NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2017

NFL Picks (Preseason 2017): 9-10-1 (-$110)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2017): 8-6-1 (+$135)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2017): 9-7 (+$45)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2017): 5-11 (-$425)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2017): 5-11 (+$90)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2017): 8-6 (+$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2017): 6-8 (-$640)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2017): 3-10-2 (-$2,180)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2017): 6-7 (-$1,795)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2017): 7-5-1 (+$205)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2017): 8-5-1 (+$290)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2017): 3-10-1 (-$1,595)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2017): 9-6-1 (+$420)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2017): 6-10 (-$730)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2017): 8-8 (+$350)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2017): 7-8-1 (-$460)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2017): 13-2-1 (+$1,500)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2017): 12-4 (+$1,120)

NFL Picks (2017): 125-126-9 (-$2,700)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$1,055)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$2,360)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-132-7 (-$1,115)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 7, 12:15 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Buffalo Bills (9-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6)
Line: Jaguars by 8.5. Total: 40.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Jaguars -3.5.
Sunday, Jan. 7, 1:05 ET
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The Game. Edge: Jaguars.

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Emmitt on the Brink Season 10 is now complete. Real Emmitt was trapped in the evil dimension. Could he escape and vanquish Evil Emmitt, who has been causing mayhem in the real world?

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is the 12 Things I Hate About Christmas.

BUFFALO OFFENSE: For the first time since this Web site was three months old, the Bills are in the playoffs. They had a nice sequence of events go their way in Week 17, but their victory over Miami was a Pyrrhic one. That’s because LeSean McCoy suffered an ankle injury during a third-quarter run. Things looked very grim for the Bills when McCoy was carted into the locker room, but there’s a chance he’ll play in this contest. Adam Schefter just said McCoy will be a game-time decision.

Even if McCoy plays, he’s not expected to be 100 percent. The Bills once had a deep stable of backs, with Karlos Williams and Jonathan Williams playing behind McCoy, but both are gone (still not sure why Williams was released), and thus Buffalo doesn’t have a viable replacement for McCoy. They’ll need one to challenge Jacksonville’s defense.

The Jaguars have one of the best stop units in the NFL, and they have matchup edges all over this side of the ball. They’ll be able to handle Kelvin Benjamin and the rest of Buffalo’s receiving corps, as their secondary is prolific. They stop tight ends well, so I don’t think Charles Clay will be much of a factor. They also put immense pressure on the quarterback, and the Bills don’t have very good tackles, so the Jaguar edge rushers will put lots of heat on Tyrod Taylor, who will need to do quite a bit of scrambling to keep the chains moving.

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: It’s remarkable that the Bills made the playoffs, considering they traded one of their best defensive linemen during the middle of the season. They shipped off Marcell Dareus to these very same Jaguars, which worsened their run defense considerably. In the seven games prior to the Dareus trade, the Bills had surrendered just one 100-yard rushing performance, doing so at Atlanta in Week 4. In the nine games following the Dareus trade, Buffalo allowed SIX teams to eclipse the 100-yard rushing barrier. The Saints even gashed them for a ridiculous 294 yards at home in Week 10.

Trading Dareus was, as my sixth-grade English teacher used to say, ilresponsible, and it could come back to haunt the Bills in this contest. Leonard Fournette hit a rookie wall following a strong start, perhaps because of some nagging injuries. This will be a good opportunity for Fournette to get back on track. That said, it’s not a guarantee that Fournette will run well, given that his blocking is pretty poor.

Speaking of that blocking, I don’t think Blake Bortles will have much time to throw in this contest. The Bills have mismatches all across the board in the trenches. Bortles could be rattled as a result, and it’s worth noting that Bortles himself got hurt in Week 17. Doug Marrone foolishly used his starters throughout, and Bortles got banged up at the 4-minute mark of the second quarter. He completed just four of 15 attempts after halftime. Is that a coincidence, or is Bortles really injured? Bortles was expected to regress anyway – he got “hot” in December because he played some extremely poor defenses at home – and now he has to battle a secondary that can rival Jacksonville’s in talent.

RECAP: I’d absolutely love the Bills if McCoy were 100 percent. The Jaguars have been overrated most of the year. Everyone was touting them during their three-game winning streak, which included “impressive” home wins against the Colts, Texans and a Seahawk team missing four of the five best players in their back seven. A Seahawk team that couldn’t even beat Arizona at home in Week 17. Excluding that three-game home win streak, what have the Jaguars done in the second half of the season? They used their starters and couldn’t even beat the Titans. They were blown out in San Francisco. They lost to the Blaine Gabbert-led Cardinals. They led the Browns just 10-7 in the fourth quarter. Jacksonville is not a good team.

