NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12, 2019

NFL Picks (Preseason 2019): 14-6 (+$1,535)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2019): 5-10-1 (-$515)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2019): 10-6 (+$140)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2019): 10-6 (+$1,365)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2019): 12-3 (+$1,240)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2019): 8-7 (+$1,665)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2019): 9-5 (+$2,505)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2019): 8-6 (+$1,130)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2019): 8-7 (+$435)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2019): 3-9-1 (-$770)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2019): 8-5 (+$1,460)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2019): 8-5-1 (-$1,790)

NFL Picks (2019): 103-75-3 (+$8,400)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Nov. 24, 11:35 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 12 NFL Picks – Early Games







Jacksonville Jaguars (4-6) at Tennessee Titans (5-5)
Line: Titans by 4. Total: 41.5.
Sunday, Nov. 24, 4:05 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Titans.

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TENNESSEE OFFENSE: Jacksonville’s defense is a far cry from what it once was. The primary problem is the play of the linebackers, who have been dreadful this season. Their incompetence was on full display last week versus the Colts, who had not one, but two 100-yard rushers in that contest, one of whom was Jonathan Williams.

If the Jaguars had trouble stopping Williams, imagine how much difficulty they’ll have against Derrick Henry. The Tennessee runner is coming off a tremendous performance against the Chiefs. He’s had a bye week to rest his legs, so he has a good chance of dominating the competition in this easy matchup.

The Jaguars are far better against the pass than the run, but Ryan Tannehill has done a good job of taking care of the football. As long as Henry is picking up big chunks of yardage, Tannehill won’t have to do much, outside of manage the game.

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: Nick Foles’ return from injury was lackluster, to say the least. He opened last week’s game with a deep touchdown to D.J. Chark, but didn’t score a single point after that until garbage time. It’s not even like he was battling a team with a terrific secondary; conversely, the Colts have allowed some big games to opposing receivers. The same can be said of Tennessee’s secondary.

I wouldn’t completely blame Foles for struggling last week, as Jacksonville’s offensive line can’t pass protect. Foles was constantly under pressure, and I expect that to happen again. The Titans can produce some great heat on the quarterback with Cameron Wake and Harold Landry on the edge, and that’s where the Jaguars happen to be weakest up front. Foles will still complete some substantial gains to Chark and Dede Westbrook, but the pressure will make that an inconsistent phenomenon.

Unlike the Titans, the Jaguars won’t be able to keep the opposition honest with their running game. Tennessee stops ground attacks extremely well, and we already saw it limit Leonard Fournette in the first meeting between these two teams, which, oddly enough, saw both teams start different quarterbacks.

RECAP: I don’t really see anything appealing about this game. The spread is -3, and that’s exactly what my projected line is. The computer model thinks the correct number is Tennessee -3. The most likely result of this game is the Titans winning by three.

The question is, what’s the second-most-likely result of this contest? Is it Jacksonville by three or Tennessee by seven? I’m not sure, but perhaps the sharps have an idea. They’ve been betting the Titans a bit, but not enough to bump this line to -3.5. However, I’d like to point out that this could be a ploy to get the books to move the spread to 3.5, which will allow them to place even greater wagers on Jacksonville +3.5.

I’m going to side with the perceived sharp side and the revenge angle, but I won’t be betting this game.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The juice is rising on the Titans, as the public is starting to back them heavily. If this line moves to 3.5, I may consider the Jaguars because the most likely result of this game is Tennessee winning by three.

SATURDAY NOTES: With this line moving to -3.5, I’m switching to the Jaguars. I’d stay with Tennessee at -3. That’s how close this is for me. However, the most likely result of this game is Tennessee winning by three, so that’s the reason for the switch.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: This spread has risen to four, so I’m definitely going to be on the Jaguars. I don’t anticipate betting this game though.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The Jaguars are now +4.5 at Bovada and BetUS. I think Jacksonville is worth a unit, as I don’t think Ryan Tannehill should be favored by more than four points, especially against a good defense.




