NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2019

NFL Picks (Preseason 2019): 14-6 (+$1,535)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2019): 5-10-1 (-$515)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2019): 10-6 (+$140)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2019): 10-6 (+$1,365)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2019): 12-3 (+$1,240)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2019): 8-7 (+$1,665)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2019): 9-5 (+$2,505)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2019): 8-6 (+$1,130)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2019): 8-7 (+$435)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2019): 3-9-1 (-$770)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2019): 8-5 (+$1,460)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2019): 8-5-1 (-$1,790)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2019): 9-5 (+$1,015)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2019): 9-7 (+$205)

NFL Picks (2019): 121-87-3 (+$9,620)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Dec. 8, 11:30 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 14 NFL Picks – Early Games

Los Angeles Chargers (4-8) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8)
Line: Chargers by 3. Total: 42.5.
Sunday, Dec. 8, 4:05 PM

The Matchup. Edge: Chargers.

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JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: Gardner Minshew will start in favor of Nick Foles this week, which is the correct decision. Foles did not look quite like himself after returning from his broken collarbone. He was a turnover machine, so Minshew gives Jacksonville a better chance of succeeding. Plus, it’s imperative for the Jaguars to have as much film on Minshew as possible to know if they need to use an early selection on a quarterback in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Minshew, however, may not have much time in the pocket. Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram have terrific matchups against his two poor tackles. Minshew will be able to use his mobility to buy himself time, which is one of the reasons Doug Marrone said he made the change. Minshew will escape from pressure, and he’ll be able to find some of his talented receivers against a Charger cornerback group that hasn’t performed well this year, aside from Casey Hayward. That said, Minshew’s matchup will be more difficult than it would’ve been a couple of weeks ago, as Derwin James returned to action last week.

Minshew will be able to lean on Leonard Fournette, which will help. The Chargers have been poor against the run this year, and their slow linebacking corps figures to have trouble with Fournette in space.

SAN ANGELES OFFENSE: Speaking of struggling against the run, the Jaguars are anemic in that department. They’ve been trampled by numerous running backs this season, which bodes very well for Melvin Gordon, who nearly reached the century mark in a tougher matchup last week.

Gordon’s output will largely depend on the availability of Myles Jack. The former UCLA product hasn’t performed well this year, but he’s far better than everyone else the Jaguars have at the position on the active roster, so his potential return would have a huge impact on Jacksonville’s ability to stop the Chargers’ offense.

The Jaguars are better against the pass than the run, but they’re not nearly as great in that department as they were when Jalen Ramsey was on the roster. A.J. Bouye isn’t exactly a No. 1 cornerback, while the safeties have been poor all year. Rivers should have success in this game, though some drives will stall because his pedestrian offensive line won’t hold up against Calais Campbell and the rest of Jacksonville’s pass rush.

RECAP: I plan on betting the Jaguars this week, and my unit count will depend on injuries (mostly Jack). Jacksonville satisfies three pillars of my handicapping, including the spread. For some reason, the Chargers are three-point favorites when this was pick ’em on the Westgate advance line. The DVOA numbers also say this should be a pick ’em. My own numbers say that San Angeles -3 is too high as well.

If the Chargers were extremely motivated to win this game, perhaps they could cover. However, where’s the motivation going to come from? Last week’s loss at Denver basically eliminated the Chargers from the playoffs, so I don’t see why they would have the incentive to play hard against a non-rival after a flight across the country. Conversely, the Jaguars have been lethargic lately, but the players seem to sincerely like Minshew, so I think they’ll try harder for him.

If you need another reason to bet the Jaguars, just look at the public action. This dreadful Charger squad is currently bet at a two-thirds clip despite being three-point favorites. This isn’t quite as terrible as the public wagering heavily on Jeff Driskel as a four-point road favorite, but it’s still pretty bad.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Myles Jack is out, which is a bummer. The unit count won’t reach four as a result, but I still really like the Jaguars at +3. I just don’t see the incentive for the Chargers to try hard in this game.

SATURDAY NOTES: There aren’t any injury surprises outside of Myles Jack. The Jaguars are still a solid play, in my opinion.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: The juice keeps rising on this game, and Pinnacle is even begging for Jacksonville money, listing a +3.5 spread. This has me worried about the Jaguars, given that so much sharp money is on the Chargers. This may end up being a two-unit wager.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharp action continues to come in on the Chargers, but I like the home dog. Jacksonville is available at +3.5 in some books, with the juice being -115 at 5Dimes and FanDuel. Heritage has -113 listed, so I’ll bet two units there.

