Free NFL Picks Against the Spread
Week 2, 2008

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 1, 2008): 11-5 (+$1,470)
If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Sept. 15, 2:50 p.m. ET.



Free NFL Picks Week 2 - Early Games
Raiders at Chiefs, Bears at Panthers, Giants at Rams, Saints at Redskins, Colts at Vikings, Titans at Bengals, Bills at Jaguars, Packers at Lions

Free NFL Picks Week 2 - Late Games
Falcons at Buccaneers, 49ers at Seahawks, Ravens at Texans, Patriots at Jets, Chargers at Broncos, Dolphins at Cardinals, Steelers at Browns, Eagles at Cowboys


Why the split?

Starting Week 2, 2008, I'll be splitting my NFL Picks into two separate pages. There were complaints that a page comprised of 16 detailed selections took too long to load. A page as long as that also ate up a ton of bandwith. I apologize for any inconvenience this may cause, but I feel as though it'll make things better and help the site operate smoother in the long run.

Also, check out the new feature below. It'll allow you to pick games against me and everyone else. Registering takes just one second. Keep in mind that this registration IS DIFFERENT than the forum.





Overrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

1. San Diego Chargers - I just shook my head when I heard people predict the Chargers would win the Super Bowl. Yeah, good call on that. Philip Rivers is coming off ACL surgery; LaDainian Tomlinson off an MCL injury; Antonio Gates recovering from toe surgery; and Shawne Merriman is completely ineffective right now. I can't see this team winning the AFC West.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars - Everyone is so shocked the Jaguars lost. I'm not. They were terrible all preseason. Whatever magic David Garrard had last year is gone. This is an ordinary team.

3. New York Jets - Everyone's talking about the Jets going to the playoffs, but all they did was beat the stinkin' Dolphins. Their defense still sucks.

4. Philadelphia Eagles - Slightly overrated. Beating the Rams by 35 is an easy feat for most NFL teams. The Eagles had a similar victory against the Lions last year. I'm not saying the Eagles aren't good; I just wouldn't put them on par with the Cowboys and Giants.



Underrated NFL Teams:
A good handicapper is always aware of which teams are overrated and underrated by the public. I'll attempt to list the teams I think are the most overrated and underrated each week.

1. Seattle Seahawks - The Seahawks were blown out for three reasons: 1) The Bills scored about a billion points on special teams, making the loss a lot worse than it really was. 2) They had a skeleton crew offense going against the Bills. 3) And they suck on the East Coast in 1 p.m. games. They'll be much better at home.

2. Houston Texans - The Texans were just waxed by the Steelers, so this is a perfect opportunity to buy low. Pittsburgh is perhaps the best team in the AFC. Houston should be more competitive against other teams. I still like their offense.

3. New York Giants - This Giants team is getting no respect, as indicated by the soft line Vegas gave them against the Redskins. Seriously, how weren't they favored by seven?

4. Detroit Lions - A lot of people liked the Lions before Week 1. Tom Jackson even picked them to win the NFC North. In the wake of seeing them lose 34-21 to the woeful Falcons, many bettors will abandon ship on this team. Detroit still has a great offense and should be able to win five home games this season.

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My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 10-7	Bears: 11-5	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-8
Eagles: 9-8	Lions: 9-7	Falcons: 10-7	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 9-8	Packers: 7-9	Panthers: 9-8	Rams: 11-6
Redskins: 7-10	Vikings: 9-8	Saints: 11-5	Seahawks: 11-6
Bills: 9-8	Bengals: 10-6	Colts: 5-12	Broncos: 9-8
Dolphins: 7-10	Browns: 8-9	Jaguars: 8-9	Chargers: 9-8
Jets: 6-11	Ravens: 10-7	Texans: 3-14	Chiefs: 9-8
Patriots: 8-9	Steelers: 7-10	Titans: 10-7	Raiders: 11-6
Divisional: 52-42 (2011-20: 448-442)	2x Game Edge: 56-62 (2011-20: 279-271)	2x Motivation Edge: 47-48 (2011-20: 394-318)	2x Spread Edge: 44-39 (2011-20: 105-89)
2x Vegas Edge: 35-42 (2011-20: 346-357)	2x Trend Edge: 16-18 (2011-20: 270-241)	Double Edge: 23-27 (2011-20: 149-128)	Triple Edge: 4-10 (2011-20: 27-22)