NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2015

NFL Picks (Preseason 2015): 7-10-1 (-$1,420)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2015): 10-6 (+$940)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2015): 9-7 (-$895)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2015): 7-9 (-$870)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2015): 6-8-1 (-$360)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2015): 6-6-2 (+$55)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2015): 5-8-1 (-$690)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2015): 4-9-1 (-$860)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2015): 5-8-1 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2015): 8-5 (+$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2015): 6-8 (-$610)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2015): 5-6-3 (-$2,010)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2015): 6-10 (-$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2015): 8-7-1 (+$195)

NFL Picks (2015): 92-107-7 (-$6,775)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Dec. 14, 5:50 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 14 – Early Games
Minnesota at Arizona, Buffalo at Philadelphia, San Francisco at Cleveland, Detroit at St. Louis, New Orleans at Tampa Bay, Tennessee at New York Jets, Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, Seattle at Baltimore, Indianapolis at Jacksonville, San Diego at Kansas City, Washington at Chicago, Atlanta at Carolina

NFL Picks Week 14 – Late Games
Oakland at Denver, Dallas at Green Bay, New England at Houston, New York Giants at Miami




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I’ll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn’t mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas’ eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Denver Broncos – The Broncos’ victory over the Patriots looks so much less impressive after what Philadelphia did at New England. They followed that up by an underwhelming 17-3 win at the horrible Chargers, who have no homefield advantage. That should’ve been a bigger blowout.

Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs have won six in a row. Their wins have been over Landry Jones, the Lions when they were inept, a one-legged Peyton Manning, a Charger team that couldn’t block, the Bills (solid victory) and the Raiders, who outgained them by 110 yards.

New England Patriots – The Patriots’ marquee wins have been against the Steelers, who didn’t have Le’Veon Bell; the Bills, who have been exposed as a terrible team; the Jets, who have Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback; and the Giants, who dropped a game-winning interception and screwed up their time management at the 2-minute warning. New England’s offensive line is a major concern, and the offensive weapons being out will hurt. Dont’a Hightower’s injury is also very impactful. Seeing them lose to the Eagles was not surprising in the slightest.



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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I’ll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Atlanta Falcons – The Falcons keep on losing, but they’ve been in all of these games. Their average margin of defeat in the past five contests is 4.2 points, and the greatest loss, 10 points, was a close game at the beginning of the second half.

Pittsburgh Steelers – Everyone is talking about how great the Seahawks are. Well, the Steelers outgained them by about 100 yards in Seattle in Week 12. Pittsburgh might just be the best team in the AFC.

Tennessee Titans – The Titans have some positive aspects to their team, including their pass rush and run defense. Marcus Mariota has played well for the most part; the Titans are 5-4 against the spread in games in which he hasn’t been injured, and they could be 7-2 (or 6-2-1) if it wasn’t for a fluky punt return and one of the worst calls I’ve ever seen.











NFL Picks - Dec. 11


2025 NFL Mock Draft - Dec. 11


NFL Power Rankings - Dec. 9


2026 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 29


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4




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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-6	Bears: 5-7	Bucs: 8-5	49ers: 8-5
Eagles: 7-6	Lions: 10-3	Falcons: 7-6	Cardinals: 9-4
Giants: 4-8	Packers: 9-3	Panthers: 5-8	Rams: 7-6
Redskins: 6-6	Vikings: 5-7	Saints: 6-7	Seahawks: 7-5
Bills: 5-8	Bengals: 3-10	Colts: 7-6	Broncos: 9-4
Dolphins: 5-8	Browns: 5-8	Jaguars: 4-7	Chargers: 7-5
Jets: 7-6	Ravens: 6-6	Texans: 5-7	Chiefs: 5-7
Patriots: 7-4	Steelers: 6-7	Titans: 8-4	Raiders: 7-6
Divisional: 27-34 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 23-19 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 38-31 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 25-36 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 44-57 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 14-9 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 17-17 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-9 (2011-23: 33-37)