The Motivation. Edge: Jaguars.

The Chargers were effectively eliminated from the playoffs with their loss to Denver, so it’s hard to see them showing up.

The Spread. Edge: Jaguars.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Chargers -2.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Pick.
Computer Model: Chargers -4.
DVOA Spread: Pick.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Plenty of action on the Chargers early, but it’s evened out.

Percentage of money on San Angeles: 53% (8,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chargers.

Jaguars are 43-76 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.

Opening Line: Chargers -1.

Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 63 degrees. Light wind.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Jaguars 20, Chargers 17
Jaguars +3.5 -113 (2 Units) – Heritage — Incorrect; -$225
Under 42.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Chargers 45, Jaguars 10

Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) at New England Patriots (10-2)
Line: Patriots by 3. Total: 49.5.
Sunday, Dec. 8, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: Patriots.

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NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: Tom Brady is done. He’s finished. His career is over. He should just retire now. Like, right now. Not even at the end of the season. He needs to stop playing football at this very moment.

That’s not my opinion. That’s what everyone in the media is saying about Brady after this latest performance against the Texans. I don’t understand why everyone ignores the fact that his receivers ran wrong routes and dropped passes. The Texans double-teamed Julian Edelman, so Brady didn’t really have anywhere to go with the football. I don’t know if the Chiefs will utilize this strategy, but they should, as they happen to be weak in the slot. Their pass defense has improved elsewhere though.

The Chiefs, however, can be beaten against the run. The Raiders weren’t able to exploit this liability, thanks to their large deficit. It’s unlikely that the Patriots will be down big, so Bill Belichick will use his strategy of exploiting weaknesses by pounding the ball effectively with Sony Michel, whom I expect to have a huge performance.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: The Patriots’ defense looked great in the first half of the season, but struggled to stop Deshaun Watson last week. I imagine that half the defense being bothered by the flu had something to do with it, but I’m not a doctor, or anything.

I expect a better showing from New England’s this week, even against Patrick Mahomes. There’s no doubting Mahomes’ talent, but he had some very sloppy throws last week and was very fortunate to get away with not hurling multiple interceptions. I imagine Belichick is watching this and telling his defensive players when they can capitalize on a potential Mahomes mistake. Meanwhile, the Patriots’ pass rush should be able to get to Mahomes, as the left side of the offensive line isn’t playing particularly well.

Of course, the Chiefs will score a good number of points. It’s impossible to stop their talent, particularly Tyreek Hill, who can break a long touchdown every time he touches the ball. It’ll be about the Patriots finding the opportunities to capitalize on some errors, which I expect them to do.

RECAP: To those, particularly on Facebook (Mark, Chris and Danny) who guessed that this is my December NFL Pick of the Month, you are correct! I will be betting eight units on the Patriots.

I hear ludicrous things on ESPN all the time, but this was particularly appalling. Prior to the Monday night game, Suzy Kolber asked the panel, “Can the Patriots beat the Chiefs this week?” Can the Patriots beat the Chiefs this week? CAN THE PATRIOTS BEAT THE CHIEFS THIS WEEK? Umm… THE PATRIOTS ARE FAVORED AGAINST THE CHIEFS, YOU DOLT! I don’t understand how people who are paid six and seven figures to be on TV can say and ask so many stupid things. It’s unbelievable.

I’m thankful for it, though. The stupid ESPN mentality brainwashes the public into making dumb betting decisions, and we have a classic example of that in this game. Casual bettors are pounding the Chiefs, which is insane to me. Have people forgotten how often Brady wins when he’s pissed as a result of everyone doubting him? Brady is 41-19 against the spread off a loss in his career, and those numbers improve to 35-8 ATS when he’s not favored by seven points or more.

Furthermore, this spread is not correct. The advance line had New England favored by 3.5, so it dropped across the most-prominent key number of three, based on a loss at Houston? Really? The Patriots lost at Jacksonville, Detroit, Miami and Tennessee last year, and yet they went on to win the Super Bowl, so this latest defeat is not a big deal. New England suffered a defeat against the Texans in which half the roster had to fly on a separate plane because they were dealing with the flu! I think the 10-2 Patriots are just fine.

