NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2009

NFL Picks (Preseason 2009): 8-7-2 (+$130)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2009): 9-7 (+$285)

NFL Picks (2009): 17-14-2 (+$415)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Sept. 21, 4:15 p.m. ET.

Go to Week 2 NFL Picks – Late Games

Carolina Panthers (0-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-0)
Line: Falcons by 6. Total: 42.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Falcons -6.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Falcons -9.5.

Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Falcons.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

Week 1 Recap: I went only 9-7 overall against the spread last week, but I’m pretty content because I nailed my top two selections (Seattle and San Francisco). I suffered two bad beats (Hines Ward fumbling and Green Bay scoring a touchdown late), but got lucky with two games (Jason Campbell’s backdoor touchdown, Baltimore’s late score). Not bad… now, I can focus on more psychological factors, which is a lot more fun.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: The Falcons scored only 19 points against the Dolphins last week, and that was with the help of four turnovers. Matt Ryan looked off; though he went 22-of-36 for 229 yards and two touchdowns, he could have had a much better day, as he missed open receivers downfield.

The one encouraging thing about Ryan here is that unlike last week, he’ll have the support of a sound running game. The Dolphins can stop the rush pretty effectively, but Carolina strugged against it last year and appear to be sucking in that department again this season. The Panthers surrendered 5.3 yards per carry to the Eagles, which was highly predictable because they lost one of their starting defensive tackles for the year.

With Michael Turner almost guaranteed to eclipse 100 yards, Ryan will have more play-action opportunities. Now that he has a week under his belt, I have to believe that he’ll be far more accurate this Sunday.

CAROLINA OFFENSE: Ugh… well… let’s begin with the positives. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart both looked good last week. The two runners combined for 72 yards, but weren’t given many opportunities to run the ball after being down early. Williams was especially impressive when he scored an 11-yard touchdown in the first quarter.

The Falcons stink against the rush, so if the Panthers can somehow get out to a huge lead, they’ll be able to move the chains efficiently. The problem is, Atlanta will be able to score on Carolina. And you know what that means. Yes, Jake Delhomme will be asked to engage the Falcons in a shootout. Oh, the horror.

By now, you know the numbers. Delhomme has nine interceptions and two fumbles in his last two games. Going even further, Delhomme’s nine picks have come in 51 pass attempts. That means he’s chucking an interception every 5.7 times he throws the ball! It doesn’t get much worse than that. The Falcons collected four turnovers last week, and that number could be even higher in this contest.

RECAP: Why is this line so low? You’d figure Vegas could get equal action if the spread were -9 or even -10. Seems pretty shady to me.

That said, I’ll save the contrarian handicapping for another time. I’d trust a blind man to drive me to the supermarket over Delhomme in a betting situation. The Falcons have developed a solid homefield advantage with Ryan (see stat below), so I’ll lay a unit on the host.

The Psychology. Edge: Panthers.
The Panthers are a proud veteran team that will be looking to redeem itself. The problem is, there is no reason the Falcons would be unfocused.

The Vegas. Edge: Panthers.

Betting on Jake Delhomme or getting your hand sawed off? Hmm…

Percentage of money on Atlanta: 65% (149,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Panthers.

History: Road Team has won 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Panthers are 27-20 ATS as an underdog the previous 47 instances.

Jake Delhomme is 29-16 ATS on the road.

Jake Delhomme is 23-9 ATS as an underdog in his career.

Falcons are 2-17 ATS at home immediately following a home win the previous 19 instances.

Matt Ryan is 6-2 ATS at home.

Opening Line: Falcons -7.

Opening Total: 43.5.

Weather: Dome.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Falcons 31, Panthers 17
Falcons -6 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Over 42.5 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Falcons 28, Panthers 20

Minnesota Vikings (1-0) at Detroit Lions (0-1)
Line: Vikings by 10. Total: 45.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Vikings -7.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Vikings -10.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Vikings.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

Vegas Recap: Vegas usually loses in Week 1 because they want bettors to make money and gain confidence so they can gamble more away later in the year. The sportsbooks once again took it up the rear end on Kickoff Weekend, as teams receiving 75 percent of the action or more went just 3-4. Vegas lost tons of money with Minnesota, New Orleans, Dallas and Baltimore beating the number, but they made up for it when New England, San Diego and Cincinnati failed to cover.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: For all the talk about the Brett Favre signing, it really didn’t matter at all on Sunday because Adrian Peterson did all of the work, trampling over Cleveland’s defense for 180 yards and three touchdowns.

