NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2015

NFL Picks (Preseason 2015): 7-10-1 (-$1,420)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2015): 10-6 (+$940)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2015): 9-7 (-$895)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2015): 7-9 (-$870)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2015): 6-8-1 (-$360)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2015): 6-6-2 (+$55)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2015): 5-8-1 (-$690)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2015): 4-9-1 (-$860)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2015): 5-8-1 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2015): 8-5 (+$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2015): 6-8 (-$610)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2015): 5-6-3 (-$2,010)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2015): 6-10 (-$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2015): 8-7-1 (+$195)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2015): 11-5 (+$1,550)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2015): 7-7-2 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2015): 8-8 (+$390)

NFL Picks (2015): 118-127-9 (-$4,725)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 3, 11:55 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 17 NFL Picks – Early Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-9) at Carolina Panthers (14-1)
Line: Panthers by 11. Total: 44.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread : Panthers -10.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Panthers -10.
Sunday, Jan 3, 4:25 ET
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The Game. Edge: Panthers.

As you may have noticed, I’m posting these picks on Tuesday. My new schedule will be as follows:

Tuesday Afternoon:
NFL Picks
Fantasy Football Weekly Rankings

Tuesday Evening:
Fantasy Football: Start Em, Sit Em

Wednesday Afternoon:
Live 2016 NFL Mock Draft

Wednesday Evening:
FanDuel Picks
College Football Picks

Everything else will remain the same. As always, check back during the week or follow me @walterfootball.

CAROLINA OFFENSE: The Panthers inexplicably mustered 13 points last week against a defense that isn’t any good. A couple of things happened. First of all, Carolina simply didn’t show up. The team took its game against the Falcons for granted, as they blasted Atlanta by the score of 38-0 two weeks beforehand. Second, the Falcons did a good job of pressuring Newton without letting him scramble very much.

Can the Buccaneers do the same thing? Perhaps. They’re ranked in the middle of the pack in terms of sacks, but the Falcons are dead last. So, it seems as though it’s all about motivation here, and it’s difficult to imagine the Panthers having much. They’ve just had their perfect season spoiled, and we’ve seen other undefeated teams struggle following their initial loss. I know that home-field advantage is on the line, but Carolina has to believe that it won’t take much effort to beat the 6-9 Buccaneers.

If this were a normal game, I’d like Carolina’s chances of scoring consistently. The Buccaneers have an awful secondary that Jay Cutler just abused. He hooked up with Zach Miller seven times for 69 yards, which bodes well for Greg Olson, who almost certainly will have a rebound performance. I wouldn’t expect much from the Panthers’ running backs, given that the Buccaneers are so stout versus the rush, but Newton should be able to pick up chunks of yardage with his scrambles.

TAMPA BAY OFFENSE: The Buccaneers probably would’ve beaten the Bears had they not murderered themselves with mistakes. Doug Martin lost two fumbles, while Mike Evans dropped a deep pass. They’ll obviously have to be much cleaner to stay within double digits of the Panthers, though given that this is a big statement game for them, I expect them to be more focused.

Unfortunately for the Buccaneers, that may not mean all that much, given how forceful Carolina’s defense is. Josh Norman will be out for blood after Julio Jones embarrassed him last week, so I think he’ll do a better job on Evans, who hasn’t been able to exploit favorable matchups recently. Jameis Winston should at least have the time to find Evans downfield, however, as his line has surrendered the fourth-fewest sacks in the NFL this year.

As for Martin, he’ll have to deal with the NFL’s seventh-best rush defense. This is obviously a difficult proposition, though I think we’ll see his best effort, given that he’s chasing Adrian Peterson for the rushing title.

RECAP: The Buccaneers have been either stupid or lethargic for three weeks now. Ever since they beat the Falcons, they’ve played like crap. However, I think things will be different this week, as this is their big Super Bowl game. It’s also the first time they’ll be big underdogs in quite a while. They’ll be motivated to prove themselves against the Panthers, who, as mentioned figure to be flat. Most undefeated teams struggle after their initial loss, and I don’t see why the Panthers would be any different.

I’m taking Tampa for two units, as this spread is too high. Even if it wasn’t for the motivational factors, I’d still like the Buccaneers. The Panthers have yet to be double-digit favorites this year. The closest they were was back in Week 3 against Luke McCown, and they failed to cover the 9.5 points, winning just 27-22. And sure, they stomped over some teams, but this is a divisional rivalry, so I think the Buccaneers can hang around.

WEDNESDAY NOTES: No change for me here. I’m still on the Buccaneers.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps haven’t given an indication that they like the Buccaneers, but the public is betting up the Panthers. The pros could be waiting for a great number to take Tampa.

