NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2017

NFL Picks (Preseason 2017): 9-10-1 (-$110)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2017): 8-6-1 (+$135)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2017): 9-7 (+$45)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2017): 5-11 (-$425)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2017): 5-11 (+$90)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2017): 8-6 (+$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2017): 6-8 (-$640)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2017): 3-10-2 (-$2,180)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2017): 6-7 (-$1,795)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2017): 7-5-1 (+$205)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2017): 8-5-1 (+$290)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2017): 3-10-1 (-$1,595)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2017): 9-6-1 (+$420)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2017): 6-10 (-$730)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2017): 8-8 (+$350)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2017): 7-8-1 (-$460)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2017): 13-2-1 (+$1,500)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2017): 12-4 (+$1,120)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2017): 3-1 (+$160)

NFL Picks (2017): 128-127-9 (-$2,540)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$1,055)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$2,360)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-132-7 (-$1,115)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 14, 12:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Jacksonville Jaguars (11-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3)
Line: Steelers by 7. Total: 40.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Steelers -4.5.
Sunday, Jan. 7, 1:05 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Steelers.

If you’re unaware of this, you can publish your own articles on this Web site and have them promoted via Twitter, Facebook and this page! Check out our Open Rant feature, where articles get promoted all the time. Some readers’ articles have gotten more than 3,000 views, so if you want to get your opinion heard, here’s a great way for you to do so!

Some recent Open Rant articles:

Five Quarterbacks Going in the First Round

2016 NFL Re-Draft

2013 NFL Re-Draft

If you want to create NFL Mock Drafts and NBA Mock Drafts, we have you covered as well. Check out the Mock Draft Builder. Some mocks on here have gotten more than 6,000 views!

Some featured NFL Mock Drafts in the MDB:

BenStillerAsRossAvila Mock Draft

HeySharpz Mock Draft

KKunert327 Mock Draft

Emmitt on the Brink Season 10 is now complete. Real Emmitt was trapped in the evil dimension. Could he escape and vanquish Evil Emmitt, who has been causing mayhem in the real world?

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is Pre-Christmas Jerks.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: The Steelers may have lost Ryan Shazier for the season, but at least they’ll have Antonio Brown back for this game. Brown, who has been out since the second quarter of the New England loss, is practicing fully, so Ben Roethlisberger will have his best receiver on the field for the divisional-round matchup against the Jaguars.

This is obviously great news, as Roethlisberger will need all the help he can get against a dominant defense. Jacksonville’s front is unbelievable, and the Steelers, while possessing a decent offensive line, have some potential liabilities for this contest. Guard Ramon Foster hasn’t been healthy this year, so he’ll have trouble blocking. Meanwhile, Alejando Villaneuva is a solid blind-side protector, but I don’t think he matches up well against the potent Yannick Ngakoue. Roethlisberger will be pressured often, which is exactly what occurred when he had the five-interception performance against the Jaguars earlier this season.

Elsewhere in the defense, Jacksonville’s back seven is incredible. The team has a great linebacking corps that can stop the run effectively, though I expect Le’Veon Bell, like LeSean McCoy, to have a few big plays. The secondary is also renowned with Jalen Ramsey being able to limit Brown. The Jaguars should be able to keep the Steelers from having too much offensive success.

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: Blake Bortles was atrocious during the Buffalo victory, generating more yards on the ground than through the air. He scrambled extremely well, but failed to complete routine passes. As much as I’ve justly hated on Bortles this year, I don’t think he’s as bad as he looked versus the Bills. I think a lot of that was the jitters, as he was making his first playoff start ever as a big favorite. The expectations were too much, and that caused many nervous passes. He did get better as the game progressed, and perhaps being able to run so well will give him more confidence going forward.

Something else that needs to be considered is that there’s a huge disparity between the two defenses. The Bills have a tremendous secondary and pass rush, while the Steelers have some major problems on this side of the ball. Their cornerbacks and defensive line are great, but they have some huge liabilities at safety and linebacker. Pittsburgh has not been the same since losing Shazier. It couldn’t stop the Cincinnati and Baltimore offenses late in the year. Andy Dalton and Joe Flacco are obviously better than Bortles, but they looked like All-Pro quarterbacks against the Steelers, going a combined 41-of-71, 503 yards, four touchdowns and one interceptions versus Pittsburgh despite both suffering numerous drops from their receivers.

Perhaps Bortles can play on a mediocre level, and if so, that should be enough to win. Besides, Bortles doesn’t even need to do anything to beat the Steelers. In the Week 5 victory, he was just 8-of-14 for 95 yards, no touchdowns and one interception, and that was with Shazier on the field! Shazier’s absence will make it much easier for the Jaguars to run the ball, which should limit Bortles’ mistakes.

