College Football Picks: Week 5, 2019


College Football Picks (Week 1, 2019): 5-0 (+$1,200)
College Football Picks (Week 2, 2019): 3-2 (+$250)
College Football Picks (Week 3, 2019): 4-1 (+$670)
College Football Picks (Week 4, 2019): 3-2 (+$360)

College Football Picks (2019 Season): 15-5 (+$2,480)
College Football Picks (2018 Season): 39-44-2 (-$2,755)
College Football Picks (2017 Season): 38-45-3 (-$3,435)
College Football Picks (2016 Season): 48-36-2 (+$1,070)
College Football Picks (2015 Season): 42-44 (-$560)
College Football Picks (2014 Season): 46-39-1 (-$325)
College Football Picks (2013 Season): 52-33 (+$3,970)
College Football Picks (2012 Season): 45-34-1 (+$2,500)
College Football Picks (2011 Season): 36-32-2 (-$390)
College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190)
College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820)
College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)





Northwestern at Wisconsin.
Line: Wisconsin by 24.

Saturday, 12:00 p.m.

Everyone is willing to bet Wisconsin at this inflated spread after what happened last week versus Michigan. Yet, everyone seems to be ignoring the fact that the two Badgers starting safeties have been suspended for a half for targeting. Northwestern is a competitive team that should be able to keep this game closer than three touchdowns and a field goal; the computer model says this line should be Wisconsin -19 anyway.

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College Football Pick: Northwestern +24 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200







Texas Tech at Oklahoma.
Line: Oklahoma by 27.

Saturday, 12:00 p.m.

Oklahoma has had two weeks to hear how great they are following their blowout victory over UCLA, which wasn’t actually that impressive because Chip Kelly sucks. This spread, per the computer model, should be Oklahoma -20, so Texas Tech should keep this margin to within four touchdowns.

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College Football Pick: Texas Tech +27 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220






SMU at South Florida.
Line: SMU by 7.5.

Saturday, 4:00 p.m.

This spread has risen to more than seven points, which seems like a mistake. The computer model is SMU -4, but the line has shot up because of last week’s SMU victory over TCU. South Florida, however, nearly beat Georgia Tech a couple of weeks ago, so this game should be close.

College Football Pick: South Florida +7.5 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330






Mississippi State at Auburn.
Line: Auburn by 10.5.

Saturday, 7:00 p.m.

It’s weird that this spread is above 10, when it shouldn’t even be above seven. The computer model says Auburn -7 is the correct number. The line is inflated because Auburn just took down Texas A&M. However, Mississippi State is a quality team that figures to keep this contest close.

College Football Pick: Mississippi State +10.5 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330






UCLA at Arizona.
Line: Arizona by 6.

Saturday, 10:30 p.m.

UCLA had a ridiculous comeback last week, prevailing over Washington State despite trailing by 30-plus in the second half. This has caused the spread to plummet; it should be -12, per the computer model, so I love the value we’re getting with Arizona.

Follow me @walterfootball to see if anything changes.

College Football Pick: Arizona -6 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220








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