NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 20, 2022

NFL Picks (Preseason 2022): 7-5 (+$645)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2022): 10-6 (+$1,165)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2022): 7-8-1 (+$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2022): 11-4-1 (+$2,825)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2022): 10-5-1 (+$1,305)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2022): 6-10 (-$2,625)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2022): 7-7 (-$1,620)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2022): 4-10 (-$2,255)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2022): 7-8 (-$640)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2022): 7-4-2 (+$170)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2022): 7-7 (+$1,460)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2022): 5-7-2 (-$350)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2022): 12-4 (+$2,005)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2022): 6-9 (+$75)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2022): 8-5 (+$1,075)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2022): 10-5-1 (+$675)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2022): 7-9 (+$220)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2022): 7-8 (+$80)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2022): 10-6 (+$460)
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2022): 2-4 (-$830)

2022 NFL Picks: 150-131-8 (+$4,890)
2021 NFL Picks: 153-141-2 (+$210)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 20, 9:50 p.m. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 20 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) at Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Line: Bills by 5.5. Total: 48.5.
Sunday, Jan. 22, 3:00 ET

The Matchup. Edge: None.

If you’ve followed this site for a while, you might remember that I like to respond to my spam mails. It all started numerous years ago, when a man named Jon Wire from the “United Bank of Africoan” promised me an ATM card of some sort, so I responded as a man named Mister Compassion Chuck Norris, who was raised by wolves. The following season, I received e-mails from Richard Held and Loon Bruce, who told me I won a Facebook Award, which comes with a “lump sum pay out of (750,000.00 GBP).” Pretending to be Matthew Millen Kim, I sent out my application and fake money.

I’ve been messing around with spammers ever since, pretending to be Harvey Weinstein, Joe Biden, Ramsay Bolton and Walter White. I have plenty of Spam Mails this year, so check them out if you want to see me screw with spammers. I’ll have new ones every week this year!

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is called the Pool Valet. At long last, I discovered that there is a pool valet at LA Fitness. What is he like?

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: It’s a shame that the Week 17 Monday night game between these teams was canceled because Joe Burrow looked like he was going to have one of the all-time great performances. Burrow looked completely locked in, as he shredded the Bills’ defense on the opening drive, quickly scoring a touchdown on a pass to Tyler Boyd. Burrow then connected with Tee Higgins for a pass on the ensuing drive to move over midfield, but we know what happened after that.

As great as Burrow was in that brief action, there’s reason to believe that he’ll struggle in this game. The reason is the offensive line, which has taken some major hits lately. La’el Collins was already ruled out, and things only got worse when Alex Cappa was sidelined versus Baltimore. Then, disaster struck when Jonah Williams suffered a knee injury in last week’s game. Following that injury, the Bengals scored just seven offensive points.

If Williams and Cappa are both sidelined for this game – and we have no news on that at the moment – I can’t see the Bengals having much offensive success. Burrow is going to be under constant heat, much like he was in the two losses to start the year. Joe Mixon won’t have any running room either, as the injuries to the blocking unit will prevent him from having adequate running lanes.

BUFFALO OFFENSE: The Bengals may have lost three offensive linemen in a span of a few weeks, but they welcomed back some injured defensive players recently. That includes Trey Hendrickson and Sam Hubbard, who bolstered their pass rush. The Bengals’ defense struggled for a small stretch when they were sidelined, but they’ve suffocated opposing quarterbacks recently.

I thought Hendrickson and Hubbard would give the Bengals a great chance to win in Week 17 because the Bills didn’t have their entire offensive line intact then. Center Mitch Morse was out, while guard Ryan Bates was just returning from injury. However, the Bills’ offensive front is healthier now, so Josh Allen won’t face nearly as much pressure as he would have for the rest of that Week 17 battle.

The Bills should be able to beat the Bengals downfield as a consequence. They had some mishaps against the Dolphins’ poor secondary, but they played sloppily as big favorites. I believe they’ll perform much better in this game, given that they’ll be much more focused.

