NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 6-9-1 (-$1,440)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2012): 3-13 (-$2,250)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2012): 8-7-1 (+$430)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2012): 7-9 (+$70)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2012): 7-8 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2012): 7-7 (-$340)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2012): 9-5 (+$1,670)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2012): 7-5-1 (+$420)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2012): 6-8 (-$450)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2012): 8-6 (+$240)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2012): 8-6 (+$730)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2012): 6-7-1 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2012): 5-9-2 (-$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2012): 8-7-1 (-$420)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2012): 8-8 (-$1,110)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2012): 5-11 (-$1,480)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2012): 11-5 (+$410)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2012): 7-9 (-$1,150)

NFL Picks (2012): 126-139-7 (-$5,000)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 6, 11:20 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games



Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) at Houston Texans (12-4)
Line: Texans by 4. Total: 42.5.

Walt’s Projected Line: Texans -6.5.
Saturday, Jan. 5, 4:30 ET
Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Texans.

Week 18 NFL Picks will be posted all day Wednesday, per the new schedule. I’ve received mix reaction to this, so voice your opinion via e-mail or in the comment box below. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.

WEEK 17 RECAP: Well, I thought had Week 17 down after winning then last year. Not so much, apparently. I don’t know how the Falcons played their starters and got destroyed by a slumping Buccaneer team. I did stupid stuff – like bet a combined seven units on QB Dog Killer and Mark Sanchez, as well as wagering against Chuckstrong – but I’m going lightly in Week 17 games from now on until I can figure that out.

Now, it’s time to review what the media overreacted to last week:

1. Bill Simmons also said the Patriots’ spread was too high – his first reaction to his favorite team is usually the wrong one.

Fading the media is now 12-4-1 since Week 12. This week, the major overreaction is to the Texans. Everyone’s giving up on them after two losses.

As for Vegas, the sportsbooks split the only two heavily bet games of the week, winning with the Panthers and losing with the Patriots. This means that Vegas won, as it collected the vig and cashed in with parlays and teasers.

HATE MAIL: Another week, another stack of hate mails. Here are some brief ones from my picks page comment board:

Want to save money? Review this: NFL Picks (2012): 126-139-7 (-$5,000)

Or you can make money by going against me. That’s why I’m here.

does anyone who comes to this website really pay attention to walt, or like me, comes to see everyone else’s picks?

I don’t pay attention to Walt’s picks either.

haha the only funny thing on this site are the picks — i can’t tell what’s worse, the sad attempt at comedy or the terrible analysis. i guess i might keep checking back for charlie’s mock drafts, but anything walter types is a waste of time.

What’s worse between the sad attempt at comedy or the terrible analysis? How about the sad attempt at analysis?

Walt lost his a** again.

I did for a while until I realized I left it in the bathroom.

Walt, u are truly the dumbest motherfudger ever! Ur picks are beyond horrendus and give idiots who never watched a game who try to pick games a bad name.. seriously, start flipping a coin or something, u idiot..

What do you think I’ve been doing? This damn coin strategy is not working.

Walter go to hell !!’n

I’d follow your first instruction, but I’m not sure what to do about this “‘n” part. Confused 🙁

@walter @ walter @walter @ walter @walter @ walter @walter @ walter NEVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER NEVER NEVER AGAIN I WILL LISTEN OR READ ON YOUR SITE!!!!!!!!!

Until you lose with my picks this upcoming week, that is.

He’s currently at -1430 after the first wave of games and manged to get not one right. One thing I tend to notice is the games he feels least confident about manage to win. Saw several winners that he put 0 units on.

I got the Steelers game right. Check your facts, son.

Choke on caulk you idiot!

I can’t because I have something else in my mouth. What? That’s gay? I meant a Dove chocolate. Get your mind out of the gutter, sickos.

Also, pgup9 wasn’t grounded this week, so he was able to go online and send me some hate mails. I, however, had the last laugh because I was able to successfully troll him:



HOUSTON OFFENSE: ESPN’s Chad Millman had some sort of expert gambling expert on his podcast recently. The guest spoke of how successful he’s been at handicapping the playoffs by just betting on the team with the best pass rush. Both the Texans and Bengals generate tons of pressure on the quarterback – particularly the latter. Cincinnati has 51 sacks on the year, which is good for third in the NFL behind only the Broncos and Rams. The defense is led by Geno Atkins, the best defensive tackle in football.

