NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2019

NFL Picks (Preseason 2019): 14-6 (+$1,535)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2019): 5-10-1 (-$515)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2019): 10-6 (+$140)

NFL Picks (2019): 29-22-1 (+$1,160)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Sept. 22, 11:25 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 3 NFL Picks – Late Games







Tennessee Titans (1-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2)
Line: Titans by 2. Total: 38.
Thursday, Sept. 19, 8:20 PM


The Matchup. Edge: None.

Week 2 Recap: I’d like to quote my friend Awesome Kelly from Arizona, who discussed my NFL picks thus far in 2019 (and in general):

“I feel like variance f**ks you way harder the first part of year, so maybe it’s better to go opposite instincts in some cases.”

She was referring to the fact that I’m a combined 0-3, -$990 in games in which Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks have suffered injuries this year. It would be nice to be on the opposite side of that at some point, but the Jaguars +3.5 (Week 1), and Steelers -3.5 and Saints +2 (Week 2) were all losers because their signal-callers went down.

Despite the five-unit Pittsburgh loss, we still had a winning week (10-6, +$140), which is encouraging. We won our September NFL Pick of the Month redemption, with the Packers -3 covering over the Vikings.

TENNESSEE OFFENSE: It’ll be interesting to see if Jalen Ramsey is available for the Jaguars. Ramsey has demanded a trade, though a deal might not get done so quickly. It could actually be possible that this will be Ramsey’s final game in Jacksonville.

Ramsey doesn’t have as nearly as difficult of a matchup this week, compared to what he endured versus the Chiefs and Texans. The Titans don’t have a top-notch receiver, so if Ramsey plays, it’ll be very difficult for Marcus Mariota to get anything downfield. Mariota dinked and dunked last week anyway, so I’m sure Tennessee fans will be used to that style of offense. I wouldn’t completely blame Mariota for this, as life is difficult without stud left tackle Taylor Lewan. Also, it’s worth noting that Mariota has a quad injury of some sort. He’s expected to play, but may not be 100 percent, much like Cam Newton last week.

I don’t think the Titans will be able to pass protect very well, and I’m not sure the ground attack will work effectively either. Ramsey or not, the Jaguars have a stellar front seven, capable of shutting down the run with ease. I’m sure Jacksonville’s defense will remember what Henry did to them on national TV late last year, so the players will be motivated to stop him.

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: I’m sure the Jaguars can sympathize with the Titans missing Lewan. They’ve been without their left tackle as well, which could be problematic in this matchup. Tennessee is capable of generating heat on opposing passers with Cameron Wake, Harold Landry and Jurrell Casey. I imagine Groundskeeper Minshew won’t be able to hold the ball very long in the pocket.

I’m sure that’s fine for Minshew, as he mostly dinks and dunks anyhow. He was miserable against the Texans, at least before the final two drives. He somehow came to life then and was able to nearly engineer a comeback. I wouldn’t count on that happening too often, especially in tougher matchups.

This should qualify as a difficult matchup. The Titans have a strong defense that will make Minshew keep drives alive. They’re stellar versus the run – they just put the clamps on Marlon Mack – so Leonard Fournette will have to be a bigger factor as a receiver out of the backfield.

RECAP: This game is very unappealing from a betting perspective. On one hand, Mariota might be injured. On the other hand, the Jaguars are starting a sixth-round rookie quarterback who is not very good.

I’m not betting this contest, but I’m leaning toward Jacksonville because this is a revenge spot after the Titans embarrassed them on Thursday Night Football late in 2018.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The public loves the Titans. I don’t. Pinnacle, the sharpest book on the Web, has -1.5 listed rather than the -2 available almost everywhere else, which indicates that they want even more Tennessee money. I’m not going to bet this game, but that’s a good sign for Jaguar backers.

FINAL THOUGHTS: There are rainy conditions in Jacksonville, but that doesn’t affect anything for me. I had no interest in betting this game anyway. I’d like this at +3, but Tennessee winning by three is one of the most likeliest outcomes. I still like the Jaguars because Mariota might be injured, and they’re looking for revenge, but I wonder if they’ll be distracted by the Jalen Ramsey drama.





The Motivation. Edge: Jaguars.
This is a revenge game for the Jaguars.


The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Jaguars -2.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Titans -2.5.
Computer Model: Titans -2.
DVOA Spread: Pick.


The Vegas. Edge: Jaguars.
Lots of money has come in on the Titans.

Percentage of money on Tennessee: 66% (24,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Titans.

History: Titans have won 6 of the past 7 meetings.

Opening Line: Titans -2.5.

Opening Total: 41.

Weather: Rain, 74 degrees. Light wind.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Jaguars 16, Titans 13
Jaguars +2 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Under 38 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Jaguars 20, Titans 7

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Denver Broncos (0-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-0)
Line: Packers by 7.5. Total: 43.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: TBA.

My overrated-underrated feature was posted in this spot the past couple of years. I thought it would be better if there was less clutter on this page, so I set up a new NFL Overrated and Underrated Teams page that will be updated every Monday. I have three overrated and underrated teams listed there, and some may shock you!

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: There’s a benefit to watching each game twice. Last year, I noticed that Cam Newton’s shoulder slammed onto the grass in the fourth quarter against the Buccaneers, so I was able to wager against Carolina profitably after that. I noticed something on the second Packers-Vikings re-watch. Aaron Rodgers hurt his hand on something during an early third-quarter throw. He shook his hand in discomfort, and from that point on, he barely attempted anything downfield. Perhaps this was because the Vikings were generating lots of pressure, but I thought I should make note of it.

