NFL Picks Against the Spread: Preseason Week 3, 2010


NFL Picks (Preseason Week 1, 2010): 2-1-1 (+$580)
NFL Picks (Preseason Week 2, 2010): 3-1 (+$570)
NFL Picks (Preseason Week 3, 2010): 2-2 (-$60)

NFL Picks (2010): 7-4-1 (+$1,090)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.


Washington Redskins (1-1) at New York Jets (1-1)
Line: Jets by 4.5.

Friday, 7:00 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

***

Donovan McNabb is out for this game. This means two things:

1) Rex Grossman and Willie Parker will be in the backfield against the Jets defense. Oh no.

2) Mike Shanahan likely won’t game plan too much for this contest, seeing as how his starting quarterback is out.

I think the Jets will want to come out motivated to show that last week’s horrific offensive output was a fluke.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: .
Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Jets.
  • Rex Ryan is 3-3 in preseason games
  • Rex Ryan is 3-1 in Preseason Week 2-4 games.
  • Mike Shanahan was 7-5 in Preseason Week 3 games with the Broncos.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Jets 27, Redskins 10
    Jets -4.5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
    Redskins 16, Jets 11




    Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)
    Line: Pick.

    Friday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Andy Reid generally doesn’t care about preseason games, but has shown that he game plans for Week 3 (6-5). I think Reid will want his first-team offense to play well after struggling at Cincinnati. Todd Haley, meanwhile, has never won in the preseason.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Eagles.
  • Andy Reid is 6-5 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Todd Haley is 0-6 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Eagles 30, Chiefs 10
    Eagles PK (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
    Eagles 20, Chiefs 17





    San Francisco 49ers (2-0) at Oakland Raiders (2-0)
    Line: Raiders by 1.

    Saturday, 9:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    One of the reasons I’ve bet 10 units on the 49ers this preseason is because Mike Singletary is one of the most intense people to ever walk on this planet. He’ll fully expect his team to come away with a victory here.

    Tom Cable is 3-3 in the preseason, but 1-3 if you don’t count Week 1. His team played well on Saturday, so he could be sitting pretty fat and happy right now.


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: 49ers.
  • Mike Singletary is 5-1 in preseason games.
  • Tom Cable is 3-3 in preseason games.
  • Tom Cable is 1-3 in Preseason Week 2-4 games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: 49ers 23, Raiders 13
    49ers +1 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
    49ers 28, Raiders 24
    MISSING





    Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) at Denver Broncos (0-2)
    Line: Steelers by 1.

    Sunday, 8:00 ET

    The Game. Edge: None.
    Outcomes of preseason games rarely have anything to do with the talent on the respective teams, since the majority of the games are played by second-, third- and fourth-stringers.

    Some coaches care about winning preseason games, while others do not. Thus, betting on coaches with great preseason records is an easy way to make money.

    Here are recent NFL Betting Trends: Preseason Records for every coach in the NFL.

    ***

    Like Mike Singletary, Mike Tomlin is an intense coach who wants to win everything. Josh McDaniels, meanwhile, is awesome, so he doesn’t need to win preseason games. “I’m Josh f***ing McDaniels and I can do whatever I want!”


    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: .
    Vegas trends will be posted in the regular season.
  • Percentage of money on Team: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.
  • Mike Tomlin is 12-3 in preseason games.
  • Mike Tomlin is 3-0 in Preseason Week 3 games.
  • Josh McDaniels is 1-5 in preseason games.


    Preseason Week 3 NFL Pick: Steelers 27, Broncos 17
    Steelers -1 (4 Units) — Incorrect; -$440
    Broncos 34, Steelers 17




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    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 5-3
    Bears: 4-5
    Bucs: 6-4
    49ers: 6-3
    Eagles: 4-5
    Lions: 8-1
    Falcons: 5-5
    Cardinals: 8-2
    Giants: 3-6
    Packers: 5-3
    Panthers: 4-6
    Rams: 4-5
    Redskins: 4-5
    Vikings: 3-6
    Saints: 5-5
    Seahawks: 6-2
    Bills: 3-7
    Bengals: 2-8
    Colts: 5-5
    Broncos: 6-4
    Dolphins: 3-6
    Browns: 3-6
    Jaguars: 2-7
    Chargers: 5-3
    Jets: 5-5
    Ravens: 4-5
    Texans: 4-6
    Chiefs: 3-5
    Patriots: 5-3
    Steelers: 3-6
    Titans: 5-3
    Raiders: 4-5
    Divisional: 18-22 (2011-23: 608-561)
    2x Game Edge: 14-13 (2011-23: 401-387)
    2x Motivation Edge: 30-24 (2011-23: 510-441)
    2x Spread Edge: 18-27 (2011-23: 239-211)
    2x Vegas Edge: 30-41 (2011-23: 448-446)
    2x Trend Edge: 12-7 (2011-23: 321-293)
    Double Edge: 11-16 (2011-23: 207-185)
    Triple Edge: 4-7 (2011-23: 33-37)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
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    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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