NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)

NFL Picks (2011): 89-94-8 (-$4,460)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Dec. 5, 5:50 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 13 - Early Games
Eagles at Seahawks, Titans at Bills, Bengals at Steelers, Raiders at Dolphins, Chiefs at Bears, Colts at Patriots, Panthers at Buccaneers, Broncos at Vikings, Falcons at Texans, Jets at Redskins

NFL Picks Week 13 - Late Games
Ravens at Browns, Packers at Giants, Rams at 49ers, Cowboys at Cardinals, Lions at Saints, Chargers at Jaguars




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Atlanta Falcons - This Atlanta team isn't very good. They've sacrificed too much to get Julio Jones, and their depth and offensive line have been compromised.

Dallas Cowboys - The Cowboys are 1-4 against the spread in their past five games. They've lost to the 4-7 Eagles, and have barely beaten the 4-7 Seahawks, 4-7 Redskins and 3-8 Dolphins.

Detroit Lions - The Lions are 2-4 against the spread in their previous six games. Matthew Stafford is struggling with his decision-making.

New York Giants - Everyone is focusing on that New England win. Take a look at what the Giants have done otherwise dating back to Week 5: They lost to Seattle. They barely beat the Bills and Dolphins. They also went down to Vince Young.

San Diego Chargers - How many years do we have to go through this? The Chargers look great on paper, but they will beat themselves with dumb mistakes. They stink, yet people continue to bet on them.



Get Free Sports Picks from the Advisory Board at Doc's Sports. Expert picks from: Doc - Robert Ferringo - Strike Point Sports - Allen Eastman and Vegas Sports Informer - Indian Cowboy. All picks come with detailed analysis and are 100% guaranteed.



Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals have quietly covered four of their previous five games. They nearly beat Baltimore and won at Philadelphia. Pretty impressive.

Chicago Bears - The Bears were built on running the ball, playing great defense and scoring on special teams. Jay Cutler has been great this year, but I think they can win with Cal Hanie under center. I still believe this.

Denver Broncos - All the talk is about Tim Tebow, but Denver's defense has really improved lately.

Houston Texans - I wouldn't write the Texans off. They have a dominant defense and talented play-makers on offense.

Minnesota Vikings - The Vikings have a solid team. They have quality veterans on defense, and Christian Ponder is a major upgrade over Donovan McN00b. Now, Adrian Peterson just needs to get healthy.





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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals have quietly covered four of their previous five games. They nearly beat Baltimore and won at Philadelphia. Pretty impressive.

Chicago Bears - The Bears were built on running the ball, playing great defense and scoring on special teams. Jay Cutler has been great this year, but I think they can win with Cal Hanie under center. I still believe this.

Denver Broncos - All the talk is about Tim Tebow, but Denver's defense has really improved lately.

Houston Texans - I wouldn't write the Texans off. They have a dominant defense and talented play-makers on offense.

Minnesota Vikings - The Vikings have a solid team. They have quality veterans on defense, and Christian Ponder is a major upgrade over Donovan McN00b. Now, Adrian Peterson just needs to get healthy.













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NFL Picks - Feb. 13




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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 11-7	Bears: 11-5	Bucs: 7-12	49ers: 12-8
Eagles: 10-8	Lions: 9-7	Falcons: 10-7	Cardinals: 8-10
Giants: 9-8	Packers: 8-9	Panthers: 9-8	Rams: 13-8
Redskins: 7-10	Vikings: 9-8	Saints: 11-5	Seahawks: 11-6
Bills: 10-9	Bengals: 13-7	Colts: 5-12	Broncos: 9-8
Dolphins: 7-10	Browns: 8-9	Jaguars: 8-9	Chargers: 9-8
Jets: 6-11	Ravens: 10-7	Texans: 3-14	Chiefs: 11-9
Patriots: 9-9	Steelers: 8-10	Titans: 11-7	Raiders: 11-7
Divisional: 54-43 (2011-20: 448-442)	2x Game Edge: 57-62 (2011-20: 279-271)	2x Motivation Edge: 47-48 (2011-20: 394-318)	2x Spread Edge: 48-40 (2011-20: 105-89)
2x Vegas Edge: 35-42 (2011-20: 346-357)	2x Trend Edge: 16-18 (2011-20: 270-241)	Double Edge: 23-27 (2011-20: 149-128)	Triple Edge: 4-10 (2011-20: 27-22)