Everything else indicates this spread is incorrect as well. My numbers say New England -4.5 is correct. The computer projects -4. DVOA thinks -3.5 is right. Thus, we’re getting some great spread value with the Patriots, which is not a common occurrence! Bettors usually have to pay a premium to gamble on the Patriots, but the opposite is happening in this case.

If all of that is not enough, this game means more to the Patriots than the Chiefs. New England is looking to redeem itself and prove everyone wrong, and it also is playing for the No. 1 seed. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have locked up the AFC West and are stuck in the No. 3 or 4 seed. I think Andy Reid knows this, so I don’t expect him to go all out to defeat New England. I’m sure he’ll save whatever tricks he has up his sleeve for the inevitable playoff meeting.

This is a no-brainer eight-unit selection. Go Patriots.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Ugh, I was thinking about locking in a -3 -105 I saw on Wednesday, but I wanted to wait one more day to see a better injury report, since the Wednesday reports are usually worthless. Unfortunately, the juice is now at -125 in most places. I’m going to be patient and look for a better price, but I’m well aware that the sharps may push this up to -3.5, so I may lock in -3 -120 or so.

SATURDAY NOTES: Frank Clark might be out after missing practice Thursday and Friday, which is obviously great news. The juice on this game has dropped down to -110, so I’m hoping we can find a -105 of some sort.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: This line is -3 -110 everywhere, though Heritage has -108 listed. I’m going to wait for a potential better line/juice.

FINAL THOUGHTS: This spread is still -3 -110 everywhere, save for Heritage, where it’s -3 -108. I love the Patriots, so hopefully they won’t get screwed by the officials like the Saints are today.

The Motivation. Edge: Patriots.

Have you watched ESPN or NFL Network? Everyone is doubting Tom Brady. You know what thay means…

The Spread. Edge: Patriots.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Patriots -4.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Patriots -3.5.
Computer Model: Patriots -3.
DVOA Spread: Patriots -3.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Patriots.
The Chiefs are a public dog.

Percentage of money on Kansas City: 57% (23,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Andy Reid is 5-13 ATS two weeks after the bye.

Patriots are 41-18 ATS in December & January home games since 2000.

Tom Brady is 245-75 as a starter (182-124 ATS).

Tom Brady is 41-19 ATS off a loss (6-11 ATS as -7 or more).

Opening Line: Patriots -3.5.

Opening Total: 50.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 33 degrees. Light wind.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Patriots 27, Chiefs 20
Patriots -3 -108 (8 Units – NFL December Pick of the Month) – Heritage — Incorrect; -$865
Under 49.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Chiefs 23, Patriots 16

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) at Arizona Cardinals (3-8-1)
Line: Steelers by 2.5. Total: 43.5.
Sunday, Dec. 8, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: Steelers.

Emmitt on the Brink Season 12 continues. Emmitt meets with Emmitt Snow Jr.’s murderer, Thornin Yourside. Meanwhile, a young, hotshot congressman threatens to remove Emmitt as commissioner.

ARIZONA OFFENSE: I was shocked to see what happened to the Cardinals last week. All of the numbers said that they were even with the Cardinals, and yet Los Angeles dismantled them. Kyler Murray had no chance behind his offensive line. The group improved in recent weeks, but looked helpless to block Aaron Donald and company.

The Steelers have a stellar defensive front as well. Given what happened to the Cardinals’ line last week, I must believe that the same thing will occur in this contest. We’ve seen how Murray plays when he’s pressured very heavily, and it’s not pretty. Pittsurgh’s play-making secondary could come away with some turnovers if Murray is forced into panicking under heavy pressure again.

One way the Steelers can be beaten defensively is by using a receiving back to exploit their linebackers. The Cardinals are certainly capable of doing that, so they should try their hardest to get Kenyan Drake and David Johnson in space.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Duck Hodges won his second start last week, though it didn’t seem as though the coaching staff was very confident in him to begin the afternoon. Hodges barely attempted a forward pass until the second quarter, but that’s when he began being way more aggressive. He took numerous downfield shots and had success completing a couple of bombs to James Washington.