SUNDAY NOTES: No surprise here. The line rose to -11, prompting the sharps to pound Tampa.

The Psychology. Edge: Buccaneers.

Losing their first game of the season, the Panthers could be flat. Most undefeated teams that lose their initial game often struggle the following week.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action thus far, which is surprising.

Percentage of money on Carolina: 59% (14,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Buccaneers.

History: Panthers have won 7 the last 9 meetings.

Road Team is 65-39 ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.

Lovie Smith is 9-1 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.

Cam Newton is 17-12 ATS off a loss as long as he’s not favored by 7+.

Opening Line: Panthers -10.

Opening Total: 47.

Weather: .

Week 17 NFL Pick: Panthers 23, Buccaneers 17
Buccaneers +11 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Under 44.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Panthers 38, Buccaneers 10

Oakland Raiders (7-8) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-5)
Line: Chiefs by 7. Total: 44.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread : Chiefs -7.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Chiefs -4.5.
Sunday, Jan 3, 4:25 ET
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The Game. Edge: Chiefs.

I don’t know if you noticed, but I made a slight change to the home page to separate all of the categories of the site…

You may have seen a section called Open Rant, where you can create your own blogs. If they are good enough, I’ll post them on the home page or tweet them out.

Our 2016 NFL Mock Draft Builder is live! Create your own mock, which could be placed in the mock database. I’ll also tweet some of them out.

We also have a NFL Power Rankings Builder. Don’t like my power rankings? Create your own!

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: The Chiefs don’t really do anything on this side of the ball. Alex Smith occasionally takes a deep shot or two, but the Chiefs run the ball, dink and dunk, or have Smith scramble for first downs. As a consequence, the Chiefs have accumulated an average of 274 net yards per game over the past month. Because that number means nothing out of context, as a barometer, Kansas City has surrendered 343.8 net yards per contest in that span. That’s right – they’ve been outgained by about 70 yards per game despite playing the Raiders, Chargers, Ravens and Browns, who have a combined record of 19-41.

If you couldn’t tell, I’m not very crazy about Kansas City’s scoring attack, especially in this matchup. The Chiefs need to run the ball to have success, but they may not be able to do that against the Raiders, who have surrendered more than 80 rushing yards just once since Week 10, ranking 10th in the NFL in terms of YPC. Kansas City was able to muster just 66 yards on the ground at Oakland, explaining why it was limited to just 4.8 yards per play.

Without a strong rushing attack, Smith will have to do more with his arm, which is never a promising thing. The Raiders have some issues in their secondary, and their pass rush hasn’t been as potent without Aldon Smith, but I don’t think the Chiefs will be able to move the chains consistently. Alex Smith will pick up some first downs with his legs, but that’s about it.

OAKLAND OFFENSE: The Raiders outgained the Chiefs by 129 net yards in Week 13, but they lost by two touchdowns because Derek Carr murdered his team with a pair of crucial interceptions. Holding a six-point lead, he drove down the field, just outside the red zone, but a careless pick-six of his sparked a Kansas City surge that ultimately culminated in a 34-20 advantage.

I can’t say I have more faith in Carr right now, however. It seems like he makes a couple of bone-headed plays each game. He has played well in some instances, though not having a healthy Amari Cooper hurts. Cooper is banged up, so I don’t expect Oakland’s receivers to have much success against Kansas City’s terrific secondary.

If the Raiders move the ball, it’ll have to be on the ground. The Chiefs had a top-10 ground defense going into last week’s game, but the Browns accumulated 124 rushing yards with their running backs alone. That bodes well for Latavius Murray, who has played well lately.

RECAP: If it wasn’t for the Bills, I would’ve considered this to be my December NFL Pick of the Month. I love the Raiders in this spot.

I’ve been fading the Chiefs for a while now. I haven’t enjoyed much success in terms of pure results, but I’ve been on the right side of all of their games ever since Week 12. They sputter offensively, yet continue to be favored by too many points. Seven is also too many. As mentioned, the Chiefs produce nothing on offense and have been outgained by a wide margin against pedestrian competition. This team is just not that good, yet continues to be overrated by the clueless media.

I was hoping to be able to bet against the Chiefs in a must-win game, but I still love the Raiders here. They have plenty of motivation – divisional revenge, a goal to get to 8-8 – so I think we’ll see their best effort to keep Kansas City from claiming the division.

I’m going with four units. I may increase it to five if I hear glowing reports on Cooper. I just wish we were getting better line value with the Raiders – I thought this spread could approach 10 – but it seems like the books have caught on. They’re effectively begging for Kansas City money.