The Packers, of course, didn’t score a single point in the second half, as they were holding on to dear life. I have no idea how they covered; I had them as my September NFL Pick of the Month, and I’ll admit they had no business winning by more than three, based on how they performed after intermission. If this continues, and Rodgers’ hand is not completely healthy, it’ll be very difficult for Green Bay to generate much offense in this contest. The Broncos have a stellar defense that could be aided by the return of Todd Davis and Bryce Callahan. The latter will provide a huge boost for a secondary tasked with covering Rodgers’ receivers.

The Broncos also figure to stop the run well with Davis on the field, but they’ll still be weak to tight ends. If Rodgers has some discomfort when throwing deep, perhaps he’ll target Jimmy Graham more than he did last week.

DENVER OFFENSE: Watching the Broncos’ offense play last week was like spending three hours in a dentist’s chair. It was rough. They were so miserably predictable, it was sickening. I don’t know the exact percentage, but they must have run on first down on 90 percent of their series. It was so predictable and inefficient, as advanced analytics have revealed that passing on first down is the better strategy. Obviously, you can’t do it all the time, but it’s better than pounding the ball on every single first down as if you’re playing football in the 1970s!

The Packers have a stellar defense, so I can’t imagine them having too much difficulty defending this style of attack. Sure, Dalvin Cook had a huge game in Week 2, but he’s a very special runner when healthy. He broke so many tackles, it was ridiculous. I don’t think Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman will have that same sort of success.

Meanwhile, passing will be tough as well, given that left tackle Garett Bolles will once again be manning Joe Flacco’s blind side. Bolles had so many flags last week, I thought he was the United Nations for a second. He’s so inept, and he stands no chance of blocking Green Bay’s improved edge rushers.

RECAP: I don’t know if Rodgers is hurt for sure, but it was odd that the Packers didn’t score a single point in the second half against Minnesota after establishing a quick 21-0 lead. This is something I’m giving a one-unit bump to at the moment. It will obviously be worth monitoring how effective Rodgers is on his downfield throws in this contest.

The one-unit bump takes this from three to four units. I already liked the Broncos considerably for a few reasons. First, this is almost a must-win for them, as they’ll be desperate to avoid an 0-3 start, which would completely bury them. Second, the Packers have to play against the Eagles in four days, so I don’t think they’ll be completely focused for this contest, especially after two tough divisional victories.

Third, the Broncos have a stellar defense that should allow them to hang within eight. The Packers haven’t produced more than 21 points in either of their games this year, so covering the -7.5 might be tough for them. I know they’ve played two talented defenses, but the Broncos have one of those as well.

Also, there’s a ton of action coming in on the Packers. The public predictably loves the host, so that provides Denver with an edge as well.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: I really like the Broncos. Between Rodgers possibly not being 100 percent, and the Packers looking ahead to Thursday’s game, there’s great reason to believe that Denver will keep this close or perhaps even win outright. I may place a fifth unit on this game, but I’ll probably stick with four.

SATURDAY NOTES: I don’t know if Todd Davis’ improved status had anything to do with it, but the sharps have jumped on the Broncos. Davis has practiced all week, and it seems as though he’ll be able to play, despite his questionable status. There’s a chance Bryce Callahan will be able to suit up as well. This line has dropped because of the sharp action, so I’m going to lock in the +7.5 -120 at 5Dimes.

FINAL THOUGHTS: No Bryce Callahan, but Todd Davis is playing, which is a slight upgrade to the defense. There’s some sharp money coming in on Denver, which caused the line move from +7.5 to +7.


The Motivation. Edge: Broncos.
The Packers have to play in four days, so they may not be focused. Meanwhile, the Broncos will be desperate to avoid an 0-3 start.


The Spread. Edge: Broncos.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Packers -8.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Packers -6.5.
Computer Model: Packers -9.
DVOA Spread: Packers -6.


The Vegas. Edge: Broncos.
A decent amount of action on the Packers.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 65% (9,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Aaron Rodgers is 89-61 ATS since 2009.

Opening Line: Packers -7.

Opening Total: 43.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 69 degrees. Mild wind, 14 mph.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Packers 21, Broncos 17
Broncos +7.5 -120 (4 Units) – 5Dimes — Incorrect; -$480
Under 42 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Packers 27, Broncos 16

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Detroit Lions (1-0-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-1)
Line: Eagles by 7. Total: 45.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Lions.

VEGAS UPDATE: I’ll be posting how the Vegas sportsbooks have done the previous week in this spot. The highest-bet sides were 38-44-3 last season, a year that was pretty painful for the books. Perhaps the pendulum will swing the other way…

Here were the teams getting the most bets this week:

Patriots -17

Chiefs -7

Cowboys -4.5

Bears -2.5

Panthers -6.5

Browns -2.5/-6.5

Chargers -3

This was a 3-4 week for the books, as they got buried in some games. They were able to recoup their money with key victories when the Bears and Falcons covered. The house is now 5-6-1 on lopsided bets this year.

Here are the teams getting the most bets this week:

Rams -3

Patriots -22.5

Cowboys -21.5

Seahawks -5

Packers -7.5

Bills -6

Texans +3

Wow, there are tons of lopsided-bet games this week, so there’s a chance the public takes a beating, or the house loses tons of money.

LOCKED IN: I’ve seldom done this before – once last year in Week 1 – but I’m going to lock in this pick before posting a write-up. I’m betting five units on the Lions. I’m doing this because there is massive sharp action on the Lions. This spread opened +7.5, then dropped to +7. Now, it’s +6.5 in some places, but still +7 -115 at Bovada and +7 -120 in some other books. I love Detroit, but won’t be able to post a full write-up until Tuesday. I don’t want to miss out on +7 -115, so I’m locking in five units now.

PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: It’s unclear who will be able to play for the Eagles. Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, Dallas Goedert and Jason Peters all suffered injuries Sunday night in Atlanta. It’s already been reported that Jeffery is doubtful for this contest. I expect Peters to suit up because he missed just one snap, so we’ll see about the other players.

What we do know is that the Eagles will be battling a much tougher defense this week than they did this past Sunday night. The Falcons have a horrid stop unit that can’t handle the run or generate pressure on the quarterback, outside of Grady Jarrett. The Lions have some talented edge rushers in Trey Flowers and Devon Kennard, so if Peters isn’t 100 percent, blocking Flowers could be an issue. Meanwhile, Detroit is even better at putting the clamps on opposing ground attacks. Though the Eagles run with several backs, they love establishing the rush, and doing so will be difficult versus Detroit.

Perhaps the biggest edge in Detroit’s favor is their improved cornerbacks against a depleted Philadelphia receiving corps. If Jeffery and Jackson are out, it’ll be easy for Darius Slay, Rashaan Melvin and Justin Coleman to deal with the Eagles’ wideouts. Also, you must consider Carson Wentz’s rib injury. He couldn’t complete basic passes in the second quarter last week after he took a shot to his mid-section. He must have received a pain injection at halftime because he was fine at the end of the game, but I can’t say for certain that he’ll be 100 percent for this contest.

DETROIT OFFENSE: The Eagles have some serious problems in their secondary. I don’t know what happened to Ronald Darby, but he can’t cover anyone. He was torched against the Falcons, and the stat line against him would have been even worse had Matt Ryan not overthrown two receivers for touchdowns.

Philadelphia can’t cover No. 1 receivers, which will be a problem against Kenny Golladay, who is having a monstrous start to his 2019 campaign. Golladay abused a talented corner in Casey Hayward last week, so he shouldn’t have much of an issue against Darby. Meanwhile, Matthew Stafford should also be able to connect often with talented rookie tight end T.J. Hockenson, as Philadelphia’s linebackers aren’t performing well right now.

The hallmark of the Eagles’ defense has been their front line, but they’re now missing two key players in Malik Jackson and Timmy Jernigan. This will allow for less interior pressure on Stafford, and it’ll open up running lanes for Kerryon Johnson, as well as Ty Johnson, who had a very nice, snake-like run against the Chargers this past Sunday.

RECAP: I already locked this in, if you didn’t see my previous note. I love Detroit this week, as there is a ton that favors them. Consider the following:

1. Philadelphia could be down multiple starters at several positions. We know it’ll be missing a pair of talented defensive tackles at the very least. The Eagles may not have their top two receivers as well.

2. Wentz, as mentioned, may not be completely healthy. There’s a chance he could recover, but he was so bad in the second quarter last week.

3. The Eagles, like the Packers, will be looking ahead to their Thursday night game in four days.

4. This spread is off. I made it Detroit +6, so at +7, we’re effectively going through two key numbers. However, something that caught my eye is that the computer model has this line at Detroit +3! If that’s the right spread, we’re getting insane value at +7.

5. As mentioned while locking this in, the sharps are all over the Lions. While I don’t care too much about what the pros are doing, I think it’s noteworthy, and I’d rather be on their side than the other team.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: I’m very glad we locked this in at +7 -115. The line is down to +6 at most books. I still like the Lions at four-ish units at +6.

SATURDAY NOTES: Wow, this line is down to +5. The sharps have been pounding the Lions, which would explain this spread movement. I’m glad I locked this in on Monday!

SATURDAY NOTES II: I’m adding the Lions moneyline for half a unit. The best line I see is +190 at BetUS.

FINAL THOUGHTS: This is one of the top sharp plays of the week, as the line is all the way down to +4. I’m very happy we got +7 back on Monday!


The Motivation. Edge: Lions.
The Eagles have to play on Thursday night, so they might be distracted.


The Spread. Edge: Lions.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Eagles -6.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Eagles -7.
Computer Model: Eagles -3.
DVOA Spread: Eagles -4.


The Vegas. Edge: None.
This is sharp money supporting the Lions.

Percentage of money on Detroit: 58% (11,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Eagles.

Lions are 10-20 ATS on the road vs. teams with winning records since 2011.

Lions are 4-16 ATS as underdogs of 6 or more since 2011.

Opening Line: Eagles -7.

Opening Total: 49.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 86 degrees. Light wind.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Eagles 23, Lions 20
Lions +7 -115 (5 Units) – Bovada — Correct; +$500
Lions +190 (0.5 Units) – BetUS — Correct; +$95
Under 45 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Lions 27, Eagls 24

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Baltimore Ravens (2-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (2-0)
Line: Chiefs by 6. Total: 52.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: None.

HATE MAIL: I will be posting hate mail here. Here’s some hate mail from last week:



I can’t believe this guy is giving me so much credit. I wish I could be all that is wrong with the world, but I’m not there quite yet.

Here’s something more depressing:



Do you know how great it would be to pat myself on the back? I can’t do it, so thanks for reminding me of that, ARod!

Here’s a guy who doesn’t understand that the Rams were a dumpster fire last year when it came to covering against the spread:



I say that because it’s pointless to use logic when arguing against dumb people. You can’t ever convince them of anything.

I saved the dumbest hate mail for last:



This guy must be some CNN employee with his fake news because I just looked at every sportsbook log, and I’m not seeing a single Green Bay -3.5. Here’s a screenshot of Pinnacle’s spreads for the Packers-Vikings game:



Anyone see a -3.5 in there? No? Nice try, CNN guy!

