NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 20, 2016

NFL Picks (Preseason 2016): 12-7-1 (+$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2016): 13-3 (+$1,735) full review
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2016): 9-7 (-$430) full review
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2016): 7-7-2 (+$880) full review
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2016): 7-8 (-$70) full review
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2016): 6-7-1 (+$115) full review
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2016): 7-7-1 (+$515) full review
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2016): 11-4 (+$1,560) full review
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2016): 8-4-1 (-$60) full review
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2016): 5-6-2 (-$1,170) full review
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2016): 9-4-1 (+$80) full review
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2016): 7-7 (+$225) full review
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2016): 5-10-1 (-$1,090) full review
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2016): 9-6 (-$205) full review
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2016): 7-8-1 (-$440) full review
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2016): 8-8 (+$55) full review
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2016): 4-12 (-$2,205) full review
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2016): 8-7-1 (+$415) full review
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2016): 2-2 (+$445) full review
NFL Picks (Week 19, 2016): 3-1 (+$60)

NFL Picks (2016): 147-125-10 (+$1,705)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$2,360)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 22, 2:30 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 20 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Green Bay Packers (12-6) at Atlanta Falcons (12-5)
Line: Falcons by 6. Total: 60.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Falcons -1.5.
Sunday, Jan. 22, 3:05 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: None.

WEEK 19 RECAP: Some terrible officiating ruined the Seahawks’ chances in Atlanta, though that was my only loss of the week. I’ll definitely take 3-1, even though it was a net of just 0.6 units. My top selection, Packers +5.5, won outright. I had no units on Pittsburgh and New England.

I like both of these games for multi-unit wagers, so that should make for an exciting Sunday. Nothing will beat that Packers-Cowboys thriller though!

VEGAS UPDATE: I have to mention what happened to the books last weekend. Sportsbooks reported record losses for a weekend, which is nothing new. Vegas has endured a horrible NFL season, as the public has won about two-thirds of its wagers this season, which is unbelievable. Favorites of 6.5 or more are 45-25-1 against the spread this season, which is just astonishing. I have no idea what’s going on, but if something doesn’t change next year, some sportsbooks could start going out of business.

HATE MAIL: Lots of hate mail to get to, beginning with a short one…

Just so you know, the site looks archaic by design. This design helps me get higher in Google searches. Sorry for those of you who are shallow like this douche and want nothing but flashy graphics.

Now that I’ve gotten you warmed up, I’ve gotten plenty of hate mail/comments before, but never any truly evil mail/comments. Well, there’s a first time for everything…

I’m utterly flabbergasted by this. It really makes me wonder if this person was abused when he was a kid, or if he was dropped on his head as a baby, or if he truly just has nothing going for him in life.

I normally don’t ban people, but I had to make an exception here. I’ve said before that you can make fun of me all you want, and that’s fine because I open myself up to criticism, but when you aim ridiculous stuff like this at my family, that’s where the line is crossed. My grandpa fought against people who thought like this scumbag in World War II and actually happened to lose an eye in battle. He was always proud of what he helped accomplish, but it’s a shame that such evil still exists.

On a lighter note, let’s get to Ross Avila, a 17-year-old doofus who works at Foot Locker and spends his free time talking trash on Facebook. Ross apparently wants to meet up with me to talk trash in person:

I’m serious about that last part. He’s admittedly 17. There’s no way his mom is going to let him out of the house for that long. Hell, he probably doesn’t even own a car!

Anyway, Ross has begun boasting about being a great handicapper. Here’s his Saturday night pick:

Well, it’s been four days, and the executive janitor at Google has yet to “shutdown” this Web site. Can’t say I was very nervous about it!

Ross lost his Houston pick, but he came back when I posted my final thoughts on my big Packers bet against the Giants:

This was all before the game. Well, I’m glad I didn’t listen to the Foot Locker employee’s sage advice because the Packers won outright as 5.5-point underdogs.

Green Bay led throughout, of course, and Ross was nowhere to be seen. When the Cowboys tied in the fourth quarter, Ross reemerged out of his dark hole:

I should’ve known not to use big words like “variance” and “regardless” when talking to Ross, as most 17-year-old n00bs who work at Foot Locker aren’t likely to understand what they mean.

Ross was naturally humiliated and hasn’t posted since. I’m sure he’ll try to take it out on me by visiting me in Vegas, but his mom ultimately won’t let him go because he didn’t mow the lawn well enough.