RECAP: It’s crazy to me that everyone is betting the Bengals. People have forgotten how dominant the Bills have been this year because of last week’s game. Sure, Buffalo nearly lost to Miami, but the team outgained the Dolphins by nearly 200 yards and averaged 2.6 more yards per play. The Bills didn’t take the Dolphins seriously because of Skylar Thompson’s presence and made dumb mistakes as a consequence.

I’ll be shocked if we don’t get a much better performance from the Bills. I’m very confident they’ll cover the spread if the Bengals are missing three offensive linemen. This will be a big play in that instance.

That said, I’ll have interest in the Bengals if Williams and Cappa both return. Joe Burrow is 31-11 against the spread in his career when not favored by a touchdown or more. He’ll have no chance behind an offensive line missing three starters, but he’ll battle the Bills to the very end if his line is only missing Collins.

I’m going to pencil in the Bills for a few units for now, but stay tuned for injury updates on Buffalo’s offensive line, or follow @walterfootball for updates.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Both Jonah Williams and Alex Cappa are off to bad starts on the injury report, as both players missed Wednesday’s practice. It’s still early in the week, however, so perhaps they’ll be able to play.

SATURDAY NOTES: Jonah Williams and Alex Cappa are out. I know I said I’d bet a few units on the Bills if these linemen were out, but I’m scared of a Joe Burrow back-door cover, and even a potential outright victory. Burrow is an incredible quarterback, and he still has great weapons, so I don’t think it’s impossible that Cincinnati will pull the upset.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: I’m switching my pick. I know the Bengals are down three offensive linemen, but I have a feeling that they’re not only going to keep this game close, but they’re also going to win outright. The Bills aren’t putting much pressure on the quarterback, and I think Cincinnati will be able to game plan around the missing blockers, especially given that they went to the Super Bowl last year with a bad offensive line. Another key factor for me is that +6 -110 is available at BetMGM (+6 -115 at FanDuel is also good.) We’re now getting five of the six key numbers with Joe Burrow, who is 31-11 against the spread when not favored by a touchdown or more.

FINAL THOUGHTS: There was sharp money on the Bills earlier in the week, but other pro action came in on the Bengals at +6. All the regular +6 lines are gone, but you can still buy up to +6 -119 at Bookmaker.

The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Bills -3.5.
Westgate Advance Point Spread: N/A.
Computer Model: Bills -6.
DVOA Spread: .

The Vegas. Edge: Bills.
Public action on the Bengals.

Percentage of money on Cincinnati: 61% (644,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Bengals.

Joe Burrow is 31-11 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (3-5 ATS otherwise).

Bills are 12-36 ATS after playing the Miami Dolphins since 1998.

Bills are 27-42 ATS in their last 69 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Opening Line: Bills -4.

Opening Total: 49.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 35 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Week 20 NFL Pick: Bills 27, Bengals 24
Bengals +6 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
Under 48.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Bengals 27, Bills 10

Dallas Cowboys (12-5) at San Francisco 49ers (13-4)
Line: 49ers by 4. Total: 46.5.
Sunday, Jan. 22, 6:30 ET

The Matchup. Edge: None.

This week on ESPN, we’re going to have awful announcers calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if some of these dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of San Francisco, home of the gays, where tonight, the San Francisco Giants take on the Dallas Cowgays! Guys, I set traps in the Cowgays locker room, and they won’t make it out alive, so let’s get to something else. I’m so happy that I finally won Speaker of the Broadcast. We had to vote 719 times, but you guys finally said yes to me being Speaker of the Broadcast! All I had to do in the process was relinquish all my power. So, we can now vote on whether or not the government gets to steal our money or not, but first, I need to address the fact that I had stolen documents in Mother’s garage next to her little red Corvette.

Emmitt: Koy Reilly, little red Corvette remind me of the song sung by the famous singer guy, I can’t remember the name of the song, but it have to do with a little red Corvette. The singer guy name was Prince, and he was one of the three sons of King Elizabeth: Prince William, Prince Harry, and Prince.

Reilly: Emmitt, I can’t help you there. Mother wouldn’t let me listen to Prince’s music because she believed that if I did, demons would possess me.