The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Titans -3.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Titans -2.5.
Computer Model: Titans -3.
DVOA Spread: Titans -2.


The Vegas. Edge: Jaguars.
A decent amount of action on the Titans.

Percentage of money on Tennessee: 66% (4,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: None.

History: Titans have won 6 of the past 8 meetings.

Ryan Tannehill is 3-8 ATS as a favorite of 5 or more. ???

Opening Line: Titans -3.

Opening Total: 41.

Weather: Sunny/clear, 49 degrees. Mild wind.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Titans 17, Jaguars 14
Jaguars +4.5 (1 Unit) – Bovada/BetUS — Incorrect; -$110
Under 41.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Titans 42, Jaguars 20

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Dallas Cowboys (6-4) at New England Patriots (9-1)
Line: Patriots by 6. Total: 44.5.
Sunday, Nov. 24, 4:25 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Patriots.

Emmitt on the Brink Season 12 continues. Emmitt’s plan to conquer Sproleisport backfires. Meanwhile, the NFL 2020 playoff field is set.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is called It’s Raining Men.

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: The Cowboys suffered a couple of injuries – one on each side of the ball – at the end of last week’s game that could impact the result of this game. The defensive injury was to DeMarcus Lawrence, whose absence would be enormous. The Patriots have a sketchy offensive line, and we all know by now that the only way Tom Brady can be beaten is if he’s consistently pressured heavily by a four-man pass rush. Dallas would ordinarily have the personnel to do this, but not if Lawrence is out of the lineup.

The Cowboys defend the pass well, as they have solid cornerback and linebacker play when it comes to coverage. Their safeties aren’t great, but the Patriots don’t beat opponents by going deep downfield. They simply can’t right now because the offensive line isn’t blocking well. That’s why it’s so important for Lawrence to be on the field.

The Patriots might have more success with the running game. We saw the Vikings gash Dallas’ defense on a Sunday night two weeks ago. Granted, that was with Dalvin Cook, but even Bo Scarbrough was able to trample the Cowboys on some carries. Sony Michel could have a rebound performance after struggling in a much tougher matchup last week.

DALLAS OFFENSE: The offensive injury the Cowboys suffered last week was to La’el Collins. Both he and Dak Prescott got hurt on the same play, but Prescott got up and was OK. Collins, on the other hand, left the game. His status is in question, though early reports are bullish on him playing.

It’s vital for Collins to be on the field, given that we’ve seen Prescott be a completely different quarterback when his offensive line is fully intact. Prescott, with great protection, is one of the better passers in the NFL, and yet he’ll still need all the help he can get against New England’s prolific secondary. Stephon Gilmore will be able to erase Amari Cooper, who isn’t even 100 percent, so Prescott will need elite protection to find his other targets.

Collins’ absence will also hurt the rushing attack, which hasn’t been up to par compared to the past. Still, the Patriots have been a bit weaker against the run than the pass, so an Ezekiel Elliott with premium run blocking could threaten the Patriots, which in turn would aid Prescott.

RECAP: If I weren’t so scared of betting against Brady and Bill Belichick, I’d wager a couple of units on the Cowboys. This line is too high; I made it New England -5, while DVOA thinks -4.5 is correct. There is also lots of betting action coming in on the Patriots.

And yet, I can’t pull the trigger. It’s such a losing proposition to bet against the Patriots. I’ve been on the wrong side of their games so many times that I know exactly what’s going to happen. They’ll be losing for a while and then winning by four or so, and then they’ll kick a field goal at the very end to prevail by seven, covering the spread in the process. It always happens, and I imagine there’s a good chance this will occur again this week, as Belichick should be able to coach circles around Jason Garrett.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The more I think about it, the more I want to switch my pick to the Patriots. This coaching matchup is a colossal mismatch. The spread is too high though, so I may stick with Dallas. We’ll see. Either way, I don’t think I’ll be betting this game.