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: Aaron Rodgers has been playing out of his mind. This is early 90s Michael Jordan. Rodgers, with apologies to Matt Ryan and Tom Brady, is the best quarterback in the NFL right now. What he’s doing without his No. 1 receiver is astonishing. He made one of the greatest throws in NFL history when connecting to Jared Cook along the sideline on the final offensive play of the game, and yet no one was really surprised that it happened because Rodgers has been spectacular ever since telling the media that his team was going to run the table.

There’s no reason to think Rodgers won’t continue his torrid streak at Atlanta. The Falcons just handled the Seahawks pretty well, but Seattle’s offensive line was predictably at fault in that defeat. The Packers won’t have such problems, as they have one of the best blocking units in the NFL. Atlanta has just one player who can consistently generate pressure on the quarterback, Vic Beasley, and he’ll have a tough matchup going up against Bryan Bulaga, one of the elite right tackles in the league.

With plenty of time in the pocket, Rodgers will be able to dissect Atlanta’s defense, with or without Jordy Nelson. The Falcons haven’t really been tested by a dynamic downfield passing attack ever since losing No. 1 cornerback Desmond Trufant, so I expect Rodgers to take advantage of mediocre cornerback Robert Alford.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: It’ll be surprising if Rodgers doesn’t score on most possessions, so Matt Ryan will have to match him in an expected shootout. Ryan, like Rodgers, has been extremely hot, so he’ll engineer tons of scoring drives as well.

Ryan just torched the Legion of Boom, so why would he have issues against the Packers? Green Bay’s problems in the secondary are well-documented, and it’ll be even worse if Morgan Burnett doesn’t play. Burnett hurt his quad in the opening quarter of the Dallas game, and his absence would be absolutely huge because he’s one of the top safeties in the NFL. If Burnett is out, the Packers will really need their pass rush to come through. They have a better chance of pressuring the quarterback than the Falcons do because Atlanta’s offensive line, while talented, is slightly inferior. Julius Peppers can beat Jake Matthews, while guard Chris Chester is a big liability I’m sure Dom Capers will figure out how to exploit.

The other caveat is Julio Jones’ health. Jones suffered a toe injury against the Seahawks and wasn’t on the field very much at the end. Jones will definitely play, but whether he’s 100 percent or not could determine the outcome of this game.

RECAP: Prior to seeing the lines, I had a discussion with Matvei on what this spread would be. He thought the Falcons would open -2.5, and I said I could see that even though I’d make the spread -1.5. It’s safe to say that we were utterly shocked by what this spread was.

Five? FIVE!? Are you kidding me? The best quarterback in the NFL, who happens to be unstoppable right now, is a five-point underdog against a team with a middling defense and a possibly injured top receiving threat?

I don’t understand this line at all. I had five units on the Packers versus the Cowboys, and so I’m going to match that wager here. If this gets up to +6, I’m going to use my February NFL Pick of the Month on the Packers, as six would provide overtime insurance.

I’ve harped about this many times this season. If you can get an elite quarterback as an underdog of more than a field goal, you almost have to take it every time. Rodgers, at the very least, will keep this game close. He could easily win outright, but this contest should be a tight one. The Falcons, who have a poor home-field advantage, barely beat the Packers in the first meeting, 33-32, and Green Bay is a much better team now than it was back in Week 8.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Davante Adams is dealing with some sort of ankle injury, which is a bit worrisome. However, the Packers have already announced that he’ll play. I’ll stay on Green Bay for five units for now, but Adams being out, with Jordy Nelson already being hurt, would decrease the unit count a bit.

SATURDAY NOTES: This spread has reached +6, which is awesome because we now have overtime immunity. I said I’d lock this in and increase my unit count at +6, but I want to see which receivers play. It could be possible that three of Aaron Rodgers’ top four wideouts are all sidelined. We’ll have our answer tomorrow morning.

FINAL THOUGHTS: This spread is +6 in most books, and it doesn’t appear as though it’s going to move. The sharps have bet the Falcons at -4 through -5.5, but haven’t touched them at -6. That said, the sharps have been horrible in this public year. As for me, I still love the Packers. This is way too many points for the best, hottest quarterback in the NFL. Plus, at +6, we’re getting overtime immunity, which is very important, considering that the two defenses aren’t very good. I thought about increasing this wager even further, but I’m concerned about the receivers. Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams will play, but will they be 100 percent? There’s really no way to be sure until we see them live on the field. Either way, we’re getting a great number with the Packers, who could easily win outright. I’m going to take +195 for a unit as well.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Falcons.
The Packers are a public underdog.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 61% (82,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Packers.

