NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2011): 6-8-2 (-$1,030)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2011): 10-5-1 (+$610)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2011): 7-9 (-$970)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2011): 9-4 (-$270)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2011): 5-7-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2011): 4-8-1 (-$820)

NFL Picks (2011): 57-54-7 (-$3,005)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Oct. 31, 5:20 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


NFL Picks Week 8 - Early Games
Dolphins at Giants, Colts at Titans, Vikings at Panthers, Saints at Rams, Cardinals at Ravens, Jaguars at Texans

NFL Picks Week 8 - Late Games
Redskins vs. Bills, Lions at Broncos, Patriots at Steelers, Browns at 49ers, Bengals at Seahawks, Cowboys at Eagles, Chargers at Chiefs

BYE: Falcons, Bears, Packers, Raiders, Jets, Buccaneers




Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week. Keep in mind that even if a team is listed here, that doesn't mean that I think lowly of them; they are simply overrated in Vegas' eyes. These are the squads that Vegas can boost the spread on.

Atlanta Falcons - This Atlanta team isn't very good. They've sacrificed too much to get Julio Jones, and their depth and offensive line have been compromised.

Cleveland Browns - I'm listing the Browns because their three wins might make them overvalued. Cleveland's three victories this year have come against the Colts (0-7), Seahawks (2-4) and Dolphins (0-6). They lost their other games by a combined score of 82-47 - that was to the Bengals, Raiders and Titans.

Dallas Cowboys - The Cowboys look good on paper, but they'll continue to beat themselves with mistakes.

Philadelphia Eagles - A quarterback who can't read the blitz. An offensive line that can't block anyone. A defense that can't stop the run. A coach who makes dumb mistakes. This team stinks.

Pittsburgh Steelers - Pittsburgh's wins have come against the Seahawks (2-4), who were playing a dreaded early game on the East Coast, Cardinals (1-5), Colts (0-7) by three points, Titans (3-3) without Kenny Britt and Jaguars (2-5) by four points.

Meanwhile, the only team they played currently in the Top 10 is Baltimore, whom they lost to by 28.

San Diego Chargers - How many years do we have to go through this? The Chargers look great on paper, but they will beat themselves with dumb mistakes.



Get Free Sports Picks from the Advisory Board at Doc's Sports. Expert picks from: Doc - Robert Ferringo - Strike Point Sports - Allen Eastman and Vegas Sports Informer - Indian Cowboy. All picks come with detailed analysis and are 100% guaranteed.



Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Cincinnati Bengals - That loss to the 49ers doesn't look too bad now. The Bengals have a really good defense and running game, and Andy Dalton has been steady thus far.

Kansas City Chiefs - Matt Cassel is healthy again, and Kansas City's defense is pretty good.

New York Giants - The Giants will have Justin Tuck available on Sunday. They'll be able to stop the run again, so I think they'll exceed expectations.

Tennessee Titans - The Titans have been awful ever since they lost Kenny Britt. They're not 6.5 points better than the Colts.





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Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

Cincinnati Bengals - That loss to the 49ers doesn't look too bad now. The Bengals have a really good defense and running game, and Andy Dalton has been steady thus far.

Kansas City Chiefs - Matt Cassel is healthy again, and Kansas City's defense is pretty good.

New York Giants - The Giants will have Justin Tuck available on Sunday. They'll be able to stop the run again, so I think they'll exceed expectations.

Tennessee Titans - The Titans have been awful ever since they lost Kenny Britt. They're not 6.5 points better than the Colts.













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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 11-7	Bears: 11-5	Bucs: 7-12	49ers: 12-8
Eagles: 10-8	Lions: 9-7	Falcons: 10-7	Cardinals: 8-10
Giants: 9-8	Packers: 8-9	Panthers: 9-8	Rams: 13-8
Redskins: 7-10	Vikings: 9-8	Saints: 11-5	Seahawks: 11-6
Bills: 10-9	Bengals: 13-7	Colts: 5-12	Broncos: 9-8
Dolphins: 7-10	Browns: 8-9	Jaguars: 8-9	Chargers: 9-8
Jets: 6-11	Ravens: 10-7	Texans: 3-14	Chiefs: 11-9
Patriots: 9-9	Steelers: 8-10	Titans: 11-7	Raiders: 11-7
Divisional: 54-43 (2011-20: 448-442)	2x Game Edge: 57-62 (2011-20: 279-271)	2x Motivation Edge: 47-48 (2011-20: 394-318)	2x Spread Edge: 48-40 (2011-20: 105-89)
2x Vegas Edge: 35-42 (2011-20: 346-357)	2x Trend Edge: 16-18 (2011-20: 270-241)	Double Edge: 23-27 (2011-20: 149-128)	Triple Edge: 4-10 (2011-20: 27-22)