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Duke at Pittsburgh.
Line: Pittsburgh by 7.5.
Saturday, 3:00 p.m.
As a disclaimer, don’t go nuts with my college football picks. I’m much better at picking NFL games (which is saying a lot). Follow @walterfootball for updates.
This game stood out to me right away. Pittsburgh has gotten a ton of acclaim for knocking off Clemson. I don’t want to take too much credit away from them because it was a nice win. However, the Tigers were overrated, so that result wasn’t that unpredictable. Plus, while the Panthers have a terrific offense, their defense is just as horrible. They’ll keep Duke in the game, which will match what the Blue Devils have done recently. They’ve been within striking distance of Louisville, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech prior to their win over North Carolina. Duke is 6-3 against the spread this year, so I expect it to continue to make money for its supporters.
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College Football Pick: Duke +7.5 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Indiana at Michigan.
Line: Michigan by 24.
Saturday, 3:30 p.m.
So, the Wolverines lose an ugly game to a horrible Iowa team, and yet they maintain their status as one of the four teams in the college football playoff? Yeah, that makes so much sense. Ranking Michigan in the top four is absolutely insane, especially after the team lost its starting quarterback. I’d be more than willing to let the Wolverines into the playoff if they run the slate, which would mean that they’d beat Ohio State. Doing so now though is crazy, and I expect Michigan to struggle here against an Indiana squad that had the cover against Penn State prior to a late scoop-and-score.
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College Football Pick: Indiana +24 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Clemson at Wake Forest.
Line: Clemson by 22.5.
Saturday, 7:00 p.m.
I managed to fade a team that has no business being ranked in the top four, and I might as well do that again. Clemson’s loss to Pittsburgh shouldn’t have surprised anyone. The Tigers have been overrated for quite a while now, and they’ve had several close calls against middling teams. I could see them losing this contest outright. Wake Forest has a fantastic defense and managed to keep the game close against Louisville before the Cardinals pulled away late last week.
College Football Pick: Wake Forest +22.5 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
Arizona State at Washington.
Line: Washington by 27.
Saturday, 7:30 p.m.
Anyone just blindly looking at the results might see that Utah beat Arizona State last week, 49-26, and think that was a blowout. That wasn’t the case, as it was a close game entering the fourth quarter. Utah simply turned some fluky turnovers into quick points and pulled away. With that in mind, I like the Sun Devils here as a very large underdog. Washington was exposed against USC last week, and I expect the Huskies to struggle, given that they know that their playoff chances are pretty much crushed.
College Football Pick: Arizona State +27 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Oklahoma at West Virginia.
Line: Oklahoma by 3.
Saturday, 8:00 p.m.
Can we take a look at what Oklahoma has done this year? Its road games have been victories by 6, 7 and 10 against TCU, Texas Tech and Iowa State. Their tough games have been against Houston, Ohio State and Texas. Two were losses, one of which was a blowout, while the third was a close victory. The Sooners are not that good of a team, and they have a habit of choking in big games. This certainly qualifies as a big game, and I simply don’t understand what Oklahoma did to deserve to be favored by a field goal on the road. These teams are about even as far as I’m concerned, so I like West Virginia in this spot.
Follow me @walterfootball to see if anything changes.
College Football Pick: West Virginia +3 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
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