BALTIMORE OFFENSE: I’m not sure I understand the sentiment, but it almost seems like people think it’s virtuous to root for Lamar Jackson. I got that sense from hearing what virtue-signaling extraordinaire Bill Simmons had to say on PTI on Monday. Everyone seems to believe (or wants to believe) that Jackson is suddenly a great passing quarterback, but he has battled the worst team in NFL history and a tired Arizona squad missing both of its starting cornerbacks. I’m skeptical that Jackson has advanced much as a passer, as he was a pedestrian thrower in the preseason. I’m eager to see what happens when Jackson battle a competent defense.

That won’t be this week, however. The Chiefs have some major problems all over the place. Their edge rush isn’t nearly as potent as it was last year, as Frank Clark has not performed up to his talent quite yet. The secondary has struggled as well, surrendering a 22-of-25 passing performance to Groundskeeper Minshew. Kansas City also struggles to defend running backs and tight ends, no matter how they’re used.

The Ravens should be able to attack Kansas City’s defense however they please. Jackson and Mark Ingram will have plenty of success on the ground, while Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews figure to have big performances as well.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: The Chiefs, of course, will have tons of success engineering scoring drives as well. Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL right now, and I don’t think any defense can stop him.

I think the common belief is that the Ravens have enough to slow Mahomes down a bit, but I don’t agree with that. This is not your father’s Ravens defense, and by “father,” I mean a guy who is a year older than you. Baltimore lost so much this offseason. Its top edge rushers are gone, so the team doesn’t have much success rushing the quarterback anymore. Its secondary isn’t as effective as a consequence. Meanwhile, the linebacking corps can’t cover in space, which bodes well for Travis Kelce.

Kyler Murray threw for 300-plus yards against the Ravens, and he would’ve led them to victory had he not struggled in the red zone. Mahomes won’t have that problem, as he will convert deep in Baltimore territory.

RECAP: I don’t really see much of an edge in this game from a betting perspective. The only thing I can find is that the spread is a tad inflated. I made this line Kansas City -6, but the computer model has -4 listed. The difference between four and 6.5 is substantial because it involves two key numbers.

I’m going to be on the Ravens, as Jackson could throw or run in a back-door touchdown, if needed. The game between these two teams was close last year, so that might be the case again this season. I wouldn’t necessarily count on that though, as I think Baltimore caught Kansas City off guard.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: I still have no opinion on this game. It looks like the sharps have backed Baltimore at +6.5, which isn’t too surprising.

SATURDAY NOTES: Here’s another instance in which the sharps are betting the underdog. I don’t have as good of a feel for this game, so I’m going to stay off. One note is that John Hussey is the official for this game. That’s significant for the total, as 61 percent of Hussey games go under. Adding to that, the forecast is projecting heavy rain as well.

FINAL THOUGHTS: A heavy downpour is expected in this game, but lightning is in the forecast as well. It wouldn’t surprise me if the NFL moves this game to 4 p.m., which is when the thunderstorms are expected to subside. The rain should be gone by then as well, so it would be a nice decision for both the gameplay and the fans. At any rate, the sharps like the Ravens, as they’ve pushed this spread down to +4.5 or +5. Bovada still has +6 available.


The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Spread. Edge: Ravens.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Chiefs -6.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -5.5.
Computer Model: Chiefs -4.
DVOA Spread: Chiefs -4.


The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.
Slight lean on the Chiefs.

Percentage of money on Kansas City: 63% (14,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Chiefs -5.

Opening Total: 51.5.

Weather: Heavy rain, 70 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Chiefs 28, Ravens 24
Ravens +6 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 52 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Chiefs 33, Ravens 28

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Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)
Line: Bills by 6. Total: 43.5.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Bills.

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BUFFALO OFFENSE: Josh Allen hasn’t posted the same stats as Lamar Jackson this season, but he hasn’t enjoyed the benefit of taking on the worst team in NFL history quite yet. Instead, he battled the Jets in Week 1, who clamped down on him until C.J. Mosley was knocked out of the game. Still, Allen has improved as a passer at least somewhat, as he is completing 64 percent of his attempts this season after maintaining a 52.8 completion percentage in 2018.

Allen had a very easy matchup this past week against the Giants, and he’ll have the luxury of throwing into a pedestrian secondary once again in this contest. The San Francisco receivers torched Cincinnati’s defensive backs mercilessly, and John Brown could enjoy similar success in this matchup. Meanwhile, Cincinnati seems to have the worst group of linebackers in the NFL, so getting Devin Singletary in space could prove to be beneficial.

Speaking of Singletary, I have no idea why the Bills are giving him fewer carries than Frank Gore. It makes no sense. Gore gets three yards, then falls down. He offers zero upside at this stage of his career. Singletary, conversely, is an electric runner who has broken free for chunks of yardage on several occasions through two games. It’ll be interesting to see how quickly the Bills come to understand that giving the ball to a superior player is the better strategy.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: The Bengals will need Cordy Glenn to play in this game if they want a chance to avoid an 0-3 start. Their offensive line hasn’t been as horrible as I thought, as center Trey Hopkins and right guard John Miller have performed relatively well, but I’m not sure how much longer that will hold up, especially against Ed Oliver. Meanwhile, someone will need to keep Andy Dalton’s blind side protected against Jerry Hughes. Andre Smith is not good enough to get that done, as evidenced by his benching last week. Cincinnati had a severe issue blocking the 49ers’ edge rushers, and that will be the case against Buffalo if Glenn can’t suit up.

