NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2010

NFL Picks (Preseason 2010): 9-6-1 (+$680)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2010): 8-7-1 (-$15)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2010): 7-8-1 (-$170)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2010): 10-6 (+$1,430)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2010): 7-7 (+$1,075)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2010): 8-6 (+$260)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2010): 4-9-1 (-$1,865)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2010): 8-6 (+$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2010): 7-6 (+$520)

NFL Picks (2010): 68-61-3 (+$2,995)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Nov. 8, 4:30 p.m. ET.

Go to Week 9 NFL Picks – Early Games

New York Giants (5-2) at Seattle Seahawks (4-3)
Line: Giants by 7.5. Total: 40.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 8): Giants -1.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 8): Giants -3.

Sunday, Nov. 7, 4:05 ET
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The Game. Edge: Giants.

Two opportunities to win money, if you’re into that sort of thing:

We are running our NFL Picking Contest again on our sister site, DraftDebacled.com. It’s free to enter, and there are monthly prizes ($75 for the winner, $25 for second place), so click on the link to sign up. It’s a new month, so our Picking Contest is starting over.

Also, if you’re still alive, get your pick in for the WalterFootball.com 2010 NFL Survivor Pool. There are 158 entries remaining out of 1,972.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: Matt Hasselbeck was sacked eight times against the Raiders, so it’s no surprise that he suffered a concussion last week. Pete Carroll announced that Hasselbeck will play, which is good news for Seattle.

The bad news, however, is that the Giants have knocked out five quarterbacks this year. They get tons of pressure on the quarterback, and Seattle still doesn’t have left tackle Russell Okung protecting Hasselbeck’s blind side.

The Seahawks will have to call for short passes and a bunch of runs to keep New York’s pass rush honest. Unfortunately for Seattle, the Giants rank fourth against ground attacks. This is an amazing stat – no opponent has rushed for more than 50 yards against them since Week 3.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: The Seahawks had a top-five ground defense themselves prior to last week’s loss at Oakland. However, Red Bryant, one of the elite run-stoppers in the NFL, has been lost for the year with a knee injury.

This is obviously bad news for Seattle. Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs should be able to do whatever they please, opening up play-action and short-yardage opportunities for Eli Manning, who will need the breathing room against the NFL’s No. 7 pass rush.

With Manning is favorable passing situations, the Seahawks won’t be able to contain Hakeem Nicks or Steve Smith. They’ve surrendered at least 225 passing yards to all but two opponents this year.

RECAP: The Seahawks may be short-handed, but I still like them to cover for two reasons.

First, Seattle is very good at home. The Chargers and 49ers came in as big favorites and appeared to have the matchup edge, yet the Seahawks prevailed in the end.

And second, teams that lose the point spread by 25 or more are generally a great bet the following week.

MATT HASSELBECK UPDATE: Matt Hasselbeck is out, but I still like the Seahawks. Hasselbeck hasn’t exactly been great this season, so I think Charlie Whitehurst can step in and do a similar job at home. Besides, the Giants may not take Seattle as seriously with Hasselbeck out.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Seahawks.

The public is predictably betting the Giants.

Percentage of money on New York: 85% (149,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Giants.

Giants are 27-11 ATS on the road since 2006.

Opening Line: Giants -5.5.

Opening Total: 41.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 50 degrees. Light wind.

Week 9 NFL Pick: Giants 23, Seahawks 20
Seahawks +7.5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Over 40.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Giants 41, Seahawks 7

Indianapolis Colts (5-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-3)
Line: Eagles by 3. Total: 46.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 8): Colts -1.5.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 8): Colts -3.

Sunday, Nov. 7, 4:15 ET
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The Game. Edge: Colts.

Another friendly reminder that Jerks of the Week for Nov. 1, 2010 are up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks are: 1) Donation Girl. 2) Gay Nail Guy. 3) Jerks with Awesome Kelly.

INDIANAPOLIS OFFENSE: Before the NFL schedule was released in April, my friend Drew, an avid Eagles fan, told me the following, “I hope the Eagles play the Colts at the end of the year when Indy’s resting their starters because Peyton Manning rapes us every time he plays us.”

It’s true. Manning takes Philly’s defense into a Georgian bar and has his way with them. In three meetings against the Eagles, Indianapolis has scored 44, 35 and 45 points.

I see no reason why Manning would slow down. Philadelphia’s secondary is very questionable, and Manning looks as sharp as ever despite not having the services of Dallas Clark and Austin Collie.

PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: QB Dog Killer is back. While some people in the media think the Eagles are the best team in the NFC with the deranged psychopath at quarterback, I’m a bit more skeptical. Yes, QB Dog Killer played brilliantly in his two starts, but he battled the Lions and Jaguars, who were ranked 32nd and 30th against the pass at the time. Kerry Collins and Ryan Fitzpatrick have both lit up the latter. Why aren’t they awesome? Why don’t they deserve a second chance?

In all seriousness, QB Dog Killer presents two problems for the Colts. First, QB Dog Killer is obviously much more elusive than Kevin Kolb, so Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis will be a bit more neutralized. And second, QB Dog Killer as a running option makes LeSean McCoy a greater threat. As you may know, Indianapolis sucks at stopping the rush.

RECAP: The Colts are my second five-unit play this week. In fact, this pick just seems too good to be true (and don’t worry about the Vegas; the books have made so much money this year they can afford to give some back.)

First of all, you have to bet on Peyton Manning getting points. Since 2003, Manning is 12-3 against the spread as an underdog, which excludes those bogus Week 16 and 17 tilts where he plays just a series or two. His three spread losses? Two were to New England when Bill Belichick used to own him. The other was at undefeated Tennessee on a Monday night where he was not 100 percent coming off knee surgery.

Second, Andy Reid sucks against AFC opponents. Any Eagles fan can attest to this. Big Red blows hard against the other conference.

Now, you may notice that Reid has an unbelievable spread record (9-2) coming off a bye. This intimidated me until I did some research. Here are the teams Reid has battled with a week off:

2009 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Buccaneers won three games last year.

2008 – Atlanta Falcons: The Eagles beat this spread by four points. Matt Ryan was making his seventh career start, so he was still figuring things out. Ryan, by the way, struggled yet again at Philly this year, so maybe the Eagles just have his number.

2007 – New York Jets: The Jets won four games that year.

2006 – Washington Redskins: The Redskins won five games that year.

2005 – San Diego Chargers: Finally, an elite opponent! Oh wait, the Eagles didn’t cover the spread in this game.

2004 – Carolina Panthers: This was Carolina’s post-Super Bowl year when Steve Smith was hurt. The Panthers began the season 1-7.

2003 – Buffalo Bills: The Bills won six games that year.

2002 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Finally, another elite opponent. The Eagles covered this spread, but I remember this game vividly. The Buccaneers had the lead until Warren Sapp was poked in the eye and had to leave the field. On the very next play, Donovan McNabb threw a long touchdown pass. In the second half, Brad Johnson was knocked out of the game with an injury.

2001 – New York Giants: The Giants won seven games that year.

2000 – Cincinnati Bengals: The Bengals won four games that year.

1999 – St. Louis Rams: The Super Bowl champion Rams sat their starters in this Week 17 matchup (this was back when byes could occur throughout the season.)

So there you have it. The Eagles have covered the spread against ONE elite team off the bye, and that squad (Tampa) had its quarterback and best defensive player knocked out of the game.

As you can tell, I’m very confident laying five units with Indianapolis.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Eagles.

One of the worst point spreads I’ve ever seen. The public is taking the points.

Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 76% (177,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Colts.

Colts are 40-26 ATS on the road since 2002.

Colts are 10-3 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 since 2007.

Peyton Manning is 12-3 ATS as an underdog since 2003.

Andy Reid is 9-2 ATS coming off a bye.

Eagles are 13-21 ATS vs. AFC opponents since 2001.

Opening Line: Eagles -2.5.

Opening Total: 47.

Weather: Sunny, 50 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Week 9 NFL Pick: Colts 38, Eagles 27
Colts +3 (5 Units) — Correct; +$500
Over 46.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Eagles 26, Colts 24

Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) at Oakland Raiders (4-4)
Line: Raiders by 1. Total: 41.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 8): Raiders -1.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 8): Raiders -1.
Sunday, Nov. 7, 4:15 ET
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The Game. Edge: Chiefs.

It’s time for Notes from NFL.com GameCenter – a list of a few stupid comments I found on NFL.com’s GameCenter and my thoughts on them (the second was actually a post on my Facebook wall):

1. “the fins are undefeated in halloween game”

Damn it. Had I known this stat, I would have bet 500 units on the Dolphins last week.

2. “should i pick up ted ginn. champ baily will be on nnmandi ashmougha and troy smith and tedd ginn are kolb and celek”

Interesting. So a corner will cover another corner, and a quarterback and wide receiver have stolen the identity of another quarterback and a tight end. You can’t get this type of analysis anywhere else.