RECAP: This spread is way too high. The Steelers aren’t nearly as good without Shazier, and the oddsmakers still haven’t adjusted for it because the public doesn’t understand how vital he is to their success. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 against the spread without Shazier, only covering against the pathetic T.J. Yates-led Texans, who were also blown out by these Jaguars.

I made this line Pittsburgh -4.5, so we’re getting tremendous value with the Jaguars through two key numbers (6, 7). The books had to make the spread high because the public loves to bet the Steelers. That’s what they’re doing here, and any time there’s a considerable amount of action on Pittsburgh, you should look the other way because of the franchise’s previous ties to sportsbooking when it was legal.

There’s also some question as to how good the Steelers are, exactly. Since Thanksgiving, they had trouble beating Brett Hundley and the Packers, the Bengals and the Ravens, and they lost to New England at home. Since Week 8, they’ve had two victories by more than five points, and one came against Houston. The other was versus Tennessee, but that was on a short week, which benefited the superior team. And, again, many of those wins were with Shazier.

If I trusted Bortles more, this would be my January NFL Pick of the Month. However, I still love the Jaguars enough to wager five units on them. Bortles can only play better this week, and besides, he has shown an ability to throw meaningless touchdowns in garbage time. That would explain why Bortles is 4-1 against the spread as an underdog of seven or more since his second season as a pro.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Jaguars have some injury concerns to Paul Posluszny and Aaron Colvin, but perhaps Friday’s injury report will bring good news. The Steelers, meanwhile, suffered a scare in practice when cornerback Artie Burns hyperextended his knee, but it sounds like he’ll be fine. Perhaps that’s the reason this spread dropped from +7.5 to +7, but whatever it was, the sharps are on Jacksonville. Fortunately, there are +7 +100s and -105s available.

SATURDAY NOTES: The sharps continue to bet the Jaguars despite the glowing reports about Antonio Brown’s health. The problem is Pittsburgh’s defense, which has really regressed since Ryan Shazier’s injury. I imagine that’s what the pros are looking at.

FINAL THOUGHTS: As mentioned Saturday, the sharps have been all over the Jaguars, bringing this line down to +7 from +7.5. Pinnacle, the smartest sportsbook out there, is dying for Pittsburgh action, as they currently have a -7 +104 spread posted. The public, meanwhile, is betting the Steelers, and we’ve seen enough instances of Pittsburgh laying an egg when getting so much betting action, thanks to their previous ties to sportsbooking. I expect the Jaguars, as underdogs, to play much better today than they did last week, and they might even be in position to beat the Steelers, as Pittsburgh has not been the same since losing Ryan Shazier.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Jaguars.

Many more bets coming in on the Steelers than the Jaguars.

Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 66% (59,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

Jaguars are 33-67 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.

Ben Roethlisberger is 46-31 ATS in December and January.

Ben Roethlisberger is 10-6 ATS in the playoffs (7-4 as a favorite).

Opening Line: Steelers -7.

Opening Total: 41.

Weather: .

Week 19 NFL Pick: Steelers 23, Jaguars 20
Jaguars +7 (5 Units) — Correct; +$500
Over 40.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Jaguars 45, Steelers 42

New Orleans Saints (12-5) at Minnesota Vikings (13-3)
Line: Vikings by 5.5. Total: 47.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Vikings -4.5.
Sunday, Jan. 7, 4:40 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Vikings.

This week on FOX, we’re going to have some Joe Buck and Troy Aikman calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, and aloof people like Dan Fouts. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Minnesota, home of this year’s Super Bowl, which I’ll be going to because I work for a TV station, and you losers don’t. Ha! Tonight, we have the New Orleans Saints taking on the Minnesota Twins. Guys, this is the one game from the NFC division not involving my Philadelphia Eagles, so please tell me who’s playing in this game because I haven’t been paying attention, especially after hearing who our special guest will be for this game.

Emmitt: Specials guest, I find it real interesting to hear you saying the NFC division. I got banish from ESPN network for not understanding the differencement betwix the conference and division, and I finally learn that a conference have four division, and a division something from math class.

Herm: LOTS OF CONFERENCES IN THE NFL, KEVIN! LOTS OF CONFERENCES, KEVIN! LET’S TALK ABOUT CONFERENCES, KEVIN! LET’S START WITH THE AFC CONFERENCE, KEVIN! HOW ABOUT THE NFC CONFERENCE, KEVIN! HOW ABOUT PEPPERONI PIZZA CONFERENCE, KEVIN! JUST KIDDING, KEVIN, NOT… WAIT… WHY’S HERM TALKING LIKE CHARLES DAVIS!? WHY’S HERM CHARLES DAVIS!? WHAT’S HAPPENING! WHAT’S… uhh… umm…

Reilly: Looks like Herm is still suffering from the effects of brain damage from when I bopped him over the head a few weeks ago. But no one cares if Herm has brain damage or not. Have fun with this idiot, Arizona State. Anyway, it is my pleasure to introduce our special guest this week, and it’s Natalie Portman!

