NFL Picks Week 9 - Early Games Jets at Bills, Lions at Bears, Jaguars at Bengals, Ravens at Browns, Buccaneers at Chiefs, Texans at Vikings, Packers at Titans, Cardinals at Rams
NFL Picks Week 9 - Late Games Dolphins at Broncos, Falcons at Raiders, Cowboys at Giants, Eagles at Seahawks, Patriots at Colts, Steelers at Redskins
BYE: Panthers, Saints, Chargers, 49ers
Why the split?
Starting Week 2, 2008, I'll be splitting my NFL Picks into two separate pages. There were complaints that a page comprised of 16 detailed selections took too long to load. A page as long as that also ate up a ton of bandwith. I apologize for any inconvenience this may cause, but I feel as though it'll make things better and help the site operate smoother in the long run.
Also, check out the new feature below. It'll allow you to pick games against me and everyone else. Registering takes just one second. Keep in mind that this registration IS DIFFERENT than the forum.
Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.
1. New England Patriots - New England's massive victory over Denver makes them extremely overrated. People will see 34-0 and say, "Wow, New England is fine with Matt Cassel!" No they're not. Jay Cutler was injured on the first play of the game. Cassel still can't throw longer than 20 yards and the defense is slow and old.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars - Including the preseason, David Garrard hasn't totally sucked only twice this year. Once was against the Texans. The other time was last week against Denver. What do those teams have in common? They both have horrible defenses. Meanwhile, Jacksonville surrendered 100 yards to Michael Pittman two weeks ago. Michael freaking Pittman! What happened to this defense?
3. San Diego Chargers - Any time any analyst on ESPN speaks of the Chargers, they say something like, "They'll be OK. They'll win games." Why will they be OK? Their defense absolutely sucks because Shawne Merriman is hurt and Jamal Williams is over the hill. And though he had a nice game against the Saints, LaDainian Tomlinson is hurt and far from 100 percent.
Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.
1. Denver Broncos - The opposite of the Patriots 34-0 effect. People are down on the Broncos, who are still a very talented team. I'm still convinced they would have won if Jay Cutler didn't get hurt on the first play of the game. Denver is very underrated going forward, as long as Cutler is OK.
2. San Francisco 49ers - I think the 49ers are bad, but they're not terrible. People only remember the last thing they see, and they'll likely focus on an ugly loss to Seattle. However, San Francisco stuck with the Giants, Eagles and Patriots before blowing a cover in each of those games. The 49ers are switching to Shaun Hill, who will actually take care of the football, unlike J.T. O'Sullivan.
3. Oakland Raiders - It may seem dumb to put the Raiders on this list after their ugly loss to the Ravens. But that's the only thing the public is thinking of when betting against them this week. Oakland beat the Jets, and nearly upset San Diego and Buffalo (on the road).
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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.
1. Denver Broncos - The opposite of the Patriots 34-0 effect. People are down on the Broncos, who are still a very talented team. I'm still convinced they would have won if Jay Cutler didn't get hurt on the first play of the game. Denver is very underrated going forward, as long as Cutler is OK.
2. San Francisco 49ers - I think the 49ers are bad, but they're not terrible. People only remember the last thing they see, and they'll likely focus on an ugly loss to Seattle. However, San Francisco stuck with the Giants, Eagles and Patriots before blowing a cover in each of those games. The 49ers are switching to Shaun Hill, who will actually take care of the football, unlike J.T. O'Sullivan.
3. Oakland Raiders - It may seem dumb to put the Raiders on this list after their ugly loss to the Ravens. But that's the only thing the public is thinking of when betting against them this week. Oakland beat the Jets, and nearly upset San Diego and Buffalo (on the road).
Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.
Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 22 and Season Props, 2021): 1-0 (+$4,555)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 22, 2021): 0-0 ($0)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 22, 2021): 1-0 (+$600)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 22, 2021): 0-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 22 and Season Props, 2021): +$3,855
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210) 2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570) 2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725) 2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0) 2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%) 2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%) 2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%) 2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%) 2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%) 2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%) 2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%) 2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%) 2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585) 2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105) 2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235) 2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880) 2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335) 2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445) 2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825) 2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885) 2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215) 2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780) 2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300) 2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845) 2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200) 2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%) 2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%) 2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%) 2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%) 2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%) 2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110) 2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510) 2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260) 2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180) 2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715) 2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130) 2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890) 2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820) 2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475) 2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395) 2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670) 2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655) 2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%) 2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%) 2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%) 2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%) 2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%) 2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420) 2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055) 2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330) 2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790) 2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260) 2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650) 2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970) 2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120) 2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465) 2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595) 2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735) 2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185) 2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%) 2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%) 2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%) 2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%) 2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%) 2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%) 2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900) 2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860) 2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195) 2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5) 2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135) 2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30) 2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340) 2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0) 2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95) 2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640) 2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225) 2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50) 2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035 2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775 2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865 2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200 2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590 2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685 2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245 2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855 2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275 2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510 2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495 2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715 2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%) 2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400) 2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720) 2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640) 2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810) 2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870) 2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560) 2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900) 2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350) 2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100) 2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780) 2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040) 2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640) 2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625) 2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,142-2,897-180, 52.0% (+$20,215) Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,009-906-49 (52.7%) Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 484-428-23 (53.1%) Career Over-Under: 2,594-2,566-69 (50.3%) Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%) Career NFL Picks of the Month: 45-30-1 (60.0%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not
displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.