NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2019

NFL Picks (Preseason 2019): 14-6 (+$1,535)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2019): 5-10-1 (-$515)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2019): 10-6 (+$140)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2019): 10-6 (+$1,365)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2019): 12-3 (+$1,240)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2019): 8-7 (+$1,665)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2019): 9-5 (+$2,505)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2019): 8-6 (+$1,130)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2019): 8-7 (+$435)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2019): 3-9-1 (-$770)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2019): 8-5 (+$1,460)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2019): 8-5-1 (-$1,790)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2019): 9-5 (+$1,015)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2019): 9-7 (+$205)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2019): 3-11-2 (-$2,195)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2019): 4-11-1 (-$2,195)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2019): 11-4-1 (+$1,065)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2019): 5-9-2 (-$2,480)

NFL Picks (2019): 144-122-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 3, 6:10 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games







Minnesota Vikings (10-6) at New Orleans Saints (13-3)
Line: Saints by 8. Total: 49.5.

Sunday, Jan. 5, 1:05 ET

The Matchup. Edge: Saints.

If you’ve followed this site for a while, you might remember that I like to respond to my spam mails. It all started seven years ago, when a man named Jon Wire from the “United Bank of Africoan” promised me an ATM card of some sort, so I responded as a man named Mister Compassion Chuck Norris, who was raised by wolves. The following season, I received e-mails from Richard Held and Loon Bruce, who told me I won a Facebook Award, which comes with a “lump sum pay out of (750,000.00 GBP).” Pretending to be Matthew Millen Kim, I sent out my application and fake money.

I’ve been messing around with spammers ever since, pretending to be Harvey Weinstein, Tom Brady, Ramsay Bolton and Walter White. I have brand new Spam Mails this year, so check them out if you want to see me screw with spammers. I’ll have new ones every week!

The 2019 Adventures of Tom Brady’s Haircuts are complete!



If you missed them, check out the 2019 Adventures of Tom Brady’s Haircuts via the link!

NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: The weakest unit for either team in this game is on this side of the ball. If you’ve been paying attention to the Vikings at all, you know how vulnerable their secondary has been all year. They’ve been torched by most teams they’ve played, as Xavier Rhodes has clearly not been himself.

I don’t see how the Vikings will be able to stop Drew Brees at all. Brees was tremendous to close out the year, and he’s especially potent in the Superdome. He’ll be able to exploit the mismatches in the secondary. The one way to stop him is to put pressure on him without blitzing, but Brees is protected extremely well, especially with Larry Warford back in the lineup.

The Vikings happen to be much better versus the pass than the run, so I wouldn’t expect Alvin Kamara or Latavius Murray to have much success on the ground. However, the Vikings aren’t very good at covering in space, so Kamara could have some nice gains as a receiver out of the backfield.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: The Saints didn’t have the best pass defense either, as we saw in their loss to the 49ers. However, they made a very nice move to acquire Janoris Jenkins after the Giants waived him. Jenkins is not the same cornerback he once was, but he’s definitely a huge upgrade over Eli Apple. He’s a solid second cornerback at this stage of his career.

Jenkins and Marshon Lattimore should be able to slow down Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs enough. It’s not even clear if Thielen is 100 percent, as he was clearly bothered by an injury to close out the year. If he’s not 100 percent, the Vikings are going to have severe issues moving the chains aerially, especially with Kirk Cousins likely to choke in the clutch once again.

The Vikings should have Dalvin Cook back from injury, at least, but that won’t help very much, considering the matchup. The Saints are excellent against the run, ranking fourth in DVOA in that regard. Cook will have a nice gain here and there, but this won’t be a common trend.

RECAP: I don’t really have a good feel for this game. I don’t want to take the Vikings because I hate Cousins, but there’s so much money coming in on the Saints. Plus, this spread appears to be a bit inflated. My numbers say New Orleans -7 is correct. The computer model suggests it should be -6. DVOA is right in between at -6.5.

I could see a scenario in which the Saints are up by a couple of 14-21 points in the second half, only to lose the cover because of a Cousins back-door touchdown in the final couple of minutes. The spread of eight is certainly inviting that possibility.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: There’s still a decent amount of action on the Saints, but no pushback yet from the sharps. I’m eager to see Thursday’s injury report because Vikings linebacker Eric Kendricks didn’t practice Wednesday.

FRIDAY UPDATE: There’s some sharp money coming in on the Vikings, bringing this line down to +7.5. I think that makes sense, especially with Eric Kendricks not on the final injury report. As long as this line is above -7, I’ll be on Minnesota because of the back-door possibility, plus I think it’s important to note that this is the first time Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs will all be healthy in a long while.