Natalie Portman: Thanks, Kevin. I am here to announce that I will be performing at the Super Bowl halftime show with Justin Timberlake. Everyone was so impressed with what I had to say at the Golden Globes. Except for all of the evil MEN. All these evil MEN everywhere.

Millen: Kevin, at first I was skeptical about having a woman as a guest, as I cannot insert kielbasas into her backside, which is very unfortunate, but now that she’s talking about lots of men, I have found myself to be strangely excited.

Tollefson: Millen, we’ve all had enough of your creepiness for one day. Natalie, hi, I am Don Tollefson. I’m the smoothest man you’ll ever meet. Perhaps I can buy you a drink I conveniently have here, and please do not worry, I did not slip anything into this beverage. It’s not like you’ll wake up suddenly and be forced to cook and clean naked for me, heh heh.

Natalie Portman: Wait a second, I just noticed that there are nothing but MEN here. What’s up with all of these MEN here? I guess MEN have all the privilege when it comes to announcing football, a game played by all MEN.

Reilly: Natalie, mother says I’m too young to have a girlfriend, but will you be my girlfriend? I’ve dreamt about you every night ever since I first saw Star Wars for the first time. Mother said the originals were too scary for me, but she thought I could relate to Jar Jar Binks.

Fouts: And here’s what he means by Star Wars. There’s a war, and what I mean by war is, a conflict where there’s fighting involved. A conflict with no fighting is called an argument, and if there was no fighting involved, the movie would be called Star Argument. And what about star? Star can mean lots of things. If you do well in school, you get a gold star. Is that what they mean in Star Wars? Or do they mean stars like movie stars? Are these Star Wars a war, and not an argument, between movie stars? I can’t wait to find out!

Wolfley: DAN, YOU ARE AN IDIOT. STARS REFER TO THE STARS IN THE SKY. STAR WARS IS CLEARLY A BATTLE BETWEEN THE STARS IN THE SKY. I ONCE SAW TWO STARS FIGHT EACH OTHER. THEY WERE BOXING, AND ONE STAR GOT CONCUSSED.

Reilly: Won’t you idiots shut up, already? I’m trying to impress Natalie Portman. Look, Natalie, I can be your Jedi protector. Wooooommmm wooooommmm, look I have a light saber!

Natalie Portman: Eww, get away from me, creep.

Jerry Richardson: What’s going on here? I’m the boss of this company, and no one told me Natalie Portman was going to be our guest. Natalie, hello, I’m Jerry Richardson, but you can call me Master of Disaster. May I shave your legs, please?

Natalie Portman: That’s it, I’m out of here. Too many MEN for me. Time for me to go to a place without MEN.

Reilly: No, please don’t go! I’ll have your children, as long as mother says it’s OK!

Charles Davis: Kevin, looks like your struck out with your dream girl, Kevin. Let’s talk about Star Wars instead, Kevin. Let’s do it, Kevin. Can you name an episode, Kevin? I can name an episode, Kevin. How about Revenge of the Sith, Kevin? That was a good one, Kevin. But not as good as Return of the Jedi, Kevin. How about the Empire Strikes Back, Kevin? Also a great one, Kevin. I challenge you to name an episode, Kevin. Five light saber crystals say you can’t, Kevin.

Reilly: Waahhhhhh Natalie Portman left meeee waahhhhhh!!!

Charles Davis: Boy, this is real pathetic, Kevin. I was going to say you named pepperoni pizza as an episode, Kevin, but you’re so pathetic that I won’t even do that this week, Kevin.

Reilly: I HATE YOU CHARLES DAVIS! YOU’RE THE REASON I WON’T BE MARRYING NATALIE PORTMAN, YOU SCUM! I’LL KILL YOU WITH MY LIGHT SABER! WOOOOOOOOMMMMM WOOOOOOOMMM!!! We’ll be back after this!

NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: The Saints have a high-powered scoring attack, but if you’re wondering how they’ll fare against the best defense in the NFC, you can just look back at what transpired in Week 1. Drew Brees was 27-of-37 for 291 yards and a touchdown in that matchup, but those numbers were bogus, as most of them came in garbage time. Brees had just 71 yards at halftime, and he nearly threw an interception.

The Saints have changed since, getting rid of Adrian Peterson and incorporating Alvin Kamara more into the offense. However, the Vikings still have some tremendous matchups on this side of the ball. They excel versus ground attacks, and New Orleans struggled to run another great front seven last week. Carolina did a great job of limiting Kamara and Mark Ingram, and Minnesota should have similar success, especally with left guard Andrus Peat out. Peat isn’t a good blocker, as he struggles in pass protection, but he’s solid at opening up running lanes. His replacement, Senio Kelemete, is much worse in that regard.

