NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2014

NFL Picks (Preseason 2014): 8-7-1 (-$20)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2014): 8-8 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2014): 7-9 (-$1,150)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2014): 6-9-1 (+$130)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2014): 6-7 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2014): 9-4-2 (+$255)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2014): 5-9-1 (-$1,230)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2014): 10-4-1 (+$330)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2014): 4-11 (+$320)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2014): 9-4 (+$760)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2014): 9-4 (-$90)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2014): 8-6 (+$90)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2014): 7-8 (+$100)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2014): 5-11 (-$1,390)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2014): 8-8 (-$130)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2014): 6-9-1 (-$1,380)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2014): 11-5 (+$100)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2014): 10-6 (+$80)

NFL Picks (2014): 136-129-7 (-$2,475)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 4, 12:40 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1) at Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Line: Colts by 4. Total: 47.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Colts -3.
Sunday, Jan. 4, 1:00 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: None.

Nine people out of an initial 3,289 made it through in our Survivor Pool. The winner, with a 291-point differential in his selections, was “Saintssuck.” Congratulations to him for both winning the contest and being so prophetic with his user name.

Emmitt on the Brink Season 7 concludes! Adrian Peterson uses the Switch of Destiny, and then Carl Nicks attacks.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is 2014, a year in review.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: It goes without saying that A.J. Green’s availability will have a huge impact on this game. With Marvin Jones long gone, Andy Dalton really only has Green and Jermaine Gresham to throw to, and the latter isn’t even healthy. Considering Dalton’s accuracy issues in big games, Green being out of the lineup would be a huge boost for the Colts.

Having said that, even if Green plays, Dalton may not be able to connect with him often because Vontae Davis will be shadowing him. Green is one of the top receivers in the NFL, but Davis is an excellent corner capable of erasing most wideouts. If Green isn’t 100 percent – he was already banged up prior to the concussion – Davis should be able to win that battle.

Luckily for the Bengals, they could prevent Dalton from throwing much by giving the ball to Jeremy Hill as frequently as possible. The rookie running back has proven to be unstoppable since being handed the full workload several weeks ago. He has trampled the Browns, Broncos and Steelers in three consecutive games, and he should be able to do the same to the Colts, who are 20th in the NFL in terms of run defense (4.17 YPC). They’ve given up 100-plus yards to three of their four previous opponents; Hill will make it four out of five.

INDIANAPOLIS OFFENSE: It’s absolutely imperative that the Colts jump on the Bengals early. Doing so will force Cincinnati to throw the ball often with Dalton. The Bengals want to run the ball as much as possible with Hill, but they won’t be able to do that if they’re in a big, early deficit.

The problem, however, is that Andrew Luck has been prone to slow starts throughout the second half of the season. Luck has been so guilty of early turnovers that it’s almost become a habit. It seemed to have started when Ahmad Bradshaw went out with an injury. Without Bradshaw, Luck has to do it all himself because he knows he has no running game, so he’s forcing the issue too much. Cincinnati’s opportunistic defense will take advantage of a give-away or two.

And then the second half will come around. Luck is one of the most clutch quarterbacks in the NFL. If this game is close, I’m confident that he’ll be able to prevail. It’ll help him that Cincinnati has no pass rush. Luck has a shoddy offensive line, but he’ll have time against the Bengals, who couldn’t get any sort of heat on Ben Roethlisberger in the regular-season finale.

RECAP: The Colts obliterated the Bengals on this field back in October, but as I noted on the previous page, that’s not a good thing. Teams in non-divisional, same-site revenge games often perform well, even when they were blown out in the previous meeting.

Cincinnati fans may not believe this, but I like the Bengals quite a bit. The Colts’ M.O. is to beat up on crappy teams; they don’t handle tough opponents well, and Cincinnati definitely showed improvement down the stretch.

I know I’m betting on Dalton in a playoff game, but the Bengals should be able to run the ball well and keep it out of the ginger quarterback’s hands. This spread is a bit too high, anyway. I think this is going to be a close game, so I like getting more than a field goal.