WEDNESDAY NOTES: I was hoping more money would come in on the Chiefs, but it’s a 50-50 game overall in terms of wagers. Go Raiders.

FINAL THOUGHTS: What I wrote in the Panthers-Buccaneers game also applies here. The public is betting up Kansas City, while the pros haven’t wagered on either side yet. If this keeps moving up, I imagine they’ll take the Raiders at +8 or +9.

SUNDAY NOTES: So much for +8 or +9. This line moved off +7.5 with some professional action on the Raiders, but not an overwhelming amount.

The Psychology. Edge: TBA.
Depends on the Monday night game.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Kansas City: 58% (25,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

History: Road Team has won 13 of the last 18 meetings.

Jack Del Rio is 8-2 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.

Jack Del Rio is 9-5 ATS in same-season divisional revenge games.

Raiders are 11-25 ATS after a win since 2009.

Raiders are 2-9 ATS in Week 17 since 2003.

Jack Del Rio is 1-7 ATS in Week 17 games.

Opening Line: Chiefs -6.5.

Opening Total: 43.5.

Weather: .

Week 17 NFL Pick: Chiefs 20, Raiders 17
Raiders +7 (4 Units) — Correct; +$400
Under 44 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Chiefs 23, Raiders 17

San Diego Chargers (4-11) at Denver Broncos (11-4)
Line: Broncos by 9.5. Total: 42.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread : Broncos -9.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Broncos -7.
Sunday, Jan 3, 4:25 ET
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The Game. Edge: Broncos.

Emmitt on the Brink is back for Season 8! Episode 16 is posted. How are Roger Goodell and Kim Jong-un connected? Can Emmitt and his companions stop North Korea from blowing up America?

DENVER OFFENSE: It seemed as though the Broncos were going to get blown out of the water on Monday night football, instantly trailing 14-0 and potentially 17-0 if it wasn’t for a missed field goal. Brock Osweiler didn’t appear to be 100 percent, bracing himself to avoid taking a big hit on his shoulder, which he injured against the Steelers.

And then, Osweiler went nuts. He had a great game against a tough defense, so I have to believe that he’ll excel against the Chargers, who won’t have Eric Weddle on the field. I don’t think the Broncos will be all that consistent when it comes to scoring, as San Diego’s defense has improved in the second half of the season and actually limited the Broncos to just 4.4 yards per play a few weeks ago. However, Osweiler could be solid enough to score enough points to lead the team to victory.

Not having a consistent rushing attack won’t help matters. The Chargers were once ranked last against the run, but they’ve limited their previous four opponents to 3.9 YPC, thanks to some personnel changes they’ve made. Plus, Denver doesn’t pound the ball all that well anyway.

SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: The Chargers also averaged 4.4 yards per play in that aforementioned meeting. That number figures to be better here, given that Philip Rivers has played better on the road. However, Denver’s defense will once again pose a great challenge, given that Rivers has a skeleton crew surrounding him.

The Broncos should be able to generate a great pass rush. San Diego’s offensive line is in shambles, as it continues to sustain injuries each week. The Broncos have accumulated the most sacks in the NFL this year, so they’ll get to Rivers consistently unless he continues to release the ball quickly. That’s the strategy the Chargers have adopted recently, and it has worked on occasion. However, any sort of penalty or dropped pass effectively ends the possession because they’re so limited. Fortunately for Rivers, he still has Antonio Gates to throw to, while Dontrelle Inman, who is healthy again, enjoyed a strong performance at Oakland. Inman has a much tougher matchup against the stout Denver cornerbacks, however.

Don’t expect much from San Diego’s ground attack, but that goes without saying, since Denver has the No. 1 rush defense in the NFL. However, it’s noteworthy that Melvin Gordon is out; his absence is actually an upgrade because it allows the pass-catching backs to be on the field more, giving Rivers more options. Besides, Gordon was completely ineffective.

RECAP: I loved the Chargers immediately following Week 16. I was considering this to be a four-unit wager. San Diego has been playing better lately since making adjustments on defense. They’ve also been a superior road team all year. Meanwhile, the Broncos haven’t been able to put together four great quarters in a single game. They sputter sometimes on offense, which would open up the possibility of the Chargers covering a high spread such as this one. Plus, San Diego having divisional revenge doesn’t hurt.

So, why am I hesitating? Well, two reasons. First of all, Mike McCoy could be a lame-duck coach. Teams knowing their coaches will be fired seldom perform well in Week 17. The thing is, it’s unclear if McCoy will get axed. Perhaps he’ll keep his job if San Diego pulls off the upset here. Second, the whole Weddle situation seems wrong. Weddle has been fined and banished from the team for wanting to see his daughter perform during a recent halftime, which is just ridiculous. It wouldn’t surprise me if the front office and/or the coaching staff lost the locker room as a consequence.

