College Football Picks (Week 3, 2008): 3-2 (+$780)
College Football Picks (Week 4, 2008): 3-2 (+$340)
College Football Picks (Week 5, 2008): 2-3 (+$10)
College Football Picks (Week 6, 2008): 3-2 (-$370)
College Football Picks (Week 7, 2008): 4-1 (+$470)
College Football Picks (Week 8, 2008): 3-2 (+$110)
College Football Picks (Week 9, 2008): 3-2 (+$140)
College Football Picks (Week 10, 2008): 1-4 (-$760)
College Football Picks (Week 11, 2008): 3-2 (+$250)
College Football Picks (Week 12, 2008): 4-1 (+$950)
College Football Picks (Week 13, 2008): 3-2 (+$510)
College Football Picks (2008 Season): 38-29 (+$2,380)
By the way, the second-annual Walter/Joker Annual Challenge is on, as I’ll be competing with the Joker’s College Picks. We each pick five games and see who does the best each week.
Mississippi State (4-7) at Ole Miss (7-4)
Line: Ole Miss by 18.
Friday, 12:30 ET
I like taking certain double-digit underdogs in big rivalry games. Of course, I don’t bet them blindly; there have to be some other qualifiers.
How about this: With seven victories, Ole Miss is penciled into a Winter Practice Game. Mississippi State, meanwhile, will be sitting at home this January.
This is Mississippi State’s Winter Practice Game. A win here won’t validate their season, but it will give it some meaning. And what would beating four-win Mississippi State prove for Ole Miss?
Prediction: Ole Miss 24, Mississippi State 17
Mississippi State +18 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Ole Miss 45, Mississippi State 0
Kansas (6-5) at Missouri (9-2)
Line: Missouri by 16.
Saturday, 12:30 ET
What does this game mean for Missouri? Even if the Tigers lose, they can still buy a ticket to a Winter Practice Series game by winning the Big XII Championship. As for the Jayhawks, this is their chance to avenge last year’s loss to Missouri in what essentially was the Big XII North Championship.
Prediction: Missouri 34, Kansas 27
Kansas +16 (4 Units) — Correct; +$400
Kansas 40, Missouri 37
Florida (10-1) at Florida State (8-3)
Line: Florida by 16.5.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
As I mentioned, I love taking double-digit underdogs in big rivalries. That means I’m siding with Florida State here.
OK, maybe not.
If the Gators lose this game, they’re done. It doesn’t matter if they beat Alabama in the SEC Championship; they’ll have two losses, meaning either USC, Penn State or one of the Big XII teams will jump ahead of them.
Besides, these Florida-Florida State battles are seldom close. In fact, a double-digit underdog hasn’t covered in this series in more than a decade.
The Gators are red-hot, and I feel confident that they will debacle the Seminoles.
Prediction: Florida 52, Florida State 17
Florida -16.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Florida 45, Florida State 15
Auburn (5-6) at Alabama (11-0)
Line: Alabama by 14.5.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
Contrary to the Florida-Florida State series, this rivalry is always close. Check out the point differentials the past 11 years: 7, 7, 10, 8, 5, 10, 24, 8, 11, 14, 1. According to those figures, a spread of -14.5 would have only been covered once since 1997. And I’d like to keep going, but my information doesn’t date beyond that year.
As you would expect double-digit underdogs are flawless in these matchups.
This is Auburn’s Super Bowl. If they win this, they’re awarded a Winter Practice Game. If Alabama loses, so what? They’ll still be in the Final Winter Practice Game if they beat Florida. Think LSU losing to Arkansas last year. Same scenario.
Prediction: Alabama 16, Auburn 10
Auburn +14.5 (4 Units) — Incorrect; -$440
Alabama 36, Auburn 0
Baylor (4-7) at Texas Tech (10-1)
Line: Texas Tech by 22.
Saturday, 3:30 ET
Texas Tech was hot, and just like that, their season is over. There is no way they’ll be able to get into the Final Winter Practice Game; the SEC winner, Oklahoma-Texas winner and USC are all ahead of them.
A Winter Practice Series Game is unlikely as well; Oklahoma would have to lose this week, and Missouri would need to beat Texas in the Big XII Championship. That’s a lot of if’s.
Coming off their first loss, the Red Raiders will be flat. Baylor should be able to cover the number.
Don’t be afraid of betting the Bears; sure, they’re 4-7, but they have a 7-3 spread record, recently covering against the likes of Texas and Missouri.
Because this will be my first year making picks for the Winter Practice Games, I won’t be overly confident with any of those selections. So, with that in mind, I’m making this my December College Football Pick of the Month. Hopefully the football gods don’t smite me for using this two days before December begins.
Prediction: Texas Tech 38, Baylor 27
Baylor +22 (7 Units – December College Football Pick of the Month) — Correct; +$700
Texas Tech 35, Baylor 28
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