Atkins has the ability to dominate and take over a game, so it’s crucial that Matt Schaub is placed in optimal third-down situations. If he’s constantly facing third-and-longs, he has no chance. Schaub has been incredibly erratic lately, and part of that has to do with Houston being forced to abandon the run after trailing early. Schaub is at his best when he’s able to use play action and bootleg out to find Andre Johnson or one of his many tight ends.

Unfortunately for the Texans, Schaub may be out of his comfort zone again this week. The Bengals, ranked 10th against the rush (4.01 YPC), have surrendered an amazing 2.33 yards-per-carry average to opposing running backs over the past four games. Public consensus may say that Arian Foster is talented enough to overcome that, but that’s definitely not the case. Foster has actually struggled of late. He’s rushed for 3.5 yards per attempt or worse in five of his previous eight starts – and two of the exceptions came against Indianapolis’ inept defense. I don’t know if Foster is worn down, or if it’s because he’s not eating any meat, but he’s not the same running back we’re used to seeing.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: As mentioned, the Texans generate lots of pressure on the quarterback. While Cincinnati is third in sacks, Houston is right behind them at No. 5. The team managed to bring down Andrew Luck only once last week, but pretty much lived in Indianapolis’ backfield. This definitely could be trouble for the Bengals, who aside from the Jets have surrendered more sacks than anyone over the past four games (18).

The Texan and Bengal offenses have even more in common, as the latter team won’t be able to run the ball very well either. The Texans are ninth against the rush, and being one of many Big Ten plodders (he began his collegiate career at Indiana), BenJarvus Green-Ellis is simply not talented enough to overcome that. The Law Firm did have a string of 100-plus rushing performances, but that was against the Chiefs, Raiders, Chargers and Eagles – not exactly the NFL’s elite. Making matters worse, Green-Ellis is currently nursing a hamstring injury. He’s expected to play in this contest, but it’s likely that he won’t be 100 percent.

Not having Green-Ellis picking up big chunks of yardage will obviously hurt Andy Dalton’s chances – even against a Houston secondary that has been pretty porous lately. Dalton has actually played poorly since the beginning of December. In the five-game span, in which his only tough opponent was Pittsburgh, Dalton has been guilty of more turnovers (7) than touchdowns (4). Dalton has also failed to maintain a YPA of greater than 6.2 in four of those five contests. Covering A.J. Green will be difficult for the Texans, but they’re lucky they’ll be dealing with a quarterback who can’t consistently get the ball to one of the top players in the NFL.

RECAP: Everyone’s talking about Schaub struggling, but Dalton has been just as bad lately. Given the public overreaction, I like the Texans just a bit. They beat the Bengals in this time slot of the opening round of the playoffs last year, and that was with T.J. Yates. Of course, Dalton is now more seasoned – more so than Schaub, actually, as Schaub will be making his first playoff start. Quarterbacks making their initial postseason appearance as favorites have a terrible track record of covering, so that’s what’s keeping me from betting a couple of units on Houston.

I’ll be posting these NFL Picks throughout the day. Follow me at @walterfootball for updates.



FINAL THOUGHTS: There seems to be sharp money coming in on the Bengals because this spread dropped to +4. I still would lean toward the Texans though.




The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.
  • Percentage of money on Cincinnati: 54% (116,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Texans.
  • Bengals are 20-12 ATS as underdogs since 2009.
  • Andy Dalton is 4-6 ATS against winning teams.
  • Texans are 33-16 ATS after two or more consecutive losses (7-4 ATS as favorites).
  • Opening Line: Texans -4.5.
  • Opening Total: 43.
  • Weather: Dome.


    Week 18 NFL Pick: Texans 23, Bengals 16
    Texans -4 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
    Under 42.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
    Texans 19, Bengals 13
    NFL Game Recaps






    Minnesota Vikings (10-6) at Green Bay Packers (11-5)
    Line: Packers by 7.5. Total: 45.

    Walt’s Projected Line: Packers -9.
    Saturday, Jan. 5, 8:00 ET
    Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

    The Game. Edge: Packers.

    NON-HATE MAIL: Here’s one non-hate mail I received regarding my struggling bowl picks:

    You’ve taken some bad beats this year, but last night’s Duke/Cincy game might have been the worst… an 83 yd TD with 44 seconds left… ok, fine, whatever, it’s a push, but then a 55 yd int returned for a TD after? WTF is that? I didn’t even bet the game, but I was pissed! How does that even happen?