3. “Earthwake coming for palmer”

HELP!!! AN EARTHWAKE OF 9.5 ON THE RICHTER SCALE!!! AHHHH!!!

OAKLAND OFFENSE: Darren McFadden’s emergence has been unbelievable. After looking like a bust for the first two years of his career, McFadden has become an elite dual threat. He’s the major reason why Oakland’s offense has been so explosive recently.

However, the Chiefs have the defense to slow McFadden down, at least on the ground. Kansas City is ranked seventh versus the run, as only one opponent has gained more than four yards per carry against them the entire season.

Kansas City’s defensive weakness remains its secondary. Jason Campbell has played well of late, but I don’t exactly trust him with Louis Murphy out and Zach Miller hobbled with a foot injury.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: Like the Raiders, the Chiefs move the chains primarily on the ground. Jamaal Charles rushed for 177 yards on just 22 carries in addition to catching four balls for 61 more yards last week.

Oakland is ranked 31st against the run, so Charles and Thomas Jones should be able to compile decent yardage on the ground, setting up play-action and short-yardage opportunities for Matt Cassel.

Cassel is clearly the weak link on this Kansas City team. Fortunately for the Chiefs, Nnamdi Asomugha is out with a high ankle sprain, which will make Cassel and Dwayne Bowe’s life much easier.

RECAP: I don’t have a strong opinion on this game. I’m taking Kansas City as a zero-unit pick. I still don’t trust the Raiders as a favorite, and I like getting points with the better defense.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Kansas City: 59% (107,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.

History: Road Team has won the last 7 meetings.

Chiefs are 18-9 ATS as a road underdog since 2007.

Raiders are 16-34 ATS at home the previous 50 instances.

Raiders are 1-9 ATS as a favorite since 2006.

Opening Line: Raiders -2.5.

Opening Total: 41.5.

Weather: Rain, 62 degrees. Light wind.

Week 9 NFL Pick: Chiefs 17, Raiders 16
Chiefs +1 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 41 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Raiders 23, Chiefs 20

Dallas Cowboys (1-6) at Green Bay Packers (5-3)
Line: Packers by 7. Total: 45.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 8): Packers -9.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 8): Packers -10.

Sunday, Nov. 7, 8:20 ET
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The Game. Edge: Packers.

More Notes from NFL.com GameCenter (the third from forum member Dr Lukic):

1. “Also is this Blount the same guy in college who was punching out Coach’s?”

It’s only been a year, and Blount is already an apparent coach-puncher. Give it a decade, and people will say that Blount shot 20 people at the game.

2. “bills qb is the only 1 i am worrie about. ”

And if I were your teacher, you would be the only one I am worrie about too.

3. “mybe if jerry let a couch be a couch mybe we can win a game”

Stupid Jerry Jones doesn’t get it. The key to success is letting a couch be a couch. Not a futon. Not a loveseat. A couch.

DALLAS OFFENSE: Here’s a good question – will the Cowboys actually try hard in this game? It’s really a shame because Jon Kitna, the supposed new weak link on the team, was Dallas’ best offensive player last week. His receivers let him down, tipping three balls into the hands of Jaguar defenders.

Kitna has proven that he can be at least somewhat competent, so it’s a matter of whether his team wants to play for him or not. If they don’t, the Cowboys obviously won’t score many points. If they do, Green Bay has injury issues that the Cowboys can exploit, particularly in the secondary and defensive line.

Oh, and can Jason Garrett please stop using Marion Barber? It’s like Garrett has two HDTVs and a black-and-white TV, and keeps watching the latter. There’s no reason for Barber to be on the field at this point. None.

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: The same question I asked early can be used here. Will Dallas try hard on defense? Will they actually put any sort of effort into tackling?

The Packers can’t run the ball, so Dallas can focus on rushing Aaron Rodgers and containing a depleted receiving corps that will be missing Donald Driver and Jermichael Finley. However, the Cowboys are 30th against the pass, so even if they try hard, the Packers will be able to put up points.

RECAP: This will be the final time I’ll be able to use the Hello, Goodbye trend this year. Teams favored by 6.5 or more going into their bye cover the spread about 80 percent of the time. The explanation behind this is that favorites of 6.5 or more are generally good teams, and good teams are usually focused in their final game prior to a week off.

