NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2018

NFL Picks (Preseason 2018): 11-10 (+$445)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2018): 8-7-1 (+$150)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2018): 8-7-1 (-$80)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2018): 8-8 (-$530)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2018): 8-6-1 (+$480)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2018): 10-4-1 (+$1,515)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2018): 6-7-2 (-$1,015)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2018): 7-7 (+$430)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2018): 6-8 (+$710)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2018): 5-8 (-$1,245)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2018): 5-8-1 (-$955)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2018): 5-5-3 (+$950)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2018): 7-8 (-$5)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2018): 7-9 (-$630)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2018): 11-5 (+$870)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2018): 8-7-1 (-$1,225)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2018): 6-8-2 (+$45)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2018): 9-6-1 (+$790)

NFL Picks (2018): 135-128-12 (+$700)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 5, 1:20 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

San Angeles Chargers (12-4) at Baltimore Ravens (10-6)
Line: Ravens by 3. Total: 41.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Ravens -1.
Sunday, Jan. 6, 1:05 ET

The Game. Edge: Chargers.

If you’ve followed this site for a while, you might remember that I like to respond to my spam mails. It all started seven years ago, when a man named Jon Wire from the “United Bank of Africoan” promised me an ATM card of some sort, so I responded as a man named Mister Compassion Chuck Norris, who was raised by wolves. The following season, I received e-mails from Richard Held and Loon Bruce, who told me I won a Facebook Award, which comes with a “lump sum pay out of (750,000.00 GBP).” Pretending to be Matthew Millen Kim, I sent out my application and fake money.

I’ve been messing around with spammers ever since, pretending to be Aaron Hernandez, Tom Brady, Ramsay Bolton and Walter White. I have brand new Spam Mails this year, so check them out if you want to see me screw with spammers. I’ll have new ones every week!

If you missed it, check out the new Adventures of Tom Brady’s Haircuts!

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BALTIMORE OFFENSE: The Chargers seemed to have a nice game plan prepared for Lamar Jackson a couple of weeks ago. Jackson had his lowest rushing total as a starter, picking up 39 ground yards on 13 scrambles. The Ravens were able to prevail because Jackson hit his tight end for a long touchdown, while the Chargers’ tight end, Antonio Gates, coughed up a fumble on a potential game-winning drive, which cornerback Tavon Young returned for a touchdown to make the margin eight.

The Chargers should be even better defensively in this game. They’re the first team to get a second crack at Jackson in the pros. Given that the Baltimore matchup has been a very realistic possibility, the coaching staff has undoubtedly been dissecting Jackson’s film for longer than just this week. If they can contain Jackson on the ground again, they’ll be able to perhaps fool the rookie quarterback, forcing him into some mistakes. It might be San Angeles’ excellent secondary that gets a defensive touchdown this time.

And yes, I imagine Jackson will be forced into making some big plays downfield. The Chargers have the 10th-ranked DVOA run defense. They’re much better versus the rush than the other opponents Jackson has faced as a starter. Those were the Bengals (26th), Raiders (22nd), Falcons (30th), Chiefs (32nd), Buccaneers (31st) and Browns (25th). The Chargers limited the Ravens’ offense to just 17 points, and seven of those points came off an early Philip Rivers interception.

SAN ANGELES OFFENSE: Rivers struggled in that first meeting. There’s no doubt about that. However, the Chargers were coming off an emotional win versus the Chiefs and may not have put together a serious offensive game plan for combating Baltimore’s defense. The energy level seemed to be lacking, as both Keenan Allen and Gates made killer mistakes to derail drives.

I expect the Chargers to be sharper this time. It also helps that they’ll have Hunter Henry available for game action for the first time all year. The talented tight end has been practicing with the first team, which is absolutely huge. Baltimore’s defense is excellent, but the sole area of weakness is defending tight ends. Henry’s presence will be a big boost.

One area of concern is Melvin Gordon’s health. Gordon injured his ankle in a game he should not have been playing when it was apparent that the Chiefs would easily dispatch the Raiders. However, it sounds like Gordon will play. Whether he’s 100 percent or not is a different story. Gordon wasn’t completely healthy the last time the Chargers took on the Ravens, so I guess this is something they’re used to.

