NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2015

NFL Picks (Preseason 2015): 7-10-1 (-$1,420)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2015): 10-6 (+$940)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2015): 9-7 (-$895)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2015): 7-9 (-$870)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2015): 6-8-1 (-$360)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2015): 6-6-2 (+$55)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2015): 5-8-1 (-$690)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2015): 4-9-1 (-$860)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2015): 5-8-1 (+$520)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2015): 8-5 (+$280)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2015): 6-8 (-$610)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2015): 5-6-3 (-$2,010)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2015): 6-10 (-$1,050)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2015): 8-7-1 (+$195)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2015): 11-5 (+$1,550)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2015): 7-7-2 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2015): 8-8 (+$390)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2015): 8-8 (+$910)

NFL Picks (2015): 126-135-9 (-$3,815)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 9, 4:05 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games

Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) at Houston Texans (9-7)
Line: Chiefs by 3.5. Total: 40.
Walt’s Projected Line: Texans -1.
Saturday, Jan. 9, 4:30 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: None.

WEEK 17 RECAP: I would’ve killed for a Week 17-type result about two months ago when I was mired in losing because I was looking at stupid trends. I went 8-8, +$910. However, I made some dumb mistakes. I assumed the Seahawks would be resting their starters when I shouldn’t have. Also, I dropped the unit I had on the Chargers because I figured they would quit in the wake of Eric Weddle situation. That clearly wasn’t the case.

I should note that I got very lucky in the Chiefs-Raiders game. Andy Reid tried a fake field goal at the very end for some reason, allowing the Raiders to score a back-door touchdown. I did lose a unit on the Ravens back-dooring Cincinnati, though. Lots of back-door shenanigans this week. Matt Millen must have been happy.

WEEK 18 BETTING TRENDS – REMATCHES: There are three rematches in this round of the playoffs, though only two interest me. The Chiefs and Seahawks visit the Texans and Vikings, respectively, after demolishing them on the road earlier in the season.

Based on history, will this be another blowout? According to the public, it definitely will be, as everyone is betting their second mortgage on Kansas City and Seattle. However, the data says no, believe it or not…

The previous winners in same-site, non-divisional rematches are just 14-29-1 against the spread since 2000.

Last year, this dynamic went 1-2 ATS. The Colts beat the Bengals again, but the Broncos lost to the Colts and the Seahawks failed to cover versus the Packers.

HOUSTON OFFENSE: I have to begin with the Texans because they sustained a brutal injury in Week 17, losing Duane Brown to a torn quad. Brown is one of the top left tackles in the NFL, and his replacement, Chris Clark, is a massive downgrade.

With that in mind, how are the Texans going to protect Brian Hoyer against Kansas City’s elite edge rushers? Justin Houston has been out for a while, but he’s set to return to the lineup. He and Tamba Hali are going to dominate their matchups and swarm Hoyer, who will have to settle for short passes instead. This will limit DeAndre Hopkins, who will have a tough time against Kansas City’s terrific secondary. The Chiefs don’t have a top-tier elite cornerback to shut down Hopkins, but they have a bunch of talented corners and an All-Pro safety who can at least limit him, especially if Hoyer is constantly under duress.

I’m sure the Texans would love to establish the run in an attempt to take heat off Hoyer, but doing so will be problematic. The Chiefs have the eighth-ranked rush defense in terms of YPC, and it’s not like Houston has the talent at running back to overcome that. Things would be different had Todd Gurley fallen to the Texans, which was their dream scenario last April, but Alfred Blue, Chris Polk and Jonathan Grimes aren’t going to threaten the Chiefs.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: With the Chiefs figuring to hinder Houston’s scoring attack, they’re almost guaranteed to score enough points to win, right? I wouldn’t be too sure about that.