I wonder if this will prompt the Cardinals to have Patrick Peterson shadow Washington. Of course, this won’t be possible if JuJu Smith-Schuster returns from his injuries. If so, Peterson will deal with Smith-Schuster, allowing Washington to get open against a dreadful secondary that was helpless to stop Robert Woods last week. Dionate Johnson should have a nice game as well, and the same can be said for Vance McDonald, given Arizona’s utter incompetence when it comes to covering tight ends.

The Cardinals are at least better at stopping the run than the pass. There’s a chance James Conner will return this week, though Benny Snell and Jaylen Samuels have performed well in his absence.

RECAP: There are a couple of things that are benefiting the Cardinals in this game. First, is the line movement. The advance spread was Pittsburgh -1, but the number has ballooned two points, hitting the key number of three. Second, close to 70 percent of the betting action is on the Steelers.

However, I don’t think I can bet the Cardinals based on what transpired last week. Everyone’s numbers could be incorrect regarding them, given how easily the Rams dispatched them. It’s worth noting that the Steelers might be a bit flat after their victory over the Browns, but with plenty of fans in the stands, the Steelers shouldn’t have much of a motivational disadvantage.

Ultimately, I’m going to pick the Cardinals to cover, but the Steelers to win. Perhaps the advance line of Pittsburgh -1 was right on the money.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: This juice is trending toward pushing the spread to +3. At that number, I may have to look into the Cardinals as a low-unit play. I don’t think Devlin Hodges should be a field goal favorite on the road.

SATURDAY NOTES: Some Arizona players have popped up on the injury report with an illness, so I wonder if the flu is going around. Perhaps that would explain their dreadful performance last week because I haven’t been able to come up with any answers myself.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: There is a very low chance we’ll see a +3 of some sort, but maybe if the public pounds the Steelers heavily. We’ll see. I doubt I’m betting this game, but I’ll have interest in Arizona at +3.

FINAL THOUGHTS: This spread has risen to +2.5 in some books, but that’s not enough for me to bet the Cardinals.

The Motivation. Edge: None.
Following a statement victory over the Browns, the Steelers are receiving lots of accolades. Next week, they have a flexed-in battle versus Buffalo on Sunday night. However, there could be lots of Steeler fans in the stands, which will hurt Arizona.

The Spread. Edge: Cardinals.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Steelers -1.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Cardinals -1.5.
Computer Model: Steelers -3.
DVOA Spread: Pick.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 55% (11,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.

Steelers are 26-15 ATS on the road off a home division win the previous 41 instances.

Steelers are 24-41 ATS as road favorites since 2007.

Steelers are 12-28 ATS as road favorites coming off a win under Mike Tomlin.

Cardinals are 29-18 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Cardinals are 36-22 ATS at home as underdogs or favorites of less than -3 since 2007.

Opening Line: Steelers -2.5.

Opening Total: 43.

Weather: Dome.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Steelers 17, Cardinals 16
Cardinals +2.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 43.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Steelers 23, Cardinals 17

Tennessee Titans (7-5) at Oakland Raiders (6-6)
Line: Titans by 3. Total: 47.
Sunday, Dec. 8, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: None.

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OAKLAND OFFENSE: Derek Carr has been awful the past two weeks, struggling mightily against the Chiefs and Jets, but this seems like a get-right game for him. He’ll be in friendlier and potentially less-windy conditions, and he’ll battle a defense with a suddenly injury-ravaged secondary.

The Titans, already missing Malcolm Butler and his direct backup, lost Adoree Jackson to injury this past week as well. The Colts couldn’t take advantage of this because T.Y. Hilton was out and Chester Rogers got hurt early in the afternoon, but the Raiders have Tyrell Williams, who has abused positive matchups this season. Darren Waller also figures to perform well, as Tennessee hasn’t been able to stop tight ends this year.

The Raiders would love to establish the run with Josh Jacobs, but that’ll be more difficult to do. The Titans are stellar against the run, so they match up well against Jacobs. Still, Jacobs is so talented that he figures to have some quality runs to aid Carr.

TENNESSEE OFFENSE: These teams mirror each other, as the Raiders’ defense has the same flaws as the Titans. Oakland, like Tennessee, has some injury woes in the secondary, so that should allow Ryan Tannehill to have some effective, deep passes to his young, talented receivers. The Raiders’ pass rush normally isn’t as strong, but the Titans are missing Cameron Wake, so these two aspects can be comparable.