Despite not being able to run the ball, the Saints were able to score 31 points on the Panthers because Carolina’s secondary is a mess. That’s far from the case for the Vikings. Elite cornerback Xavier Rhodes will be able to blanket Michael Thomas, and MVP candidate Harrison Smith will prevent the Saints from going over the top like they did with Ted Ginn this past Sunday.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: We’ve seen first-time playoff quarterbacks struggle for the most part last week. Jared Goff had the jitters. Blake Bortles couldn’t complete a pass two feet in front of him. Tyrod Taylor sailed passes over his receivers’ heads. Only Marcus Mariota thrived, but only when down 21-3 in the second half.

This is Case Keenum’s first postseason start, but I don’t know if he’s going to have similar struggles. Unlike Bortles and Goff, he doesn’t have high expectations. No one is asking him to carry his team, and most people probably expect him to fail. I think this will ease some pressure off of him, and he’ll continue to be able to play well.

Keenum (or, rather, Sam Bradford) was well protected in the first matchup between these teams, and there haven’t been major changes since. In fact, I’d say New Orleans’ defense is a bit worse because of some injuries. The Saints had their best linebacker, Alex Anzalone, available for the first meeting, but now that group is a mess. Jerick McKinnon should have a nice game if the Vikings can get him in space. Meanwhile, Kenny Vaccaro is also out. Without him, the Saints have had trouble covering the slot, and that’s exactly where Adam Thielen operates. Thielen could exploit this weakness and have a dominant performance, making up for the fact that Stefon Diggs will be smothered by Marshon Lattimore.

RECAP: This is my least-confident pick of the week. This spread is slightly short, as the Vikings, with rest, are certainly more than one point better than the Saints. The rest is key, as it has given Mike Zimmer plenty of time to prepare for this contest. Zimmer, since his second season with Minnesota, is 8-2 against the spread with extra time to game plan. This makes sense, as Zimmer is one of the best coaches in the NFL.

I also like the Vikings because the Saints are public underdogs. Despite lots of action on New Orleans, this spread has moved up. The sharps haven’t had their best year, thanks mostly to dumb bets on the Browns, but they do like Minnesota, and I can see why they do.

There are a couple of things preventing me from betting the Vikings, however. First, while I think Keenum has a good chance of evading the first-time playoff curse for quarterbacks, there’s still a chance that like Goff, Bortles and Taylor, he’ll choke under pressure. Keenum has played very well this year, but I don’t fully trust him yet.

Second, I could see the Saints losing by 10 or so, only to have Brees throw a back-door touchdown. Of all the underdogs this week, the Saints have the best quarterback by a landslide. I’d be terrified of New Orleans driving down the field late in the game.

I’m still going to pick the Vikings, but this is a non-wager.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The sharps are betting the favorite here, as this spread has risen to -5. This is definitely the biggest public-sharp split of the week, as all the casual bettors are attracted to the five points with Drew Brees. If this line gets to +6, I may change my pick.

SATURDAY NOTES: This spread is up to -5.5, as this line continues to rise as more sharp money comes in on the Vikings. If all goes well in the first three games, I may bet a unit on Minnesota.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Both games today featured a public-sharp betting dichotomy. The sharps prevailed with the Jaguars, and now they’ll look to win with the Vikings. I like Minnesota as well. The team’s superior defense already shut down Drew Brees once this year, and I believe it’ll happen again. The Saints have changed since, getting Alvin Kamara more involved, but the Vikings are still the superior squad. I also like that Mike Zimmer has had extra time to game plan. My concerns are Case Keenum’s inexperience and Brees’ potential back-door cover, but with the Jaguar five-unit bet coming through, I’m going to put a unit on the Vikings just to make it interesting.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Vikings.
The Saints are a public dog.

Percentage of money on New Orleans: 62% (72,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Vikings.

Drew Brees is 50-32 ATS as an underdog (21-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5+).

Mike Zimmer is 44-18 ATS as head coach of the Vikings.

Vikings are 25-8 ATS at home since 2014.

Mike Zimmer is 8-2 ATS with extra time to prepare since 2015.

Opening Line: Vikings -3.5.

Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: .

Week 19 NFL Pick: Vikings 23, Saints 17
Vikings -5.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Under 47 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Vikings 29, Saints 24

Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Falcons at Eagles, Titans at Patriots

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Props to be posted here

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 16

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

SUB MENU

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

2024 NFL Draft Goals

2024 NFL Draft Potential Busts

NFL Free Agent Signing Grades – Latest Signing Grades for 2024 NFL Free Agency

2024 NFL Mock Draft

2024 NFL Draft Day 3 Sleepers

2024 Final

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2017

Related News