    That was ridiculous. I had Duke +7 for three units. The Blue Devils were up 16 in the second quarter, but Cincinnati came back. The game was eventually tied with 44 seconds remaining. Duke had the ball in the red zone. It looked like the team would kick a field goal and win. At the very worst, the contest would go to overtime, and I’d still get the cover, or in the worst-case scenario, a push. But no. Duke tossed TWO pick-sixes in 44 seconds, and I lost.



    Anyway, if you’ve been reading this Web site for a while, you know that I love to respond to mess with spammers. It’s fun writing material, and besides, if they’re busy with me, they’re not conning someone else – so I consider myself a good samaritan for doing this.

    I currently have a long entry with this woman Mulyana running. It’s taking up too much space, so I’ve given it its own page. Click here for the Steve Urkel Spam Mail.

    Unfortunately, I fear that my interaction with Mulyana has come to an end. I haven’t heard from either her or her lawyer in four weeks. Perhaps they called the Winslow household in Chicago and discovered that they were being played by someone pretending to be Steve Urkel. Or maybe they were so angry about receiving Monopoly money in the mail that they quit their spamming schemes.

    I’ve also been communicating with someone about a teaching position as Jerry Sandusky. They haven’t replied to me since I sent my resume. So, it’s time to begin anew:



    I can’t wait to fight terrorism!

    MINNESOTA OFFENSE: I wonder if there were some Viking fans who wanted Blair Walsh to miss his game-winning field goal so that Adrian Peterson could break Eric Dickerson’s record in overtime. That may sound blasphemous, but Minnesota has no real chance of claiming the Lombardi Trophy with Christian Ponder at quarterback, so Peterson eclipsing 2,105 rushing yards would be more significant from a historical context. I’ll admit that I was hoping for Walsh to push the kick wide left, and he almost did.

    Peterson was amazing against the Packers, but I’d have to think that he’d be at least a little worn down. He carried the ball a season-high 34 times this past week, almost single-handedly willing his team into the playoffs and himself into the record book. Now, Peterson has to come back from that on short rest. Don’t get me wrong – I still think he’ll be a dominant force in this contest, but I’m not sure he’ll be able to approach 200 rushing yards again. If Green Bay can limit him to the 125-150 range, that’ll be considered a victory.

    Limiting Peterson is obviously key because Ponder is incredibly shaky. He played well last week, but that was in the comfort of his own dome. Ponder has been absolutely horrific in outdoor contests this year. In the four games he’s played outside, he’s a combined 80-of-142 for 693 yards, four touchdowns, six interceptions and two lost fumbles. That’s a mediocre completion percentage of 56.3, a Ryan Lindley-like YPA of 4.9 and an inexcusable 2:1 turnover-to-touchdown ratio. Ponder now has to go back outside again, and to make matters worse, the Packers will be able to look at last week’s film to figure out a way to force Ponder into more giveaways.

    GREEN BAY OFFENSE: Something else that the Packer coaching staff needs to solve via film is the team’s pass-protection issues. Aaron Rodgers took five sacks last week, most of which were on right tackle Don Barclay, who was completely exposed by Brian Robison. Green Bay needs to give Barclay more help, and not just in this game; it can’t possibly advance to the Super Bowl with its quarterback taking nearly half-a-dozen sacks each week.

    Of course, Rodgers has proven that he can still score 34 points despite taking a beating in the backfield. He torched the Vikings last week, going 28-of-40 for 365 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions, though he did lose a fumble. And it’s not like Leslie Frazier and his staff can look at the film to make adjustments against Rodgers like Dom Capers can with Ponder, given that Rodgers was an equally lethal 27-of-35 for 286 yards, one score and a pick versus Minnesota in a Week 13 meeting. The Vikings simply have no answer for Rodgers, who will have Randall Cobb at his disposal this time. Cobb’s presence will allow Rodgers to release the ball even quicker, so chances are that he’ll be sacked on fewer occasions this week.

    The Packers will also be able to run the ball a bit to help reduce pressure. Other than a decrepit Ryan Grant, they have some no-name running backs, so this doesn’t seem like it would be feasible. However, I thought DuJuan Harris looked very solid this past Sunday. Running powerfully, he gained 70 yards on just 14 carries. The Vikings couldn’t really afford to pay attention to him because they were so focused on containing Rodgers, so look for a similar output from the 24-year-old Troy product.

    RECAP: Green Bay is my second-favorite play of the week for the following reasons:

    1. The Vikings exerted so much energy trying to get into the playoffs. Their mission was accomplished, but coming back on short rest and beating the same team again in an away venue will be extremely difficult. The Packers will make adjustments to stop Ponder.