One reason the Chiefs have won 10 in a row is because they made changes to their offensive line. Putting guard Jeff Allen onto the field was a big part of that. Allen is a stud, but I don’t trust Kansas City’s other blockers, especially against J.J. Watt, Whitney Mercilus and Jadeveon Clowney. The greatest reason for Kansas City’s winning streak is that the team, for the most part, has battled bad defenses. Denver was the only opponent that had a solid stop unit during that stretch, and that victory was the byproduct of a one-legged Peyton Manning heaving horrible passes. I’ll be surprised if the Chiefs are able to protect Smith in this matchup.

Smith, of course, will utilize his usual checkdown passes. He’ll also attempt to scramble for some first downs, but I’m sure that Houston’s elite defense will be prepared for that aspect of his game, unlike some of the clueless opponents the Chiefs have battled down the stretch. Meanwhile, the Texans, who have surrendered 3.1 YPC to the opposition over the past month, will put the clamps on Spencer Ware and Charcandrick West.

RECAP: This is going to be a defensive struggle, so that already is an indication to take the points. A bigger factor is the spread, which is just ridiculous. Chiefs by 3.5? Are you kidding me? This would be -9.5 in Kansas City, which doesn’t make any sense whatsoever. The Chiefs were -7 over the Raiders, so this is saying that Oakland is 2.5 points better than Houston. That’s just dumb.

Contrary to public opinion, the Chiefs are not that good. Their three best victories during their winning streak have been against the Broncos and a one-legged Manning; the Steelers, who started Landry Jones; and the Bills, who turned out to be just average. Kansas City hasn’t beaten anyone, and to make matters worse, the team nearly lost to the Browns and Chargers down the stretch. The Raiders and Ravens averaged more yards per play than they did.

Meanwhile, if the Texans didn’t battle the Patriots and lose a fluky game to the Bills in which they dropped numerous Tyrod Taylor interceptions, people would be talking about them as a great team, much like the Chiefs. They’ve won seven of nine, and the two losses are excusable. Had they avoided the Patriots and maintained better luck against Buffalo, Bill Simmons would have Houston No. 6 in his playoff power rankings, right next to the Chiefs (smh), and this spread might actually be Texans -2.5 or -3.

With all that in mind, as well as the fact that the public is pounding Kansas City like this is the easiest bet in the world, I’m definitely on the Texans. I wish Brown were playing; otherwise this would be a big wager. I’m comfortable making this a two-unit selection, however.

I’ll be posting NFL Picks on Tuesday. Follow me at @walterfootball for updates.

WEDNESDAY THOUGHTS: You have no idea how many people responded to this pick by saying something like, “Are you serious with this!? The Chiefs are going to kill the Texans!” That just makes me more confident in this selection. There’s a huge misconception with the Chiefs, who haven’t killed any of the crappy teams they’ve played recently. Why would they “kill” an opponent that is just about as “hot” as they are?

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: I’ll have final thoughts at 4 p.m., but I just wanted to alert you that +3.5 is still available at Bovada. I’d take that, as this number is as low as Chiefs -3 +103 at Pinnacle.

FINAL THOUGHTS: People on Twitter are making a big deal about Jadeveon Clowney being deactivated, but it’s not a big deal because John Simon has been solid as a tertiary pass-rusher. I still like the Texans for all of the reasons I mentioned. I don’t like Smith laying more than a field goal on the road, and Houston’s defense should be able to keep this game close against a Kansas City team that has outgained its opponents by just an average of seven yards during its 10-game winning streak. The public is pounding the Chiefs because ESPN and square voices are telling them how great Kansas City is, but as I wrote earlier, the Texans have been pretty much just as hot. Houston is still available at +3.5 on Bovada. I like it for two units, and it would be a bigger bet if Duane Brown were healthy.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Texans.

Everyone is pounding the Chiefs like it’s free money.

Percentage of money on Kansas City: 73% (93,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Chiefs -3.

Opening Total: 40.5.

Weather: Dome.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Texans 17, Chiefs 16
Texans +3.5 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Under 40 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Chiefs 30, Texans 0

Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (12-4)
Line: Steelers by 3. Total: 45.5.
Walt’s Projected Line: Bengals -2.5.
Saturday, Jan. 9, 8:00 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Bengals.