I’d like to say that Favre will be more of a factor here, but the Lions just allowed Mike Bell to gash them for 143 yards on 28 carries. All Favre has to do is take the snap and hand it off to Peterson, who will run for anywhere between 5 and 99 yards on any given carry. I wish this were more complex, but it’s not.

Even if Favre has to throw the ball for whatever reason, he’ll be facing a secondary that surrendered six touchdowns to Drew Brees.

DETROIT OFFENSE: Matthew Stafford tossed three picks last week, and if you take out special teams and defensive scores, the Lions put up only 13 points on the board against New Orleans.

While Kevin Smith was an effective weapon out of the backfield, he mustered only 20 yards on 15 carries. Expect similar production from him against the impenetrable Williams Wall.

I do believe the Lions will move the chains on occasion, much like the Browns were able to last week (Cleveland achieved 17 first downs to Minnesota’s 19). Stafford has two great weapons (Smith and Calvin Johnson) at his disposal. Unfortunately, Stafford will ultimately have to convert a third-and-long, which won’t be fun with Jared Allen breathing down his neck.

RECAP: Everything I’ve written thus far indicates that this will be a blowout. However, I’m taking the points for three reasons:

1. I don’t know why, but Lions-Vikings games are usually close. Detroit lost both contests last year by two and four points. Minnesota has won 17 of the past 18 meetings, but since 2002, 12 of the 14 battles between these two squads have been decided by 10 points or less.

2. After a road win, I can’t really see the Vikings getting up for the winless Lions.

3. I don’t trust Brett Favre enough to lay double digits with him in any situation.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No pyschological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Lions.

You’re telling me the public is not pounding the Lions? I am shocked!

Percentage of money on Minnesota: 80% (160,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Lions.

History: Vikings have won 18 of the last 19 meetings (12 of last 14 decided by 10 points or less).

Divisional Dog of Seven: Lions are 4-1 ATS as divisional dogs of 7+ under since 2006.

Lions are 10-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2006. ???

Opening Line: Vikings -9.5.

Opening Total: 47.5.

Weather: Dome.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Vikings 27, Lions 25
Lions +10 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Over 46.5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Vikings 27, Lions 13

Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) at Green Bay Packers (1-0)
Line: Packers by 9. Total: 42.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Packers -7.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Packers -9.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Packers.
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

My e-mail address is published on this site, so I tend to get more spam and junk mail than the average person. Each week, I’m going to find a hilarious e-mail and post it for your entertainment. Here is this week’s edition:

Greetings from Hong Kong

Dear Friend, this is Mr. Peter Wong from Hong. I am sending you this message concerning a Business Proposal of 44.5M USD and I want you to partner with me in this project. This business with benefit you a lot.

Please contact me back with the below address for details, [email protected] Thanks. I await your prompt response.

Mr. Peter Wong

Mr. Peter Wong from Hong? Who is this guy, Dr. Seuss’ disciple? Well, Mr. Peter Wong from Hong, I am Walt and I will take your e-mail with a grain of salt. I run WalterFootball.com, but I am not a dumb-dumb. I do not want your 44.5M USD, oh no I don’t, I will not send you an e-mail, oh gosh I won’t.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: Even if you’re a Steelers, Ravens or Browns fan, you have to feel bad for the Bengals. Aside from the Raiders and Lions, they’re the butt of almost every NFL-related joke. They had everyone finally healthy going into the opener, but they managed only seven points because of seven drops and a botched field goal. Despite all of that, they still led 7-6 with half a minute remaining in the game. Unfortunately, they lost on what forum member Bulldog called the “Jail City Miracle.”

Meanwhile, Green Bay’s defense was very impressive Sunday night. Dom Capers transformed this mediocre unit into one that seemed to mirror Pittsburgh’s defense, though it helped that Jay Cutler continuously threw late over the middle into double coverage.

Cincinnati’s offensive line stinks, so it’s hard to imagine them running the ball or pass protecting effectively. The one thing that helps them is that they reside in a division with three 3-4 defenses, so unlike the Bears, they’re not going to be shell shocked by anything Capers throws at them. Carson Palmer and Chad Ochocinco could have solid outings.