The Jaguars and Bills are even, as far as I’m concerned, and with McCoy on the field, I’d make Jacksonville only -3.5 at most. Perhaps even -3.

Unfortunately, McCoy’s injury complicates things. I still like the Bills though. This spread is too high for what should be a low-scoring grinder. Also, of the two quarterbacks, I trust Taylor more. Not only is Taylor more careful with the football, but he’s also healthier. Bortles got hurt last week, and no one’s talking about it. He was bad the entire game, but he was utterly awful after limping off the field at the end of the second quarter. I can’t believe that he remained on the field in the second half. Seriously, how stupid is Marrone!?

This would be a five-unit bet on the Bills, at the very least, if McCoy were 100 percent. He’s not, but I still like the Bills enough to take them for three units.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: LeSean McCoy is still an unknown heading into this game. He hasn’t practiced at all, but it’s not like he was expected to. This spread remains too high, and I still like the Bills for three units for now.

SATURDAY NOTES: There’s some bad news for the Bills, as one of their top linebackers, Matt Milano, has missed practice all week. I may downgrade this play on Sunday morning.

FINAL THOUGHTS: All everyone on TV is talking about is LeSean McCoy, who is active. McCoy is obviously an amazing talent, but it’s unknown if he’ll be able to play at 100 percent. Meanwhile, no one on TV is talking about Matt Milano. The best linebacker on Buffalo’s roster, Milano is out. If you don’t think this is a big deal, just check out what Bills fans had to say on Twitter in reaction to the announcement:

It’s obviously not ideal that the Bills won’t have Milano, so I’m going to drop this to two units. I still like Buffalo enough to bet them with a low wager. This spread is too high for Blake Bortles, who could murder his team with mistakes. Also, while there was sharp money on Jacksonville earlier in the week, the sharp books – Pinnacle, CRIS – want Jaguar action. Their lines are -8, yet it’s -8.5 or -9 (+100) in most other places.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Jacksonville: 56% (46,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Bills are 8-32 ATS after playing the Miami Dolphins since 1998.

Bills are 13-21 ATS since November 2011 as a road underdog.

Jaguars are 12-8 ATS coming off a 2-game road trip the previous 20 instances.

Jaguars are 33-66 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.

Jaguars are 10-18 ATS as home favorites since 2008.

Jaguars are 4-7 ATS as favorites of -7 or more coming off a loss.

Opening Line: Jaguars -7.

Opening Total: 40.

Weather: .

Week 18 NFL Pick: Jaguars 23, Bills 20
Bills +8.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Over 40 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Jaguars 10, Bills 3

Carolina Panthers (11-5) at New Orleans Saints (11-5)
Line: Saints by 6.5. Total: 47.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Saints -6.
Sunday, Jan. 7, 4:40 ET
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The Game. Edge: Saints.

This week on FOX, we’re going to have some Joe Buck and Troy Aikman calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, and aloof people like Dan Fouts. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of New Orleans, home of the French Quarter which is full of losers because the French are losers, unlike me. Guys, I’m looking forward to seeing which team my Eagles will kill next week. Which team will my Philadelphia Eagles beat 84-0?

Emmitt: 84-0, I must make an issues with something you just says. You says the French Quarter full of losers but how can French Quarter be full of losers if he only a quarter? A quarter only maybe 80 percent of something, so it only 80 percent full of losers.

Herm: A QUARTER’S NOT 80 PERCENT! EIGHTY PERCENT’S NOT A QUARTER! A QUARTER IS MORE THAN 80 PERCENT! I MEAN 80 PERCENT IS LESS THAN A QUARTER! I MEAN A QUARTER IS LESS THAN 80 PERCENT! YES, AFTER THREE TRIES HERM GOT IT RIGHT! THAT’S ONE OUT OF THREE! NOT QUITE 80 PERCENT! ONE-THIRD IS MORE THAN 80 PERCENT! WHOOPS, HERM SCREWED UP AGAIN! NOW HE’S BATTING A QUARTER! WHICH IS MORE THAN 80 PERCENT! WHOOPS HERM SCREWED UP AGAIN! KEEP SCREWING UP! KEEP SCREWING… uhh… umm…

Reilly: Herm, do you realize no one’s paying attention to you anymore? You might as well be dead. And Emmitt, did you really just refer to me as “84-0?” That’s not my name, Emmitt! It’s Kevin! I’ve only been working with you for a decade now!

