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Florida at Vanderbilt.
Line: Florida by 7.5.
Saturday, 12:00 p.m.
Florida just beat Mississippi State and LSU the past two weeks, and now they’re only favored by seven over lowly Vanderbilt? This seems like a no-brainer for the public, but I think Vanderbilt is the right side. The Commodores have given the Gators problems over the past several season, and they nearly defeated Notre Dame a few weeks ago. They’re coming off two blowout losses, but they’ll play with more enrgy against the Gators, who could be flat following their huge victory over LSU.
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College Football Pick: Vanderbilt +7.5 (3 Units) – BetUS — Incorrect; -$330
Texas A&M at South Carolina.
Line: Texas A&M by 3.
Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
Everyone is betting on Texas A&M, and I’m wondering why that happens to be the case. Following the opener, the Aggies don’t have a win and cover versus a real college football team. Their one spread victory was over Alabama, and that came via a late, garbage-time touchdown. South Carolina just had an upset victory over Missouri, and I think the Gamecocks could get another victory.
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College Football Pick: South Carolina +3 -120 (3 Units) – Bovada — Push; $0
Baylor at Texas.
Line: Texas by 14.
Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
We had Texas against Oklahoma last week, and the Longhorns won outright. It was a good win, but not a great one, as Oklahoma was very overrated heading into that game, thanks to its poor defense. I like Texas, but the team is overrated now, and this spread opened way too high at +17. The sharps have bet it down to +14, but I still think Baylor is the right side. This is a low-energy game for the Longhorns, while Baylor has been competitive in most of its games.
College Football Pick: Baylor +14 (2 Units) – any sportsbook — Correct; +$200
Miami at Virginia.
Line: Miami by 7.
Saturday, 7:00 p.m.
Virginia’s had an extra week to prepare for this game, and it should pay off against a Miami squad that has largely underachieved this year, at least as far as covering the spread is concerned. Miami is coming off a tough win versus arch-rival Florida State, so this figures to be a low-energy game for them against a solid Virginia squad that has failed to cover just once this year.
College Football Pick: Virginia +7 (2 Units) – BetUS — Correct; +$200
Missouri at Alabama.
Line: Alabama by 28.
Saturday, 7:00 p.m.
Alabama has failed to cover the spread the past three weeks, thanks to garbage-time back-door touchdown. This line is smaller, so the Tide should eclipse the number. It’s lower because Missouri has quarterback Drew Lock, who is perceived to be a great signal-caller. Lock is going to have major problems against Alabama’s defense, however, so this should be a blowout.
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College Football Pick: Alabama -28 -105 (3 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$300
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