Last update: Friday, April 20, 2018.
THIS IS NOT
A 2018 NFL MOCK DRAFT
. Click the link to see my real 2018 NFL Mock Draft. This is a 2018 NFL Not Draft - a compilation of popular mock picks that, in my opinion, will not happen.
For the record, I was wrong about zero "not" picks in my 2012 and 2013 Not Mocks (which means I was right about none of my projections not happening). My 2014 Not Mock was less successful, as I "hit" (a bad thing) two of the picks. I also hit a pick in 2015, and then I "hit" two picks in 2016. As for 2017, I also "hit" one selection, which was Leonard Fournette to the Jaguars. Not that I didn't think Jacksonville would take him, but I didn't think he would be available at their selection. Oops.
2018 NFL Not Draft: Picks 1-16
Los Angeles Chargers: Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
Some believe the Chargers will select a quarterback here, or perhaps move up for one. Daniel Jeremiah, however, sounded confident in his position that the Chargers will wait until the second day of the draft to find a successor for Philip Rivers.
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Seattle Seahawks: Joshua Jackson, CB, Iowa
Joshua Jackson is a popularly mocked pick for the Seahawks, but I'll be surprised if it happens. Seattle's current regime has never drafted a cornerback this early, and Jackson doesn't even fit the characteristics of cornerbacks the Seahawks like as far as arm length and wingspan are concerned.
Dallas Cowboys: Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama
I'll be absolutely shocked if Jerry Jones signs off on this pick. The Cowboys could go with a receiver, and if so, I believe it'll be D.J. Moore. But Jones' hatred for Alabama is known, and if he's pulling the trigger, I can't imagine him taking Ridley.
Detroit Lions: Derrius Guice, RB, LSU
Derrius Guice is a popular mock pick for the Lions, but I'll be a bit surprised if they go in that direction. Their new head coach, Silent Bob, I mean Matt Patricia believes in the Patriots' philosophy of rotating plenty of backs throughout the game, so I believe Detroit will target a runner in Rounds 2-4 instead.
Cincinnati Bengals: Justin Reid, S, Stanford
I've seen Justin Reid mocked here, but I think this is too early for him. As mentioned earlier, safeties aren't valued very highly right now. There are plenty of talented safeties available in the free-agent market, and those at the position who have signed already did so for unimpressive contracts. The fact that Morgan Burnett couldn't get more than $14.5 million for three years speaks volumes. I don't believe there will be any safeties, excluding the top two (Derwin James, Minkah Fitzpatrick), chosen in the opening round for this reason.
Buffalo Bills: Connor Williams, G/OT, Texas
If the Bills keep this pick, they'll likely take a blocker for their rookie quarterback. It could be James Daniels, Billy Price, Will Hernandez or Isaiah Wynn. I do not believe it will be Connor Williams, a frequently projected first-round prospect. Several teams have Williams in the mid rounds, as they don't know what to do with him. Williams lacks the length to play tackle and the strength to play guard, so he's a tweener.
New England Patriots: Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
Josh Rosen has been linked to the Patriots in draft rumors. Guess what? That probably means the Patriots have no interest in Rosen! I can't remember the last time New England did something overly predictable during the draft, probably because they almost always trade down. That said, because the Patriots are super unpredictable, I am going against my own advice that is going against my own advice, which is why I have New England taking Rosen in my 2018 NFL Mock Draft. Bill Belichick is inside my head.
Carolina Panthers: D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland
Again, this is another pick I recently had in my 2018 NFL Mock Draft, so I'm calling myself out for being wrong once more. However, it sounds as though the Panthers are targeting Hayden Hurst or a defensive back with this selection.
Tennessee Titans: Sam Hubbard, DE, Ohio State
The Titans need an edge rusher, so why not Sam Hubbard? Opinions are down on Hubbard, and it's sounding like he could fall to the second round.
Atlanta Falcons: Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
Da'Ron Payne seems to be a popular mock pick for the Falcons, and he would certainly be a great choice for them. However, I just can't see him lasting this long. Even though he's only a two-down player, Payne is just way too talented to drop to No. 26. But hey, I also didn't think Leonard Fournette wouldn't fall to the Jaguars last year, so we'll see.
New Orleans Saints: Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State
I don't like the idea of Mason Rudolph going in the first round. I also think the Saints will be way more proactive this year in attempting to obtain a successor for Drew Brees after they missed out on Patrick Mahomes by one pick last April, so I expect them to trade up for Lamar Jackson.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville
The Steelers have a long history of not picking a cornerback in the opening round. I know they did so recently with Artie Burns, so I'd be shocked if they did it again so soon. Plus, it's not like they're desperate for corner help, or anything.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
Tight end is a popular mock pick for the Jaguars, whether it's Hayden Hurst, Mike Gesicki or Dallas Goedert. I think the Jaguars could take a tight end on Day 2, but in the first round? That does not seem like a very Tom Coughlin thing to do. I didn't think Jacksonville was going to select O.J. Howard last year because of Coughlin's old-school mentality, and so I doubt his initial choice is used on the position.
Minnesota Vikings: Taven Bryan, DT, Florida
Taven Bryan makes sense for the Vikings from a needs perspective, but there's too much interest in him from teams in the 18-26 range that I don't think he'll be available when the Vikings are on the clock.
New England Patriots: Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
It's time for some copy-paste with a bit of replace and more erase:
Lamar Jackson has been linked to the Patriots in draft rumors. Guess what? That probably means the Patriots have no interest in Jackson! I can't remember the last time New England did something overly predictable during the draft, probably because they almost always trade down.
Philadelphia Eagles: Derrius Guice, RB, LSU
I've seen many mock drafts slot Derrius Guice to the Eagles. I could see them taking Guice if they move down into the second frame, but I don't think they'll take a running back in the opening round, as Doug Pederson's philosophy just doesn't call for it.
Back to 2018 NFL Not Draft: Picks 1-16
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