Fouts: And here’s what he means by a decade. A decade is a series of years. And how many years is this series? Well, it’s a good thing you asked. Let’s go through the possibilities. Is a decade one year? Not quite. A year is only a year. How about two years? We’re still a bit shy in our projection there. So, how about three years? Close, but no cigar. How about four years? Is that a decade? We’re getting there, but not really. How about five years? Is a decade five years? That’s a tremendous guess, and that would’ve been my first guess as well, but…

Wolfley: DAN, I MUST INTERRUPT YOU. ON MY HOME PLANET, A DECADE IS ONLY FIVE YEARS, SO THAT FIRST GUESS YOU MADE TURNED OUT TO BE TRUE.

Reilly: What are you idiots talking about? We’re here to talk- wait, what are you guys doing here?

Joe Buck: Hi, I’m Joe Buck, and this is Troy Aikman.

Troy Aikman: Hi, I’m Troy Aikman, and I’m going to set the world record for words spoken without an opinion given.

Reilly: I know who you are, Troy Aikman, you vile scum. What the hell are you going here?

Joe Buck: Let’s talk about baseball even though this is a football telecast. That will make all the football fans happy.

Troy Aikman: Looks like they’re getting happy, Joe.

Reilly: Get the hell out of here, vile scum!

Millen: Whoa, whoa, whoa, Emmitt, let’s not get too hasty here. I have a kielbasa with Troy’s name on it. Troy, how about you bend over a little bit? I would love to ride you, young stallion.

Tollefson: Millen, you’re a f***ing creep. Troy, I see that you have three Super Bowl rings. How about you trade me one of those rings for this magic bean? This magic bean will allow you to climb into the clouds, where you can capture lots of women who will cook and clean naked for you, and will do so quite willingly because that’s what they’re made for.

Troy Aikman: Looks like he’s offering me a magic bean for my Super Bowl ring, Joe.

Joe Buck: I would accept that deal, Troy, as long as he threw in some hours of talking about baseball. I like talking about baseball, and everyone likes hearing me talk about baseball on football telecasts. Let’s use this opportunity to talk about the Yankees, Troy. The Yankees look like they’re going to make a run this year, Troy.

Troy Aikman: Looks like people are talking about the Yankees making a run this year, Joe.

Reilly: Shut the f*** up, no one wants to talk about boring baseball, and no one wants to hear you say anything, vile scum!

Charles Davis: Kevin, I see you want to talk baseball, Kevin. Let’s talk baseball, Kevin, since you want to talk about baseball, Kevin. Let’s begin with the Yankees, Kevin. That’s what the other guy mentioned, Kevin. I’m not sure who he is, Kevin, or what he’s doing here, Kevin, but he mentioned Yankees, Kevin. How about the Yankees’ rival, Kevin? The Red Sox, Kevin. Let’s not confuse them with the White Sox, Kevin. Or the Yellow Sox, Kevin. Just kidding, Kevin, there are no such things as Yellow Sox, Kevin, unless you peed on your socks, Kevin. But that would be disgusting, Kevin, unless you’re into that, Kevin. Not going to judge, Kevin. But why don’t you name another baseball team, Kevin. And don’t guess pepperoni pizza, Kevin, because that would be stupid, Kevin.

Reilly: Why would I say pepperoni pizza is a baseball team, idiot!?

Charles Davis: Kevin, looks like you mentioned pepperoni pizza, Kevin, even though I told you that was stupid, Kevin. Looks like you didn’t listen to me, Kevin, and you have to pay the pied piper, Kevin. There’s no baseball team named pepperoni pizza, Kevin, and I can’t believe you would even guess that, Kevin.

Reilly: I DIDN’T GUESS THAT YOU F***ING IDIOT, I JUST MENTIONED IT BECAUSE YOU DID, AND WHAT THE F*** IS THIS VILE SCUM STILL DOING IN HERE, DO YOU KNOW HOW MANY F***ING TIMES HE CHEATED AND BEAT MY PHILADELPHIA EAGLES!? GO AWAY F***ING VILE SCUM! We’ll be back after this!

NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: Drew Brees didn’t put together a great statistical year because the Saints featured the running game so prominently. Plus, the defense improved so much that Brees didn’t have to compile countless, garbage-time yards at the end of games. However, Brees had his way with Carolina twice this year. In the two matchups combined, Brees went 47-of-64 for 489 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions.

This was not an accident. The simple explanation for this is that the Panthers, while strong in the front seven, have major issues in their secondary. Brees is also well protected, so Carolina’s pass rush doesn’t do much to rattle him. The more-complex explanation has to do with the type of defense Carolina runs. The Panthers play more zone than most teams in the NFL. This is fine against poor and mediocre quarterbacks, but elite signal-callers like Brees and Tom Brady love going against zone. The Steelers have played tons of zone in the past, and it’s why Brady has an unblemished record against them. Similarly, Brees has taken advantage of Carolina’s zone, and will continue to do so.