I’m actually going to lock this in at +4, which is currently available at 5Dimes, for three units. The sharps have bumped this spread down, so it might eventually be +3 everywhere.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I wish I could drop this to two units with both Green and Gresham out, but I locked this in at +4 earlier in the week. I still like the Bengals though; everyone is making a big deal of Green and Gresham missing from the lineup, but we’re still getting more than a field goal with the team that has the better defense and running game – both by a wide margin. This spread, by the way, is +3.5 in most places, but you can still get it for +4 on 5Dimes and +4 -105 at Bovada.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Bengals.

The public is predictably on the Colts.

Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 71% (100,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Colts.

Bengals are 29-15 ATS as underdogs since 2009.

Bengals are 6-11 ATS after playing the Steelers.

Andrew Luck is 18-6 ATS at home.

Opening Line: Colts -4.

Opening Total: 49.

Weather: Dome.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Colts 27, Bengals 26
Bengals +4 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Over 47 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Colts 26, Bengals 10

Detroit Lions (11-5) at Dallas Cowboys (12-4)
Line: Cowboys by 6.5. Total: 48.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Cowboys -4.
Sunday, Jan. 4, 4:30 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.

This week on FOX, we’re going to have Joe Buck and Troy Aikman calling the shots instead of Charles Davis, the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, and mindless automatons like Dan Fouts. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven clowns (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the worst place in the world, the hell hole known as Cowboys Stadium! Jerry Jones built this place, but I’ve planted explosives around the stadium to burn it down! In today’s game, the stupid Cowboys take on the Detroit Tigers. When I should I set off the bombs, guys? Halftime? When the ball is kicked off? When they show Jerry Jones’ ugly mug on his stupid Jumbotron that gives everyone migraines!?

Emmitt: Kim, why are you set up us the bomb? We in the Cowboys Stadium too, so if you set up us the bomb, the bomb will have explosion, and the explosion gonna kill us so much that we going to die!

Reilly: It’s OK, Emmitt, I made sure that our broadcasting booth is explosion-proof. So while all of the rotten Cowboys and their rodent fans will die horrible deaths, we will be here to observe and laugh at their misery hahahaha! By the way, why did you call me a girl’s name? Kim?

Kim Jong-un: Because I here! Producer say I did great job rast week, so they ask me come back to give anarysis! I hate Cowboy because cowboy epitomize America curture! I root for Detroit Rion! No have rion in North Korea! I ask friends I pay for to get rion for me to be my pet but they no can get so I kirr them! I kirr them arr!

Herm: DON’T HAVE LIONS IN NORTH KOREA! CAN’T GET LIONS IN NORTH KOREA! IMPOSSIBLE TO GET LIONS INTO NORTH KOREA! CAN’T DO IT! IMPOSSIBLE TO DO IT! IMPROBABLE TO DO IT! BUT IMPROBABLE IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE! IT INDICATES THAT THERE’S AT LEAST A CHANCE! AND IF THERE’S A CHANCE, THEN IT’S NOT IMPOSSIBLE! SO IS IT IMPROBABLE OR IMPOSSIBLE!? HERM SAID BOTH, BUT IT CAN’T BE BOTH! HERM HAS A HEADACHE NOW! HERM’S GOING TO LIE DOWN NOW!

Reilly: Producers, is this what we’ve come to? Kim Jong-un and Herm arguing with each other?

Millen: Kim, I believe I know how to get lions into North Korea. I know a man, a young stallion, if you will, and he is 150-percent USDA Man, according to my kielbasa sextant. He’s a resident of Dallas, so whenever I visit this city, he comes into my hotel room. He’s a lion tamer, so he brings a lion with him. I kid you not, he has the lion insert kielbasas into my backside. It’s an amazing experience.

Fouts: That’s not very impressive, Matthew. Here’s how I would tame a lion to insert kielbasas into backsides. First, I would get a lion. To do this, I’d have to go to Africa, since lions are natives of that country. To get to Africa, I would build a raft and sail there. To build a raft, I would get some wood, rope and instructions on how to build a raft on YouTube. Once I built my raft, I would sail to Africa, trap a lion in a cage, bring him back on the raft and sail back to America. If sharks try to eat me, I’d tell the lion to eat the sharks first. Once I came back to America, I would take the lion to pet school. I’d have them teach the lion how to sit, beg and roll over. Then, I’d have them teach the lion how to insert kielbasas into backsides. Of course, I would need to get kielbasas first, but I think that would be a job for the lion. The lion would go to the store, pick up some kielbasas and bring them to the register. Unfortunately, lions don’t naturally wear jeans, so they can’t carry wallets, so I would need to teach the lion how to put on jeans. To do that, I would download a YouTube video of how to put on jeans and show it to the lion…

Reilly: You’re a f***ing idiot.

