NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2013

NFL Picks (Preseason 2013): 10-6 (+$720)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2013): 4-11-1 (-$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2013): 6-10 (+$130)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2013): 9-6-1 (+$20)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2013): 11-4 (+$870)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2013): 8-6 (+$1,060)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2013): 4-11 (-$420)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2013): 6-9 (-$730)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2013): 8-5 (+$760)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2013): 5-8 (-$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2013): 9-4-1 (-$110)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2013): 5-7-3 (-$480)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2013): 9-5 (+$1,660)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2013): 10-6 (+$850)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2013): 7-9 (+$430)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2013): 10-6 (-$190)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2013): 6-9-1 (-$240)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2013): 10-6 (+$1,470)

NFL Picks (2013): 137-128-5 (+$4,230)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 5, 12:01 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

San Diego Chargers (9-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (11-5)
Line: Bengals by 7. Total: 47.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Bengals -4.
Sunday, Jan. 5, 1:00 ET
Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: None.

If you didn’t catch it, Emmitt on the Brink is back! Season 6, Episode 17 has been posted – Will Emmitt finally bring Aaron Hernandez to justice?

Also, a reminder that Jerks of the Week for Dec. 30, 2013 is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is entitled the Twelve Jerks of Christmas.

I used to love making fun of GameCenter comments. The people on there were such idiots. There were even perverts like Aaron3619, who always asked chicks for their pictures so that he could carry them around.

I planned to mess with Aaron3619 as a fake user named TexasGirl1234, but NFL.com shut down its GameCenter and implemented Facebook comments instead. This enraged me, so get revenge, I made a fake Facebook account named Mario Migelini to troll people. Other readers followed suit and made fake accounts of their own.

I added a second fake account this year – Vivian Williamson. This is based off of Miss Vivian, a security guard at the Philadelphia International Airport, whom I’ve written about in Jerks of the Week (click the link to read about her).

Unfortunately, some a**holes with no sense of humor decided to flag Miss Vivian as a troller, so I had to make a new account. Kevin Reilly has been born!

Go here to see all of the NFL.com Troll Posts from myself and other trollers.

SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: The Bengals haven’t played well on the road this year, but they managed to win in San Diego. They limited the Chargers to just 10 points, as the home team absolutely killed itself with mistakes. It started when Antonio Gates lost a fumble in the red zone on the opening drive. Danny Woodhead then had a drop. Philip Rivers tossed an interception. Keenan Allen followed all of this up with a lost fumble of his own deep in his own territory. San Diego was a complete mess.

One reason for the Chargers’ futility was the absence of left tackle King Dunalp. The former Eagle had been the butt of many jokes while he was here in Philadelphia. In fact, my friend/ex-neighbor Drew often called him “King Duncrap.” However, Dunlap has inexplicably turned his career around in San Diego. He has become a solid blind-side protector for Rivers, and he was missed when he was out of the lineup for a few games with an injury. The Chargers averaged just 22.3 points per game when he was sidelined, compared to 29.3 in the four games since he has returned to action.

Cincinnati won’t get as much heat on Rivers in the rematch, allowing the feiry quarterback to find his weapons. Unless Woodhead, Gates and Allen are guilty of unforced blunders again, the Chargers should be able to score a decent amount.

Having said that, San Diego will have to do everything primarily through the air. Ryan Mathews has performed well above expectations this season, but he’ll have issues with a Bengal defense that is a solid sixth against the rush (3.75 YPC).

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: Andy Dalton is a much better quarterback at home. His completion is three points higher. His YPA is nearly a full yard greater. His quarterback rating is up about 18 points compared to his road number. And despite this, I don’t fully trust him.

Dalton was awful in the Week 17 victory over Baltimore. He did everything in his power to keep the Ravens in that game. He lobbed up horrible interception after horrible interception, and even his deep touchdown to A.J. Green was underthrown. This wasn’t the first time Dalton played poorly as a host this season; he was a dreadful 13-of-27 for 93 yards against the Browns in Week 11.

However, there is cause for optimism. First of all, Dalton didn’t have either of his tight ends in last week’s tilt. He has limited arm strength, so the fact that he was missing his intermediate targets really hurt. Second, Baltimore obviously has a much tougher defense than San Diego. The Chargers couldn’t get an offense comprised of Chase Daniel and Knile Davis off the field last week, so how can they possibly have success against Dalton and Green?

San Diego should at least be stout against the run. That wasn’t the case back in Week 13 when Cincinnati rushed for 149 yards on 34 carries, but the Chargers have limited their next four opponents to just 3.32 YPC.

RECAP: There are clashing dynamics in this game. The Chargers might struggle because Roger Goodell, in his infinite wisdom, allowed a West Coast team to have a 1 p.m. start time in the Eastern Time Zone. On the other hand, Cincinnati won’t be at its best because it beat San Diego in an earlier matchup. I outlined how teams do in non-divisional revenge situations on the other page, and it definitely favors the Chargers.