Aaron Rodgers is 79-48 ATS since 2009.

Aaron Rodgers is 34-25 ATS on the road as long as he’s not favored by 6.5 or more points.

Aaron Rodgers is 17-12 ATS as an underdog.

Falcons are 5-21 ATS at home immediately following a home win the previous 26 instances.

Opening Line: Falcons -4.

Opening Total: 60.

Weather: .

Week 20 NFL Pick: Packers 37, Falcons 34
Packers +6 (5 Units) — Incorrect; -$550
Over 60 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Falcons 44, Packers 21

Pittsburgh Steelers (13-5) at New England Patriots (15-2)
Line: Patriots by 6. Total: 51.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Patriots -4.5.
Sunday, Jan. 22, 6:40 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Steelers.

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Emmitt on the Brink Season 9 is complete! Season 8 saw Emmitt going to North Korea to stop Kim Jong-un from destroying the world. It featured a mind-blowing twist at the very end that you absolutely need to check out if you haven’t already. Season 9 dealt with the election, as well as the League of Failed General Managers, led by Matt Millen and Hillary Clinton.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is Walter Goes to Harrisburg, Part 2.

This week on CBS, we’re going to have Jim Nantz and Phil Simms calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, and aloof people like Dan Fouts. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of New England, where tonight, we have the NFC Championship between the New England Patriots and the Pittsburgh Penguins. Guys, my Philadelphia Eagles beat both of these teams in consecutive years, so I think the Eagles should replace one of these teams in this matchup. I don’t care which one because the Eagles would beat the other. Anyway, guys, I have a serious question to ask you. When my friend Eric slept over my house the other night, I asked him which quarterback he would rather be when he grew up: Tom Brady or Brian Roethlisberger. Guys, which quarterback do you want to be when you grow up, because I know my answer!

Emmitt: Beth, I do not understand what you meaning when you say when you say when you going to growed up. You a middle-ages man, probably you 60 or 65 or 90. How can you growed up when you have already… uhh… grewed?

Reilly: Because mother says I can be whatever I want to be when I grow up, and I’m still her little man!

Herm: ALREADY GROWN! ALREADY GREW! ALREADY DONE THAT! ALREADY FINISHED! ALREADY PAST THE PROCESS! ALREADY FINISHED THE PROCESS! ALREADY AN ADULT! ALREADY NO LONGER A CHILD! ALREADY…

Charles Davis’ Voice: Let’s talk about some holidays, Kevin. There’s Easter, Kevin. How about Christmas, Kevin? Bet you get a lot of presents under the tree, Kevin? Let’s discuss Halloween, Kevin? What about Earth Day, Kevin…?

Herm: ALREADY… ALREADY…

Charles Davis’ Voice: How about Thanksgiving, Kevin? Why not say Independence Day, Kevin? Let’s chat about…

Herm: ALREADY… HERM LOST HIS TRAIN OF THOUGHT! HERM LOST HIS TRAIN! TRAIN’S GONE! CABOOSE ON THE LOOSE! HERM CAN’T THINK ABOUT WHAT HE WANTS TO SAY BECAUSE HE WAS INTERRUPTED! HERM… UHH…

Charles Davis’ Voice: How about it, Kevin? Can you think of a holiday I haven’t mentioned yet? I’ll give you 716,000 guesses, Kevin. Ready, Kevin? Get set, Kevin? Go, Kevin!

Reilly: God damn it, this stupid Charles Davis recording mistimed itself! That’s it! I’m going to find this stupid recording device once and for all, and I’m going to destroy it!

Charles Davis’ Voice: What’s that, Kevin? Your favorite holiday is pepperoni pizza, Kevin? That’s not a holiday, Kevin. The answer I was looking for was Flag Day, Kevin.

Reilly: F*** YOU, CHARLES F***ING DAVIS’ RECORDING!!!

Tollefson: Kevin, it looks like you’re angrier than usual. Fortunately, I might be able to help you out. I brought spy equipment here with me today. I use this stuff to bug hot women’s houses, so I know when they’re going out and what they’re looking for in a man, so it helps me seduce them and ultimately kidnap them and enslave them!