I’m still going to put a unit on the Chargers. Perhaps I’ll increase my wager if I learn more about this Weddle story, but it doesn’t sound promising right now.

WEDNESDAY NOTES: The only thing I’ve read concerning Weddle is Rivers hoping he’d travel with the team. It’s difficult to measure something like this.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The Chargers are a public dog here, which would have me worried if I weren’t betting more than a unit on them. The whole Weddle situation is unclear, so I may even move off this unit on Sunday.

SUNDAY NOTES: I’m taking the unit off this game. I just don’t have a good feeling about it. Given how the front office treated Weddle, there could be a quit factor here.

The Psychology. Edge: Chargers.

The Chargers have divisional revenge and would love to knock their arch rival out of the division lead.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on San Diego: 50% (21,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chargers.

History: Broncos have won 7 of the last 8 meetings.

Philip Rivers is 33-22 ATS as a starter after Nov. 30 (15-9 ATS as an underdog).

Opening Line: Broncos -8.

Opening Total: 41.5.

Weather: .

Week 17 NFL Pick: Broncos 20, Chargers 16
Chargers +9.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Under 42 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Broncos 27, Chargers 20

St. Louis Rams (7-8) at San Francisco 49ers (4-11)
Line: Rams by 3. Total: 38.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread : Rams -2.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Rams -1.5.
Sunday, Jan 3, 4:25 ET
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The Game. Edge: Rams.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is Christmas Shopping Without a Baby.

ST. LOUIS OFFENSE: Todd Gurley had a string of four 100-yard rushing performances to kick off his career. The fourth came against the 49ers, which featured a long touchdown run that broke the game open. Gurley could repeat that performance; San Francisco surrendered 215 rushing yards to the Browns in Week 14, so the potential is there for a big outing.

Gurley will once again make life easier for Case Keenum, who has been a lot better than Nick Foles. Keenum has managed the game for the most part, but he has made some impressive throws, doing enough to move the chains at times. The 49ers don’t have the best secondary, so Keenum figures to play well again. The drives won’t be overly consistent though, so that could open up the door for the 49ers – if their scoring attack can do anything about it…

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: Unfortunately for the 49ers, they don’t have the best matchup here. Their offensive line is atrocious, which makes it highly unlikely that they’ll consistently move the ball. Aaron Donald and the rest of the Rams’ front should be able to dominate the trenches.

With Blaine Gabbert constantly facing pressure, the cowardly quarterback will continue to do what he does best – dink and dunk to his heart’s desire. Gabbert has an obscene amount of third-down completions that haven’t resulted in first downs, and he’ll likely keep racking up that total.

The one chance the 49ers have is by pounding the ball. You’d think St. Louis would be good at stopping that aspect, but the team actually maintains the fifth-worst defensive YPC figure (4.85) over the past month. DuJuan Harris showed enough to make me think that he can exploit that liability, and Shaun Draughn could return from injury this week anyway.

RECAP: The 49ers seem pathetic to most people, which would explain why most of the action is on the Rams. Well, the 49ers are pathetic – at least Jed York and his front office are. The team, on the other hand, has played hard recently. They’ve battled the elite Bengals two weeks ago and showed great effort at the end. They then fought the Lions tooth and nail, establishing a lead against a hot team on the road. Detroit ultimately won and covered, but San Francisco’s performance was impressive, nonetheless.

If the 49ers carry that energy into this game, I have to believe that they’ll cover and perhaps triumph outright. They’ll probably have more energy than the Rams, who won their “Super Bowl” by defeating the Seahawks. As mentioned earlier, teams that win as double-digit underdogs tend to struggle the following week, and I don’t see why the Rams would suddenly cover 3.5 points on the road. They’re challenged offensively, so this should be a close affair, perhaps decided by a field goal or less.

San Francisco is the play for me. I don’t want to wager too heavily on a bad team, but two units seems about right.

WEDNESDAY NOTES: An e-mailer alerted me that the Rams have decided to stay out on the West Coast. They’re apparently on vacation, as they’re taking in the sights and going to Warriors games. Yeah, seems like they’re super focused. I’m going to place a third unit on the 49ers.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I thought there would be more sharp action on the 49ers, especially with Todd Gurley out for the Rams, but that’s not the case. Instead, the public continues to pound the Rams like it’s free money. I still like San Francisco quite a bit.

SUNDAY NOTES: The sharps have bet this down from +3.5 to +3. That’s not a shocker at all, given that the Rams have basically been on vacation all week.

The Psychology. Edge: 49ers.