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: It’s amazing that there are still ignorant NFL TV analysts out there who believe that the Bengals have a crappy defense. That’s far from the truth; Cincinnati ranked 12th in defense last year and picked up where it left off against the Broncos.

I’m a huge fan of Aaron Rodgers and all of his weapons, but the Bears exposed his offensive line, particularly right tackle Allen Barbre. I have to believe that the Bengals, who mustered three sacks against Denver’s great offensive front, will be able to rattle Rodgers a bit.

RECAP: The Bengals are one of the most underrated teams in the league because they have a very good defense that no TV analysts talk about. Everyone sees Cincinnati as this crap team that once again suffered bad luck against the terrible Broncos. I see an underrated squad getting no respect from the oddsmakers.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
The Bengals played like trash, so it should be no surprise that the Packers are getting a lot of the money.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 58% (153,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Carson Palmer is 4-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog. ???

Opening Line: Packers -10.

Opening Total: 42.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 70 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Packers 17, Bengals 13
Bengals +9.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Under 42 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Bengals 31, Packers 24

Houston Texans (0-1) at Tennessee Titans (0-1)
Line: Titans by 7. Total: 41.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Titans -6.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Titans -9.5.

Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Titans.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

In addition to an E-mail of the Week, I’m also going to post a Video of the Week. Credit my ex-college roommate Dennis for sending this one over. This link will give you a collection of videos, but check out the first one. In addition to being incredibly hilarious and obscene, it’s also a pretty good song.

TENNESSEE OFFENSE: Jeff Fisher is an amazing coach, but his staff’s decision not to get the ball into the hands of Chris Johnson more often Thursday night completely baffled me. Johnson touched the ball only 16 times out of 61 plays. The Titans won’t win many games with that sort of a plan. Even Leon Washington got the ball just as much (19 touches on 71 plays), and he received less touches than Thomas Jones.

Fisher is a smart guy, and he’ll make sure Johnson gets the ball more. That’s bad news for an anemic Houston defense that just couldn’t get off the field against the Jets. The Texans couldn’t get any pressure on Mark Sanchez, they were horrific against the run, and they allowed a rookie quarterback to convert 10-of-18 third downs.

The Titans don’t exactly have the best offense in the world, but they should be able to move the chains effectively against Houston. Like Sanchez, Kerry Collins is efficient and will move the chains on third down.

HOUSTON OFFENSE: The Texans looked utterly pathetic on Sunday. The offensive line couldn’t pass protect or run block. Steve Slaton danced around like vintage Tim Hightower, and Matt Schaub may or may not have played the game drunk.

That said, I wouldn’t read too much into that. There were really two defenses that shut down the Texans last year: Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Guess who coached the latter squad? That’s right – Rex Ryan. Ryan undoubtedly had the perfect plan against Houston and executed it prolifically.

Does this mean the Texans will have more success this Sunday? Even though they’re going up against the Titans, I think so. In two meetings last year, Steve Slaton eclipsed the 100-yard rushing barrier both times. Tennessee did not have an answer for Slaton in 2008, and without Albert Haynesworth, I doubt they’ll have much success against him in 2009.

If Slaton can get going, it’ll open up plenty of opportunities for Schaub and all of his weapons. As we saw Thursday, Tennessee will have major problems getting to the quarterback with just its front four late in games. That’s good news for Schaub and his anemic offensive line.

RECAP: I love the Texans here for a few reasons:

1. This is a poor spot for the Titans. They just had an emotional loss as a big underdog and now have to bounce back as a huge favorite against an inferior team. They will not be at 100 percent here.

2. The Texans are not that bad. They have major problems against good 3-4 defenses, but they actually beat the Titans last year.

3. The line is telling me that Houston is the right side. The Texans were basically shut out last week, but they’re only 7-point underdogs now? Doesn’t that seem wrong? The oddsmakers are begging you to lay the points with Tennessee.

4. I like Houston in a role as an underdog more than a favorite. The stats back me up; Gary Kubiak is 5-2 against the spread as a divisional dog of seven points or more.

The Psychology. Edge: Texans.

As big underdogs, the Titans nearly won in Pittsburgh, losing in overtime by a field goal. Now, they have to go from that situation to being favored at home by a large amount over an inferior team? This is going to be a very emotionally flat game for Tennessee.

The Vegas. Edge: Texans.

Who in their right mind would bet on the Texans after that pathetic performance?

Percentage of money on Tennessee: 92% (194,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Texans.