RECAP: As I wrote on the Saturday games page, quarterbacks making their first career playoff start have an abysmal track record, especially when favored. They’re just not ready for the big stage against great opponents, and the Chargers definitely qualify as such. You could argue that they’re the third-best team in the NFL even though they’re playing on the road in the first round of the playoffs. The Chargers have the run defense to limit Jackson and his backs, and they have the added advantage of already having seen Jackson.

The Chargers lost the first time, but they weren’t completely focused because they just engineered an amazing comeback against the Chiefs. The Ravens, meanwhile, were fighting for their playoff lives. They played with more energy than the Chargers, but that won’t be the case in the rematch.

In fact, I’d say that the conditions greatly benefit the Chargers this time. The pressure is on the Ravens now. They’re the ones who are favored. People expect them to win. And yet, the Chargers are better and can stop the run. Also, the Chargers play better on the road. They have no fans, so being visitors actually benefits them.

But what about the early start and cold weather, you ask? Won’t that hurt them? On the contrary! Under Anthony Lynn, the Chargers are 5-1 against the spread in early East Coast starts. And the weather will not be cold. Weather.com says it’ll be 52 and sunny in Baltimore this Sunday.

I like the Chargers a good deal. I hate that there’s so much action on them, but that could even out as the week progresses and the public perhaps jumps on Baltimore. This is a three-unit play.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: There’s sharp money coming in on the Ravens, as this line has hit +3 in some books, albeit for expensive juice. One book that has a fair price on +3 is BetUS, which lists this game at +3 -110. I’m actually going to lock this in at BetUS, despite the pro money coming in on Baltimore.

SATURDAY NOTES: I locked this in at +3 -110 earlier in the week. BetUS still has the best line on the Chargers at +3 -115. San Angeles seems like the right side. Remember, despite playing extremely poorly, the Chargers were still in position to win the previous meeting, and that was in San Angeles, where the Chargers play poorly. They’re better on the road, especially in early East Coast starts.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’m glad I locked this in at +3 -110, but yet it’s still +3 -119 at Bookmaker, which is still a very good number. If you’re betting the Chargers with me, bet up to three. Either team winning by three is the most likely result. I still like the Chargers, as they match up well against the Ravens. As written earlier, they didn’t play their best the last time they battled Baltimore, and yet they were in position to win at the end before Antonio Gates fumbled. The public is all over the Chargers, but the public is right 45-48 percent of the time. This seems to be one of those occasions.

The Psychology. Edge: Chargers.

This is Lamar Jackson’s first playoff game.

The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.

There’s more money on the Chargers than any other team.

Percentage of money on San Angeles: 75% (45,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: NOne.

Opening Line: Ravens -3.

Opening Total: 41.5.

Weather: Sunny, 49 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Chargers 23, Ravens 20
Chargers +3 (3 Units) – BetUS — Correct; +$300
Over 41.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Chargers 23, Ravens 17

Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) at Chicago Bears (12-4)
Line: Bears by 6.5. Total: 41.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Bears -6.
Sunday, Jan. 6, 4:40 ET

The Game. Edge: None.

Emmitt on the Brink Season 11 is complete! In Episode 16, will Emmitt defeat the evil statue group, Statue-13? Can Emmitt and friends unmask who Statue-13’s leader is?

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is the Facebook Beggar.

This week on FOX, we’re going to have two boring people, Joe Buck and Troy Aikman, calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Dan Fouts and Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the horrible city of Chicago, where my Philadelphia Eagles have come here to assert their dominance over the terrible Bears, who are in the playoffs only because they got lucky! Idiots! My Philadelphia Eagles are going to win and I’m going to make sure it’ll happen, and anyone who disagrees can lick my butt!

Emmitt: Butt, how are you going to make a sure the Eagle gonna winned the game? A sure is somethin’ you go down to the beach for. It have sand and it are the sea sure.

Reilly: That’s S-H-O-R-E, Emm- never mind, you don’t know how to spell. But you did call me butt, and so I’m going to make sure you’re part of the explosion!

