NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 16, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2011): 3-10 (-$1,145)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2011): 7-7 (+$695)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2011): 9-7 (+$490)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2011): 6-7-1 (-$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2011): 7-9 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2011): 11-5 (+$1,000)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2011): 7-7-2 (-$220)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2011): 9-6-1 (+$640)

NFL Picks (2011): 116-112-11 (-$3,040)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Dec. 26, 6:40 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 16 - Early Games
Texans at Colts, Rams at Steelers, Broncos at Bills, Buccaneers at Panthers, Vikings at Redskins, Raiders at Chiefs, Browns at Ravens, Dolphins at Patriots, Jaguars at Titans, Giants at Jets, Cardinals at Bengals

NFL Picks Week 16 - Late Games
Chargers at Lions, 49ers at Seahawks, Eagles at Cowboys, Bears at Packers, Falcons at Saints




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Cincinnati Bengals - The last time the Bengals covered the spread was in Week 9 when they needed a comeback against the Titans. Leon Hall's absence has been huge.

Dallas Cowboys - The Cowboys are 2-6 against the spread in their past eight games. They've lost to the 6-8 Eagles and 7-7 Cardinals, and have barely beaten the 7-7 Seahawks, 5-9 Redskins and 5-9 Dolphins.

Detroit Lions - The Lions are 2-7 against the spread in their previous nine games. They keep making stupid mistakes.

Green Bay Packers - The Packers have failed to cover three of their past five contests. One of the two occasions that they beat the spread was at Detroit on Thanksgiving. The Lions could have won that game if Kevin Smith hadn't gotten hurt.

New York Jets - The Jets are 2-4 ATS in their previous six. They're really going to miss safety Jim Leonhard.



Get Free Sports Picks from the Advisory Board at Doc's Sports. Expert picks from: Doc - Robert Ferringo - Strike Point Sports - Allen Eastman and Vegas Sports Informer - Indian Cowboy. All picks come with detailed analysis and are 100% guaranteed.



Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals have quietly covered six of their previous eight games. They nearly beat Baltimore and won at Philadelphia. They took down the Cowboys and 49ers. Pretty impressive.

Carolina Panthers - The Panthers have covered three of their past four contests, with the lone exception being that blown lead against the Falcons.

Cleveland Browns - The Browns play tough defense and have covered four of their past five contests. The lone exception came against Baltimore in sloppy conditions.

Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have covered three of four; two of the spread wins coming against the Steelers and Packers. They're playing tough defense.

San Diego Chargers - Don't look now, but the Chargers have won their previous three games by a combined score of 109-38.

Washington Redskins - The Redskins have covered four of five. They've been better defensively with Perry Riley in the lineup, while their offense didn't skip a beat without Fred Davis and Trent Williams.





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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals have quietly covered six of their previous eight games. They nearly beat Baltimore and won at Philadelphia. They took down the Cowboys and 49ers. Pretty impressive.

Carolina Panthers - The Panthers have covered three of their past four contests, with the lone exception being that blown lead against the Falcons.

Cleveland Browns - The Browns play tough defense and have covered four of their past five contests. The lone exception came against Baltimore in sloppy conditions.

Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have covered three of four; two of the spread wins coming against the Steelers and Packers. They're playing tough defense.

San Diego Chargers - Don't look now, but the Chargers have won their previous three games by a combined score of 109-38.

Washington Redskins - The Redskins have covered four of five. They've been better defensively with Perry Riley in the lineup, while their offense didn't skip a beat without Fred Davis and Trent Williams.













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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 11-7	Bears: 11-5	Bucs: 7-12	49ers: 12-8
Eagles: 10-8	Lions: 9-7	Falcons: 10-7	Cardinals: 8-10
Giants: 9-8	Packers: 8-9	Panthers: 9-8	Rams: 13-8
Redskins: 7-10	Vikings: 9-8	Saints: 11-5	Seahawks: 11-6
Bills: 10-9	Bengals: 13-7	Colts: 5-12	Broncos: 9-8
Dolphins: 7-10	Browns: 8-9	Jaguars: 8-9	Chargers: 9-8
Jets: 6-11	Ravens: 10-7	Texans: 3-14	Chiefs: 11-9
Patriots: 9-9	Steelers: 8-10	Titans: 11-7	Raiders: 11-7
Divisional: 54-43 (2011-20: 448-442)	2x Game Edge: 57-62 (2011-20: 279-271)	2x Motivation Edge: 47-48 (2011-20: 394-318)	2x Spread Edge: 48-40 (2011-20: 105-89)
2x Vegas Edge: 35-42 (2011-20: 346-357)	2x Trend Edge: 16-18 (2011-20: 270-241)	Double Edge: 23-27 (2011-20: 149-128)	Triple Edge: 4-10 (2011-20: 27-22)