History: Titans have won 11 of the 14 meetings.

Divisional Dog of Seven: Gary Kubiak is 5-2 ATS as a divisional dog of 7+.

Loser Coach: Gary Kubiak is 0-3 ATS following a loss as a favorite.

Opening Line: Titans -7.

Opening Total: 41.5.

Weather: Possible showers, 75 degrees. Mild winds, 11 mph.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Titans 20, Texans 17
Texans +7 (4 Units) — Correct; +$400
Under 41 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Texans 34, Titans 31

Oakland Raiders (0-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-1)
Line: Chiefs by 3. Total: 38.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Chiefs -3.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Chiefs -3.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Raiders.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

Some NFL notes I can’t put anywhere else:

1. If you haven’t noticed, there haven’t been any kickoffs for touchdowns in the preseason or the regular season (save for one on an onsides attempt). None! Not only has the NFL eliminated the three-man wedge; they’ve also eliminated scores on kickoff returns.

2. I don’t think I’ve seen more quarterbacks throw the ball late over the middle and across their body than I have this past weekend. Jay Cutler did it a ton, and Philip Rivers apparently felt like this was a good idea as well on Monday night. There were plenty of others I can’t recall right now. I don’t know what’s going on; it’s as if these quarterbacks spent the entire offseason watching film of Bobby Hoying and Cade McNown.

3. The officiating is out of control – from the illegal contact on Al Harris in the Sunday night game, to the reversal of Louis Murphy’s first touchdown, to Vince Wilfork’s roughing-the-passer penalty on Trent Edwards on Monday night, this weekend was littered with terrible calls. Oh, and let’s not forget Ron Winter’s explanation on one non-call: “There was no foul on the play. The action for the hold… was not a hold.” Perhaps the officials were too blinded by each other’s orange-and-white uniforms to make the correct calls and maintain the ability to speak clearly.

OAKLAND OFFENSE: The Raiders played great Monday night and I came away very impressed. The offensive line held up extremely well, limiting San Diego’s defense to just one sack. More importantly, Oakland ran the ball very efficiently, which allowed JaMarcus Russell to eventually connect on long strikes to Louis Murphy and Zach Miller.

That trend should continue here. Kansas City’s defense couldn’t contain the Ravens, and I have to believe that Darren McFadden and Michael Bush will both have tremendous success on the ground. The Chiefs will then have to sell out against the run, opening up things for Russell downfield. Russell once again will have all the time in the world to throw because Kansas City’s pass rush is non-existent.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: How good is Oakland’s defense with Richard Seymour on the defensive line? The Chargers couldn’t run the ball or pass protect on Monday night. Of course, San Diego had problems with its offensive front going into the game, but it’s not like the Chiefs have the best blockers in the world.

The Raiders will once again shut down the run, forcing Matt Cassel to move the chains on his own. Unlike Brodie Croyle, Cassel is just the product of a system. He’ll convert some first downs with his legs, but he’ll also take far too many sacks, thanks to a much-improved Oakland pass rush.

With Nnamdi Asomugha blanketing Dwayne Bowe, I don’t even know whom Cassel is going to rely on excluding Jamaal Charles out of the backfield. Mark Bradley is the other starting wideout, but Chris Johnson should have no problem shutting him down.

RECAP: I feel like a n00b taking the Raiders, but I believe they’re the right side. I don’t think Monday night was a fluke; this team is for real and is clearly the second-best squad in the AFC West with Seymour on the line.

I know the public is pounding the Raiders and that I’m judging this selection on just one game, but I cannot under any circumstances recommend laying points with the anemic Chiefs.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
Like the Bills, the Raiders were huge underdogs and lost in the final few minutes to a hated foe. Unlike the Bills, the Raiders are a young team and could take that close defeat as a positive. Having Richard Seymour around for a week could raise team morale as well. I don’t see Oakland being flat in an underdog again.

The Vegas. Edge: Chiefs.

The Raiders looked awesome and have become a publicly backed underdog.

Percentage of money on Oakland: 81% (96,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

History: Chiefs have won 10 of the last 12 meetings.

History: Road Team has won the last 5 meetings.

Raiders are 10-25 ATS vs. teams with losing records since 2001.

Chiefs are 19-5 ATS in season openers at home since 1971.

Chiefs are 4-11 ATS at home since 2007.

Opening Line: Chiefs -4.5.

Opening Total: 41.