Fouts: And here’s what he means by explosion. When you have a bomb, it explodes sometimes. Sometimes, it doesn’t explode. Will a bomb explode if you see it? That’s anyone’s guess. Usually, there’s a red and a blue wire. If you have to cut the wire, make sure it’s the blue one. I’m not sure if this will stop the bomb, but blue is my favorite color, while red is my ninth-favorite color. I will go through the preferential order of colors after the next commercial break.

Wolfley: DAN, I DO NOT HAVE A FAVORITE COLOR BECAUSE I AM COLOR BLIND. I ASKED ONE OF THE SQUIRRELS IN MY BACKYARD TO SCRATCH OUT MY EYES SO I COULDN’T SEE COLORS. WHY DID I DO THIS? BECAUSE I HAD A DIFFICULT TIME DECIDING WHAT MY FAVORITE COLOR WAS. BUT I GUESS IT DOESN’T MATTER ANYMORE BECAUSE KEVIN IS GOING TO BLOW UP THE STADIUM.

Reilly: You idiot, Ron! I’m not going to blow up the stadium. Just the Chicago Bears locker room so my Philadelphia Eagles move on to the next round. Before I pull the trigger, let’s go down to our sideline reporter, Kareem Hunt. Kareem?

Kareem Hunt: Thank you for alerting me of the bomb, Kevin. I will now motion all of the cheerleaders toward the Bears locker room so that they may die in the explosion.

Reilly: Good idea, Kevin. Mother says all girls but herself are evil and that I should avoid talking to them because they might kidnap me. Anyway, you guys ready to see an explosion!? I am! Three! Two! One! Click! Click… click… CLICK!!!

Well-Dressed Man: Not so fast, Kevin.

Reilly: Who are you?

Well-Dressed Man: Why don’t you have a seat, Kevin?

Reilly: I am sitting.

Well-Dressed Man: Good point. My name is Blistopher Manson. And I’m with the TV show To Catch a Bomber.

Tollefson: AHHHHH NOT CHRISTO- wait, oh, phew, I thought I was the one who was going to be in trouble.

Blistopher Manson: Different show. Kevin, why were you going to bomb those young people?

Reilly: Because they were playing my Philadelphia Eagles…

Blistopher Manson: Don’t you see why that’s wrong, Kevin? Do you see why you’re in such big trouble, Kevin?

Reilly: Please don’t make me get into trouble with mother! She’s going to take my computer away from me!

Blistopher Manson: You’re 65, Kevin!

Reilly: That’s young according to Mother! Tell him, New Daddy!

Cutler: Huh? Who is this guy, your real dad? Not that I care either way.

Reilly: No, New Daddy, you’re supposed to rescue me! I don’t want to be grounded! Someone help!

Charles Davis: Kevin, looks like I’m here to save the day once again, Kevin. Hey Blistopher, let’s talk about bombs, Blistopher. How about barrel bomb, Blistopher? Let’s talk about a bouncing bomb, Blistopher. Why don’t we talk about a bunker buster, Blistopher? What about C4, Blistopher? Have we mentioned car bomb yet, Blistopher? What about pepperoni pizza bomb, Blistopher?

Blistopher Manson: No. What does this have to do with anything?

Charles Davis: Looks like talking about types of bombs didn’t work, Blistopher. Let’s try another tactic, Blistopher. Who uses bombs, Blistopher? I mean primarily, Blistopher? Terrorist groups, Blistopher. Sometimes terrorists who use bombs say they do it for the nation of Islam, Blistopher. And you hate bombers, Blistopher. That makes you an Islamophobe, Blistopher. Why are you an Islamophobe, Blistopher? Why are you a racist and Islamophobe, Blistopher?

Blistopher Manson: Wait- no- don’t call me that! Anything but that! They’re going to cancel my show if you say I’m an Islamophobe even if I’m not! Forget it! I’m out of here! You’re lucky you have such a good friend, Kevin!

Reilly: Yes. Yes, I do. You are my favorite person ever, Charles Davis.

Charles Davis (inaudibly): Yes, Kevin, and soon I will be your worst enemy, Kevin! You’ll find out soon why that is the case, Kevin, muhahaha, Kevin.

Meanwhile, in an abandoned warehouse in North Philly…

Herm: C-C-C-C-C-C-C-C-C-C-C-C-C-COLD!

PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: The Eagles barely snuck into the playoffs, but Nick Foles suffered a rib injury toward the end of the Washington game. It doesn’t sound overly serious according to most reports, though Jason La Canfora’s report that Foles was anally probed by aliens didn’t sound too promising. Still, it sounds like Foles will be on the field and at near-100-percent capacity.

This is obviously great news, as Foles has been the catalyst for the Eagles’ late-season surge. Foles, however, has a difficult matchup against the best defense in the NFL. The Bears have a stellar defensive front that is capable of putting tons of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, but Foles happens to be well protected. Still, Chicago has the personnel in the secondary to slow down Alshon Jeffery and most of the other receivers.

If there’s one liability in the Bears’ defense, it’s at slot corner. Bryce Callahan was having a great season, but was knocked out for the year with an injury. Sherrick McManis has played well in Callahan’s absence, but we’ll see if that continues to be the case. Also, the Bears aren’t terrific against tight ends. They’re not bad in that aspect, but I could see Zach Ertz putting together a solid game.

CHICAGO OFFENSE: The Bears also received some positive injury news recently, as starting right guard Kyle Long returned from a lengthy absence last week. The Bears had a weakness on their otherwise stellar offensive line with Long gone, but his presence will allow the Bears to have a chance at keeping Fletcher Cox from flooding the backfield.

If so, that’ll be huge for the Bears. They need all the help they can get, as Mitchell Trubisky will be playing in his first playoff game. Trubisky will be great while scrambling around for yardage, but I can’t say I trust him as a passer, even against Philadelphia’s banged-up secondary. Trubisky has thrown very well at times, but against tougher foes, he’s had a habit of releasing passes off his back foot, which has led to interceptions.

I’m sure Chicago would love to run the ball as much as possible so that Trubisky doesn’t do this very often. The problem with that strategy is that the Eagles have improved substantially against the run lately. They were previously weak versus the rush, but that has not been the case since their top linebacker, Jordan Hicks, returned from injury. Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen won’t have much success accumulating yardage on the ground.

RECAP: I’ve mentioned countless times since July that I have a 100/1 ticket on the Bears to win the Super Bowl – $50 to win $5,000 – but I’m concerned that it could be in jeopardy in this game. The Eagles are on fire with Foles, while the Bears will have a quarterback making his first playoff start ever. The Bears are expected to win by the largest margin of all the teams in the opening round, so this is a ton of pressure on a team with no playoff success. That worries me.

I like the Eagles for a couple of units. It’s not just a hedge, though I don’t mind that added bonus. The Bears haven’t beaten a team that has made the playoffs by double digits this year, so this game should be close. I also expect the inexperienced Trubisky to make a mistake or two, so that should keep the Eagles hanging around to cover the six points. I might bet a bit on the moneyline as well.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Bovada has +6 -105 available, which is appealing. Then, I saw +6.5 -113 at Bookmaker, which is better. I’m thinking about locking this in, but with the line moving up, we might get a better number soon.

SATURDAY NOTES: Sharp money on Chicago has moved this line to +6.5 -110. It’s not out of the question that we’ll see a reasonable +7 at some point, so I’ll continue to monitor this closely.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Two first-time playoff quarterbacks down, one to go. I fear for my Bears Super Bowl prop. I think the Eagles cover this spread, though it’s worth noting that the sharps are betting Chicago. The best line I can see is +6.5 -105 at Bookmaker. This will still be a two-unit wager.

The Psychology. Edge: Eagles.

This is Mitchell Trubisky’s first playoff game.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Philadelphia: 52% (51,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Eagles.

Eagles are 31-19 ATS as road underdogs since 2005.

Opening Line: Bears -5.5.

Opening Total: 42.

Weather: Cloudy, 39 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Bears 24, Eagles 20
Eagles +6.5 -105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
Over 41 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Eagles 16, Bears 15

Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Colts at Texans, Seahawks at Cowboys

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Props to be posted here

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 16

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

2024 NFL Draft Goals

2024 NFL Draft Potential Busts

NFL Free Agent Signing Grades – Latest Signing Grades for 2024 NFL Free Agency

2024 NFL Mock Draft

2024 NFL Draft Day 3 Sleepers

2024 Final

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2018

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