 (2011-19: 320-335)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-19: 250-228)	Double Edge: 13-13 (2011-19: 122-107)	Triple Edge: 4-3 (2011-19: 21-18)

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 11, 2013

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