NFL Picks Week 15 - Early Games Saints at Bears, Bills at Jets, 49ers at Dolphins, Chargers at Chiefs, Packers at Jaguars, Lions at Colts, Redskins at Bengals, Seahawks at Rams, Titans at Texans, Buccaneers at Falcons
NFL Picks Week 15 - Late Games Vikings at Cardinals, Steelers at Ravens, Broncos at Panthers, Patriots at Raiders, Giants at Cowboys, Browns at Eagles
Why the split?
Starting Week 2, 2008, I'll be splitting my NFL Picks into two separate pages. There were complaints that a page comprised of 16 detailed selections took too long to load. A page as long as that also ate up a ton of bandwith. I apologize for any inconvenience this may cause, but I feel as though it'll make things better and help the site operate smoother in the long run.
Also, check out the new feature below. It'll allow you to pick games against me and everyone else. Registering takes just one second. Keep in mind that this registration IS DIFFERENT than the forum.
Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.
1. Denver Broncos - Great offense + terrible defense = overrated. That's why the Broncos are 4-9 against the spread this year. Denver's wins over the Jets and Falcons may make people forget how terrible this defense is. They couldn't stop the Raiders! I have to believe Denver will continue to fail to cover as a large favorite.
2. Washington Redskins - I know the Redskins just lost to the talented Cowboys, Steelers, Giants and Ravens, and that's nothing to be ashamed of. However, they were horrible the three games prior to those defeats. They lost to the Rams. They needed a missed field goal from Phil Dawson to beat the Browns. They had to manage a second-half comeback to knock off the Lions. And they beat the Seahawks by only three points. The team that upset Dallas and Philadelphia in consecutive road games is long gone.
3. Cincinnati Bengals - It's hard to call a 1-11-1 team overrated, but we're talking in terms of the spread. The Bengals lost four key linemen before the Pittsburgh game. Since that contest, they haven't covered a single spread. In fact, they lost their last two games by the combined scores of 69-6. Ouch. With major injuries up front on both sides of the ball, Cincinnati isn't covering any time soon.
4. Miami Dolphins - Excluding the loss to J.P. Zohan on a neutral field, check out Miami's results the past five weeks: 21-19 over 2-10 Seattle; 17-15 over 3-9 Oakland; 48-28 loss to New England; 16-12 over 2-10 St. Louis. The Dolphins have covered only game since Nov. 2, which was the aforementioned victory over the Bills. I have no idea why they're playing such sloppy football right now.
Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.
1. Baltimore Ravens - Great defense + efficient offense = underrated. That's why the Ravens have covered seven of eight games since Oct. 12.
2. Houston Texans - Shsh... don't tell anyone, but the Texans have won three in a row, and with another victory, they'll be 7-7. Houston debacled Jacksonville on Monday night and followed that up with an impressive win at Lambeau. Even before this streak, they nearly pulled off the upset in Indianapolis despite having Sage Rosenchoker at the helm.
3. Seattle Seahawks - Despite losing six in a row, the Seahawks have played really well lately and have been competitive with the Patriots, Redskins and Dolphins. They nearly beat the Patriots without Walter Jones!
4. St. Louis Rams - I've been betting against the Rams recently because they can't win without Steven Jackson. I thought Jackson would be limited against Miami, but he received 21 carries without getting dinged up. With Jackson and Orlando Pace back in the lineup, St. Louis could become a covering machine down the stretch. They couldn't get it done at Arizona, but keep in mind that the Cardinals had two defensive touchdowns. The Rams won't be as unlucky the last three weeks of the season.
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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.
1. Baltimore Ravens - Great defense + efficient offense = underrated. That's why the Ravens have covered seven of eight games since Oct. 12.
2. Houston Texans - Shsh... don't tell anyone, but the Texans have won three in a row, and with another victory, they'll be 7-7. Houston debacled Jacksonville on Monday night and followed that up with an impressive win at Lambeau. Even before this streak, they nearly pulled off the upset in Indianapolis despite having Sage Rosenchoker at the helm.
3. Seattle Seahawks - Despite losing six in a row, the Seahawks have played really well lately and have been competitive with the Patriots, Redskins and Dolphins. They nearly beat the Patriots without Walter Jones!
4. St. Louis Rams - I've been betting against the Rams recently because they can't win without Steven Jackson. I thought Jackson would be limited against Miami, but he received 21 carries without getting dinged up. With Jackson and Orlando Pace back in the lineup, St. Louis could become a covering machine down the stretch. They couldn't get it done at Arizona, but keep in mind that the Cardinals had two defensive touchdowns. The Rams won't be as unlucky the last three weeks of the season.
Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.
Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 1, 2022): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 1, 2022): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 1, 2022): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 1, 2022): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 1, 2022): $0
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-0, 0% ($0)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 0-0, 0% ($0) 2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 0-0, 0% ($0) 2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 0-0, 0% ($0) 2022 Season Over-Under: 0-0, 0% ($0) 2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: $0
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%) 2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%) 2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%) 2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%) 2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%) 2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%) 2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%) 2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%) 2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585) 2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105) 2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235) 2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880) 2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335) 2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445) 2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825) 2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885) 2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215) 2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780) 2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300) 2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845) 2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200) 2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350) 2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%) 2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%) 2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%) 2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%) 2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%) 2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110) 2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510) 2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260) 2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180) 2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715) 2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130) 2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890) 2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820) 2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475) 2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395) 2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670) 2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655) 2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965) 2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%) 2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%) 2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%) 2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%) 2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%) 2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420) 2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055) 2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330) 2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790) 2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260) 2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650) 2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970) 2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120) 2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465) 2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595) 2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735) 2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185) 2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515) 2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%) 2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%) 2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%) 2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%) 2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%) 2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%) 2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900) 2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860) 2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195) 2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5) 2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135) 2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30) 2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340) 2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0) 2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95) 2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640) 2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225) 2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50) 2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0) 2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035 2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775 2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865 2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200 2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590 2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685 2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245 2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855 2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275 2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510 2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495 2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715 2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975 2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%) 2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400) 2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720) 2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640) 2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810) 2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870) 2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560) 2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900) 2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350) 2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100) 2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780) 2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040) 2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640) 2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625) 2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665) 2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,142-2,897-180, 52.0% (+$20,215) Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,009-906-49 (52.7%) Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 484-428-23 (53.1%) Career Over-Under: 2,594-2,566-69 (50.3%) Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%) Career NFL Picks of the Month: 45-30-1 (60.0%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not
displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.