I’m ultimately going to pick the Chargers for one unit because I feel like this spread is too high. Cincinnati hasn’t won a postseason game in decades, yet it’s suddenly supposed to win by more than a touchdown? How does that make sense?

The Chargers went into Denver and beat the Broncos a few weeks ago, so I don’t see why they couldn’t similarly upset the Bengals. This is almost a toss-up game for me, as I would’ve made the spread Cincinnati -4.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’m going to drop this to zero units because of the weather. It’s going to be a little warmer than it is in Philly, but it’ll be windier, and the snow/rain won’t help Rivers’ aerial attack. If the conditions were fine, I’d still like the Chargers. If you still plan on betting them – there’s some sharp action on the San Diego moneyline – take them now at +7. It won’t rise to +7.5 because the books won’t want to get middled.

SUNDAY NOTES: Chad Millman noted that the sharps are on the Bengals today. I didn’t quite see that on my end – this line has fallen in San Diego’s favor despite some action on Cincinnati – but I could see the argument. I still like the Chargers, and the weather doesn’t look like it’s as bad as predicted. I’m not going to place any units on them though because of what Millman said, plus the line is either +6.5 or +7 -115, and I don’t feel like getting less than a touchdown or laying -115 juice.

The Psychology. Edge: Chargers.

People seem to be trashing the Chargers after that near loss, and they don’t seem to be giving them much of a chance.

The Vegas. Edge: Chargers.
The public is on the Bengals.

Percentage of money on Cincinnati: 62% (84,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chargers.

Philip Rivers is 28-17 ATS as a starter after Nov. 30 (11-5 ATS as an underdog).

Bengals are 8-0 ATS at home this year.

Bengals are 18-32 ATS as a favorite since 2007.

Bengals are 11-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 or more since 2007.

Opening Line: Bengals -7.

Opening Total: 46.

Weather: Some showers, 39 degrees. Light wind.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Bengals 24, Chargers 20
Chargers +7 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Under 47.5 (0 Unit) — Correct; $0
Chargers 27, Bengals 10

San Francisco 49ers (12-4) at Green Bay Packers (8-7-1)
Line: 49ers by 3. Total: 45.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Packers -3.
Sunday, Jan. 5, 4:30 ET
Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: 49ers.

This week on FOX, we’re going to have Joe Buck and Troy Aikman calling the shots instead of the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, annoying men like Charles Davis and senile individuals like Bob Greise. Here’s what it would sound like if those seven clowns (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Green Bay, the Cheese City, home of the Packers. Guys, have you seen how terrible Colin Kasepersnick has been this year? I think I’m going to try out as quarterback for the San Francisco Giants.

Emmitt: Robocop, I don’t mean to offense you, but you a little long in the mouth to be startin’ at quarterback for the Giant.

Reilly: Nonsense, Emmitt. I’ve studied Nick Foles’ every throw, and even though I consider Foles a God-like figure, I feel like I can duplicate his skill set.

Tollefson: I think you’re on to something, Kevin. All quarterbacks have groupies, so I’ll be able to hang out with you and lure in some of these women, who will be happy to cook and clean for me because that’s all what women are good for.

Reilly: Oh, so now you want to hang out with me? I’ve asked you to hang out every weekend, and you’re always busy!

Tollefson: That’s because I’m trying to find women who will cook and clean for me. Besides, all you want to do is watch Nick Foles highlight videos and circle jerk to them. Don’t you realize that there is money to be made, Kevin? I’ve been selling timeshares to my non-existing condos for years, yet people buy them from me solely because I’m famous! Women mostly buy them because they are dumb creatures that have brains comparable to dogs or sheep.

Millen: Did someone say circle jerk to Nick Foles videos? Why not enhance the experience? Believe me, I’ve invited Nick Foles back to my hotel room for some kielbasa-related fun, and while we were inserting kielbasas into each other’s backsides, we played videos of Nick Foles highlight clips. It was quite the magical experience, and I think fondly of it when I’m riding a young stallion who is only 80-percent USDA Man.

Griese: I could eat some kielbasas and watch Nick Foles highlight clips.

Reilly: I’m not sure Bob even knows who Nick Foles is; let alone what year it is. And I think he misunderstands what Millen is talking about when he’s referring to kielbasas.