Weather: Sunny, 74 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Raiders 20, Chiefs 12
Raiders +3 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Under 38.5 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Raiders 13, Chiefs 10

New England Patriots (1-0) at New York Jets (1-0)
Line: Patriots by 3.5. Total: 44.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Patriots -6.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Patriots -6.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: .
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

Some college football notes I can’t put anywhere else:

1. Another Michigan clock controversy, eh? At least Notre Dame fans know how Penn State fans feel now. In 2005, Michigan added two seconds to the clock against the Nittany Lions and scored the game-winning touchdown with one second remaining. On Saturday, the Fighting Irish should have had 11 seconds on their final drive, but someone slipped someone else a $100 bill to take the clock down to nine seconds. I am shocked. Completely shocked.

2. I like the replay review system, but it really needs to be tweaked. Here’s why: In the South Carolina-Georgia game, the Gamecocks appeared to fumble, but the officials called the player down. The booth reviewed the play. So, what was the problem? The review took about five minutes. They changed it to a fumble, but it didn’t even matter because South Carolina recovered it anyway. So, the people upstairs wasted five minutes of our time on something that didn’t even matter. The NCAA should adopt the NFL’s rule to let the coaches have two challenges. That would save us from these dumb reviews, though Colorado fans may continue to suffer because Dan Hawkins won’t be able to figure this out.

3. With the NFL back, I remembered how crappy college football is. The big thing is the lack of a playoff system, but these dumb spread-option offenses, 52-10 blowouts and asinine NCAA rules ruin the game. I love the college football environment and the fact that the fans at the game actually care, but I don’t think college football can ever be taken seriously without a legitimate postseason. Seriously, if I see another undefeated team have no chance at the “championship,” I may never watch ever again, even though it’s my job to do so.

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: Tom Brady was 39-of-53 for 378 yards, two touchdowns and a pick Monday night. The numbers may tell you that he’s back, but Brady seldom went deep, and when he did, he was pretty off-target.

Of course, New England’s offensive line didn’t help matters. Brady constantly had defenders swarming in his face and had to check down to Wes Welker, Ben Watson and Kevin Faulk often.

With Kris Jenkins clogging the middle, New England will not be able to run the ball like they did against the Bills. And based on New York’s debaclating performance against Houston, one would think Brady is in for a long day.

The good news for New York fans is that the numbers back that up. Rex Ryan’s Ravens went up against New England’s record-setting offense back in 2007. Baltimore lost 27-24, but the team held Brady to 18-of-38 passing for 257 yards, two touchdowns and a pick. The Ravens sacked Brady three times in that contest.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: So, the Jets are going to win, right? Well, not so fast. Mark Sanchez did an incredible job last week, converting 10-of-18 third downs. However, Sanchez was nearly picked three times in the first quarter and a half, and he finally launched a pick-six in the second half.

You may say that Sanchez did a great job considering that he was making his first road start. I’d definitely agree with you there. But I just don’t know if he’s ready to go up against a Bill Belichick-coached defense. There’s a major difference between the Texans and the Patriots’ schemes.

With all that in mind, I still think the Jets are going to move the chains. Sanchez has Thomas Jones and Leon Washington at his disposal. As we saw Monday night, the Patriots had major problems containing Fred Jackson.

RECAP: With Rex Ryan’s ability to scheme against a less-than-100-percent Tom Brady, taking the Jets as a home underdog seems like a lucrative proposition – until I remember that Belichick usually dominates rookie quarterbacks. I’m not in love with either side, as you can probably tell.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
Two hated rivals clash. No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Jets.

Despite Monday night’s near-loss, the public still loves the Pats. Oddly enough, the spread has dropped from -6.5 to -3.5.

Percentage of money on New England: 71% (161,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

History: Patriots have won 11 of the last 13 meetings.

Patriots are 28-14 ATS vs. AFC East opponents since 2001.

Tom Brady is 100-27 as a starter (76-49 ATS).

Jets are 3-10 ATS in September home games since 2000.

Opening Line: Patriots -6.5.

Opening Total: 47.5.

Weather: Sunny, 69 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Patriots 30, Jets 20
Patriots -3.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Over 44.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Jets 16, Patriots 9

New Orleans Saints (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-0)
Line: Saints by 2. Total: 45.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Eagles -4.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Saints -3 (McNabb Out). Eagles -4 (McNabb In).
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Saints.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

If you haven’t heard, QB Dog Killer was asked to speak at a Philadelphia school. I don’t know what he possibly could have said, but forum member ZN0rseman posted some ideas:

Vick Speech – Topic Summary

1: Electrical Engineering: The most efficient way to torture a dog to death by attaching a car battery to the poor puppy’s privates.

