NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2011): 11-5 (+$1,000)

NFL Picks (2011): 100-99-8 (-$3,460)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Dec. 12, 6:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 14 - Early Games
Browns at Steelers, Colts at Ravens, Chiefs at Jets, Vikings at Lions, Texans at Bengals, Buccaneers at Jaguars, Falcons at Panthers, Eagles at Dolphins, Saints at Titans, Patriots at Redskins

NFL Picks Week 14 - Late Games
49ers at Cardinals, Bears at Broncos, Raiders at Packers, Bills at Chargers, Giants at Cowboys, Rams at Seahawks




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Atlanta Falcons - This Atlanta team isn't very good. Against teams .500 or better this year, they are 3-5, beating the Eagles (after QB Dog Killer went out), Lions and Titans.

Dallas Cowboys - The Cowboys are 1-5 against the spread in their past six games. They've lost to the 4-8 Eagles and 5-7 Cardinals, and have barely beaten the 5-7 Seahawks, 4-8 Redskins and 4-8 Dolphins.

Detroit Lions - The Lions are 2-5 against the spread in their previous seven games. They keep making stupid mistakes.

San Diego Chargers - How many years do we have to go through this? The Chargers look great on paper, but they will beat themselves with dumb mistakes. They stink, yet people continue to bet on them.



Get Free Sports Picks from the Advisory Board at Doc's Sports. Expert picks from: Doc - Robert Ferringo - Strike Point Sports - Allen Eastman and Vegas Sports Informer - Indian Cowboy. All picks come with detailed analysis and are 100% guaranteed.



Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals have quietly covered five of their previous six games. They nearly beat Baltimore and won at Philadelphia. They took down the Cowboys. Pretty impressive.

Houston Texans - I wouldn't write the Texans off. They have a dominant defense and talented play-makers on offense.

Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have covered the past two weeks by playing great defense.

Minnesota Vikings - The Vikings have a solid team. They have quality veterans on defense, and Christian Ponder is a major upgrade over Donovan McN00b. Now, Adrian Peterson just needs to get healthy.





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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals have quietly covered five of their previous six games. They nearly beat Baltimore and won at Philadelphia. They took down the Cowboys. Pretty impressive.

Houston Texans - I wouldn't write the Texans off. They have a dominant defense and talented play-makers on offense.

Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have covered the past two weeks by playing great defense.

Minnesota Vikings - The Vikings have a solid team. They have quality veterans on defense, and Christian Ponder is a major upgrade over Donovan McN00b. Now, Adrian Peterson just needs to get healthy.













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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 11-7	Bears: 11-5	Bucs: 7-12	49ers: 12-8
Eagles: 10-8	Lions: 9-7	Falcons: 10-7	Cardinals: 8-10
Giants: 9-8	Packers: 8-9	Panthers: 9-8	Rams: 13-8
Redskins: 7-10	Vikings: 9-8	Saints: 11-5	Seahawks: 11-6
Bills: 10-9	Bengals: 13-7	Colts: 5-12	Broncos: 9-8
Dolphins: 7-10	Browns: 8-9	Jaguars: 8-9	Chargers: 9-8
Jets: 6-11	Ravens: 10-7	Texans: 3-14	Chiefs: 11-9
Patriots: 9-9	Steelers: 8-10	Titans: 11-7	Raiders: 11-7
Divisional: 54-43 (2011-20: 448-442)	2x Game Edge: 57-62 (2011-20: 279-271)	2x Motivation Edge: 47-48 (2011-20: 394-318)	2x Spread Edge: 48-40 (2011-20: 105-89)
2x Vegas Edge: 35-42 (2011-20: 346-357)	2x Trend Edge: 16-18 (2011-20: 270-241)	Double Edge: 23-27 (2011-20: 149-128)	Triple Edge: 4-10 (2011-20: 27-22)