FINAL THOUGHTS: This is the first time Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs will all be healthy at the same time in a long while. I like the Vikings a bit, as this spread is too high. I’m willing to bet on Minnesota, just like the sharps are, but not much more than a unit because I don’t trust Kirk Cousins.







The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Spread. Edge: Vikings.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Saints -7.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: .
Computer Model: Saints -6.
DVOA Spread: Saints -6.5.


The Vegas. Edge: Vikings.
A good amount of action on the Saints.
  • Percentage of money on New Orleans: 70% (13,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.
  • Mike Zimmer is 59-35 ATS as head coach of the Vikings.
  • Drew Brees is 54-33 ATS off back-to-back wins.
  • Saints are 47-40 ATS as a home favorite since 2007.
  • Opening Line: Saints -8.
  • Opening Total: 47.
  • Weather: Dome.


    Week 18 NFL Pick: Saints 31, Vikings 24
    Vikings +8 -115 (1 Unit) – Bovada — Correct; +$100
    Over 49.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
    Vikings 26, Saints 20






    Seattle Seahawks (12-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-7)
    Line: Seahawks by 1.5. Total: 45.

    Sunday, Jan. 5, 4:40 ET

    The Matchup. Edge: None.

    Emmitt on the Brink Season 12 is complete! Congress finally removes Emmitt as NFL commissioner. What will become of him, and who will be the next NFL commissioner? Perhaps someone with the best story?

    A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is called the Return of the Facebook Beggar.

    This week on ESPN, we’re going to have awful announcers calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Dan Fouts and Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

    Reilly: Welcome to the city of PHILADELPHIA, THE GREATEST CITY IN THE WORLD! TONIGHT, MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES WILL TAKE ON THE SEATTLE SUPERSONICS IN A GAME THAT WILL LET THE WORLD KNOW JUST HOW GREAT MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ARE!!! GUYS, ARE YOU READY FOR MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES TO KICK THE CRAP OUT OF THE DALLAS COWBOYS!?!?!?

    Emmitt: Benny, you say something real interesting. And not just real interesting, but interesting as well, too. You say the Eagle gonna play the Sonic the Hedge, and then he gonna play the Cowboy. How in blazers is this going to happens? How are the Eagle gonna play one game at two times?

    Reilly: Sorry, Emmitt, it appears as though I got excited and forgot who my Philadelphia Eagles are playing. But can you blame me? MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ARE GOING TO THE SUPER BOWL!!!

    Tollefson: Kevin, looks like you’re excited to go to the Super Bowl. I have these Super Bowl tickets that I can sell you for $1,000 a pop. That’s quite the discount, and it’s totally legit. You can trust me. The tickets even come with a hand job from one of the women I’ve kidnapped this past weekend. I haven’t trained them to clean my house yet, so I’ve had them give hand jobs to customers.

    Reilly: Tolly, I don’t understand how a hand can have a job, but I will sell all of my Nick Foles bobble heads to go to the game!

    Jason Witten: Hello, my name is Jason Witten and I just came out of retirement. Guys, I just heard someone say something about Nick Foles. Guys, I think Nick Foles is a real good quarterback. And here’s why Nick Foles is a real good quarterback. Nick Foles is a real good quarterback because he’s real good at playing the quarterback position. Nick Foles is real good at passing the ball, too. Nick Foles is a real good passer, and that’s a real important thing for being a real good quarterback in the National Football League. And here’s why being a real good passer is important. It’s real important because when you’re a real good passer, you throw the ball real good, and that gives teams a real good chance to do real good things like win football games in the National Football League.

    Reilly: Ignore the idiot, please. Hey, I just thought of something. I may not have to sell my Nick Foles bobble heads after all. New Daddy, can I have a raise on my allowance?

    Cutler: Nah, kid, go away.

    Reilly: New Daddy! Why not!?

    Cutler: I blew all my money on Keno.

    Mr. TV Station Owner: Sorry to interrupt this great broadcast guys, but our special fan who won a seat on this broadcast would like to say something.

    Reilly: Special fan? Ugh. Fine, go ahead, “special” fan.

    Mario Migelini: SEEHAWK GONG ALL WAYS TO SUPERGAME!

    Reilly: What? What the hell did you just say?

    Mario Migelini: MARCHEL GONG SCROED TOUCHED DOWNS!!! CARRULL COCHING GRATE!!!

    Reilly: The f**k is going on here? How did we let this idiot on TV? What’s next, having some moron waste everyone’s time for weeks with nonsense that doesn’t go anywhere? Can you imagine if we had an idiot broadcaster like that?

    Fouts: And here’s what he means by nonsense that doesn’t go anywhere. We tried to impeach Herm and Charles Davis for several weeks, and that didn’t go anywhere. And here’s what I mean by weeks. Weeks is a collection of days. How many days are in a week, you ask? Thanks for asking! I’ll discuss how many days are in a week, but first, we must define what a day is.