    2. Speaking of Ponder, I already discussed his outdoor futility. The Vikings as a whole suck outside, going 8-19 against the spread in such games since 2008. It’s going to be around 20 degrees with a mild wind at kickoff that’ll make it feel like closer to zero. Not an ideal situation for a dome team.

    3. I love betting on Rodgers off a loss; he’s 12-4 against the spread following a defeat.

    I’m taking Green Bay for three units. I was hoping the spread would be -7 because of public overreaction to Minnesota winning last week, but I’m still very confident the Packers will cover the -7.5 or -8.

    SURVIVOR PICK: If your survivor pool extends to the playoffs like ours does, the Packers are the easy choice.

    FINAL THOUGHTS: I still like the Packers a lot. I’m disappointed this spread didn’t drop down to -7. It’s -8 in a lot of places, but you can get it at -7.5 at 5Dimes and BetUS.




    The Psychology. Edge: None.
    No psychological edge found.


    The Vegas. Edge: Packers.
    Slight lean on the Packers.
  • Percentage of money on Minnesota: 63% (98,000 bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  • History: Packers have won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Vikings are 8-19 ATS outdoors since 2008.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 42-23 ATS since 2009 (8-4 ATS as a favorite of 12+).
  • Aaron Rodgers is 12-4 ATS after a loss (just 5-3 ATS as a favorite of 7.5+).
  • Opening Line: Packers -9.
  • Opening Total: 46.
  • Weather: Cloudy, 20 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.


    Week 18 NFL Pick: Packers 38, Vikings 23
    Packers -7.5 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
    Over 45 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
    Survivor Pick (15-2)
    Packers 24, Vikings 10




    Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games






    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


  • Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 18 NFL Picks – Sunday Games



    NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - Feb. 21


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19


    NFL Picks - Feb. 12




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    Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.


    Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
    Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
    Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
    Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
    Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

    2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

    2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
    2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
    2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
    2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
    2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

    1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
    2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
    2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
    2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
    2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
    2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
    2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
    2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
    2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
    2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
    2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
    2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
    2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
    2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
    2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
    2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
    2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
    2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
    2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
    2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
    2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
    2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
    2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
    2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

    2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
    2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
    2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
    2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
    2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
    2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
    2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
    2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
    2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
    2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
    2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
    2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
    2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
    2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
    2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
    2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
    2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
    2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
    2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
    2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

    2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
    2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
    2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
    2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
    2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
    2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
    2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
    2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
    2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
    2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
    2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
    2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
    2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
    2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
    2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
    2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
    2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
    2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
    2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
    2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

    2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
    2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
    2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
    2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
    2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
    2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
    2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
    2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
    2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
    2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
    2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
    2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
    2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
    2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
    2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
    2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
    2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
    2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
    2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
    2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
    2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

    2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
    2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
    2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
    2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
    2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
    2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
    2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
    2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
    2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
    2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
    2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
    2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
    2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
    2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
    2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

    2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
    2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
    2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
    2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
    2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
    2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
    2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
    2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
    2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
    2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
    2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
    2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
    2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
    2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
    2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
    2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
    2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

    Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
    Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
    Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
    Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
    Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
    Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)



    My Team-by-Team ATS Record
    This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

    Cowboys: 8-9
    Bears: 11-4
    Bucs: 6-11
    49ers: 10-7
    Eagles: 7-7
    Lions: 9-8
    Falcons: 8-9
    Cardinals: 8-9
    Giants: 7-9
    Packers: 5-12
    Panthers: 8-9
    Rams: 8-9
    Redskins: 14-3
    Vikings: 6-9
    Saints: 10-7
    Seahawks: 7-9
    Bills: 9-7
    Bengals: 12-5
    Colts: 7-10
    Broncos: 9-6
    Dolphins: 6-11
    Browns: 11-5
    Jaguars: 13-4
    Chargers: 8-9
    Jets: 8-9
    Ravens: 11-6
    Texans: 5-12
    Chiefs: 5-10
    Patriots: 7-9
    Steelers: 11-6
    Titans: 9-8
    Raiders: 6-9
    Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)
    2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)
    2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)
    2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
    2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)
    2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)
    Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)
    Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

    2003 Preseason: 3 | 4 | 5
    2003 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 20 | XXXVIII
    2004 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2004 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XXXIX
    2005 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2005 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XL
    2006 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2006 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLI
    2007 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4
    2007 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLII |
    2008 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2008 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIII |
    2009 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLIV |
    2010 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2010 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLV |
    2011 Preseason: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
    2011 Season: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | XLVI |
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