2: Home Economics: Clothes Lines – Better for drying clothes or hanging man’s best friend?

3: Geology: What type of natural surfaces work best for killing a canine by repeatedly bashing its head into the ground?

4: Political Science: How to escape blame and all levels of accountability.

5: Public Relations: How to make thousands of really stupid people love you even after it’s abundantly clear that you are a lying, despicable, narcissistic sadist.

PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: I picked the Eagles to win last week only because I knew how absolutely horrible Carolina was. I made the pick only half a unit because I was concerned about Philadelphia’s offensive line. Jason “Derrick Coleman” Peters is terrible and Shawn Andrews was out (and just put on the IR today).

It turns out the offensive line didn’t matter at all because the Eagles led 24-7 before running their ninth offensive play. But believe me, we’ll discover how big of a problem the front line is in this contest.

The Saints have a really good defense. They forced Matthew Stafford into three interceptions, put the clamps on Calvin Johnson for the most part and shut down the run. Yes, they gave up 27 points to the Lions, but that’s misleading; 14 of those points came from Detroit’s defense and special teams.

With Donovan McNabb likely out or very hampered, I don’t like the Eagles’ chances of establishing the run. First of all, Sedrick Ellis is a dominant force in the interior. And second, New Orleans will be able to focus on Brian Westbrook, baiting McNabb or Kevin Kolb to beat its improved secondary. With Andrews gone and Peters sucking, neither signal-caller will have much time in the pocket.

NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: The Eagles were able to force Jake Delhomme into five turnovers, but that’s definitely not happening here. Delhomme is one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. Drew Brees, meanwhile, is obviously at the other end of the spectrum.

Historically, Philadelphia has had major problems against Brees. Back in 2006, the Eagles were asked to contain New Orleans’ offense twice. That was an epic fail, as the Saints put up 54 points in two meetings. Brees went a combined 47-of-69 for 518 yards, four touchdowns and two picks.

The Eagles have a good defense, but it’s a tall task to shut down Brees and all of his weapons. I don’t see Sean McDermott having as much luck in this contest.

RECAP: I hate the fact that McNabb suffered an injury because I would have loved the Saints as a multi-unit pick here. Sean Payton simply dominates Andy Reid. Whenever Payton has coached a winning team (and I’d say this version of the Saints is pretty damn good), he is 8-2 against Big Red.

However, McNabb’s injury changes things. If Kolb starts, the Saints won’t be completely focused. Of course, it won’t matter if Kolb sucks, but football is an emotional game, and seeing the Eagles’ backup quarterback under center won’t exactly psyche New Orleans up.

I’ll add more units to this selection if the Eagles announce that McNabb will play.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
Tough to call. The Eagles always play well when the chips are down. Donovan McNabb is out, so that could count. However, everyone in Philly seems to be excited about them, so maybe not.

The Vegas. Edge: Eagles.

With Donovan McNabb likely out, the public is pounding the Saints.

Percentage of money on New Orleans: 89% (120,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Saints are 43-29 ATS on the road since 2000.

Saints are 26-18 ATS as a road underdog since 2000.

Drew Brees is 29-18 ATS as a dog. ???

Sean Payton is 8-2 SU vs. Andy Reid when coaching a winning team.

Eagles are 57-35 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.

Opening Line: Eagles -1.

Opening Total: 47.

Weather: Sunny, 69 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Saints 34, Eagles 20
Saints -2 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Over 45.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Saints 48, Eagles 22

St. Louis Rams (0-1) at Washington Redskins (0-1)
Line: Redskins by 10. Total: 37.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Redskins -9.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Redskins -11.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Redskins.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

I was misinformed. ESPN hired Herm, but I thought he’d be on Sunday NFL Countdown. Instead, ESPN only used him on the new crappy NFL Primetime. I wasn’t prepared to record any of Herm’s quotes, but I managed to write down this gem:

“Tony Gonzalez is like 7-11! He never closes! Uh… Uh… I mean he’s always open! He’s always open!”