Reilly: You’re so brave, Tolly! I can’t even talk to women, and mother says I’m not old enough anyway. Please help me find Charles Davis’ recording so I can destroy it.

Tollefson: Just one second, gotta power this bad boy up.

Fouts: And here’s what he means by just one second, powering this bad boy up. One second is a measure of time that counts exactly one second. It doesn’t count two seconds, because that’s one more than one second, and it also doesn’t count three seconds because it’s two more than one second, and one more than two seconds. It doesn’t count zero seconds either, which is one less second than one, but five more seconds than minus-five seconds. As for bad boy, that would be the opposite of good girl, because the opposite of bad is girl, and the opposite of boy is good. Wait, I don’t think that’s quite right, let me look in my Book of Antonyms that I brought with me here today.

Wolfley: I ONCE DATED A WOMAN NAMED ANTONYM. EVERY TIME I SAID SOMETHING, SHE SAID THE OPPOSITE. IT WAS ALMOST LIKE SHE WAS A REAL ANTONYM. COME TO THINK OF IT, SHE MIGHT HAVE BEEN JUST AN ANTONYM, AND THUS, A FIGURE OF MY IMAGINATION.

Reilly: What are you idiots talking about? Tolly, is your gizmo ready yet?

Tollefson: It is. Power on! Just as a precaution, this machine will detect both recording devices and women’s panties. Good thing there aren’t any worthless women here in the booth.

*** Beep, beep, beep, beep, beep!!! ***

Tollefson: It’s definitely around here somewhere. Wait, getting warmer!

*** Beep, beep,beep,BEEP BEEPEEEPPPP!!! ***

Tollefson: It’s… it’s coming from Millen’s anus!!! Yeah, it actually is in Millen’s anus!!!

Millen: Hey, intern, yes, you, 100-percent USDA Man, stick your hand up my backside and see what you can find.

*** After minutes of searching, the intern finds Charles Davis’ recording device. ***

Reilly: Haha yes! Finally! I can stop listening to Charles Davis!

Millen: No. I will take that and conduct a proper investigation to discover how this entered my backside. Gentlemen, as you can see by the contents of my backside, I’ve had 100-percent USDA Men shove many wares up my backside, ranging from kielbasas, to blocks of cheese, to CD players, to xylophones, to pieces of the Triforce, to monkeys; there are many things that have entered my backside. I cannot, however, for the life of me, remember anyone placing a recording device into my backside. Thus, I will contact all of my 100-percent USDA Men friends and make sure none of them have placed this there.

Reilly: F*** YOU, MILLEN! ALL I WANTED TO DO WAS DESTROY THE ONE THING THAT WOULDN’T LET ME HEAR CHARLES DAVIS’ VOICE AGAIN, AND YOU WON’T LET ME BECAUSE OF YOUR STUPID INVESTIGATION. BUT BE WARNED, I WILL DESTROY THAT DEVICE IF IT’S THE LAST THING I DO! We’ll be back after this…

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: The Patriots talked about how poorly they played even though they won by 18, but they really struggled to do much against the Texans. Part of that was Houston’s great defense, but another factor has to be that New England simply isn’t good enough as people think the team happens to be. The Patriots’ strength of schedule is far worse than that of the other three teams still alive (.439 versus Atlanta’s .480, Pittsburgh’s .494, and Green Bay’s .508). One of the few quality teams they’ve battled since Tom Brady returned to the lineup happened to be Pittsburgh, but Ben Roethlisberger didn’t even play in that game!

Tom Brady’s pass protection was woeful against Houston. While the Steelers don’t have the same edge rush the Texans do, they still have a pretty terrific pass-rusher in James Harrison, who is somehow playing on a Pro Bowl level despite being 38. Bud Dupree has also performed well of late, so I think they, along with Stephon Tuitt, could put some heat on Brady without sending too many extra pass-rushers, and Brady historically hasn’t done well in those situations.

It also must be remembered that Brady doesn’t have Rob Gronkowski at his disposal. That hasn’t mattered when the Patriots beat up on horrible teams like the Rams, 49ers, Jets (twice), etc., but the Steelers’ secondary has improved as the season progressed, so I don’t think Brady will have a terrific performance in this matchup.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: I referenced earlier that the Patriots have taken advantage of a joke of a schedule. The quarterbacks they’ve beaten all have one thing in common: They’re not good! Take a look if you didn’t see this in my NFL Power Rankings:

That’s pretty bad. New England’s defense has been great statistically this year, but it’s fair to wonder if that’s because of the competition it has faced. Russell Wilson, behind his abysmal offensive line, absolutely torched the Patriots. I could see Ben Roethlisberger doing the same thing. Roethlisberger was great last week in between the 20s, but sputtered in the red zone. I don’t expect that to happen again, especially now that he’s not battling the Chiefs’ prolific defense.

