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Texas vs. Oklahoma.
Line: Oklahoma by 8.
Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
The Big XII is full of teams with high-powered offenses and crappy defenses, but don’t tell that to Texas! The Longhorns have played some great defense this year, limiting TCU and USC to fewer than 20 points. Oklahoma’s offense is on another level, but the Sooners can’t tackle whatsoever. Texas’ scoring attack will keep it in the game, so I like getting more than a touchdown with the far better defense.
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College Football Pick: Texas +8 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
Alabama at Arkansas.
Line: Alabama by 35.
Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
Alabama, at -48.5 last week, was up 49 at halftime. Then, they took their starters out. And they were still winning 56-0 in the fourth quarter before two back-door touchdowns, plus two of their own missed field goals and a dropped touchdown. This was featured on Scott Van Pelt’s bad-beats segment, so hopefully we don’t have similar bad luck again this week with the Tide.
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College Football Pick: Alabama -35 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Northwestern at Michigan State.
Line: Michigan State by 11.
Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
Northwestern, despite being an underdog, is being bet very heavily. People saw the Wildcats nearly beat Michigan last week, so casual bettors are impressed. That, however, was Northwestern’s first good game since the opener. It lost to Akron and Duke for crying out loud. Clayton Thorson is a great quarterback, but he’s getting absolutely no help from his teammates. Michigan State is just the far superior squad, so this could be an easy two- or three-touchdown victory for them.
College Football Pick: Michigan State -11.5 – 105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$210
Florida State at Miami.
Line: Miami by 14.
Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
Florida State has been so crappy this season, failing to cover all but one game thus far. People have noticed, and the line has been adjusted. A couple of weeks ago, this may have been Miami -7, but the spread has since been inflated. The thing is, casual bettors are behind once again. Florida State has looked stronger lately, as quarterback Deondre Francois has finally found a groove under his new coach. Rivalry games typically are closer than most games, so I think the Seminoles will stay within single digits.
College Football Pick: Florida State +14 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Notre Dame at Virginia Tech.
Line: Notre Dame by 6.5.
Sunday, 8:00 p.m.
If Virginia Tech didn’t lose to Old Dominion, what would this spread be? I believe it would be something close to pick ’em; perhaps Notre Dame -3 at most. Virginia Tech did lose to Old Dominion, but the team was flat and unfocused in that game. They’ve since responded by thrashing Duke, and I think its positive play will continue against the Irish. Notre Dame has been much better with new quarterback Ian Book, but this is his first game in a tough road environment. I see this game being decided by a field goal.
Follow me @walterfootball to see if anything changes.
College Football Pick: Virginia Tech +7 -120 (3 Units) – Bovada — Incorrect; -$360
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