As mentioned, the Panthers’ front seven is terrific. Yet, they didn’t seem to have an answer for Alvin Kamara in Week 13. Kamara handled the ball just 14 times, yet accumulated 126 total yards. He really is unstoppable, so despite the unfavorable matchup, I expect Kamara to thrive.

CAROLINA OFFENSE: Meanwhile, the Panthers have some glaring concerns that were prevalent in Week 17. One was their inability to protect Cam Newton. They were missing guard Trai Turner, and his return will help, but they could have trouble blocking New Orleans’ defensive front.

Another big issue for the Panthers is Greg Olsen’s injury. Olsen had a dominant performance in Week 15, catching nine passes for 116 yards and a touchdown against the Packers. However, he logged just one reception in Week 17, as he and Newton weren’t on the same page. Olsen got banged up on his sole reception, prompting the FOX announcers to mention that the Carolina coaching staff was concerned about Olsen’s foot on Atlanta’s artificial surface. Well, the Saints also have an artificial surface, so that could prove to be problematic for Olsen.

Aside from the banged-up Olsen and Christian McCaffrey, Newton doesn’t have reliable weapons at his disposal. Devin Funchess is OK, but he won’t be able to get open against Marshon Lattimore. Thus, Newton will have to take matters into his own hands by scrambling a ton.

RECAP: This spread keeps rising, and for good reason. The Saints have blown out the Panthers twice this season, and it’s likely going to happen for a third time. And no, beating a team thrice in a single year is not difficult; teams are 13-7 straight up versus opponents in the playoffs after beating them twice in the regular season.

Not only are the Saints the better team, but this is a great matchup for them. Things are just too easy for Brees against a zone defense, and it’s not like Carolina has good personnel in the secondary to make up for it.

The Saints have the better quarterback, superior running game, and stronger defense. Oh, and they’re also at home, where they’ve been prolific most years. I’m taking them for four units. The only concern is a Newton back-door touchdown, but considering that the Saints have beaten the Panthers 34-13 and 31-21 this year, it’s not a huge worry.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The sharps are on the Saints, taking this spread up to -7. The good news is that the juice on this spread is +100 at BetUS. Even better is that Panthers guard Trai Turner remains in concussion protocol. His absence would be a big advantage for New Orleans in the trenches.

SATURDAY NOTES: Trai Turner has cleared concussion protocol, which is definitely good news for the Panthers. I still love the Saints, however, and I’m hoping this news causes the line to dip a bit.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Both teams are mostly healthy, with the two questionable linemen being declared active. There’s mixed sharp action – Saints at -6, Panthers at +7 – and now it’s sitting at -6.5 in most books. I still love the Saints, as they should continue their domination of Carolina.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on New Orleans: 58% (50,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Cam Newton is 23-16 ATS off a loss as long as he’s not favored by 7+.

Cam Newton is 8-4 ATS as an underdog of 6+ since his second season.

Saints are 41-29 ATS as a home favorite since 2007.

Drew Brees is 42-27 ATS after a loss with the Saints (14-7 ATS as an underdog).

Opening Line: Saints -6.

Opening Total: 48.5.

Weather: Dome.

Week 18 NFL Pick: Saints 34, Panthers 23
Saints -6.5 (4 Units) — Incorrect; -$440
Over 47.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Saints 31, Panthers 26

Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Titans at Chiefs, Falcons at Rams

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Props to be posted here

NFL Picks - Nov. 23

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 12, 2024): 11-3 (+$2,020)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-1 (+$580)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-0 (+$1,400)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 12, 2024): 6-8 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 12, 2024): +$905

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-3, 25.0% (-$1,365)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 89-82-6, 52.0% (-$2,545)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 22-26-1, 45.8% (-$600)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-17, 51.4% (-$155)
2024 Season Over-Under: 82-82-2, 50.0% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$740

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,510-3,234-202, 52.0% (+$19,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,129-1,011-57 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 571-502-25 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,941-2,916-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-3	Bears: 5-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-4
Eagles: 5-5	Lions: 9-1	Falcons: 6-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 6-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 5-5
Redskins: 5-5	Vikings: 4-6	Saints: 5-6	Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 4-7	Bengals: 2-9	Colts: 6-5	Broncos: 7-4
Dolphins: 4-6	Browns: 3-7	Jaguars: 3-7	Chargers: 6-3
Jets: 6-5	Ravens: 5-5	Texans: 5-6	Chiefs: 4-5
Patriots: 6-3	Steelers: 4-6	Titans: 6-3	Raiders: 5-5

Divisional: 21-23 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 18-14 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 31-25 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 21-30 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 33-47 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 13-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-8 (2011-23: 33-37)