The Patriots barely have a pass rush, so they won’t be able to get to Roethlisberger very often, as Pittsburgh’s offensive line is one of the NFL’s best. The Steelers will also blast open huge holes for Le’Veon Bell, who will pick up where Lamar Miller left off last Saturday night. Miller had some opportunities against the Patriots, but the Texans ultimately had to abandon the run. It’s unlikely that the Steelers will be forced to do that.

RECAP: I recall Bill Simmons, a known Patriots fan, smugly comment that he wasn’t afraid of the Steelers because his team had owned them over the years. And that has definitely been true. In their past eight meetings in which Brady has played, New England is 7-1 straight up and against the spread versus Pittsburgh.

While something like that gives me some pause, I still like the Steelers quite a bit. This is the first time since perhaps 2011, when the Steelers dominated the Patriots in a 25-17 victory, that Pittsburgh has maintained the superior offensive line. The blocking unit has become more crucial than ever in this post-CBA NFL, and a major reason why the Steelers have been so great in the second half of this season has been the play of their front. The Patriots, who have seldom been tested defensively this year, figure to be overwhelmed on that side of the ball, and Brady missing Gronkowski will prevent him from making up for it.

Besides, this is once again a case in which a great quarterback is an underdog of more than a field goal. And at +6, we’re even getting overtime insurance to boot! I’m betting the Steelers for three units.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The best line right now is Steelers +6 -105 at Bovada, but I won’t lock that in. There might be a chance this line moves up. I would lock this in at +7 and perhaps would even increase my unit count to four in that case.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Steelers are available at +6 +100 at Bovada right now. Again, I’m not locking this in because I could see this spread rise to +7, or even +6.5. My opinion on this game hasn’t changed.

FINAL THOUGHTS: After seeing the flu-stricken Packers make dumb mental errors all afternoon, I’m hesitant to bet heavily on the Steelers, who had the same problem this week. I still think we’re getting an OK number with Pittsburgh, especially at Bovada (+6 +100), but the team may not be 100 percent. The Steelers could be sloppy and suffer a high number of injuries like the Packers just did, so I’m dropping this to two units.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on New England: 53% (98,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Ben Roethlisberger is 10-5 ATS in the playoffs (7-4 as a favorite).

Patriots are 34-16 ATS in December & January home games since 2000.

Tom Brady is 206-65 as a starter (151-107 ATS).

Tom Brady is 23-9 in the playoffs (15-17 ATS).

Opening Line: Patriots -6.

Opening Total: 50.5.

Weather: .

Week 20 NFL Pick: Patriots 26, Steelers 23
Steelers +6 +100 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Under 51 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Patriots 36, Steelers 17

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Packers +195 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Steelers +205 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

NFL Picks - Nov. 20

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 12, 2024): 11-3 (+$2,020)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-1 (+$580)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-0 (+$1,400)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 12, 2024): 6-8 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 12, 2024): +$905

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-3, 25.0% (-$1,365)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 89-82-6, 52.0% (-$2,545)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 22-26-1, 45.8% (-$600)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-17, 51.4% (-$155)
2024 Season Over-Under: 82-82-2, 50.0% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$740

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,510-3,234-202, 52.0% (+$19,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,129-1,011-57 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 571-502-25 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,941-2,916-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-3	Bears: 5-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-4
Eagles: 5-5	Lions: 9-1	Falcons: 6-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 6-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 5-5
Redskins: 5-5	Vikings: 4-6	Saints: 5-6	Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 4-7	Bengals: 2-9	Colts: 6-5	Broncos: 7-4
Dolphins: 4-6	Browns: 3-7	Jaguars: 3-7	Chargers: 6-3
Jets: 6-5	Ravens: 5-5	Texans: 5-6	Chiefs: 4-5
Patriots: 6-3	Steelers: 4-6	Titans: 6-3	Raiders: 5-5

Divisional: 21-23 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 18-14 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 31-25 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 21-30 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 33-47 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 13-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-8 (2011-23: 33-37)