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Utah at UCLA.
Line: Utah by 10.5.
Friday, 10:30 p.m.
Utah got a blowout win over USC last week, but that was a misleading result because the Trojans were up 14-0 early and then lost their starting quarterback to injury. Utah is overrated right now and is favored by too many points against a UCLA squad that has played better in recent weeks following a poor start.
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College Football Pick: UCLA +10.5 (3 Units) – Bovada — Incorrect; -$330
Wisconsin at Northwestern.
Line: Wisconsin by 7.
Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
Wisconsin is a very overrated 5-2, as it owns a 2-5 spread record. One of its wins and covers came at Iowa, a game in which the Hawkeyes would’ve won had a defender not slipped on a late drive, resulting in a Badgers touchdown. Had the defensive player not fallen, Wisconsin would be 4-3 with a 1-6 ATS record right now, and I can’t imagine it would be favored by a touchdown on the road. Clayton Thorson should keep Northwestern in this game.
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College Football Pick: Northwestern +7 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Iowa at Penn State.
Line: Penn State by 6.5.
Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
Iowa is somehow 6-1 right now, and would be 7-0 if a defender didn’t fall down on a late drive versus Wisconsin. That’s great and all, but the Hawkeyes haven’t beaten anyone, and they aren’t very good. They’re getting public support here, which sounds great to me because Penn State seems like the right side. The Nittany Lions are vastly superior and should be able to win this one by double digits.
College Football Pick: Penn State -6.5 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Kentucky at Missouri.
Line: Missouri by 7.
Saturday, 4:00 p.m.
What in the world happened to make people vote Kentucky in as the 12th-best team in the country? The Wildcats have a great defense, but they can’t score. They almost lost to crappy Vanderbilt, for crying out loud. I know the Wildcats beat Florida, but it didn’t seem like the Gators had their “A” effort in that contest. Missouri certainly will. The Tigers have three losses this year, but two have been to Alabama and Georgia. Drew Lock hasn’t proven anything versus great defenses yet, but if he can put 24 on the board, that might just be enough against this overrated Kentucky squad.
College Football Pick: Missouri -7 -105 (2 Units) – Bovada — Incorrect; -$210
Texas A&M at Mississippi State.
Line: Mississippi State by 2.5.
Saturday, 7:00 p.m.
Texas A&M is a massive public dog, which is music to my ears because I love Mississippi State in this matchup. The Bulldogs have a tremendous defensive line that will disrupt anything Texas A&M tries to accomplish offensively. Mississippi State’s offense has sucked recently, but it just battled a tough LSU defense, so this matchup is an easier one. Mississippi State is also contemplating a quarterback change, which could provide a great momentum boost, especially because Nick Fitzgerald sucks.
Follow me @walterfootball to see if anything changes.
College Football Pick: Mississippi State -2.5 -105 (3 Units) – Bovada — Correct; +$300
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