Edwards: I KNOW WHAT HE’S TALKING ABOUT! I KNOW! I KNOW! KEVIN KNOWS! KEVIN KNOWS TOO! PRETTY SURE TOLLY KNOWS! PRETTY SURE TOLLY KNOWS TOO! KIELBASA MEANS MEAT BUT IN THIS CONTEXT IT MEANS MALE ORGAN! AND NOT THE ORGAN YOU PLAY AT CHURCH! OH NO, NOT THAT ORGAN! THE OTHER ORGAN! NOT THE ORGAN THAT MAKES MUSIC! THE ORGAN THAT MEN HAVE! BUT NOT IF THEY’RE MEN WHO WORK AT A CHURCH! THAT’S A DIFFERENT ORGAN! THAT’S THE ORGAN YOU PLAY! YOU PLAY WITH YOUR HANDS! BUT YOU CAN USE YOUR HANDS TO PLAY WITH OTHER KIELBASAS TOO! AND SOMETIMES YOU USE LOTION! NOT THAT HERM USES LOTION! OH NO HERM DOESN’T PLEASURE HIMSELF! IT’S SINFUL! GOD DOESN’T LIKE IT! GOD DOESN’T WANT TO SEE IT! GOD DOESN’T WANT TO DEAL WITH IT! GOD FROWNS UPON IT! I KNOW BECAUSE I TALK TO GOD! I TALK TO GOD EVERY NIGHT! HE’S MY FRIEND! HE’S A GOOD FRIEND! AND NOT JUST A GOOD FRIEND! A GREAT FRIEND! AND NOT JUST A GREAT FRIEND! THE GREATEST FRIEND! THIS IS CALLED THE BEST FRIEND! AND NOT MAN’S BEST FRIEND BECAUSE THAT’S A DOG! GOD’S NOT A DOG! HERM KNOWS GOD’S NOT A DOG! HERM DOESN’T KNOW HOW TO TALK TO DOGS! HERM TRIED TALKING TO DOGS BUT IT DIDN’T WORK! HERM TRIED FOR YEARS BUT HE DIDN’T GET IT TO WORK! CAN’T GET IT TO WORK! WON’T WORK NO MATTER WHAT! NO MATTER HOW I TRIED, IT WON’T WORK! JUST CAN’T WORK! WON’T EVER WORK! HERM TRIED TO WORK, BUT IT DIDN’T WORK! HERM WILL TRY TO WORK SOME MORE, BUT NO GUARANTEES! JUST GOTTA GET IT TO WORK! GOTTA… HERM FORGOT WHAT HE’S TRYING TO WORK! HERM CAN’T REMEMBER WHAT DOESN’T WORK! Herm… uhh… umm…

Reilly: Shut up, Herm. If you actually talk to God, I spit on your God.

Davis: Did you know there are lots of types of gods, Kevin? We believe in one God, but there are lots of cultures that believe in multiple gods, Kevin. Let’s begin with the Greeks, Kevin. There was Zeus, the king of the gods, Kevin. Did you know he ruled Mount Olympus, Kevin? How about Aphrodite, Kevin? Do you know what she was the goddess of, Kevin? I’ll give you three seconds to guess, Kevin. Give up, Kevin? She was the goddess of love, beauty and desire, Kevin. And don’t forget pleasure, Kevin. Let’s move on to Apollo, Kevin. He was the god of light, music and arts, Kevin. What about Ares, Kevin? He was the god of war, Kevin. Now, before we move on to Artemis, Kevin, let’s review what we’ve learned so far, Kevin. Zeus was the king of the gods, Kevin. Aphrodite was, well, I’ll let you answer that one, Kevin. I’ll give you five seconds this time, Kevin? You got the answer, Kevin?

Reilly: Charles Davis, I swear to god – and not just one god; all the gods – that I will tie you up, stuff you in my trunk and dump you into a river. You are so freaking annoying that you’ve destroyed all of my hopes and desires. We’ll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: Aaron Rodgers wasn’t at his best last week, but his return made all the difference in the world. Matt Flynn certainly wouldn’t have led the Packers to victory in Chicago, but despite some early mistakes, Rodgers came through in the clutch to clinch a spot in the playoffs.

It’s a good thing for the Packers that both Rodgers and Randall Cobb were able to shake off the cobwebs last week. Rodgers, who went 25-of-39 for 318 yards, two touchdowns and a pair of picks in his first game back, will need to avoid tossing more interceptions. Fortunately for him, the 49ers have some liabilities in their secondary with Carlos Rogers and Eric Reid not playing very well in the second half of the season.

Someone who has provided the 49ers with a boost on this side of the ball lately is Aldon Smith, who has done a great job of putting pressure on the quarterback since his return from rehab. However, San Francisco as a whole hasn’t been able to generate consistent pressure. Matt Ryan, for crying out loud, was able to dissect the 49ers in a clean pocket, and he went on to get sacked nine times the following week against the Seahawks. Green Bay’s offensive line kept the pocket clean last week, so Rodgers should have ample time to find his receivers.