VEGAS UPDATE: The six top-bet teams each week were 48-45-3 against the spread heading into Week 17. How’d they do this past weekend? Take a look:

Steelers -12.5 – Cover

Jets -3 – Loss

Patriots -9.5 – Loss

Texans -6 – Cover

Rams -3 – Loss

Giants -4 – Loss

The books had a blood bath in Week 15, but were able to bounce back with two strong Sundays. The Patriots losing straight up was the icing on the cake, as many squares had them in a three-team teaser.

Here are the top bets in Week 18, as of Tuesday afternoon (50-49-3 ATS this year):

Seahawks -6

Chiefs -3.5

Steelers -2.5

Three of the four games have lopsided betting action, as people apparently think that Seattle, Kansas City and Pittsburgh will cover easily and win them free money.

Once again, follow @walterfootball for updates.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: Andy Dalton’s status is up in the air right now. There’s a chance he could suit up, but a Monday report indicated that the Bengals are preparing as if A.J. McCarron will start. Per a Tuesday afternoon practice report, Dalton was on the practice field, but hadn’t gripped a football at all. It’s still early, but it definitely sounds like McCarron will get the nod.

I personally don’t think it matters who plays. Both quarterbacks are limited passers who are accurate in the short and intermediate routes, but struggle to connect with A.J. Green downfield. The starter will rely heavily on Tyler Eifert, who will be on the field after getting knocked out of the first quarter of the previous matchup between these two teams. Eifert being out had a huge affect on that game, as the Steelers have struggled to defend tight ends all year.

Actually, Pittsburgh’s defense has struggled in all regards this season. Most recently, the Steelers have allowed Ryan Mallett and Brock Osweiler (prior to his shoulder injury) to move the chains against their putrid secondary. Their run defense is solid, but I think the Bengals will still be able to have success on this side of the ball.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: The Steelers are obviously much better on this side of the ball, but there are a couple of concerns. First of all, DeAngelo Williams sustained an ankle injury in Week 17. He has been a big part of why Pittsburgh’s offense has been so successful. Williams is considered “day to day,” but even if he does suit up, he could leave early if he aggravates his ankle. He may not be 100 percent either, which will hurt the Steelers a good deal.

I also don’t trust the Steelers’ pass protection. Losing Kelvin Beachum has been huge, while center Maurkice Pouncey’s absence has been felt all year. The Bengals have a great pass rush, so they’ll be able to place plenty of heat on Ben Roethlisberger.

It’s fair to say that Roethlisberger will lead the Steelers on several scoring drives, however. He, Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant are just too difficult to contain. However, if there’s one team that can do it, it’s the Bengals, who have a terrific secondary.

RECAP: The Steelers are considered the “most dangerous team” in the playoffs. Everyone on ESPN is saying this, and the public is betting accordingly. I have one question: Why? Pittsburgh might just have the worst defense of the 12 teams in the field. Its pass protection is suspect. Williams is banged up. Granted, Roethlisberger and Brown are terrific, but two-man teams don’t win in the playoffs.

Let’s examine the Steelers closely, shall we? They beat Cleveland by 16 in the finale, but that game was 14-9 in the third quarter, as Pittsburgh couldn’t separate from the Austin Davis-led Browns. The previous week, they lost to Ryan Mallett. Before that, they were down to the Broncos, 27-10, until Osweiler hurt his shoulder. The week prior, they beat the Bengals 33-20, but as mentioned, Cincinnati lost Eifert early and had to use McCarron, who had no preparation.

My point is that the Steelers aren’t as good as everyone says they are. In fact, the Bengals are the better team. They actually beat Mallett, and they never trailed by 17 at Denver. They did lose to the Broncos, but in a close affair in which Osweiler didn’t get hurt. Cincinnati has the superior defense and blocking, and its ground attack is better if Williams is out or hurt. Thus, Pittsburgh being favored by 2.5 on the road makes no sense. This spread means the Bengals would be +8.5 at the Steelers with a hobbled or absent Williams. That’s ridiculous.