    Wolfley: DAN, NOT TO INTERRUPT, BUT IN MY PARALLEL UNIVERSE, THERE ARE ACTUALLY FIVE WEEKS IN A SINGLE DAY.

    Reilly: You idiots, no one cares about weeks and days! And we’re only taking a break from impeachment because I’m broadcasting my Philadelphia Eagles! We’ll be back to impeachment next week!

    Herm: JUST DO IT NOW! GET IT OVER WITH! LET’S GO! LET’S GET THIS SHOW ON THE ROAD! HAS ANYONE EVER WONDERED WHAT THEY MEAN BY THAT!? WHAT SHOW!? LIKE A TELEVISION SHOW!? HERM LOVES TELEVISION SHOWS! HAS ALL THE BROADCASTING SERVICES! HERM HAS NETFLIX! HERM HAS HULU! HERM HAS AMAZON PRIME! HERM HAS CBS ALL ACCESS! HERM HAS DISNEY PLUS! HERM HAS APPLE TV! HERM HAS CANADA PLOOS! HERM HAS… Herm has… uhh… umm…

    Reilly: No one cares about your streaming services, you impeached moron!

    Charles Davis: Kevin, looks like you’re talking about streaming servies, Kevin. Let’s run through some streaming services, Kevin. How about Netflix, Kevin? Let’s talk about Hulu, Kevin. What about Amazon Prime, Kevin? What do you think about CBS All Access, Kevin? Let’s chat about Disney Plus, Kevin. Don’t forget about Apple TV, Kevin. Can you name another streaming service, Kevin? You get 23.5 points if correct, Kevin.

    Reilly: Hey a**hole, Herm was the one talking about streaming services; not me! And he listed every streaming service you did! Way to copy him, a** wipe! OK, my producers are telling me to give our guest host another chance to speak. Hey, loser, what do you have to say this time?

    Mario Migelini: SEEHAWK GONG WINNED VS EAGLE! EAGLE NO HAVE CHANCE FOR PLAY OFF! MACKNAB NO GOOD QUARBASKS!

    Reilly: WHAT!??! THIS IDIOT DOESN’T EVEN KNOW THAT MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ARE IN THE PLAYOFFS, AND THAT MCNABB ISN’T THE QUARTERBACK OF MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ANYMORE!? BUHAHAHA! IF ONLY MARIO WAS AS GOOD OF A BROADCASTER AS ME!!!! We’ll be back after this!

    SEATTLE OFFENSE: The Seahawks didn’t have much success moving the chains the first time they battled the Eagles in Philadelphia. They managed to win by eight points, but were stuck at 10 on the scoreboard until the end of the game. Russell Wilson missed some receivers by a bit, so it could be argued that Seattle endured some bad variance. That would be a slight feather in the Seahawks’ cap if the conditions happened to be identical.

    The conditions, however, are certainly not the same. The Seahawks don’t have the same offense they maintained back in Week 12. They no longer have Chris Carson, Rashaad Penny or Duane Brown. They signed Marshawn Lynch to pair with Travis Homer in an attempt to replace Carson and Penny, but there’s certainly a wide gap in talent between both groups. Brown’s absence, meanwhile, is an even greater factor. The strength of the Eagles’ defense, and perhaps even their entire roster, is the defensive front. They’re capable of generating lots of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, so Russell Wilson will constantly be under siege, just like he was in the opening half of the 49ers contest.

    However, Wilson eventually caught fire, as he’s wont to do. He moved the chains well in the fourth quarter despite battling a stalwart San Francisco secondary. The Eagles’ defensive backfield isn’t nearly as potent, so Wilson will have decent success as the afternoon progresses. Thus, it’ll be important for the Eagles to build a big lead, just like the 49ers did last week.

    PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: The question, obviously, is whether or not the Eagles can be explosive offensively. That will depend on what the injury report looks like. The greatest injury question mark on this side of the ball is Lane Johnson. The All-Pro right tackle was questionable heading into last week’s game. That makes it seem like he’ll be able to suit up, but that’s not a given. Johnson will need to be on the field for Philadelphia’s offense to be highly productive, as there is a large sample size of a wide dichotomy of Carson Wentz’s performances with and without Johnson.

    Johnson will absolutely need to play, especially in the wake of some of the other injuries the Eagles suffered the past couple of weeks. They lost Pro Bowl guard Brandon Brooks, running back Miles Sanders, and of course, All-Pro tight end Zach Ertz. Brooks is out, which will be a huge hit to the offensive line, especially if Johnson can’t take the field.