Having said that, the Packers will have some issues running the ball. Eddie Lacy has been excellent in his rookie campaign, but he’s banged up and clearly not 100 percent. The 49ers, ranked 10th against the rush in terms of YPC (3.88), will put the clamps on him.

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: Colin Kaepernick has been up and down this year, but he’s coming off a quality performance against a strong Arizona defense. He went 21-of-34 for 310 yards and two touchdowns on the road, which was very impressive. He needed a strong outing after nearly blowing a game against the Falcons in which he had a woeful first half. However, things are looking up because he has his supporting cast intact.

Kaepernick’s situation is even better considering his opponent this week. Green Bay’s secondary stinks. Ranked 27th in the NFL in terms of YPA, the Packers watched as Kaepernick had his best performance of the year against them back in the season opener when he went 27-of-39 for a whopping 412 yards and three touchdowns. Green Bay has enabled many other quarterbacks to have stellar outings against them, so things shouldn’t be any different this time, especially given that Michael Crabtree will be in the lineup.

While Crabtree is back, Clay Matthews is out. The stellar linebacker will be missing yet again with a thumb injury, which will make things even easier for Kaepernick. The 49ers have surrendered an average of 3.14 sacks since their Week 9 bye, but it’s highly unlikely that Kaepernick will feel much heat without Matthews chasing him down.

Unlike the Packers, the 49ers will be able to establish the run. Frank Gore is actually healthy, and he’ll have the luxury of battling a defense that has yielded a ridiculous 154 rushing yards per game over the past six weeks.

RECAP: Despite their defensive deficiencies, the Packers are my top pick of the week. Here’s why:

1. I mentioned earlier that I love betting on elite quarterbacks as underdogs. Getting Rodgers as a home dog is a pretty much a gift. This makes Green Bay an automatic pick.

2. Something else I discussed on the previous page was how teams fare in non-divisional revenge situations. This dynamic favors the Packers. I’m well aware that Mike McCarthy has struggled against Jim Harbaugh, but the previous two losses were in San Francisco, and one involved Circadian rhythms. Things will be different at a different site.

3. Speaking of the site, the Packers have an amazing record at Lambeau. Scroll down below to check that out. Going against Rodgers in Lambeau is insane to me.

4. Every single analyst on ESPN or NFL Network has San Francisco as the most dangerous team playing this weekend. All of the talking heads have been slurping the 49ers. You know what happens when all of these bozos say the exact same thing.

5. This spread is way off. The 49ers and Packers are about even. Maybe the former is a bit better, but I’d still make the line Green Bay -3 because of the extra Lambeau advantage. Thus, we’re getting a ridiculous six points of value.

6. The sharps are all over Green Bay. The public, meanwhile, loves the 49ers. Casual bettors will be looking to either double up or win back losses on the final game of this weekend’s slate, so the Clete Blakeman Rule will be in effect.

This is a four-unit play for me, and the only reason it’s not my January NFL Pick of the Month is because of Harbaugh. Still, the Packers are the right side, and they’re +3 at Bovada as of this writing. If you can get +3, lock it in.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’m staying with four units on the Packers. Everyone loves the 49ers, yet the sharp money is on Green Bay. It’s going to be absolutely freezing at Lambeau on Sunday afternoon, which hurts the 49ers for obvious reasons. San Francisco will be missing cornerback Carlos Rogers, which will be prevalent in their matchup against the Packer receivers.

SUNDAY NOTES: Chad Millman confirmed that the sharps are on the Packers. That’s not a surprise, as this spread is six points off of what it should be. Even better, all but one of the ESPN analysts have picked the 49ers. Once again, the only reason this isn’t my January NFL Pick of the Month is because I’m going against Jim Harbaugh.

The Psychology. Edge: Packers.

You’d have to think the Packers have the mental edge in this matchup considering that they’re home underdogs and no one seems to be giving them much of a chance.

The Vegas. Edge: Packers.

There’s more money on the 49ers than any other team this week.

Percentage of money on San Francisco: 67% (93,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Packers are 22-11 ATS at home since 2010.

Aaron Rodgers is 48-27 ATS since 2009.

Aaron Rodgers is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.

Opening Line: 49ers -2.5.

Opening Total: 48.5.

Weather: Possible snow, 5 degrees. Mild wind, 17 mph.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Packers 31, 49ers 27
Packers +3 (4 Units) — Push; $0
Over 45.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
49ers 23, Packers 20

Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Chiefs at Colts, Saints at Eagles

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Teaser: Saints +9, Packers +9 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 16

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

NBA Picks Against the Spread

2024 NFL Draft Goals

2024 NFL Draft Potential Busts

NFL Free Agent Signing Grades – Latest Signing Grades for 2024 NFL Free Agency

2024 NFL Mock Draft

2024 NFL Draft Day 3 Sleepers

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2013

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