ST. LOUIS OFFENSE: In my most recent 2010 NFL Mock Draft update, I mentioned that the only way Marc Bulger would be back in St. Louis next year is if he had a really good season. Bulger’s cap number will be high in 2010, so the Rams would actually save cap space by cutting him.

Yeah, going 17-of-36 for 191 yards and a fumble is not exactly what I had in mind.

Bulger is terrible and needs to be put out to pasture. Of course, he doesn’t have much help behind an awful offensive line. If you’re a Redskins fan, it’s hard not to get excited thinking about how many sacks Albert Haynesworth and the rest of the defensive front will generate this Sunday.

To keep this close, Steve Spagnuolo needs to give the ball to Steven Jackson more often. Jackson rushed only 16 times Sunday, but I can understand that because Seattle jumped out to a big lead by halftime. But why did Jackson fail to catch a single pass? Why did Jackson have only 16 touches out of 57 plays? It defies common logic.

WASHINGTON OFFENSE: Let me just state the obvious – Clinton Portis is going to have a big game against a Rams defense that couldn’t prohibit Julius Jones from eclipsing the 100-yard barrier.

Portis will set up play-action opportunities for Jason Campbell. Campbell had problems last week with constant pressure in his face, but the Rams don’t know how to sack the quarterback. Chris Long didn’t even start Sunday. I don’t know what’s going on there.

Campbell should have a solid game, but it’s very apparent that the coaching staff just doesn’t trust him. Against the Giants, Jim Zorn took the ball out of Campbell’s hands on a few key situations. Hopefully Campbell can build up his confidence here against the pathetic Rams.

RECAP: The Redskins have the talent to demolish the Rams. However, I just don’t trust Campbell and the Washington offense enough to cover 10 points (Campbell is 1-4 ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or more). The Redskins are a decent team, but they’re not nearly as good as the Seahawks are at Qwest Field.

SURVIVOR PICK: Last week, we had tons of great options like the Ravens, Seahawks, Patriots, Chargers and Cowboys. This week, it’s pretty much the Vikings and Redskins. I’ll never take a road team in a divisional matchup, so I’m left with Washington. Hopefully the Redskins remember that the Rams beat them at home last year and don’t show up flat again.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Rams.

No surprise that the public is fading the pathetic Rams.

Percentage of money on Washington: 79% (124,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Road Warrior: Road teams after a road loss are 132-85 ATS since 1996 (Rams 1-4 ATS since 2006)

Rams are 19-37 ATS in road games since 2001.

Rams are 11-24 ATS on grass since 2001.

Redskins are 4-9 ATS in September home games since 2001.

Jason Campbell is 1-4 ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or more.

Opening Line: Redskins -9.5.

Opening Total: 37.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 70 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Redskins 20, Rams 14
Rams +10 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Under 37 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Survivor Pick (1-0)
Redskins 9, Rams 7

Arizona Cardinals (0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)
Line: Jaguars by 3. Total: 42.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Jaguars -2.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Jaguars -2.
Sunday, 1:00 ET

The Game. Edge: Jaguars.
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

As I mentioned earlier, I was disappointed not to see Herm on Sunday NFL Countdown. Even worse, the Countdown crew predictably spent way too much time talking about Brett Favre. If you missed it, here’s how it sounded:

Chris Berman: Brett Favre is back, but will not play the Broncos this year, Tom! He’s in the same conference as the Bucs, Key! He’s in the same division as the Bears, Coach! He’s on your former team, Cris! And the Bills wish they had him, Boom!

Tom Jackson: Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!

Keyshawn: Hey guys, Brett Favre’s number is 4! That makes his nickname Quatro!

Tom Jackson: Silence, fool.

Mike Ditka: The Vikings will score a lot of touchdowns with Brett F-their offense is two-dimen-they’re going to win more g-all teams will fear the-Adrian Peterson will have more room to-this was a good signing by the V…

Cris Carter: Hey, Big Guy! You missed the final word of each of your sentences. Hee hee hee, honk honk!

Chris Berman: That’s right, Coach! He’ll throw more touchdowns than Kyle Orton, Tom! And Trent Edwards, Boom!

Tom Jackson: Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!

ARIZONA OFFENSE: San Francisco was one of my two 5-unit selections last week because I had no faith in Kurt Warner. Warner is 38 and coming off hip surgery. He looked awful in the preseason (I watched every one of his snaps) and that definitely didn’t change last Sunday. Warner isn’t even close to being 100 percent.

