College Football Picks: Week 4, 2018




College Football Picks (Week 1, 2018): 3-2 (+$290)
College Football Picks (Week 2, 2018): 4-1 (+$790)
College Football Picks (Week 3, 2018): 2-3 (-$135)

College Football Picks (2018 Season): 9-6 (+$945)
College Football Picks (2017 Season): 38-45-3 (-$3,435)
College Football Picks (2016 Season): 48-36-2 (+$1,070)
College Football Picks (2015 Season): 42-44 (-$560)
College Football Picks (2014 Season): 46-39-1 (-$325)
College Football Picks (2013 Season): 52-33 (+$3,970)
College Football Picks (2012 Season): 45-34-1 (+$2,500)
College Football Picks (2011 Season): 36-32-2 (-$390)
College Football Picks (2010 Season): 37-31-2 (+$190)
College Football Picks (2009 Season): 34-34-2 (-$3,820)
College Football Picks (2008 Season): 49-38 (+$3,020)





Texas A&M at Alabama.
Line: Alabama by 27.

Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

If you've been following my college picks, you know where I'm going with this. This version of the Crimson Tide might be the best team Nick Saban has ever coached. There's a huge disparity between this Alabama squad and every other team in the country. I know the Aggies went down to the wire with Clemson, but that was at College Station, and Alabama is much better overall than the Tigers. That may sound odd because both teams are in the top five, but that's just how great Alabama is.

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College Football Pick: Alabama -27 +100 (3 Units) - Bookmaker -- Incorrect; -$300







Kansas State at West Virginia.
Line: West Virginia by 16.5.

Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder has a tremendous track record as an underdog, owning a 34-18 spread record when getting points in the past 10 years. I went against the Wildcats in Week 2 because they need to be able to run the ball to stay competitive, yet doing so versus Mississippi State's defensive line was going to be too difficult. West Virginia, conversely, doesn't have the same sort of defensive front. The Mountaineers have allowed some big rushing performances this year, so I think Kansas State will be able to hang around.

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College Football Pick: Kansas State +16.5 (2 Units) - Bovada -- Incorrect; -$220






Connecticut at Syracuse.
Line: Syracuse by 28.

Saturday, 4:00 p.m.

I hate that I'm buying high on Syracuse, but I think the Orange Men should be able to cover this large spread. The line is enormous for multiple reasons, one of which is that Connecticut is an abomination. The Huskies have lost to their two Division I-A opponents this year by a combined score of 118-24, and last week, they took on Division 1-AA Rhode Island and surrendered 550 yards of offense, allowing 8.9 yards per play. Syracuse has a dynamic offense and should be able to score rather easily.

College Football Pick: Syracuse -28 -105 (3 Units) - Bookmaker -- Correct; +$300






Stanford at Oregon.
Line: Stanford by 2.

Saturday, 8:00 p.m.

I'm assuming Stanford is a road favorite in this matchup partly because of their victory over USC a couple of weeks ago. The thing is, the Trojans aren't very good, so I'm not sure how much that means. Bryce Love will be back from his absence last week, which is another reason why the Cardinal is laying points as a visitor, but he's always at risk to leave the game with an injury. Stanford quarterback K.J. Costello has been too sloppy with the football for my liking, and there's no question that Oregon has the superior quarterback in Justin Herbert. I like the Ducks getting points at home, and I'm hoping to find a +3 later in the week. Right now, the best line is +2 -105 at Bovada.

College Football Pick: Oregon +2 (2 Units) -- Incorrect; -$220






Wisconsin at Iowa.
Line: Wisconsin by 3.

Sunday, 8:30 p.m.

Iowa is perennially underrated, as evidenced by the team's 3-0 ATS start this year. The Hawkeyes also have a history of pulling upsets in home night games, or at least coming close to doing so. Recall last year, when Iowa would've taken down Penn State had it not been for a desperation drive in the final minute. The Hawkeyes later demolished the Buckeyes, 55-24. Wisconsin lost to BYU last week, and that wasn't a fluke. Their blind-side protector, David Edwards, was so bad that he needed help via double teams, and I think that bodes well for the Hawkeyes.

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College Football Pick: Iowa +3 -105 (3 Units) - every sportsbook -- Incorrect; -$315




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