SATURDAY NOTES: Tom Brady showed up on the injury report with an elbow issue of sorts. As I tweeted, some sportsbooks (Pinnacle, BetUS, Bovada) have taken this game off the board. Others have dropped the line to +5.5. You can still get +6 for -120 at Bookmaker, -118 at 5Dimes and -108 at Heritage. Given the inflated spread and the betting action (at least earlier in the week), I already liked Dallas, but going against Brady was a scary proposition. Fading an injured Brady is a different story. Meanwhile, New England’s defense tends to struggle against mobile quarterbacks, and remember, the Patriots trailed 10-0 in Philadelphia a week ago before Lane Johnson got hurt. Jason Garrett covered in his previous trip to Foxboro (also as a 6.5-point underdog), so perhaps he’ll make it 2-for-2. I’m going to bet three units on Dallas at +6 -108 at Heritage, and I’m going to lock that in now.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: Tom Brady will play, but he won’t be 100 percent. He’ll be missing his two outside receivers. The sharps have bet this down to +5.5. The Cowboys are looking like a great play.

FINAL THOUGHTS: You can now get +6 at 5Dimes. I still like the Cowboys for three units, as this spread is too high with Tom Brady possibly nursing an injury.


The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Spread. Edge: Cowboys.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Patriots -5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Patriots -7.
Computer Model: Patriots -10.
DVOA Spread: Patriots -4.5.


The Vegas. Edge: None.
People were betting the Patriots early in the week, but not so much now.

Percentage of money on New England: 55% (23,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: None.

The underdog is 88-62 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.

Tom Brady is 244-74 as a starter (182-122 ATS).

Opening Line: Patriots -7.

Opening Total: 47.

Weather: Possible light rain, 38 degrees. Mild wind, 14 mph.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Patriots 21, Cowboys 20
Cowboys +6 -108 (3 Units) – Heritage — Correct; +$300
Under 44.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Patriots 13, Cowboys 9

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Green Bay Packers (8-2) at San Francisco 49ers (8-1)
Line: 49ers by 3. Total: 47.5.
Sunday, Nov. 24, 8:20 PM


The Matchup. Edge: None.

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GREEN BAY OFFENSE: Aaron Rodgers had the week off last week, which had to be necessary, given the caliber of opponent he’ll be battling this Sunday. Rodgers is one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL, but he has his work cut out for him against San Francisco’s terrific defense.

The 49ers generate great pressure on the quarterback, which could be problematic for Rodgers. We’ve seen some protection issues in front of Rodgers, particularly in the loss to the Chargers. The Packers could have similar problems if they haven’t repaired those issues. The 49ers also have a prolific secondary, and it’s not like Green Bay has dynamic receiving talent outside of Davante Adams. It’ll even be difficult for Adams to get open against Richard Sherman and the other corners.

The 49ers have a couple of weaknesses, however. The linebacking corps took a hit when Kwon Alexander suffered an injury, so getting Aaron Jones out in space could be beneficial. The run defense isn’t all that great either, so Jones figures to have a strong performance overall.

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: The Packers’ defense had a great start to the season, but we’ve seen it blow plenty of coverages over recent weeks. Jimmy Garoppolo did well to recover last week from his ugly Monday night performance, and his outlook is bright, depending on one important factor.

That, of course, would be the health of George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders. Kittle has missed the past two games with an injury, while Sanders aggravated his rib issue versus the Cardinals last week, leaving me wondering why he was playing in the first place. Having both back will be crucial. Kittle is just such a dynamic threat, while Sanders will draw attention from Jaire Alexander, allowing Deebo Samuel and the other receivers to get open. Alexander shut down Sanders back in September when Denver visited Green Bay, but if Sanders doesn’t play, Alexander will be able to limit Samuel, leaving Garoppolo with no viable targets.

The 49ers will, at least, be able to run well with Tevin Coleman and perhaps Matt Breida. The Packers have been leaky versus the run, and the 49ers have one of the best ground attacks in the NFL.

RECAP: This game reminds me of the 49ers-Seahawks matchup from two Monday nights ago. The 49ers were favored over the team with the superior quarterback. Seattle beat San Francisco, but with the caveat of the 49ers blowing a 10-0 lead because they lost several players to injury, including Sanders. This meant that Garoppolo was missing his top two weapons, causing him to struggle.