Unfortunately, there are two things keeping me from making a big play on the Packers. First, there’s another lucrative system that fits the Cowboys. Teams that have lost three or more games in a row cover the spread on the road about 60 percent of the time.

Second, this spread is completely inflated based on what happened last week, and we’re getting absolutely no line value with the Packers. Dallas’ issue with Jacksonville wasn’t a lack of talent; it was a lack of effort. If the Cowboys try hard here, they could certainly make this a close game.

UNIT CHANGE: I’m dropping this to zero units. I have a really bad feeling that Dallas is going to come out of nowhere to shock everyone.

The Psychology. Edge: Cowboys.

The Cowboys were just humiliated. They’ll want to bounce back as large underdogs.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action after early money on Green Bay.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 58% (165,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Hello, Goodbye: Favorites of -6.5 or more are 35-10 ATS going into their bye since 2002.

Mike McCarthy is 3-0 ATS as a favorite coming off a straight-up win as an underdog.

Opening Line: Packers -9.

Opening Total: 44.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 45 degrees. Light wind.

Week 9 NFL Pick: Packers 31, Cowboys 20
Packers -7 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Over 45.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Packers 45, Cowboys 7 MISSING

MISSING

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-6)
Line: Steelers by 6. Total: 41.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 8): Steelers -4.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 8): Steelers -4.
Monday, Nov. 8, 8:30 ET
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The Game. Edge: Steelers.

It’s Monday Night Football, and unfortunately, we’re going to have Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski and Jon Gruden calling the shots instead of Emmitt Smith, Herm Edwards, Bob Griese and former Philadelphia Eagles Television Network guy Kevin Reilly (a huge homer who called Maurice Jones-Drew “Maurice Drew-Jones” and Torry Holt “Terry Holt”). Here’s how it would sound like if Reilly, Emmitt, Griese and Herm were in the booth for this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to Cincinnati, where the Steelers and Bengals will play in a meaningless game. Guys, I don’t know why we’re being asked to call this crappy game. Next week my Eagles play on Monday night. That’s when the entire world will find out how great my Eagles are. Guys, what do you think? Are the Eagles the best team of all time, or are they just the best team of this century? I’m having a tough time deciding.

Emmitt: Karl, you doin’ what my old head corch Jimmy Jackson told us was lookin’ ahead of yourselves or jumpin’ the cannon. If you do not take care of business in the game in front of you, then you have a chance of losin’ big-time business, which mean you lose big-time money.

Reilly: But the Eagles are playing on Monday night, Emmitt! First time all year! They should be playing on Monday night every week. If you disagree with me, you’re a terrorist!

Herm: Terrorists much worse! Terrorists more evil! Terrorists crazier! Terrorists kill! Terrorists steal! Terrorists scare! Terrorists dare! Truth or dare! Dare or truth! This is not a game! Terrorism is not a game!

Reilly: Herm, you’re obviously a terrorist because you hate the Eagles! Guys, this game has got me thinking. Back in the day, the Steelers and Eagles combined to form one team called the Steagles. Given this fact, I don’t think the Steelers deserve to have a team anymore. They stole from the Eagles!

Griese: I really like Ben Roethlisberger! He… uhh… And I really like Carson Palmer because… ummm…

Reilly: Guys, I wouldn’t count Griese as a terrorist because he has dementia and doesn’t really know what’s going on. In his state, he can’t possibly understand how awesome the Eagles are. So, we have one terrorist and one old man. Emmitt, what say you about the Eagles?

Emmitt: I think you gettin’ very confuse about terroristics. A terroristic, by definition, is a guy who buy bomb from the bomb shop, glue the bomb to a car, plane, train or sailboat. Then the guy program the vehicle he choose to crash into innocent peoples. Just because the Herm do not like Eagles, do not mean he is a terroristic. Herm just very exciting and talk very fastly, and sometime I do not even understood what he saying!

Reilly: Emmitt, no one ever understands what Herm is saying.

Griese: Herm Edwards is the head coach of the Kansas City Chiefs!

Reilly: Way to be stuck in 2006, Griese. Oh hey, guess what? World War II just happened too!

Herm: World War II didn’t just happen! It was a long time ago! Not five years! Not 10 years! Not 20 years! Not 30 years! Not 40 years! Not 50 years! Not 60 years! Not 70! Not 80! Not 90! I mean 60! Happened 60 years ago! Around 60! Near 60! Approximately 60! Far away from 60! I mean close to 60!