Tollefson: Kevin, that’s exactly what I tell my female slaves if I get the sense that they’ll try to escape my cellar. I then reason with them. “Why would you want to be possessed by demons when you have the pleasure of cooking and cleaning naked for me?” That puts them in their place, and if it doesn’t, my brass knuckles do the trick.

Reilly: Tolly, Mother also said that I’ll be possessed by demons if I talk to women. I bet Senator President John Festerman agrees because we are like two peas in a pod. Isn’t that right, Senator President?

John Fetterman: I hope I win the election to become Senator President. The election will be hard. Rocks are hard. Lots of things are hard. Like rocks. Rocks are hard and not soft. You know what’s soft? Hello, I’m John Festerman and I want your vote to be mayor. God save the Queen.

Reilly: Wow, I can see why people voted for you, John Festerman! Our country is better in your hands! Anyway, it’s time to bring on our special guest this week. It’s none other than Matt Gregory! Matt, I’m sure you have plenty of interesting things to say.

Matt Gregory: WalterFootball sux at picking games LOLOLOL. He picked the Lions to cover versus the Packers, and he was wrong! Hahahahaa!

Adam Schefter: Matt Gregory, I’m here with breaking news after I just received anal sex from a clone I built of myself, but instead of semen, this clone has Covid-19 vaccine emerging from his private parts. Matt Gregory, this news comes directly from Nick Caserio, who also received anal sex from my clone. Matt Gregory, the Lions covered the spread, so there’s no reason for you to laugh at WalterFootball. Back to you, Kevin.

Reilly: Schefter, can you not talk about gambling? Mother said that if I gamble, I’ll be possessed by demons.

Goodell: Fellow hu-man, I see you are discussing gambling. As a fellow hu-man, I like to gamble. My favorite casino game is – randomizing – routlette. I like to bet on the sequence 1, 7, 3, 4, 6, 7, 3, 2, 1, 4, 7, 6, Charlie, 3, 2, 7, 8, 9, 7, 7, 7, 6, 4, 3, Tango, 7, 3, 2, Victor, 7, 3, 1, 1, 7, 8, 8, 8, 7, 3, 2, 4, 7, 6, 7, 8, 9, 7, 6, 4, 3, 7, 6. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

Reilly: What did I just say about gambling? Matt Gregory, do you have anything else useful to say?

Matt Gregory: WalterFootball picked the Packers to win and was wrong! My 4-year-old niece picked the Lions, so she’s just as dumb as WalterFoobtball hahahahaha!

Joe Biden: You don’t know squat, you toilet paper-throttling zipper ranger, I bet I can do more three-handed pullups than you, so let’s get to the pushup contest, fat. But before we do, I need to talk to you about something, Jack. You mentioned a 4-year-old niece, and she sounds like she would make a great Mrs. Joe Biden for me, that’s my sister, or my wife, but a 4-year-old niece has lots of potential, and here’s the deal. You bring her to my shower and we’ll have fun as the next Mrs. Joe Biden, and we can talk about the spread and how other Mrs. Joe Bidens who are 4-year-old nieces spread for me in the shower, and if they don’t, they’re going to pay the price like my granddaughter Ashley did the one time she didn’t cooperate.

Donald Trump: Excuse me, excuse me, Sleepy Joe is wrong, wrong, excuse me, excuse me, Sleepy Joe mentioned pullups in a pushup contest, which doesn’t make any sense because you don’t do pullups in a pushup contest, everyone knows that, except for Sleepy Joe, because he’s a total disgrace and a total disaster, and he probably couldn’t even do a single pushup, so he would lose to me, but then again, who wouldn’t lose to me because I can do the most pushups anyone has ever heard of, and you know how high my pushup count is, don’t you, it’s in the millions and millions of pushups, no one has ever seen anything like it, millions and millions of pushups, and I did all of those pushups with one hand tied behind my back because that’s how I do pushups because I’m the best at pushups, no one has ever seen anything like it and no one ever will because I do bigly pushups, the bigliest pushups anyone has ever seen.

Wolfley: DONALD, I HATE TO BREAK IT TO YOU, BUT MY FRIEND, A FRYING PAN WITH THREE EYES, FOUR NOSES, AND EIGHT LIPS, CAN DO FIVE BILLION PUSHUPS WITH BOTH HANDS TIED BEHIND HIS BACK.