Tollefson: I agree. Who wants a lion, anyway? Just go to the local bar, slip something into a woman’s drink, drag her back to your place and force her to wear leopard print. Now, you have a feline in your house, and she can cook and clean for you on top of that! Can a lion cook and clean? I think not!

Kim Jong-un: But I want rion who cook and crean and pray Praystation with me because I have no friend!

Charles Davis: Kim, did you know that lions can’t cook, Kim? Did you know they can’t clean, Kim? How about playing Playstation, Kim, did you know they can’t do that, Kim? Let’s review what else lions can’t do, Kim! Lions can’t play the piano, Kim! How about painting a picture, lions can’t do that, Kim! What about fixing a computer, Kim? Lions can’t do that either, Kim! Then there’s auditing taxes, Kim! Lions can’t audit taxes, Kim! Can you name another thing lions can’t do, Kim? Oh, you’re guessing lions can’t drink water, Kim!? Lions certainly can drink water, Kim! Oh, you think lions can’t insert kielbasas into backsides, Kim!? Lions can definitely do that, Kim! Looks like you’ve given up, Kim! You’re down in the dumps because you couldn’t guess, Kim! The answer is writing a Pulitzer Prize-winning magazine article, Kim! Lions can’t do that, Kim!

Kim Jong-un: Charres Davis, you make me angry again! Now I take bomb Kevin Reirry put in stadium and kirr you with exprosion!!!

Reilly: NOOOOOOO THAT WAS MEANT FOR TONY ROMO AND JERRY JONES, YOU IDIOT!!! We’ll be back after this!

DALLAS OFFENSE: The big story entering this game is the Ndamukong Suh suspension. Suh was initially banned from this contest for stepping on Aaron Rodgers’ foot in a Week 17 loss, but he won his appeal. He’ll be fined $70,000, but will be able to play in this contest. That’s what’s most important for the Lions, as they didn’t stand much of a chance without him.

Suh is a big part of the Lions’ No. 1 run defense. Detroit has given up 3.17 yards per carry this season, and the next-best team (Seattle) was at a 3.54 YPC clip. That’s pretty impressive, so I like the Lions’ chances of containing DeMarco Murray, especially considering that the Cowboys bizarrely ran him into the ground last week. I have no idea what they were thinking; perhaps they weren’t aware that their game against Washington was meaningless. I understand wanting to beat a divisional rival, but why wear out your best player? It makes no sense.

Suh also helps the Lions bring down the quarterback often, as they were tied for eighth in the NFL with 42 sacks. They may have trouble getting to Tony Romo, however, as the MVP candidate is well fortified behind a great offensive line. I’m sure the Lions will get some pressure though, so it’s not like Romo will be able to sling the ball all over the field. He’ll put up some points, but his offense won’t be unstoppable against a great Lions’ stop unit.

DETROIT OFFENSE: This side of the ball is actually the greater issue for the Lions overall. Their defense has been great for most of this season, but their scoring unit has sputtered for stretches. Their offensive line has been the main culprit, as it has surrendered a whopping 45 sacks this year. Matthew Stafford has constantly been under siege, which is why he’s been erratic at times.

Things might be different in this contest, however. The Cowboys have one of the worst defenses of any team in the playoffs. They finished the regular season with the fifth-fewest sacks in the league, so Stafford could actually have time in the pocket for a change. That will be problematic for the Cowboys, as they don’t have anyone who can cover Calvin Johnson.

One area in which Dallas might be able to hold up well on this side of the ball is the running game. The Cowboys struggled to defend the rush for most of the season, but they’ve limited their previous four opponents to just 3.02 YPC. This includes LeSean McCoy and the Eagles, who mustered just 75 yards on the ground on 21 carries.

RECAP: This is my top play of week. I love the Lions for many reasons.