If Sanders and Kittle can return this week, the 49ers will have a better chance of taking care of business against another overrated NFC opponent. The Packers don’t have much going for them outside of Rodgers, Jones and Adams, as they’ve snuck by mediocre opponents at home like the Lions and Panthers. It’ll be much more difficult for them to compete against a team with the best defense in the NFL. They were blown out the last time they visited California, and that was against the lowly Chargers! How will they handle San Francisco if the 49ers have everyone healthy?

This has the potential to be a big play; I’ll be eager to fade a public dog, and this spread is too low (the computer model thinks San Francisco -8 is the correct number!)

Of course, things will be different if the 49ers are missing vital personnel. We’ll see what happens, as I’ll be monitoring the injury report closely. Check back later or follow @walterfootball for updates.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: We still don’t have updates on some of the injured 49ers, so I’m eager to look at the final injury report Friday night.

SATURDAY NOTES: There’s good news and bad news for the 49ers in relation to the injury report. The good news is that George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders seem as though they’ll play. The bad news is that Dee Ford is doubtful, which will make life easier for Aaron Rodgers. Ronald Blair was already out, so the 49ers will be down two of their top three edge rushers. The Packers, conversely, are completely healthy, and they’ve had extra time to prepare for this game, which has been a great benefit to Rodgers over the years (Mike McCarthy was 10-2 ATS off a bye, and yet he was a terrible coach.) With some +3.5s popping up, I’m switching to Green Bay, and I’m even going to bet them at that number. This will be a two- or three-unit wager.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: I’m going to be betting on the Packers, and I’ll be looking to bet up to +3.5. I’ll lock this in during the late afternoon update if I see a favorable +3.5. Otherwise, check back prior to kickoff for an update.

FINAL THOUGHTS: There are some favorable +3.5s available. You can get Green Bay +3.5 -115 at FanDuel, +3.5 -116 at Bookmaker and +3.5 -118 at Heritage. I like the Packers, as a healthy Aaron Rodgers has a pristine record coming off a bye. Meanwhile, the 49ers will be missing Dee Ford, and there’s no guarantee that their receivers (including George Kittle) will be healthy. It’s always a gift to get an elite quarterback at more than a field goal, so I’m willing to bet Green Bay for three units.


The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Spread. Edge: Packers.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: 49ers -3.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: 49ers -3.5.
Computer Model: 49ers -5.
DVOA Spread: 49ers -4.5.


The Vegas. Edge: 49ers.
The Packers were a public dog, but action has evened out.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 62% (52,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Aaron Rodgers is 94-64 ATS since 2009.

Aaron Rodgers is 21-16 ATS as an underdog.

49ers are 38-23 ATS as favorites in night games since 1989.

Opening Line: 49ers -4.

Opening Total: 44.

Weather: Clear, 58 degrees. Light wind.

Week 12 NFL Pick: 49ers 21, Packers 20
Packers +3.5 -115 (3 Units) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$345
Under 47.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
49ers 37, Packers 8

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Baltimore Ravens (8-2) at Los Angeles Rams (6-4)
Line: Ravens by 3. Total: 47.
Monday, Nov. 25, 8:15 PM


The Matchup. Edge: Ravens.

This week on ESPN, we’re going to have awful announcers calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Dan Fouts and Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Lost Angeles where the Baltimore Colts will take on the Lost Angeles Rams. Guys, it must be destiny that I’m in Lost Angeles because I’ve always dreamt of becoming an actor. Mother says I have a beautiful face and I’m very charming, so I think I can become a famous Hollywood actor. What do you think, guys?

Emmitt: Benny, I not quite sure. When I think of a great actress, I think of Brad Armpit, Tom Thanks and Silverstar Stallone. All of these guy have iconic name. Benny guy who I don’t know last name do not sound like iconic names.

Reilly: Emmitt, do you really not know my last name? And my first name isn’t Benny either! Kevin Reilly sounds like an iconic Hollywood name!