The Rams just won their “Super Bowl” over the Seahawks. Why would they show up against a team they crushed earlier in the year?

The Vegas. Edge: 49ers.

Everyone is betting on the Rams, as expected.

Percentage of money on St. Louis: 66% (18,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: 49ers.

History: 49ers have won 14 of the last 20 meetings, excluding the 2012 tie.

Rams are 29-46 ATS on grass since 2001.

Jeff Fisher is 7-13 ATS on the West Coast since 1999.

Jeff Fisher is 1-5 ATS in his second-consecutive road game with the Rams.

Favorites after playing the Seahawks are 10-26 ATS.

Opening Line: Rams -3.5.

Opening Total: 37.5.

Weather: .

Week 17 NFL Pick: Rams 17, 49ers 16
49ers +3 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
Under 38.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
49ers 19, Rams 16

Seattle Seahawks (9-6) at Arizona Cardinals (13-2)
Line: Cardinals by 6. Total: 47.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread : Seahawks -2.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Cardinals -4 (Wilson) or Cardinals -13.5 (Jackson).
Sunday, Jan 3, 4:25 ET
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The Game. Edge: Cardinals.

The Real John Moss is back! Well, sort of. I found a lost G-chat conversation I had with the Real John Moss, the most illiterate human being on the planet, about the NFL Draft…

Check out the Real John Moss page with that e-mail and all the strange conversations I’ve had with him this year.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: Will the Seahawks play their starters? They have nothing at stake here, really. They’ve clinched playoff berth, but can’t win the division. Thus, they’re stuck with either the No. 5 or 6 seed, rendering this game meaningless.

Because of this, I’m not going to delve into this matchup too deeply on this side of the ball. I’d like Russell Wilson’s chances of moving the chains better than last week; I didn’t penalize Seattle at all in my NFL Power Rankings for that loss because, as with this contest, the Rams game didn’t mean anything. Seattle was just flat. I imagine that the Seahawks will be more focused for this contest if they decide to try hard, but they may opt to rest their starters. Why risk an injury to Wilson, all while revealing adjustments to the Cardinals when they could clash on the way to the Super Bowl?

ARIZONA OFFENSE: Regardless of whether or not the Seahawks play their top defensive players, I think the Cardinals should be able to move the chains effectively. The Seahawks are pretty weak at cornerback; they have nothing beyond Richard Sherman, who hasn’t been as dominant as in previous years. Arizona has three dynamic receivers, so how is Seattle supposed to cover all of them?

Meanwhile, David Johnson has put the offense over the top. Johnson has been outstanding ever since taking over for the ineffective Chris Johnson. The Seahawks have a top-ranked run defense, but Johnson is great as a receiver out of the backfield, and I expect him to do his damage that way. Johnson has carried the ball like a bull; in fact, Cris Collinsworth said that Johnson was “worthy of Beast Mode” on one of his impressive runs on a recent Sunday night.

Of course, all of this is moot if the Seahawks concede this game and opt to start some of their scrubs. While Seattle has nothing to play for, Arizona could claim home-field advantage with a victory and a Carolina loss. Bruce Arians already said that his team will go hard in this contest; not that he’d surrender the No. 1 seed for no good reason.

RECAP: “Whoa.” I actually just said that aloud when I looked at the spread. It opened -3.5 and was -4.5 when I began my picks Tuesday afternoon. Well, the line is now -7.

Thinking about it, it makes sense based on what I wrote before. The Seahawks probably aren’t going to use many of their starters, while the Cardinals will try hard to obtain the No. 1 seed. The fact that this number moved so much means that Vegas isn’t afraid of being middled. Thus, that means one of two things will happen: The Seahawks will win or lose by fewer than four points, or Arizona will triumph in a huge rout. Which do you think will happen?

Yeah, thought so. The Cardinals have to be the play here. They’re the best team in the NFL, and they’re on a mission. Tarvaris Jackson is not going to keep up with Palmer on the scoreboard.

WEDNESDAY NOTES: I thought this spread would continue to rise, but it has dropped to 6.5. I could still see the number move up later in the week, however.

FINAL THOUGHTS: No one is really talking about the possibility that the Seahawks could sit their starters. I don’t get why. Risking injury and revealing a game plan to the biggest threat in the conference, just to go from No. 6 to No. 5 doesn’t make much sense to me. The public is split on this game, by the way, while the sharps haven’t touched it at -6/-6.5.

SUNDAY NOTES: Again, no word at all from the media on the Seattle starters. The Seahawks have nothing to play for here, yet everyone is saying Washington is the only team with an inconsequential game. I don’t get it.

The Psychology. Edge: Cardinals.