Jacksonville’s secondary stinks, so if Warner has a good game against a team not named the Rams this year, this could be it. The Jaguars gave up a 7.9 YPA to Peyton Manning. Still, Warner is struggling with his downfield accuracy, so Jacksonville’s defensive ineptness may not even matter.

If Arizona wants to score points, it’ll need to establish Chris Wells on the ground. Wells is clearly the better of the two Cardinal runners, and Jacksonville’s front seven isn’t exactly daunting. If Wells can get going, Warner could have success moving the chains in short-yardage situations.

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: David Garrard was just 14-of-28 for 122 yards Sunday, but the Jaguars were still able to keep the Colts game close because of Maurice Jones-Drew. Jones-Drew rushed 21 times for 97 yards and caught five balls for 26 more yards. Unlike the Titans and Rams, Jacksonville gave itself a chance to win by getting the ball to its best player.

Jones-Drew will have a tough time running the ball against an Arizona front that limited Frank Gore to 30 yards on 22 rushes. However, he’ll still be a major factor out of the backfield.

I expect Garrard to play much better this week. Indianapolis has a tough pass defense and Arizona’s pales by comparison. The Cardinals could not come up with an answer for Shaun Hill in the fourth quarter.

RECAP: As you can see below in the trends section, the Jaguars always struggle as favorites after playing the Colts. They simply put too much stock into those matchups, and because they often lose, they can’t meet the same intensity the following week.

So, easy Cardinals win, right? Not so fast. This matchup could be different. Jacksonville is favored in Vegas, but the team is going up against last year’s Super Bowl loser. So, while the Jaguars really are favored on paper, I’m not sure that perception matches reality.

One more factor: Remember the situation in which Arizona struggled last year? As a refresher, the Cardinals were horrific in early East Coast games, going 0-4 in 2008. I see no reason why that’ll change now.

The Psychology. Edge: Cardinals.
Tough spot for both teams. The Cardinals are still in their Super Bowl hangover, while the Jaguars are always horrific as favorites after playing the Colts.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Slight action on the Cardinals.

Percentage of money on Jacksonville: 52% (102,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Early Game Alert: Pacific teams are 30-45 ATS on the East Coast at 1 p.m. since 2003 (Ken Whisenhunt 3-4).

Jaguars are 13-7 ATS in September home games.

Jaguars are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 season openers.

Jaguars are 1-6 ATS as favorites after playing the Colts since 2002.

Opening Line: Jaguars -5.5.

Opening Total: 43.5.

Weather: Possible thunderstorms, 87 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Jaguars 31, Cardinals 17
Jaguars -3 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Over 42.5 (.5 Units) — Correct; +$50
Cardinals 31, Jaguars 17

Week 2 NFL Picks – Late Games
Seahawks at 49ers, Buccaneers at Bills, Steelers at Bears, Ravens at Chargers, Browns at Broncos, Giants at Cowboys, Colts at Dolphins

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 2 NFL Picks – Late Games

NFL Picks - Nov. 15

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 13

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 12

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 11, 2024): 6-7 (-$1,275)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 11, 2024): 2-2 (+$65)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 11, 2024): 1-3 (-$905)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 11, 2024): 6-7-1 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 11, 2024): -$435

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-2, 50.0% (-$500)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 78-79-6, 49.7% (-$4,565)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 19-25-1, 43.2% (-$1,180)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 15-17, 46.9% (-$1,555)
2024 Season Over-Under: 76-74-2, 50.7% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$165

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,499-3,231-202, 52.0% (+$17,105)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,126-1,010-57 (52.7%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 568-502-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,935-2,908-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-36-1 (56.6%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-3	Bears: 4-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-3
Eagles: 4-5	Lions: 8-1	Falcons: 5-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 5-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 4-5
Redskins: 4-5	Vikings: 3-6	Saints: 5-5	Seahawks: 6-2

Bills: 3-7	Bengals: 2-8	Colts: 5-5	Broncos: 6-4
Dolphins: 3-6	Browns: 3-6	Jaguars: 2-7	Chargers: 5-3
Jets: 5-5	Ravens: 4-5	Texans: 4-6	Chiefs: 3-5
Patriots: 5-3	Steelers: 3-6	Titans: 5-3	Raiders: 4-5

Divisional: 18-22 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 14-13 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 30-24 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 18-27 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 30-41 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-7 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 11-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-7 (2011-23: 33-37)