Tollefson: Kevin, not to burst your bubble, but Hollywood isn’t looking for 66-year-old losers who live with their mother. They’re looking for suave people like me who can become famous producers and trick actresses into sleeping with them for roles. Harvey Weinstein had the right idea, except he made one rookie mistake: He didn’t tie up women in his basement!

Reilly: Tolly, I am not a loser. I even asked Mother, and she said I’m a winner.

Jason Witten: Hello, my name is Jason Witten and I just came out of retirement. Guys, I just heard someone mention winners and losers. I think this is a real important subject to talk about. When you talk about winners, you talk about guys who win. Because they’re winners. And we’re not talking about losers. Because they’re the guys that lose. And when you have guys that lose, they’re losers. Because that’s what they are. They’re the opposite of winners. Because they’re the guys that win.

Reilly: Who the f**k hired this guy? Seriously. What an idiot. Anyway, here’s my audition to be an actor. It’s from Romeo and Julien. Not Juliet because Mother says I’m too young to watch that smut. Romeo, Romeo, where for are you, I mean art though, Romeo?

Fouts: And that’s what we like to call a Keanu in show biz. Keanu was in the Matrix 1, the Matrix 2, and the Matrix 3. And when you add one and two together, you get three! What a coincidence!

Wolfley: DAN, IN MY PARALLEL UNIVERSE, WE ACTUALLY HAVE EIGHT MATRIX MOVIES, BUT KEANU HAS STARRED IN ONLY SIX OF THEM BECAUSE HE SLIPPED ON A KETCHUP PACKET WITH EARS AND DIED LONG AGO.

Reilly: No one cares if Keanu Reeves died! New daddy, tell them that I can be a great actor!

Cutler: Yeah, he’s a good actor, all right.

Reilly: New Daddy, thank you! I knew you loved me! I love you for saying I’m a great actor!!!

Cutler: Oops, I thought we were talking about Keanu Reeves. I wasn’t paying attention.

Reilly: No, New Daddy, no! Tell them how I’m a great actor, and how I put on shows for you and Mother!

Cutler: Oh, that was a show? I thougth you were just annoying me on purpose.

Charles Davis: Kevin, not to interrupt, Kevin, but it sounds like you’re talking about actors, Kevin. Let’s discuss some actors, Kevin. Let’s talk about Tom Hanks, Kevin. Or, we can begin with Mel Gibson, Kevin. How about Chris Pratt, Kevin? Why not discuss Sylvester Stallone, Kevin? How about a hot, new actor, Kevin? A great new actor on the scene, Kevin? His name is Kevin Reilly, Kevin!

Reilly: Wow! You recognize me as a great actor, Charles Davis? Thank you, Charles Davis!

Charles Davis: Whoops, did I say Kevin Reilly, Kevin? I meant Timothee Chalamet, Kevin. Burn, Kevin. We’ll be right back after this, Kevin!

Reilly: WHAT!? YOU TRICKED ME INTO RAISING MY SELF CONFIDENCE! AND IT’S MY JOB TO SAY WE’LL BE BACK AFTER THIS, A**HOLE! We’ll be back after this!

BALTIMORE OFFENSE: So, I was kind of wrong about Lamar Jackson. He was prolific against the Texans, completing 13 consecutive passes spanning several drives. Houston’s beleaguered secondary couldn’t do anything to stop him.

I’m not sure if Jackson will have the same sort of passing success in this contest. Maybe I’m still being stubborn, but the Rams have a terrific defense. They are solid at defending tight ends, while Jalen Ramsey will be able to blanket Marquise Brown, who is hobbled. The Rams are also stellar at stopping the run, so I wouldn’t expect much from Mark Ingram when he carries the ball.

Of course, Jackson is the ultimate X-factor. It’s so difficult to defend him as a runner. The Rams have nice linebacking speed with Cory Littleton, but I’m not sure if he’ll be able to make much of a difference versus the electric running quarterback.