Of course, offensive line play is only part of the problem. The Bengals don’t have much talent at receiver, and no, I’m not buying John Ross at all. I can’t see him or Tyler Boyd doing that well against Buffalo’s talented cornerbacks. The Bills defend the middle of the field well, so Tyler Eifert won’t have much success either. Evan Engram couldn’t even do very much last week.

Given that the Bills don’t have to worry very much about an A.J. Green-less receiving corps, they’ll be able to focus more on putting the clamps on Joe Mixon. The talented runner couldn’t even rush for 20 yards last week because of how poor his offensive line performed, and Buffalo has a strong run defense, much like the 49ers do.

RECAP: If Glenn plays, there’s a lot to like about the Bengals this week. First, they have the motivational edge, as they’ll be trying to avoid an 0-3 start and redeem themselves after being embarrassed at home against the 49ers. Meanwhile, the Bills have to battle the Patriots next week, so they could be looking ahead to that game.

In addition to the motivational edge, the Bengals have the spread and trend advantages as well. The computer model says this line should be Cincinnati +4, which is what the Westgate advance spread was. This line has been inflated based on what happened last week, so there’s some benefit to betting the Bengals. Of course, this is not what the public is doing; they’re wagering on Buffalo rather heavily.

I’m picking the Bengals, but I’ll have to list this as “TBA units.” I won’t have much interest if Glenn can’t play. If Glenn manages to clear concussion protocol, however, I’ll wager a few units on the visitor.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: We’re still waiting on Cordy Glenn’s status. His presence would mean so much to Cincinnati, but he hasn’t practiced as of yet.

SATURDAY NOTES: Not only is Cordy Glenn out, but two other Cincinnati offensive linemen are questionable. What a disaster. I once had ideas of betting the Bengals, but that’s off the table. In fact, I’m switching to Buffalo.

FINAL THOUGHTS: There’s no sharp action to report, and I’m not going to bet this one, so let’s move on.


The Motivation. Edge: Bengals.
The Bills have to play the Patriots next week, so they may overlook the Bengals, who will be looking to redeem themselves after a blowout loss.


The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Bills -8.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Bills -4.
Computer Model: Bills -4.
DVOA Spread: Bills -6.


The Vegas. Edge: None.
Tons of money on the Bills early on, but action has come closer to even.

Percentage of money on Buffalo: 57% (6,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Bills -4.

Opening Total: 40.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 81 degrees. Mild wind, 16 mph.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Bills 20, Bengals 13
Bills -6 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 43.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Bills 21, Bengals 17

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Atlanta Falcons (1-1) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1)
Line: Colts by 1.5. Total: 47.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Falcons.

I wouldn’t say my weekly random NFL notes cluttered these picks pages, so I’ll keep them here. What I’m also going to do is store all of them in a Random NFL Notes section so that you can go back and read previous entries in the future.

Some random NFL notes I can’t put anywhere else:

1. What if I told you that we live in a world where people believe the Dolphins aren’t tanking? Sounds crazy, but it’s true. A former NFL player, safety Bernard Pollard, ranted about why he doesn’t believe Miami is tanking:



I think Pollard was hit in the head too many times throughout his career. The Dolphins have effectively made their tanking intentions known by trading away some talented players for draft picks, and then granting other players permissions to seek deals. The players, knowing this, put zero effort into their games. And if that’s not enough to convince you, their former head coach literally said that the Dolphins are trying to tank!

And what’s so wrong with tanking, anyway? The Spurs tanked one year in the 90s when David Robinson got hurt, and they landed Tim Duncan. The 76ers tanked for a few seasons, and now they’re arguably the best team in the Eastern Conference. Tanking is a great strategy, and I imagine the Dolphins, assuming they don’t draft poorly, will be in contention once Tom Brady retires.

2. I wrote my Week 2 NFL notes prior to the Monday night double-header, so I didn’t get to touch on the halftime show ESPN graced us with during the Texans-Saints and Broncos-Raiders games.

Both halftime shows featured a white rapper named, well, I forget the name. I think it was GE. I’m not sure if this stood for General Electric or not.

I wouldn’t constitute General Electric’s rapping as “music.” He was basically just talking the whole time. It was horrible. Like, I could just read what I wrote in these past few paragraphs with a beat in the background, and that would be just as musical as General Electric’s halftime show.

Uhh, I wrote my Week 2 NFL notes prior to the Monday night double-header, y’all. Uhh. So I didn’t get to touch on the halftime show ESPN graced us with during the Texans-Saints and Broncos-Raiders games, y’all. Uhh.

See? I can make music, just like General Electric. Maybe ESPN will have me on at halftime during one of these weeks.

Regardless of whether or not you liked General Electric’s “music,” I don’t understand why ESPN thinks the football fans wants music during pre-game and halftime shows. Football fans want football analysis. I know that sounds crazy, but people tuning into football want to hear about football. Wow, yeah, that just blew my mind writing it.

3. Speaking of ESPN, it got lots of flak for its first-down marker graphic on the bottom of the screen. Everyone was confused, as it looked like the “flag” notification that appears whenever there’s a penalty.

I don’t know why ESPN can’t figure out its graphics. I discussed this in my college football notes last week that the ESPN college football graphic is extremely confusing:



Is it second-and-11 or third-and-10? Is it the second quarter with 11 seconds on the playclock, or the third quarter with 10 seconds on the playclock? Unless you immediately notice the ampersand, you have no way of knowing.

I’ll give ESPN credit though: For once, it listened to its audience and changed something wrong. It adjusted the graphic color, which was a huge help for those of us who thought there was a flag on every play.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: Much like the Bills-Bengals game, my pick will hinge on a prominent player’s concussion. Stellar Colts linebacker Darius Leonard is in concussion protocol, so his status is unknown at the moment. It goes without saying that Leonard’s availability will drastically impact this game.