The Cardinals are chasing the No. 1 seed. The Seahawks have nothing to play for.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Arizona: 53% (29,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: TBA.

History: Seahawks have won 4 of the past 6 meetings.

Seahawks are 10-5 ATS in their road finale since 1996.

Russell Wilson is 9-5 ATS after a loss as long as he’s not favored by -10 or more. ???

Russell Wilson is 10-3 ATS as an underdog. ???

Pete Carroll is 8-4 ATS after losing as a favorite.

Seahawks are 28-37 ATS on the road since 2006 if they’re not coming off an away loss.

Seahawks are 5-12 ATS on the road vs. teams that average 24+ ppg since 2007.

Cardinals are 26-12 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Cardinals are 27-11 ATS at home as underdogs or favorites of less than -3 since 2007. ???

Bruce Arians is 31-16 ATS as head coach of the Cardinals.

Opening Line: Cardinals -3.5.

Opening Total: 47.5.

Weather: .

Week 17 NFL Pick: Cardinals 34, Seahawks 10
Cardinals -6 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Under 47 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Seahawks 36, Cardinals 6

Minnesota Vikings (10-5) at Green Bay Packers (10-5)
Line: Packers by 3. Total: 44.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread : Packers -5.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Packers -3.5.
Sunday, Jan 3, 1:00 ET
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The Game. Edge: Vikings.

This week on ESPN, we’re going to have Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, and mindless automatons like Dan Fouts. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven clowns (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Green Bay, home of the Packers! Tonight, the Packers and Vikings battle each other to determine the winner of the NFC Central! Guys, I would normally be excited for this game, but my Philadelphia Eagles have been eliminated from the playoffs. And what’s worse is that I can’t even bomb any of the teams because the Falcons are the next team to get in. If my Eagles were next, I’d kill all the players on one of these teams without even thinking twice!

Emmitt: Mike, or… uhh… Charlie Sly, I am in agree with everything you say except for one thing. You say the conference these team play in is the NFC Central. I know this to be uncorrect. This because I’m looking at a newspaper right now and none of the conference are call NFC Central. In factual, both these team play in the conference call NFC South.

Herm: THAT’S NOT TRUE! THAT’S FALSE! THAT’S INACCURATE! THAT’S A FALSEHOOD! THAT’S A WRONG STATEMENT! IT’S THE OPPOSITE! IT’S THE REVERSE! IT’S THE CONTRARY! THE VIKINGS DON’T PLAY IN THE NFC SOUTH! THE PACKERS DON’T PLAY IN THE NFC SOUTH! THE VIKINGS DON’T PLAY IN THE NFC SOUTH! WAIT, HERM SAID THAT ALREADY! WHY’S HERM REPEATING HIMSELF!? WHY DOES THIS ALWAYS HAPPEN!? BUT LET ME TAKE OUT MY COMPASS! MY TRUSTY COMPASS! I CARRY THIS COMPASS EVERYWHERE I GO! IT’S POINTING WEST! WHY’S IT POINTING WEST!? WHAT’S TO THE WEST!? GO WEST, YOUNG MAN!? THE VIKINGS DON’T PLAY IN THE WEST! THE PACKERS DON’T PLAY IN THE WEST! THE VIKINGS DON’T PLAY IN THE WEST! THERE’S HERM REPEATING HIMSELF AGAIN! THE VIKINGS PLAY IN THE NORTH! THE PACKERS PLAY IN THE NORTH! THE VIKINGS PLAY IN THE NORTH! HERM REPEATED HIMSELF AGAIN! NOT THE FIRST TIME! NOT THE SECOND TIME! NOT THE THIRD TIME! ACTUALLY, IT WAS THE THIRD TIME! AT LEAST IT WASN’T THE FOURTH TIME! OR THE FIFTH TIME! OR THE FOURTH TIME! WAIT, THAT WAS THE FOURTH TIME! FOURTH TIME HERM REPEATED HIMSELF! FOURTH TIME HERM REPEATED HIMSELF! NOW THAT WAS THE FIFTH TIME! THE FIFTH TIME! The fifth… uhh… umm…

Reilly: What an idiot. Why the hell are you carrying a compass anyway? You’re just being a useless idiot, as usual.

Wolfley: IT’S NEVER A BAD IDEA TO CARRY A COMPASS, KEVIN. WHEN I WAS A LITTLE BOY, I USED TO WEAR A GREEN OUTFIT AND I’D FIND COMPASSES IN TREASURE CHESTS AMONG OTHER THINGS LIKE MAPS, KEYS AND BOMBS. THE COMPASS PROVED TO BE USEFUL BECAUSE I COULD LEARN WHERE THE FINAL BOSS IS.