Reilly: I was being sarcastic, Herm. Here’s some more sarcasm for you: You’re an a-hole and I hope you and other terrorists die! Ha! We’ll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: If I haven’t made it clear in my game recaps, power rankings and picks pages, Carson Palmer sucks. His arm strength is sapped, and he can’t get the ball downfield anymore. And that’s just not a good recipe against the Steelers.

The Bengals have become very one-dimensional on offense, as Cedric Benson is the team’s sole consistent threat. Yes, Terrell Owens is putting up great stats, but the majority of his yardage is coming in garbage time when the Bengals are being blown out.

The Steelers are first against the run and did a great job stopping New Orleans’ rushing attack with Aaron Smith out. Cedric Benson won’t be able to find any running lanes, which will force Palmer into unfavorable situations. If this were the Palmer of old, that wouldn’t be a big deal. But this version of Palmer belongs in a glue factory.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: While the Bengals can run the ball effectively, they can’t stop opposing ground attacks. In fact, every opponent has gained at least 100 rushing yards against Cincinnati this season with the exception of Carolina.

Rashard Mendenhall will obviously have a big night, which will make things very easy for Ben Roethlisberger. The Bengals have health issues at the cornerback position, as Johnathan Joseph could miss yet another game with an ankle injury.

Roethlisberger has taken six sacks in the past two games. I expect that figure to remain at six after this contest. In addition to having a great complementary rushing attack, Big Ben will also be facing a pathetic pass rush that has just six sacks all year.

RECAP: This is Pittsburgh’s third-consecutive road game. That situation may scare some, but not me. Betting against teams in their third-straight away game is usually just a 50-50 proposition, but favorites in this situation are a perfect 4-0 against the number since 2002.

Unfortunately, there are a couple of things going against the Steelers, which is why I’m making a small play on this game. As with the Jets, Pittsburgh is a team coming off a single loss laying four or more on the road. Also, Marvin Lewis historically has been great in an underdog role, especially after coming off a loss as a favorite.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Bengals.

Where do you think the public will be going with this?

Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 65% (196,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

History: Road Team has won 8 of the last 11 meetings.

History: Steelers have won 5 of the last 7 meetings (Bengals won the last 2).

Teams favored in their third straight road game are 4-0 ATS since 2002.

Ben Roethlisberger is 71-29 as a starter (53-44 ATS).

Ben Roethlisberger is 21-13 ATS vs. the AFC North.

Steelers are 5-13 ATS as road favorites under Mike Tomlin.

Steelers are 2-7 ATS on the road as favorites of -5 or more since 2006.

Marvin Lewis is 5-2 ATS as an underdog after losing as a favorite.

Bengals are 8-4 ATS as underdogs since 2009.

Opening Line: Steelers -3.5.

Opening Total: 41.5.

Weather: Clear, 38 degrees. Light wind.

Week 9 NFL Pick: Steelers 34, Bengals 24
Steelers -6 (1 Unit) — Push; $0
Over 41 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Steelers 27, Bengals 21

Week 9 NFL Picks – Early Games
Buccaneers at Falcons, Bears at Bills, Patriots at Browns, Jets at Lions, Saints at Panthers, Dolphins at Ravens, Chargers at Texans, Cardinals at Vikings

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Moneyline Underdog: Cardinals +305 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Moneyline Underdog: Colts +130 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Small Parlay: Cardinals +8, Colts +3, Dolphins +5, Chargers -3, Browns +4.5, Steelers -4.5 (.5 Units to win 23.6) — Incorrect; -$50

NFL Picks - Nov. 15

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 13

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 12

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
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2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
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2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,499-3,231-202, 52.0% (+$17,105)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,126-1,010-57 (52.7%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 568-502-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,935-2,908-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-36-1 (56.6%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 5-3	Bears: 4-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-3
Eagles: 4-5	Lions: 8-1	Falcons: 5-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 5-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 4-5
Redskins: 4-5	Vikings: 3-6	Saints: 5-5	Seahawks: 6-2

Bills: 3-7	Bengals: 2-8	Colts: 5-5	Broncos: 6-4
Dolphins: 3-6	Browns: 3-6	Jaguars: 2-7	Chargers: 5-3
Jets: 5-5	Ravens: 4-5	Texans: 4-6	Chiefs: 3-5
Patriots: 5-3	Steelers: 3-6	Titans: 5-3	Raiders: 4-5

Divisional: 18-22 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 14-13 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 30-24 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 18-27 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 30-41 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-7 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 11-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-7 (2011-23: 33-37)