Tannehill, like Carr, is a flawed passer. Both need the running game to be effective to thrive unless they’re in overly positive matchups. The question is whether Derrick Henry will be able to continue to trample the opposition, just as he’s done the past couple of weeks. The Raiders have a strong run defense, but like I said with Jacobs, talent might trump the matchup in this instance. Henry had a tough battle against a strong Indianapolis run defense last week, and while the Colts held Henry in check on most drives, Henry was still able to break free for a significant run, especially on his fourth-down conversion that turned into a touchdown.

Assuming I’m right, Tannehill should be able to take advantage of this with most play-action bootlegs. Tannehill figures to have success when doing this, given the state of Oakland’s secondary.

RECAP: We’ve seen the public back some bizarre road favorites recently. I’ve mentioned Jeff Driskel receiving tons of money as a four-point road favorite ad nauseum. There was also an odd instance on Thanksgiving when casual bettord threw their cash on Mitchell Trubisky when the line crossed -3 and even -4.

I think this is another bizarre betting trend, though it’s not as bad as the previous two examples. Still, I never imagined I’d see the public backing Tannehill as a three-point road favorite. Most of Tannehill’s success this season has come at home. His two road games since taking over as the starting quarterback were a blowout loss at Carolina and a victory at Indianapolis, aided by a blocked field goal returned for a touchdown when the Colts looked like they were going to take the lead in the fourth quarter.

Not only is the public backing Tannehill like this, they’re also gambling heavily on bad line value. The advance spread was Tennessee -1, yet this number moved up two points based on just one week’s worth of action. Various metrics say this line is incorrect as well. My numbers have Oakland -2 being the right number, while DVOA believes this should be pick ’em.

Furthermore, this is a potential flat spot for the Titans. They’re coming off a big win versus a divisional opponent they never beat. Next week, they’ll be battling the Texans for the division. Meanwhile, the Raiders must win this game, or they’ll be eliminated from the playoffs.

A game like this would ordinarily be my top play of the week. This is a special instance because I love the Patriots and Saints more, but the Raiders are still a fantastic wager at +3. This is a five-unit selection.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The sharps have jumped on the Raiders, pushing this line down to +2.5 in most books. Once I see a Thursday injury report later in the day, I may lock in the Raiders before the line falls to +2.5 everywhere.

SATURDAY NOTES: It’s a bummer that Trent Brown won’t play, and there’s a chance Josh Jacobs won’t suit up either. I like that the Titans will be missing two starting cornerbacks, but the diminished running game could hurt Oakland. Still, I like the Raiders a lot as long as you can get +3. It’s more dicey at +2.5, which is why I didn’t select them in the Supercontest. If Jacobs is out, I’ll likely drop this unit count to four, even at +3.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: The sharps have pounded the Raiders, so I wonder if some of the professionals know that Josh Jacobs will play. Let’s hope we get a clean +3 later in the day; otherwise, I’ll have a lesser unit count.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Josh Jacobs and Trent Brown are both out, which is a bummer. I don’t know why the sharps bet the Raiders earlier, but there hasn’t been much action tilted to either side since. Bookmaker has the best line, which is +3 -118. I’ll bet that for three units.

The Motivation. Edge: Raiders.

This game is sandwiched in between two divisional battles for Tennessee. The Titans battle the Texans next week. Meanwhile, the Raiders are basically on life support.

The Spread. Edge: Raiders.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Raiders -2.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Titans -1.
Computer Model: Titans -4.
DVOA Spread: Pick.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Ryan Tannehill is a publicly backed road favorite.

Percentage of money on Tennessee: 59% (12,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Titans -1.

Opening Total: 46.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 59 degrees. Light wind.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Raiders 23, Titans 20
Raiders +3 -118 (3 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$355
Raiders +140 (0.5 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$50
Under 47 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Titans 42, Raiders 21

Seattle Seahawks (10-2) at Los Angeles Rams (7-5)
Line: Rams by 1. Total: 47.
Sunday, Dec. 8, 8:20 PM

The Matchup. Edge: Seahawks.

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LOS ANGELES OFFENSE: The Rams’ scoring unit has been very inconsistent this year, though predictably so for the most part. Their offensive line has been the worst blocking group in the NFL this year, so the Rams have thrived when the opposing team hasn’t been able to pressure Jared Goff very much. Conversely, Goff has struggled when under heavy heat.