Fouts: And here’s what he means by final boss. There’s a boss, who happens to be the person in charge. Sometimes the boss is a male. Sometimes the boss is a female, which could often mean trouble if you plan on cracking crude jokes in the office! And sometimes the boss is an animal or a monster. Before I became an NFL announcer, I worked in an office building where our boss was both an animal and a monster. He was an animal monster. He told us to destroy the hero, but I got fired because I didn’t file the TPS reports in time. There are lots of bosses, but there’s usually one final boss. This is a boss that is final. And what I mean by final is the last. So, it’s the last boss. My boss at my old job wasn’t a final boss. He was one of those middle bosses you usually have to beat to retrieve a cool item.

Charles Davis: And let’s talk about bosses, Dan. Let’s begin with Aquamentus, Dan. He’s the first boss, Dan. Let’s move on to Dodongo, Dan. How about Manhandla, Dan? What about Gleeok, Dan? Sometimes he has two, or three, or four heads, Dan. Why don’t we discuss Digdogger, Kevin? Or how about Gohma, Dan? Can only be killed by arrows, Dan! Let’s not forget about Patra, Dan. There’s only one more boss, Dan. I’ll give you three options, Dan, and you guess who it is, Dan. Is it A) Russell Wilson, Dan? Is it B) Ganon, Dan? Is it C) Curious George, Dan? Oh, you guessed Russell Wilson, Dan? That would be incorrect, Dan. It’s Ganon, Dan.

Fouts: Damn it, I really thought it was Russell Wilson.

Reilly: Can you idiots just shut up so we can laugh at Herm for carrying around a compass. What are you a nerd, Herm!? NERD!!!

Millen: Kevin, believe it or not, but I carry a compass around with me as well. It serves three purposes. First, if I get lost, it’ll always point me home. I don’t know how people find their way without a compass. It’s not like we have technology that gives us directions. Second, my compass helps me find 100-percent USDA Men. And third, sometimes these 100-percent USDA Men enjoy it when I insert my compass, along with my kielbasas, into their backside. This is super kinky, but highly enjoyable!

Tollefson: That’s a stupid use for a compass, Millen. What I like to do with my compass is tell hot women that I’m lost, so they lead me back home where I quickly chain them up in my basement until I can brainwash them well enough so that they’ll cook and clean naked for me for all eternity.

Herm: I TOLD YOU, KEVIN! I TOLD YOU! COMPASSES ARE GREAT! I LOVE COMPASSES! I LOVE COMPASSES! I LOVE COMPASSES! AHHH CAN’T STOP REPEATING MYSELF! CAN’T STOP! CAN’T STOP! CAN’T… can’t…

Reilly: THAT’S BECAUSE I JUST BASHED YOU OVER THE HEAD WITH YOUR OWN COMPASS, AND NOW THERE’S BLOOD GUSHING OUT OF YOUR EARS! HAHAHAHAHAHAHA! We’ll be back right after this!

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: The Packers have struggled on this side of the ball since Week 4, and there are lots of reasons for that. Aaron Rodgers, who has no healthy receivers to work with, is dealing with a shoulder problem. He has an inconsistent running game supporting him, while the offensive line has regressed. David Bakhtiari has been hurt; Josh Sitton has nursed an injured back; and Bryan Bulaga has been banged up recently. Rodgers got no protection against Arizona, and was sacked into oblivion as a consequence.

It’s unclear who’s going to be available for the Packers. Bakhtiari was questionable all last week before being downgraded to doubtful the night before. Perhaps it’s a good sign that he was seen as potentially able to play throughout the previous week. Green Bay needs any sort of good news it can get, as the Vikings have a ferocious pass rush now that all of their defenders are back in the lineup.

The Packers might be able to move the chains on the ground if at least one of their linemen returns from injury. Prior to Sunday night’s game against the Giants, who can’t run the ball anyway, the Vikings have surrendered 4.6 yards per carry over the past month. Eddie Lacy has been fat and useless for the most part, but he’s had a solid game here and there. Perhaps this will be one of them.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: The Packers also have some issues on defense. Sam Shields has missed the past couple of games, so having him back eventually would be huge. I don’t think he’s as much of a factor in this matchup because the Vikings don’t have any stud receivers on offense. Stefon Diggs has been good, but he’s not a dominant force, and I think the other Green Bay defensive backs can at least limit him.

Obviously, what the Packers need to be concerned with is Adrian Peterson, who looked great last week after getting banged up the game before. Peterson is gunning for the rushing title, so he’ll be even more motivated than usual for this contest. The Packers won’t have much of an answer for him.