Reilly: Guys, can we stop talking about pushups? Mother said if I do pushups, I’ll be possessed by demons. Isn’t that right, New Daddy?

Jay Cutler: I AM BELPHEGOR, AND YOU WILL SERVE ME, LOWLY HUMAN SCUM.

Reilly: NOOOOOO, A DEMON HAS POSSESSED NEW DADDY! HE MUST HAVE TALKED TO GIRLS OR DID A PUSHUP!

Charles Davis: Kevin, sounds like you’re discussing demons, Kevin. Let’s kick things off with someone we’re familiar with, Kevin. That’s Belphegor, Kevin. He has possessed New Daddy, Kevin. Let’s switch topics to Asmodeus, Kevin. What about Abadon, Kevin? Let’s touch on Mammon, Kevin. We cannot forget about Lucifer, Kevin. I want your thoughts on Beelzebub, Kevin. And let’s get to everyone’s favorite, Kevin, which is Satan, Kevin.

Reilly: Or how about Charles Davis, Charles Davis!? You’re a f**king demon, Charles Davis. Oh no, I just sweared, which means I’ll be possessed by demons, AHHHHH! We’ll be back after this!

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: When delving into a 49ers game, one question you must ask of the defense is if it can defend the middle of the field. That’s how the 49ers attack the opposition, so teams that are weak in this area tend to struggle mightily against San Francisco. Seattle is one of the worst teams when it comes to defending the middle of the field, which is why the 49ers dominated them thrice this year.

The Cowboys, conversely, are rather strong in this regard. They are the No. 1 team in the NFL when it comes to stopping tight ends, so George Kittle is not expected to have one of his dominant performances. The Cowboys also excel at clamping down on running backs, though it’s difficult to imagine Christian McCaffrey being completely erased.

Dallas is weaker to the pass than the run, so Brock Purdy will need to come up big once again. More will be asked of Purdy in this tight game, so he’ll have to deliver consistent strikes to Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. It’s a good thing for the 49ers that Samuel looked completely healthy last week.

DALLAS OFFENSE: As brilliant as the Cowboys were against the 49ers, they still wasted 13 plays in the game when they handed the ball off to Ezekiel Elliott. Like the Cowboys, the 49ers thrive against the run. In fact, no team is better at defending running backs than San Francisco. Elliott will continue to look like he’s running in quicksand, while Tony Pollard will be limited, albeit with some success.

As great as the 49ers are defensively, they have one major weakness, which is cornerback. We’ve seen some elite receivers burn them recently, whether it’s D.K. Metcalf last week, or Davante Adams in Week 17. I have a tough time seeing the 49ers putting the clamps on CeeDee Lamb.

The 49ers can often make up for this poor cornerback play by swarming the opposing quarterback with their elite pass rush. This won’t work as well versus Dallas, however, because the Cowboys have a great offensive line themselves. After the first two drives Monday night, Dak Prescott was kept clean for most of the night, and that should mostly be the case in this game.

RECAP: I’m upset I used my Pick of the Month already because I would strongly consider the Cowboys to be my Pick of the Month. I love Dallas for several reasons:

1. This line is way too high. These teams are just one spot apart in my NFL Power Rankings, so I made the line 49ers -1.5. This spread is -3.5, or even -4 in some places. That’s only a difference of two or 2.5 points, but we’re crossing the key number of three, which is incredibly important.

2. Speaking of three, the 49ers winning by three is the most likely result of this game, followed potentially by Dallas by three. We’re getting both wins with the +3.5 or +4.

3. As mentioned earlier, Dallas’ defense matches up extremely well with San Francisco’s offense. The Cowboys are great versus running backs and tight ends, which is how the 49ers love to attack defenses.