LOS ANGELES OFFENSE: Cris Collinsworth pointed out David Edwards and Bobby Evans repeatedly during last week’s Sunday night affair. The two are young offensive linemen on the Rams’ roster. They played well versus the Bears, as they opened up some nice holes for Todd Gurley.

That said, I’m not convinced the Rams have solved their offensive line woes. Chicago has been horrific against the run ever since losing Akiem Hicks to injury, so Gurley was expected to have a strong performance. That, however, is not the case in this game, as the Ravens have one of the best run-stopping defenses in the league.

Jared Goff will have to do most of the work this time, and that just spells trouble. The Rams can’t pass protect, and we know how Goff can struggle when he gets frazzled. I expect him to throw multiple interceptions against Baltimore’s prolific secondary.

RECAP: Any line value we had prior to this week is gone. The advance spread on this game was pick ’em, and now Baltimore is favored by three. I often like to go against big line movements like this, but I think this is everyone catching on to how great the Ravens are and how mediocre the Rams happen to be.

I’m not going to bet this game because there’s no line value, but I will select the Ravens. One thing to note is that there are bound to be more Baltimore fans in the stands than Ram supporters, which should help the visitor.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: I think there’s a good chance this spread breaks through -3 and even reaches -5.5 by kickoff because the public is pounding the Ravens, while the sharps aren’t touching the Rams. So, if you want to bet the Ravens, I’d lock them in now.

SATURDAY NOTES: The line hasn’t moved yet, which is surprising. I still like the Ravens, but I’m not sure if I’ll be betting them with the Rams’ receiving corps now fully intact.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: This spread still hasn’t moved, but if you want to bet the Ravens, I’d still lock this in now.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’m up $1,030 on the week, so I’m not betting this game because I’d like to walk away up four figures. However, even if that didn’t matter, I don’t think I’d want to wager on this game. Betting into the ESPN Lamar Jackson hype machine is unappealing, and yet it’s even more appealing to go against him! If you want to bet this game, I’d lean toward the Ravens, and you can get them at -3 -121 at Bookmaker. If you like the Rams, Bovada has +4 -115 listed.


The Motivation. Edge: Ravens.
The Ravens will have more fans in the stands than the Rams will.


The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Ravens -3.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Pick.
Computer Model: Ravens -3.
DVOA Spread: Ravens -2.


The Vegas. Edge: Rams.
Lamar Jackson is easy money.

Percentage of money on Baltimore: 73% (62,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Rams.

Ravens are 17-26 ATS as road favorites since 2005.

Opening Line: Ravens -1.

Opening Total: 49.

Weather: Clear, 61 degrees. Light wind.

Week 12 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Rams 20
Ravens -3 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Over 47 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Ravens 45, Rams 6

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week 12 NFL Picks – Early Games
Colts at Texans, Buccaneers at Falcons, Broncos at Bills, Giants at Bears, Steelers at Bengals, Dolphins at Browns, Panthers at Saints, Raiders at Jets, Seahawks at Eagles, Lions at Redskins




Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 12 NFL Picks – Early Games



NFL Picks - Dec. 15


2025 NFL Mock Draft - Dec. 11


NFL Power Rankings - Dec. 9


2026 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 29


Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4




SUB MENU






My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-6	Bears: 5-7	Bucs: 8-5	49ers: 8-5
Eagles: 7-6	Lions: 10-3	Falcons: 7-6	Cardinals: 9-4
Giants: 4-8	Packers: 9-3	Panthers: 5-8	Rams: 7-6
Redskins: 6-6	Vikings: 5-7	Saints: 6-7	Seahawks: 7-5
Bills: 5-8	Bengals: 3-10	Colts: 7-6	Broncos: 9-4
Dolphins: 5-8	Browns: 5-8	Jaguars: 4-7	Chargers: 7-5
Jets: 7-6	Ravens: 6-6	Texans: 5-7	Chiefs: 5-7
Patriots: 7-4	Steelers: 6-7	Titans: 8-4	Raiders: 7-6
Divisional: 27-34 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 23-19 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 38-31 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 25-36 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 44-57 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 14-9 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 17-17 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-9 (2011-23: 33-37)