Goff had one of his great games the last time he played the Seahawks. He went 29-of-49 for 395 yards, one touchdown and an interception in a Week 5 Thursday night affair. However, the Seahawks’ defensive line is doing a better job of generating pressure now. Jadeveon Clowney has rounded into shape, while Ezekiel Ansah is healthy. They should be able to rattle Goff enough to force him into mistakes, as he throws into an improved secondary that has been aided by the addition of former Lions safety Quandre Diggs.

The Seahawks are much better against the run than the pass, so I wouldn’t expect much from Todd Gurley. The hobbled running back scored twice in that Week 5 matchup, but was restricted to just 51 yards on 15 carries.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: I mentioned that Goff will be battling a better defense than he did back in Week 5. The same applies to Russell Wilson, whose matchup is far more difficult this time. That, of course, is because of Jalen Ramsey, who will be able to shut down one of his weapons, presumably Tyler Lockett.

This would affect most quarterbacks, but Wilson spreads the ball around very effectively. He barely even targeted Lockett in the victory over the Vikings on Monday night, as Lockett finished with zero receptions. Wilson will pepper numerous teammates with multiple targets, and he’ll be able to buy himself time in the pocket with his trademark mobility.

Like the Rams, the Seahawks won’t be able to run the ball very well. Los Angeles is terrific versus the rush, so Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny won’t have terrific showings like they did Monday night versus Minnesota.

RECAP: The Seahawks might just be the luckiest team in NFL history. No, really. Despite being 10-2, they’ve outscored the opposition by just 36 points this year. Per R.J. Bell, they’re the first team in NFL history to win their first 12 games by not outscoring their opposition by more than three points per game.

I’d like to fade the Seahawks again – probably losing more money while doing so – but that would require me to take the Rams, whom I’m not a fan of either. Los Angeles’ offensive line is a train wreck, so this is something the Seahawks should be able to take advantage of.

Seattle is the lesser of two evils here, and I have to admit that it’ll be nice not to fade Wilson in primetime for once. Also, it’s worth noting that the Seahawks should have plenty of fans in the stands, given that Los Angeles doesn’t care about professional football. What a good idea to put teams in that poop-filled city!

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The sharps have been betting the Rams, but I’m not sure I agree with them here. I’m done betting against Russell Wilson in primetime.

SATURDAY NOTES: I can’t see myself betting this game. The Rams look like the right play until you remember that Russell Wilson will probably find a way to win the game somehow.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: The Rams are now favored, thanks to sharp action. This means the Seahawks are a public dog. It’s tempting to switch sides, but I’ll stick with Russell Wilson.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’ve reached the point where I’m wondering if the NFL officials met and conspired to bet against all of my picks. From the N’Keal Harry non-touchdown, to the Travis Kelce fumble blown dead, to the non-pass interference in the Saints game, to the bogus personal foul penalty on Kyle Juszczyk, to the pass interference overturned in the Browns-Bengals game, this day has been marred by ridiculous bad calls against me. I’m too tilted to bet this game, but I’ll be rooting for the Seahawks because three of the five people ahead of me in the Supercontest Gold contest have the Rams. If you want to bet Seattle, get them at +1 -105 at Bookmaker.

The Motivation. Edge: Seahawks.

There will be plenty of Seahawks fans in the stands.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Seahawks -2.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Seahawks -3.
Computer Model: Rams -2.
DVOA Spread: Rams -1.

The Vegas. Edge: Rams.

An easy bet for the public.

Percentage of money on Seattle: 65% (50,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.

History: Rams have won 7 of the last 11 meetings.

Seahawks are 31-14 ATS in Week 11 or later since 2013.

Russell Wilson is 19-7 ATS in night games.

Opening Line: Seahawks -2.5.

Opening Total: 46.5.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 59 degrees. Light wind.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Seahawks 23, Rams 20
Seahawks +1 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 47 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Rams 28, Seahawks 12

New York Giants (2-10) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7)
Line: Eagles by 10. Total: 45.5.
Monday, Dec. 9, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: None.

This week on ESPN, we’re going to have awful announcers calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Dan Fouts and Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the great city of Philadelphia, the greatest city in the world, the wonderful city of Philadelphia, where my great Philadelphia Eagles will take on Sheli Manning and the New York Va-Giants! Guys, I want to take a break from impeaching Herm and Charles Davis because my Philadelphia Eagles are playing. They will surely beat the Va-Giants and Sheli Manning, right!?