First of all, this spread is inflated. Everyone just saw the Cowboys finish up the season on a strong note, while the Lions lost at Lambeau, as they usually do. This bumped the line up to a touchdown, when these teams are about even. Dallas should be -4 at most. We’re getting about a field goal of value.

Everyone is also focused on the Stafford stat which says that he can’t beat good teams on the road. Well, he doesn’t exactly have to beat the Cowboys. He can lose by one, or three, or four, or six. You get the point. Besides, when did the Cowboys become ultra reliable at home? They have a terrible track record as hosts, especially when coming off a big victory.

Then there’s the fact that the Lions have a stronger strength of schedule coming into this contest. That’s usually a great indicator of which team will cover in a playoff matchup. As an aside, the Cardinals, Ravens and Bengals all have a tougher SOS.

Finally, the sportsbooks are begging for Cowboys money. Despite tons of public money on Dallas, this spread has dropped from +7 to +6.5. The sharps are pounding the Lions more than any other team this weekend. Perhaps they’re aware that the Cowboys are going to be a huge liability for the books, especially given that this is going to be a big chaser game for those looking to either win back losses or double up money.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Locking my Bengals pick in early really hurt because I wanted to drop my unit total when Jermaine Gresham was ruled out. Not that Cincinnati would’ve covered with Gresham, as the Colts played one of their best games in a long time, plus the Bengals losing Rey Maualuga and Dre Kirkpatrick didn’t help. Oh, and if there was any doubt, Andy Dalton blows.

The Lions remain my top pick of the week, and the sharps agree, as they’ve bet this down from +7 to +6 in most books. The public, meanwhile, is pounding the Cowboys. This is a big liability game for the books, as they stand to lose a lot of money if Dallas covers.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Lions.

The public is betting the Cowboys more than any other team this weekend.

Percentage of money on Dallas: 71% (88,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Lions.

The underdog is 52-25 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.

Lions are 4-13 ATS on the road vs. teams with winning records since 2011.

Cowboys are 12-21 ATS as home favorites in Cowboys Stadium (excluding Thanksgiving).

Cowboys are 6-18 ATS when favored after a win since 2010.

Tony Romo is 13-23 ATS as a starter after Nov. 30 (3-8 ATS as an underdog).

Tony Romo is 9-20 ATS as a favorite of -7 or more excluding Thanksgiving (4-2 on Thanksgiving).

Opening Line: Cowboys -7.

Opening Total: 48.

Weather: Dome.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Cowboys 24, Lions 23
Lions +6.5 (5 Units) — Correct; +$500
Under 48 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Cowboys 24, Lions 20

Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Props to be posted here

NFL Picks - Dec. 15

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Dec. 11

NFL Power Rankings - Dec. 9

2026 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 29

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 14, 2024): 3-10 (-$2,620)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 14, 2024): 1-3 (-$665)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 14, 2024): 0-3 (-$1,490)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 14, 2024): 5-8 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 14, 2024): -$265

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-3, 25.0% (-$1,365)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 109-102-8, 51.7% (-$4,140)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 25-35-1, 40.0% (-$2,425)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 24-21, 53.3% (+$505)
2024 Season Over-Under: 101-103-4, 49.5% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$420

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,530-3,254-204, 52.0% (+$17,530)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,132-1,020-57 (52.6%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 577-506-25 (53.3%)
Career Over-Under: 2,960-2,937-78 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-6	Bears: 5-7	Bucs: 8-5	49ers: 8-5
Eagles: 7-6	Lions: 10-3	Falcons: 7-6	Cardinals: 9-4
Giants: 4-8	Packers: 9-3	Panthers: 5-8	Rams: 7-6
Redskins: 6-6	Vikings: 5-7	Saints: 6-7	Seahawks: 7-5

Bills: 5-8	Bengals: 3-10	Colts: 7-6	Broncos: 9-4
Dolphins: 5-8	Browns: 5-8	Jaguars: 4-7	Chargers: 7-5
Jets: 7-6	Ravens: 6-6	Texans: 5-7	Chiefs: 5-7
Patriots: 7-4	Steelers: 6-7	Titans: 8-4	Raiders: 7-6

Divisional: 27-34 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 23-19 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 38-31 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 25-36 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 44-57 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 14-9 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 17-17 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-9 (2011-23: 33-37)