    Meanwhile, not having access to Ertz on top of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson worked out against the Giants’ horrible secondary. That won’t fly against the Seahawks, especially if they get Quandre Diggs back from injury, as expected.

    RECAP: I apologize for being so wishy-washy with this analysis, but the injury report is going to be very instrumental in deciding which team I’m picking and how much I’m betting on them.

    Aside from the injuries, there are two factors to consider. First, there’s more money on the Seahawks than any other side this week, which is a benefit for Philadelphia. Conversely, the Eagles might be harmed by Carson Wentz’s inexperience in the playoffs. As mentioned earlier, fading signal-callers making their first postseason start is often lucrative.

    I’m probably going to end up taking the Seahawks because of all the injuries Philadelphia has suffered, but if the injury report looks very promising for the home dog, I’ll consider switching sides.

    THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Both Lane Johnson and Zach Ertz were limited in Wednesday’s practice, which is a good sign for them playing. I’m still very torn on this game, so my final decision might actually come on Sunday.

    FRIDAY UPDATE: The final injury report has been released, and yet we still don’t know if Lane Johnson or Zach Ertz will play. They’re going to be true game-time decisions, so I’ll have to post a pick on Sunday afternoon around 3:30 p.m. What we do know is that Miles Sanders will play, while the Seahawks won’t have Duane Brown or potentially Mike Iupati, meaning that they’ll be at a severe disadvantage in the trenches versus Philadelphia’s ferocious defensive line.

    FINAL THOUGHTS: The Eagles are now favored because of heavy sharp action. This makes the Seahawks a very heavy public dog, which is something I like to fade. That said, it’s tough to fade Russell Wilson, so I won’t be going heavy on Philadelphia. I’d like the Eagles a lot more if Lane Johnson were playing, but the Eagles aren’t the only team with offensive line concerns; the Seahawks are actually missing three starters up front, which gives Philadelphia’s defensive line a massive advantage. I’m switching to the Eagles and betting one unit on them. The best line is at 5Dimes, which has PK -105 available.





    The Motivation. Edge: Seahawks.
    This is Carson Wentz’s first playoff game.


    The Spread. Edge: None.

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Eagles -2.
    Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: .
    Computer Model: Eagles -2.
    DVOA Spread: Eagles -2.5.


    The Vegas. Edge: Eagles.
    There’s more action on the Seahawks than any other team this week.
  • Percentage of money on Seattle: 86% (18,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.
  • Seahawks are 31-17 ATS in Week 11 or later since 2013.
  • Russell Wilson is 17-10 ATS after a loss as long as he’s not favored by -10 or more.
  • Opening Line: Seahawks -1.
  • Opening Total: 46.
  • Weather: Partly cloudy, 40 degrees. Light wind.


    Week 18 NFL Pick: Eagles 26, Seahawks 23
    Eagles PK -105 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$105
    Over 45.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
    Seahawks 17, Eagles 9




    Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
    Bills at Texans, Titans at Patriots




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


  • Props to be posted here






    2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 16


    NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19


    NFL Picks - Feb. 12




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    Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.


    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

    2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

    2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
    2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
    2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
    2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
    2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
    2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
    2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
    2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
    2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
    2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
    2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
    2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
    2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
    2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
    2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
    2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
    2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
    2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
    2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
    2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
    2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
    2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
    2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
    2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
    2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
    2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
    2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
    2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
    2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
    2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
    2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
    2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
    2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
    2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
    2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
    2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
    2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
    2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
    2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
    2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
    2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
    2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
    2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
    2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
    2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
    2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
    2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
    2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
    2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
    2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
    2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
    2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
    2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
    2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
    2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
    2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
    2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
    2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
    2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
    2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
    2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
    2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
    Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-9
    Bears: 11-4
    Bucs: 6-11
    49ers: 10-7
    Eagles: 7-7
    Lions: 9-8
    Falcons: 8-9
    Cardinals: 8-9
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 5-12
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 8-9
    Redskins: 14-3
    Vikings: 6-9
    Saints: 10-7
    Seahawks: 7-9
    Bills: 9-7
    Bengals: 12-5
    Colts: 7-10
    Broncos: 9-6
    Dolphins: 6-11
    Browns: 11-5
    Jaguars: 13-4
    Chargers: 8-9
    Jets: 8-9
    Ravens: 11-6
    Texans: 5-12
    Chiefs: 5-10
    Patriots: 7-9
    Steelers: 11-6
    Titans: 9-8
    Raiders: 6-9
    Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)
    2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)
    2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)
    2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
    2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)
    2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)
    Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)
    Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
    2012 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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    2013 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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    2014 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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    2015 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
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    2017 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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    2018 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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    2019 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
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    2020 Season:
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    2021 Season:
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    2022 Season:
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    2023 Season:
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