Peterson running well will make life easier for Teddy Bridgewater, who has played well since laying an egg against the Seahawks. Bridgewater also wasn’t at his best in his first matchup against the Packers, and it’s been brought up that he has come up small in big games. He can silence those critics by performing well in this contest.

RECAP: This spread was -5.5 a week ago. Everyone saw the Packers get wrecked at Arizona, and then everyone watched the Vikings destroy the Giants. Thus, this line dropped to -3.

Is the line move warranted? Well, Green Bay lost on the road against the best team in the NFL. Minnesota, meanwhile, crushed a team that wasn’t trying because it was eliminated from the playoffs the night before. Oh, and Odell Beckham Jr. was out, too.

The reason this spread is adjusted is somewhat flawed, as you can see. It’s not completely flawed, however, because the Packers do have legitimate problems up front. It’s unclear if Bakhtiari and Bulaga will play. If they’re both out, it’s hard to like the Packers’ chances. On the other hand, if they’re able to suit up, Green Bay has a shot to win and cover. Remember what I said about Bridgewater – he has yet to win a big game, so if I were to back him, I’d like to have more points.

I’m going to take the Packers, but for no units. This may change during the week, depending on the statuses of the injured Green Bay players, so stay tuned.

WEDNESDAY NOTES: There’s been some speculation that the Packers could rest their starters to guarantee themselves a matchup against the Redskins. If they do that, they need to fire all of the coaches. Not having confidence in your team to beat anyone is a dangerous game. I should note that I just read this on Facebook, so it could be completely made up. I don’t think the Packers would do something like this.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Here’s another game where the public is split. The sharps haven’t revealed their hand. I’ve been thinking hard about this one, trying to find some sort of great angle, but I can’t come up with one.

SUNDAY NOTES: The pros are betting the Vikings right now. I’ll have an update prior to the game, as usual.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I wish I could give you a confident, multi-unit pick for the final regular-season game, but I can’t. I just can’t figure this one out. I could see the Vikings covering because the Packers have played so terribly lately. The pros think that will happen as well; they’ve been betting on Minnesota, and the sharpest book on the Web, Pinnacle, is begging for Green Bay action, setting this spread at -3 +100. However, Bridgewater hasn’t won a big game yet, and the Packers are in a buy-low spot. That’s why I’m on them, but I won’t be betting on this game.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Vikings.

Equal action. I thought there’d be more money on Minnesota.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 67% (73,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Packers.

History: Packers have won 10 of the last 11 meetings (excluding 2013 tie).

Vikings are 16-26 ATS in outdoor road games since 2008.

Packers are 26-15 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Packers are 29-17 ATS at home since 2010.

Packers are 39-19 ATS in divisional games since 2006.

Aaron Rodgers is 67-41 ATS since 2009 (9-6 ATS as a favorite of 12+).

Aaron Rodgers is 20-7 ATS after a loss (just 9-5 ATS as a favorite of 7.5+).

Opening Line: Packers -3.

Opening Total: .

Weather: .

Week 17 NFL Pick: Packers 24, Vikings 19
Packers -3 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 44 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Vikings 20, Packers 13

Week 17 NFL Picks – Early Games
New York Jets at Buffalo, New England at Miami, New Orleans at Atlanta, Baltimore at Cincinnati, Pittsburgh at Cleveland, Jacksonville at Houston, Tennessee at Indianapolis, Washington at Dallas, Philadelphia at New York Giants, Detroit at Chicago

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

None

NFL Picks - Nov. 15

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 13

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 12

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 11, 2024): 6-7 (-$1,275)
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Last Week Over-Under (Week 11, 2024): 6-7-1 ($0)
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2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-2, 50.0% (-$500)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 78-79-6, 49.7% (-$4,565)
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1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,499-3,231-202, 52.0% (+$17,105)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,126-1,010-57 (52.7%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 568-502-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,935-2,908-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-36-1 (56.6%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-3	Bears: 4-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-3
Eagles: 4-5	Lions: 8-1	Falcons: 5-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 5-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 4-5
Redskins: 4-5	Vikings: 3-6	Saints: 5-5	Seahawks: 6-2

Bills: 3-7	Bengals: 2-8	Colts: 5-5	Broncos: 6-4
Dolphins: 3-6	Browns: 3-6	Jaguars: 2-7	Chargers: 5-3
Jets: 5-5	Ravens: 4-5	Texans: 4-6	Chiefs: 3-5
Patriots: 5-3	Steelers: 3-6	Titans: 5-3	Raiders: 4-5

Divisional: 18-22 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 14-13 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 30-24 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 18-27 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 30-41 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-7 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 11-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-7 (2011-23: 33-37)