The Colts are not the same defense without Leonard. His absence will allow Matt Ryan to attack the middle of the field with Austin Hooper and Devonta Freeman. The latter will also have more success as a rusher if Leonard can’t play. The Colts already had a rough matchup against Julio Jones – as most teams do – so they’d have to worry about other things in addition to Jones.

Leonard isn’t the only Indianapolis injury worth discussing. The Colts were missing two of their top three edge rushers last week, as Jabaal Sheard and Kemoko Turay sat out. They’ll need at least one of them to play to take advantage of an Atlanta offensive line that has not performed up to its standards thus far in 2019.

INDIANAPOLIS OFFENSE: The Colts, of course, possess one of the better offensive lines in the NFL, so I can’t see the Falcons generating much pressure at all, no matter who plays. Jacoby Brissett will be going up against the worst pass rush he’s seen through three games, so he could have his best performance of the season.

Brissett should be able to attack the Falcons by throwing to his slot receiver – Atlanta had no answer for Nelson Agholor – as well as his tight ends. Aside from Deion Jones, the Falcons have some liabilities in the middle of the field for Brissett to exploit with Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle.

Of course, Brissett may not need to throw very much if the Colts establish the run effectively, which I expect them to do. The Vikings absolutely trampled the Falcons in the season opener, which wasn’t a surprise because Atlanta refuses to fix its run defense each offseason. Marlon Mack figures to have a great performance.

RECAP: As with the previous game I discussed, my selection hinges on an injury. Leonard’s availability is enormous. The Colts just don’t have the same defense without him.

It sucks that Leonard may not play because I’d love the Colts otherwise. This spread is just WAY off. I made this line Indianapolis -4.5, while the computer model came up with -4. Yet, the Colts are favored by fewer than three points, which means the public believes Atlanta is the better team! That’s mind-boggling to me. Excluding quarterback and receiver, where exactly are the Falcons superior? The Colts have the far better roster.

I’ll be monitoring the injury reports later in the week. If Leonard clears concussion protocol, I’ll place several units on the host. If not, this might just be a zero- or one-unit pick on the Colts.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: As with Cordy Glenn, we’re waiting on Darius Leonard’s status. Leonard has yet to practice, which is a shame because I’d love Indianapolis otherwise.

SATURDAY NOTES: Ugh, Darius Leonard is out. This is a major bummer because I loved the Colts otherwise. Leonard’s absence changes everything, as Indianapolis will have a problem defending Atlanta’s weapons without its star linebacker. I’m still going to be on the Colts, but I don’t think I’ll be betting this game.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I think the Colts will cover, but I’d bet them heavily if Darius Leonard were playing. His absence is huge, however. There are no sharp plays concerning this game.


The Motivation. Edge: Colts.
The Colts will feel disrespected, as they’re favored, yet everyone will be picking the Falcons, a public dog.


The Spread. Edge: Colts.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Colts -4.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Colts -2.5.
Computer Model: Colts -4.
DVOA Spread: Colts -3.


The Vegas. Edge: Colts.
The Falcons are a public dog.

Percentage of money on Atlanta: 65% (8,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Colts -2.5.

Opening Total: 48.

Weather: Dome.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Colts 26, Falcons 20
Colts -1.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Under 47 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Colts 27, Falcons 24

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Oakland Raiders (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)
Line: Vikings by 9. Total: 43.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Vikings.

As with the random NFL notes, I’m going to have all of my Random College Football Notes on one page as well. Oh, and you can find my College Football Picks here.

Random College Football Notes:

1. Congratulations to the Kansas Jayhawks for defeating Boston College! They won by 20-plus despite being 20-point underdogs. Our friend Thor Nystrom from Rotoworld asked on Twitter how many times this has occurred this past decade.

The answer is nine, so this was the 10th time. I was able to look it up on Killer Sports, which is a great site to get sports-betting data.

At any rate, I thought Les Miles was going to turn Kansas’ program around, but I didn’t think it would happen this quickly. I still can’t believe that people were so against that hire when it happened. It’s not like Miles is going to get Kansas to the playoffs or anything, but he’ll certainly have them in bowl contention each year. And I think that’s the best Kansas could ever hope for.

2. Speaking of college football coaching hirings, we graded the Jim Leavitt hiring at Florida State in our new College Football Hiring Grades page. We’ll have grades for every college football coaching hiring and firing there.

3. I haven’t discussed the college football halftime shows yet, so I imagine I’ll be addressing them in the coming weeks. One of the halftime analysts on FS1 is Matt Leinart, whose skin is looking a bit wrinkly from being in the hot tub with Nick Lachey so much.

Perhaps the bromine from the hot tub has affected Leinart’s brain as well because he said the following when discussing Oklahoma State:

“He’s the first dual-threat quarterback Mike Gundy has had in a while. You have to go back to Mason Rudolph.”

Wait, am I wrong, or didn’t Rudolph play for Gundy just a couple of years ago? He was selected in the 2018 NFL Draft, per my memory, so why does that constitute as a “while?”

I don’t understand why these networks think that former players can serve as the best analysts. It seems as though bromine has permanently damaged Leinart’s brain, so perhaps he should be replaced.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: The Vikings will never admit it because it’ll make them look bad, but they must have major buyer’s remorse regarding Kirk Cousins and his fully guaranteed contract. He had three turnovers against the Packers, and while one of the interceptions wasn’t his fault, he was lucky he didn’t give the ball away on a couple of other occasions. Cousins is not very good, and he has a penchant for choking in big games.

