Last update: Thursday, April 18, 2019.
THIS IS NOT
A 2019 NFL MOCK DRAFT
. Click the link to see my real 2019 NFL Mock Draft. This is a 2019 NFL Not Draft - a compilation of popular mock picks that, in my opinion, will not happen.
For the record, I was wrong about one "not" picks in my 2017 and 2018 Not Mocks (which means I was right about none of my projections not happening). My "correct" pick from 2017 was Leonard Fournette to the Jaguars, which I made because I didn't think he'd be available. The selection I "nailed" in my 2018 NFL Not Draft was D.J. Moore to the Panthers. However, I ultimately changed my mind and mocked Moore to the Panthers in my final real mock, so I at least got some redemption!
Real 2019 NFL Mock Draft
Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
I think it's safe to say that Kyler Murray will be the first pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, whether it's Arizona or Oakland making the selection. It's the Cardinals, in all likelihood, as Murray suspiciously canceled his visit to the Redskins. That could be for a number of reasons, but the most prominent one is that the Cardinals told him that they would select him with the No. 1 overall pick. Thus, I don't see Nick Bosa going first in the 2019 NFL Draft.
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San Francisco 49ers: Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama
I've had Quinnen Williams slotted to the 49ers for a while, but I think it's becoming evident that Nick Bosa will be the No. 2 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. In addition to some reports linking Bosa to the 49ers, we also had the story of Bosa being forced to delete pro-President Trump and anti-Colin Kaepernick tweets because he could be going to San Francisco. Did someone with the 49ers tell him to do this?
New York Jets: Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
This 2019 NFL Not Draft is going to look awful if Quinnen Williams is the second-overall pick because that means this selection will be wrong as well. Nick Bosa will be locked into the third spot if the 49ers go with Williams. However, Bosa will obviously not be chosen here if the 49ers take him, and that's what I think will happen. I could make a less-risky prediction for these "not" picks, but there's no point in being a wuss.
Oakland Raiders: Any Quarterback
The caveat here is that I think the Raiders could still trade up to No. 1 overall, but the odds of that happening are pretty slim. If the Raiders stay put at No. 4, I don't see them drafting a quarterback. It seems like the pecking order for Oakland is as follows: Nick Bosa, Quinnen Williams, Josh Allen. The other signal-callers would all be reaches with this selection.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Josh Allen, DE/LB, Kentucky
This is another former pick I had in my mock drafts. Josh Allen would make a ton of sense for the Buccaneers, but I just find it hard to believe that he'll be available at this juncture. I'll be shocked if Allen slips by both the Jets and Raiders.
New York Giants: Any Quarterback
Here's another team that won't choose a quarterback in the top 10. The Giants want to take advantage of the great pass rushers in this class. They're not in love with any of the quarterbacks, so why would they take one at No. 6 overall? I think the 17th pick is fair game for a signal-caller, but the talent in the front seven is just way too good to pass on with this choice.
Jacksonville Jaguars: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
I looked at our Consensus 2019 NFL Mock Draft for ideas here, and I was shocked to see that T.J. Hockenson is being slotted in the second-most mocks for this pick. Hockenson makes sense for the Jaguars from a needs perspective, and he could be the target if the team trades down, but slotting him seventh overall is way too rich. Tight ends often are chosen later than people think - remember O.J. Howard? - so I think putting Hockenson into the top eight is a stretch. I could see the Bills or Broncos pulling the trigger at No. 9 or 10, respectively, but it's more likely that Hockenson will be taken after the 10th pick.
Detroit Lions: Rashan Gary, DE/DT, Michigan
General manager Bob Quinn likes to draft high-floor, great-character players who were team captains in college. None of this describes Rashan Gary, who's a popular projection to Detroit. Rashan Gary never lived up to expectations at Michigan, and he was far from being a team captain. I don't see Quinn being interested in someone like him.
Buffalo Bills: Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
This is another former projection I had in my real 2019 NFL Mock Draft. It makes sense, as Ed Oliver would be a great replacement for the retired Kyle Williams. The problem is that Oliver, following his terrific pro day, is almost certainly not going to be available with the No. 9 pick. Every single team in the 3-8 range could take Oliver.
Denver Broncos: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Yet again, this was a former pick of mine. I've had Drew Lock slotted to the Broncos for months, but as seen in the 2019 NFL Draft Rumors page, it seems as though Denver has cooled off on Lock, and is now more interested in selecting someone like Devin White.
Cincinnati Bengals: Jonah Williams, OT/G, Alabama
I've seen several mock drafts slot Jonah Williams to the Bengals. It makes sense from a needs perspective, but Williams is not the sort of tackle the Bengals typically like to draft. Cincinnati likes blockers who are maulers; typically those with high bench press numbers. Williams weighed in at 302 pounds at the combine and bench pressed 225 pounds just 23 times, despite his short arms.
Green Bay Packers: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
I believe one of the ESPN guys mocked D.K. Metcalf to Green Bay, which seems like a mistake. The Packers spent three draft choices on wide receivers last year, so I don't think they'll use an early pick on yet another wideout. Plus, it's not even like D.K. Mamula, I mean Metcalf is one of the top players available.
Miami Dolphins: Any Quarterback
It's been widely reported that the Dolphins are going to tank for Tua Tagovailoa. It came straight from the horse's mouth, or at least the former horse's mouth, as Adam Gase revealed this information after being fired. Miami has just one viable starter on its offensive line, so starting a rookie quarterback this season would be a bad decision anyhow. I could see the Dolphins selecting a quarterback after trading down, but not at No. 13.
Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
I don't expect Ed Oliver to last until No. 9, so it goes without saying that he won't be available for the Falcons' 14th-overall selection. I wouldn't have even considered this to be a possibility for a "not" pick, but the consensus mock has Oliver as the top choice for Atlanta.
Washington Redskins: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
I had D.K. Metcalf slotted to the Redskins a couple of weeks ago, but after doing some thinking, I don't believe it'll happen. Metcalf has been seriously overhyped by the media for what he did at the combine. Metcalf was not productive at Ole Miss, so projecting him in the top 15 seems like a stretch.
Carolina Panthers: Clelin Ferrell, DE/OLB, Clemson
Clelin Ferrell is a logical pick for the Panthers, but I think they'll draft Brian Burns if they go with an edge rusher. I believe it's more likely that they'll target an offensive lineman, anyhow, as they need to protect Cam Newton as well as possible.
Go to 2019 NFL Not Draft: Picks 17-32
Sorry for cutting this into two halves; I've received complaints about load times and putting the mock draft on two pages saves bandwidth.
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