Emmitt: Benny, I real confusion. And not just real confusion, but confusion, too, as well. I thinks the Giant implace Sheli Manning with Shedaniel Jones, but I do not follow most team in the National Conference of Football even though I am a football analysis.

Reilly: Emmitt, I don’t know who Shedaniel Jones is, but he’s probably better than Sheli Manning, the quarterback of the Vagiants!

Tollefson: Kevin, I’ve underestimated you. You’re real smart. Sheli Manning and the Vagiants sounds like something we could market together. Let’s sell some t-shirts! I can have my slave women model them, and we could split the profits 90-10, with me getting 90 and you getting zero, I mean 10.

Reilly: Tolly, Mother said I need a permission slip from her if I’m ever to engage in business practices, so please give me something for her to sign before we move on with our venture.

Jason Witten: Hello, my name is Jason Witten and I just came out of retirement. Guys, I just heard something about business practices. Business practices are like football practices, because they’re practices. Except, instead of doing football in those practices, you do business in those practices. Because they’re business practices and not football practices. Because that’s the difference. The difference is football and business, but not practices.

Reilly: Oh wow, I learned so much from what you just said. Anyway, I’m real confident my Eagles will beat the Vagiants, but I have a fail safe. If the Eagles were to lose, I set up the Vagiants the bomb by planting a bomb beneath their sidelines so that my Eagles will win no matter what!

Fouts: And here’s what he means by planting a bomb. Usually, when you’re a farmer, you plant a plant in the ground by putting the plant in the ground and then watering the plant and putting plant food on the plant to make it grow faster. Planting a bomb is a little different. When you plant a bomb, you plant a bomb in the ground by putting the bomb in the ground and then watering the bomb and putting bomb food on the bomb to make it grow faster.

Wolfley: DAN, I HAVE TO SAY THAT I AM VERY IMPRESSED. YOUR KNOWLEDGE OF PLANTING BOMBS IS STELLAR. MY BROTHER WAS A PROFESSIONAL PLANT BOMBER IN MY PARALLEL UNIVERSE, EXCEPT THE BOMBS HE PLANTED HAD MOUSE EARS ON THEM.

Reilly: You idiots, nothing you’re saying is right! I didn’t water the bomb. You don’t need to water bombs! Tell them, New Daddy! Tell them you don’t need to water bombs!

Cutler: I’ll take a bottle of water, thanks.

Reilly: I didn’t say bottles of water, New Daddy! Why won’t you ever show interest in my hobbies, like blowing up opponents of the Eagles, like Sheli Manning’s Vagiants!?

Herm: NOT THE VAGIANTS! JUST THE GIANTS! NO VA! NO VA INCLUDES! VA STANDS FOR VIRGINIA! THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH GIANTS, BUT JUST WANTED TO POINT THAT OUT! JUST WANTED TO-! JUST WANTED-! JUST-! UHH! Umm…

Reilly: Maybe I should have put a bomb under Herm’s chair!

Charles Davis: Kevin, you’re talking about bombs, Kevin. Let’s discuss types of bombs, Kevin. Let’s begin with Type 76, Kevin. What about Type 80, Kevin? How about we delve into Type 3, Kevin? How about atomic bombs, Kevin? Can you name another type of bomb, Kevin?

Reilly: No! I can’t! But I will blow you up if I can’t impeach you!

Charles Davis: I have my doubts, Kevin. Sounds like you’ll fail, Kevin. And I have a trick up my sleeve, Kevin. I can guarantee you won’t impeach me, Kevin. And I will have the last laugh, Kevin. Hahaha, Kevin. That’s what it’ll sound like, Kevin.

Reilly: WE’LL SEE, A**HOLE! I WILL MAKE YOU PAY WHEN I IMPEACH YOU, CHARLES DAVIS, EVEN IF IT’S THE LAST THING I DO! We’ll be back after this!

PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: Carson Wentz performed poorly heading into Week 13, but that was understandable. Wentz was missing three receivers and two offensive linemen the week before. His blocking was awful, while his receivers weren’t running correct routes. The result was a disastrous performance at home against Seattle.