This, however, is not a big game. This is a sort of contest in which Cousins looks good, allowing his deranged supporters to proclaim that he was worth all the money. Cousins will be able to light up the Raiders, who seemed outmatched in this contest. Their secondary took a hit in the wake of Johnathan Abram’s injury, so I don’t see how they’ll cover Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Oakland also doesn’t possess a very potent edge rush, so Cousins, who is usually under siege, won’t feel too much pressure this week.

Of course, Cousins may not have a huge outing if the Vikings keep the ball on the ground like they did in the season opener. Dalvin Cook is injury-prone, but he has looked like the best running back in the NFL thus far in 2019. It’s amazing how many tackles he breaks and defenders he eludes on each carry. The Raiders actually defend the run well, but so do the Packers, and yet Cook exploded for a 75-yard rushing touchdown at Green Bay.

OAKLAND OFFENSE: It’s odd that the Raiders were able to score absolutely no points after establishing a 10-0 lead against the Chiefs last week. They weren’t even battling a good defense, so that was an eye-opening display of offensive incompetence. Granted, they nearly scored late in the game, but Carr threw a horrible interception in the end zone. Despite what we saw in Week 1, he’s not very good.

Carr will have a tougher matchup this Sunday. Xavier Rhodes will be able to limit Tyrell Williams, while Minnesota’s safeties clamped down on Jimmy Graham, so the excellent duo of Harrison Smith and Anthony Harris will cover the emerging Darren Waller well. Carr doesn’t have a viable option beyond those two players.

The Raiders will naturally attempt to establish the run with Josh Jacobs, but I don’t see that panning out too well. The Vikings have a stalwart defensive front that will stuff Jacobs more often than not.

RECAP: I don’t plan on betting this game. This spread seems accurate, and neither team has any sort of advantage. There’s a small chance the Vikings look ahead to their battle against the Bears next week, but I don’t think that will be the case because they’re coming off a loss.

I’m going to side with the Vikings. They’re the better team, and Mike Zimmer, who is a remarkable 53-28 against the spread as head coach of the Vikings, has a big edge over Jon Gruden in this coaching matchup.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: This spread continues to rise, as both public and sharp money are moving it. Pinnacle is betting for Raiders money by listing this line at +9.5, perhaps knowing that the public won’t realize that the Raiders are very banged up; Josh Jacobs and Tyrell Williams may not play.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Raiders might have some offensive line issues in this game. Gabe Jackson is out, while Trent Brown and Denzelle Good are questionable. If Brown is out as well, I’ll consider placing a couple of units on Minnesota.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Some pro money moved this line up to -9, but the sharps haven’t touched this game since. The Raiders are very banged up, and this is an easy matchup for the Vikings. Trent Brown will play though, so I’m not going to bet on this contest.


The Motivation. Edge: Raiders.
The Vikings play the Bears next week, but I’m not sure this is a major look-ahead spot, especially after a loss.


The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Vikings -7.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Vikings -7.5.
Computer Model: Vikings -10.
DVOA Spread: Vikings -4.5.


The Vegas. Edge: Raiders.
Slight lean on the Raiders.

Percentage of money on Minnesota: 64% (6,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Vikings.

Mike Zimmer is 53-28 ATS as head coach of the Vikings.

Vikings are 29-12 ATS at home since 2014.

Opening Line: Vikings -7.

Opening Total: 43.

Weather: Dome.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Vikings 30, Raiders 20
Vikings -9 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Over 43 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Vikings 34, Raiders 14

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New York Jets (0-2) at New England Patriots (2-0)
Line: Patriots by 21. Total: 43.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Patriots.

If you’ve followed this site for a while, you might remember that I like to respond to my spam mails. It all started seven years ago, when a man named Jon Wire from the “United Bank of Africoan” promised me an ATM card of some sort, so I responded as a man named Mister Compassion Chuck Norris, who was raised by wolves. The following season, I received e-mails from Richard Held and Loon Bruce, who told me I won a Facebook Award, which comes with a “lump sum pay out of (750,000.00 GBP).” Pretending to be Matthew Millen Kim, I sent out my application and fake money.

I’ve been messing around with spammers ever since, pretending to be Harvey Weinstein, Tom Brady, Ramsay Bolton and Walter White. I have brand new Spam Mails this year, so check them out if you want to see me screw with spammers. I’ll have new ones every week!

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: We don’t know if Antonio Brown will play after the NFL meets with his accuser, but if he does, he’ll continue to develop chemistry with Tom Brady. Brown played as well as expected in his debut with the Patriots, especially considering that he didn’t know the playbook. A week of practice will obviously help, and Brown will have an easy matchup against a group of cornerbacks that couldn’t deal with Odell Beckham Jr. on Monday night.

The Jets had some major injury problems in that contest, as both Quinnen Williams and C.J. Mosley were out of the lineup. Mosley’s absence ruined the Jets’ Week 1 victory, and understandably so. He was flying all over the field, so it wasn’t a surprise that the Bills outscored the Jets, 17-0, when he left the game.

That said, Mosley’s presence may not even help very much in this contest. Brady is just way too good and has too many potent weapons at his disposal to be affected by one linebacker, even if it’s a great one like Mosley.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: Sam Darnold will continue to miss time with mono, while Trevor Siemian is out for the year after suffering a gruesome leg injury right before halftime. That means third-string Luke Falk – no relation to Marshall Faulk, as far as I know – will get his first career start. All he needs to do is beat the Patriots – no big deal!

Falk has a noodle arm, so he’ll want to complete as many short passes as possible. The problem with that strategy is that all it takes is one holding penalty to completely disrupt a drive. Even a false start would severely diminish the Jets’ chances of getting a first down.