With that in mind, I’m all over the Bengals here. Sure, I’m aware of their “choking” history, but this is the best, healthiest team they’ve ever had, and they have no pressure on them because they’re underdogs. I just think there’s way too much value with them as home underdogs, so I’m going to be betting them for four units.

WEDNESDAY THOUGHTS: This is another one people are shocked by, but to a lesser degree. Someone e-mailed me and said there is “no way the Steelers are going to lose to the Bengals.” This, despite the fact that Cincinnati has the better defense, offensive line and running game, as DeAngelo Williams is still in a walking boot.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: I was waiting to see what the sharps would do. They don’t tip their hand during the week on most occasions, but they definitely did Saturday morning. They pounded the Bengals like crazy, dropping this spread down to -2 in most places. You can still get +3 -115 at Bovada, however.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Hopefully there’s not a BS special-teams touchdown that sets the tone for the road team in this game. The sharps will be hoping for the same. They’re absolutely pounding the Bengals, as this spread has dropped to +1.5 in most places. It’s actually still +3 -110 at Bovada, which is awesome. At any rate, it really made no sense that the Steelers were three-point favorites on the road, given that the Bengals have the superior defense, offensive line and running game, with Williams out.

The Psychology. Edge: Bengals.

I’d have to think the Bengals feel disrespected that they’re home underdogs despite winning the AFC North.

The Vegas. Edge: Bengals.

More free money! The Steelers are locks to beat the Bengals, according to the public.

Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 65% (76,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Bengals.

History: Steelers have won 14 of the last 19 meetings.

Ben Roethlisberger is 42-22 ATS vs. the AFC North.

Ben Roethlisberger is 9-4 ATS in the playoffs (6-3 as a favorite).

Steelers are 17-27 ATS as road favorites since 2007.

Steelers are 8-20 ATS as road favorites coming off a win under Mike Tomlin.

Mike Tomlin is 5-16 ATS as a favorite after a win of 14+ in the regular season unless a bye is coming up.

Opening Line: Steelers -2.5.

Opening Total: 46.5.

Weather: .

Week 18 NFL Pick: Bengals 23, Steelers 20
Bengals +3 (4 Units) — Correct; +$400
Under 46 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Steelers 18, Bengals 16

Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games
Seahawks at Vikings, Packers at Redskins

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games

NFL Picks - Dec. 11

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Dec. 11

NFL Power Rankings - Dec. 9

2026 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 29

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 14, 2024): 3-10 (-$2,620)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 14, 2024): 1-3 (-$665)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 14, 2024): 0-3 (-$1,490)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 14, 2024): 5-8 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 14, 2024): -$265

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-3, 25.0% (-$1,365)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 109-102-8, 51.7% (-$4,140)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 25-35-1, 40.0% (-$2,425)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 24-21, 53.3% (+$505)
2024 Season Over-Under: 101-103-4, 49.5% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$420

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,530-3,254-204, 52.0% (+$17,530)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,132-1,020-57 (52.6%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 577-506-25 (53.3%)
Career Over-Under: 2,960-2,937-78 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-6	Bears: 5-7	Bucs: 8-5	49ers: 8-5
Eagles: 7-6	Lions: 10-3	Falcons: 7-6	Cardinals: 9-4
Giants: 4-8	Packers: 9-3	Panthers: 5-8	Rams: 7-6
Redskins: 6-6	Vikings: 5-7	Saints: 6-7	Seahawks: 7-5

Bills: 5-8	Bengals: 3-10	Colts: 7-6	Broncos: 9-4
Dolphins: 5-8	Browns: 5-8	Jaguars: 4-7	Chargers: 7-5
Jets: 7-6	Ravens: 6-6	Texans: 5-7	Chiefs: 5-7
Patriots: 7-4	Steelers: 6-7	Titans: 8-4	Raiders: 7-6

Divisional: 27-34 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 23-19 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 38-31 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 25-36 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 44-57 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 14-9 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 17-17 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-9 (2011-23: 33-37)