Everyone but DeSean Jackson returned against Miami, and the results were predictable. Wentz still missed some throws he should’ve hit, but was able to lead the Eagles on numerous scoring drives. Playing the inept Dolphins helped, but it’s not like Wentz has a tougher matchup in this contest. The Giants have an atrocious defense with a poor secondary and no pass rush to speak of.

While Wentz figures to have another great game, the same can’t be said of Miles Sanders, at least on the ground. New York has improved versus the run ever since acquiring Leonard Williams. Sanders could, at least, have success against the pedestrian Giant linebackers as a receiver out of the backfield.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: Philadelphia’s defense carried the team versus the Patriots and Eagles, but was a complete no-show against the Dolphins. Following a hot start, they were torched mercilessly by Ryan Fitzpatrick and DeVante Parker, of all quarterback-receiver pairings. Tom Brady and Julian Edelman, and Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett couldn’t do it, but that was no problem for Fitzpatrick and Parker.

It’s currently unclear who the quarterback will be for the Giants in this game. Daniel Jones suffered an ankle injury this past week. It sounds like he might suit up, but that’s currently unclear. Whether it’s Jones or Sheli, I mean, Eli Manning, the Giants figure to have success throwing against the Eagles, whose secondary was anemic last week. With Golden Tate and Evan Engram due back, the Giants’ aerial attack shouldn’t have any issues moving the chains.

Saquon Barkley, on the other hand, could continue to struggle. Barkley might have a big play or two, but he hasn’t quite been himself since suffering an ankle injury in Tampa. The Eagles are stout against the run, so Barkley will have to do his damage as a receiver out of the backfield.

RECAP: These games are typically close. Excluding a Thursday night affair last year – those typically benefit the superior squad – check out the margins of victory in the rivalry since 2015: 3, 3, 5, 5, 5, 5. I get the feeling this will be another close battle. The Eagles are not playing good football right now, while the Giants could treat this game as their “Super Bowl.”

I’d bet the Giants heavily under normal circumstances, but it concerns me that Jones might not be 100 percent. His injury could hinder him, so I’m going to limit this to a one- or two-unit wager at the very most.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Daniel Jones is out, so Eli Manning will start. I like the Giants more now, as my one hangup with Jones was that he was injured. Manning is obviously a smarter passer, and he has a great matchup against Philadelphia’s awful secondary. This should be a tight game, as most Eagles-Giants games are. The spread has risen to +10 in some books, which makes the Giants even more appealing.

SATURDAY NOTES: Go, Eli, go! I’m going to bet two or three units on the Giants. It’ll probably be three if we get +10 -110 or better, but we’ll see how I feel about this come Monday evening.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: It looks like some sharp action bet the Giants at +10, but not at anything less.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I was about to say that there was a bit of sharp action on the Giants at +10 and +9.5, but Pinnacle just moved this line back up to -9.5, so it appears as though the pros are conflicted. I still like the Giants for a couple of units. The thought occurred to me to increase my unit count to help recover from Sunday’s bloodbath, but chasing is never a good strategy. The best spread for the Giants outside of Pinnacle is +9.5 -105 at Bookmaker.

The Motivation. Edge: Giants.

This might just be the Giants’ “Super Bowl.”

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Eagles -10.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Eagles -8.
Computer Model: Eagles -10.
DVOA Spread: Eagles -11.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on New York: 52% (43,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Eagles.

History: Road Team has won 15 of the last 24 meetings.

History: Eagles have won 19 the last 22 meetings.

Doug Pederson is 12-8 ATS with extra time to prepare.

Opening Line: Eagles -8.5.

Opening Total: 46.5.

Weather: Light rain, 58 degrees. Mild wind, 15 mph.

Week 14 NFL Pick: Eagles 30, Giants 24
Giants +9 -105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker
Over 45.5 (0 Units)

week 14 NFL Picks – Early Games
Cowboys at Bears, Panthers at Falcons, Ravens at Bills, Bengals at Browns, Redskins at Packers, Lions at Vikings, 49ers at Saints, Dolphins at Jets, Colts at Buccaneers, Broncos at Texans

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Moneyline: Bengals +270 (0.5 Units) – Bookmaker

Moneyline: Dolphins +190 (0.5 Units) – Bookmaker/5Dimes

Moneyline: Raiders +140 (0.5 Units) – Bookmaker

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 23

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)