Oh, and then there’s Bill Belichick, who happens to be coaching a very talented defense. Belichick is the master of erasing one aspect of an opposing offense, so I imagine he’ll take Le’Veon Bell away from Falk, who won’t even be able to target Robby Anderson because of Stephon Gilmore’s elite coverage.

RECAP: This spread is insanely high. That wouldn’t be the case if the Patriots were playing Miami, because the Dolphins aren’t trying at all, despite what Bernard Pollard seems to believe. The Jets, on the other hand, are at least attempting to win.

I’m going to fade the public and take a shot with New York at +22.5 at the moment. I’m not crazy enough to bet Falk versus Belichick, but this spread is out of control. I made this line New England -17, while the computer model projects -20.

That said, if the Jets are missing Mosley and Quinnen Williams again, I might be inclined to switch sides and back the favorite.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Neither C.J. Mosley nor Quinnen Williams practiced Wednesday. If they’re ruled out, however, I think I’m going to switch to New England.

SATURDAY NOTES: Antonio Brown is gone, but that doesn’t matter for this game. The greater development, as far as this spread is concerned, is that Quinnen Williams and C.J. Mosley are both doubtful. This is enough for me to switch to New England, as the Jets won’t have a functional defense.

FINAL THOUGHTS: James White is out because his wife is in labor. That doesn’t inpact my decision on this game at all. I’m still on the Patriots for zero.


The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Patriots -17.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Patriots -13 (Darnold).
Computer Model: Patriots -20.
DVOA Spread: Patriots -16.




The Vegas. Edge: Jets.
Is anyone brave enough to bet the Jets?

Percentage of money on New England: 75% (12,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

History: Patriots have won 27 of the last 33 meetings.

Patriots are 58-41 ATS vs. AFC East opponents since 2001.

Tom Brady is 237-73 as a starter (177-119 ATS).

Tom Brady is 36-35 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (25-28 ATS since November 2007).

Opening Line: Patriots -21.5.

Opening Total: 45.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 81 degrees. Light wind.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots 42, Jets 17
Patriots -21 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Over 43 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Patriots 30, Jets 14

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Miami Dolphins (0-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-0)
Line: Cowboys by 21.5. Total: 46.5.
Sunday, Sept. 22, 1:00 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Cowboys.

Video of the Week: If you were disappointed by Season 8 of Game of Thrones like I was, you may appreciate this video. It’s what was said during HBO’s pitch meeting:



Ugh, I still can’t believe how bad it was. If you were to tell me to imagine the worst possible way Season 8 would go, I never could’ve come up with the abomination that HBO gave us.

ONE-SIDED MATCHUP: As I’ve written before, I’m not providing analysis for the Dolphins. They’re the worst team in NFL history, and they’re not trying to win. There’s no point in writing a breakdown for their games.

RECAP: This is another spread greater than 20. The difference here is that unlike the Jets, the Dolphins don’t care about winning. They’re attempting to lose on purpose.

With that in mind, I don’t think this line is high enough. I made this spread Dallas -26, and that might even be too low.

I’m not going to bet this game, but I don’t see how the Dolphins will keep this game close versus a suddenly explosive Dallas team.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS/UNIT CHANGE: I’ve been asked by many people why I don’t bet against the Dolphins every week – at least a couple of units – if I truly believe they’re the worst team in NFL history. I’m going to do it, but I’m may take it a step further: I’m wondering if I should be fading them each week in the Supercontest. They’re not capable of being competitive, so I’m at least considering it.

SATURDAY NOTES: I’m comfortable moving to two units, regardless of who Miami’s quarterback happens to be.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Look, 5Dimes has -21.5 available. VALUE!!! I’m still on the Cowboys for two units, but the sharps haven’t touched this game.


The Motivation. Edge: Cowboys.
The Dolphins are trying to lose.


The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Cowboys -26.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -15.
Computer Model: Cowboys -20.
DVOA Spread: Cowboys -20.


The Vegas. Edge: Dolphins.
Is anyone going to bet on Miami?

Percentage of money on Dallas: 81% (1,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

The underdog is 85-57 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.

Cowboys are 20-32 ATS as home favorites in Cowboys Stadium (excluding Thanksgiving).

Cowboys are 18-28 ATS when favored after a win since 2010.

Opening Line: Cowboys -17.

Opening Total: 47.

Weather: Dome.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Cowboys 45, Dolphins 10
Cowboys -21.5 (2 Units) – 5Dimes — Correct; +$200
Over 46.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Cowboys 31, Dolphins 6

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Week 3 NFL Picks – Late Games
Panthers at Cardinals, Giants at Buccaneers, Texans at Chargers, Steelers at 49ers, Saints at Seahawks, Rams at Browns, Bears at Redskins




Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 3 NFL Picks – Late Games



NFL Picks - Nov. 15


2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 13


NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 12


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4




SUB MENU






My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-3	Bears: 4-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-3
Eagles: 4-5	Lions: 8-1	Falcons: 5-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 5-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 4-5
Redskins: 4-5	Vikings: 3-6	Saints: 5-5	Seahawks: 6-2
Bills: 3-7	Bengals: 2-8	Colts: 5-5	Broncos: 6-4
Dolphins: 3-6	Browns: 3-6	Jaguars: 2-7	Chargers: 5-3
Jets: 5-5	Ravens: 4-5	Texans: 4-6	Chiefs: 3-5
Patriots: 5-3	Steelers: 3-6	Titans: 5-3	Raiders: 4-5
Divisional: 18-22 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 14-13 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 30-24 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 18-27 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 30-41 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-7 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 11-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-7 (2011-23: 33-37)