4. Sticking with the 49ers’ offense, it’s fair to question Purdy. He has been terrific thus far, but let’s look at the caliber of defenses he has battled since taking over as the quarterback. He has gone up against the Dolphins, Buccaneers, Seahawks, Redskins, Raiders, Cardinals, and Seahawks again. The adjusted defensive EPAs of those teams are: 19, 13, 27, 8, 30, 20, and 27. Thus, the only two defenses Purdy has faced that aren’t in the bottom half of the league are Tampa Bay and Washington. The Buccaneers were missing both starting safeties, while cornerback Jamel Dean suffered an injury in that game. Then, we have the Redskins victory, which was largely dictated by a great defensive performance. That said, Purdy played very well in that game, particularly when targeting George Kittle, as the Redskins were missing a couple of starters in the secondary as well.

The Cowboys rank second in adjusted defensive EPA. This doesn’t mean that Purdy can’t have a great performance, but he has yet to see this caliber of defense in the NFL. There’s a good chance that he could struggle for the first time in the pros.

5. I discussed this earlier as well, but the 49ers’ pass rush will be nullified by Dallas’ offensive line, which will expose the 49er cornerbacks. The Cowboys have the receivers to take advantage of this liability.

6. It’s early, but there’s sharp action on the Cowboys. That’s always a nice bonus.

Again, this would probably be my January NFL Pick of the Month had I not used it already. I’ll be betting five units on Dallas.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Jason Peters missed Wednesday’s practice, but Tyron Smith practiced fully. I’m still high on Dallas.

SATURDAY NOTES: Jason Peters is out, but that doesn’t matter to me. I still love the Cowboys, and the sharps do as well.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: No crazy update here. I’m hoping to get a +4.5. The best line now is +4 -105 at BetUS.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Sharp money has come in on the Cowboys in the past hour. Most of the +4 lines have disappeared. You can still get +4 -105 at BetUS. Bookmaker has +4 -119 available. I still love Dallas.

The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Cowboys.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: 49ers -1.5.
Westgate Advance Point Spread: N/A.
Computer Model: 49ers -3.
DVOA Spread: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.
The public loves Brock Purdy.

Percentage of money on San Francisco: 55% (106,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.

The underdog is 116-88 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.

Opening Line: 49ers -4.5.

Opening Total: 46.

Weather: Cloudy, 55 degrees. Light wind.

Week 20 NFL Pick: Cowboys 23, 49ers 20
Cowboys +4 -105 (5 Units) – BetUS — Incorrect; -$525
Under 46.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
49ers 19, Cowboys 12

Go to 2023 NFL Mock Draft

Week 20 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Jaguars at Chiefs, Giants at Eagles

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Props to be posted here

NFL Picks - Oct. 30

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Oct. 30

NFL Power Rankings - Oct. 28

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 8, 2024): 10-5-1 (+$1,405)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 8, 2024): 4-3 (+$855)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 8, 2024): 2-0 (+$900)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 8, 2024): 10-6 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 8, 2024): +$455

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-2, 50.0% (-$500)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 65-65-5, 50.0% (-$2,315)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 15-22, 40.5% (-$1,485)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 13-11, 54.2% (+$300)
2024 Season Over-Under: 63-59-1, 51.6% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$275

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
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2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,486-3,217-200, 52.0% (+$19,355)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,122-1,007-56 (52.7%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 566-496-25 (53.3%)
Career Over-Under: 2,922-2,893-75 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-36-1 (56.6%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 3-3	Bears: 3-4	Bucs: 5-3	49ers: 6-2
Eagles: 3-4	Lions: 6-1	Falcons: 3-5	Cardinals: 6-2
Giants: 2-5	Packers: 4-3	Panthers: 4-4	Rams: 3-4
Redskins: 2-5	Vikings: 3-4	Saints: 4-4	Seahawks: 5-2

Bills: 3-5	Bengals: 2-6	Colts: 5-3	Broncos: 6-2
Dolphins: 3-4	Browns: 2-6	Jaguars: 2-5	Chargers: 3-3
Jets: 4-4	Ravens: 4-3	Texans: 3-5	Chiefs: 2-4
Patriots: 5-2	Steelers: 2-6	Titans: 4-3	Raiders: 4-4

Divisional: 13-18 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 12-11 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 23-16 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 15-23 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 24-36 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 10-5 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 7-13 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 3-5 (2011-23: 33-37)