NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2009

NFL Picks (Preseason 2009): 8-7-2 (+$130)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2009): 9-7 (+$285)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2009): 10-6 (+$1,860)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2009): 13-3 (+$2,095)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2009): 10-4 (+$2,040)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2009): 8-6 (+$895)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2009): 5-9 (-$730)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2009): 5-7-1 (-$1,010)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2009): 7-6 (-$390)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2009): 9-4 (+$1,120)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2009): 7-7-1 (+$15)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2009): 9-6-1 (+$700)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2009): 10-6 (+$1,300)

NFL Picks (2009): 110-78-5 (+$8,310)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Dec. 7, 4:30 p.m. ET.

Go to Week 13 NFL Picks – Early Games

San Diego Chargers (8-3) at Cleveland Browns (1-10)
Line: Chargers by 13.5. Total: 42.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 12): Chargers -9.5.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 12): Chargers -10.5.

Sunday, 4:05 ET

The Game. Edge: Chargers.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

It’s a new month, so you have another chance to win in our picking contest. If you don’t know what I’m talking about, we are now running a NFL Picking Contest on our sister site, DraftDebacled.com. It’s free to enter, and there are monthly prizes ($75 for the winner, $25 for second place), so click on the link to sign up.

Also, a few reminders:

There will be a 2010 NFL Mock Draft update on Thursday.

I’ll also have Week 13 Fantasy Weekly Rankings for you on WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

And finally, there are 15 people still alive in the survivor pool. Make sure you get your picks in by noon Eastern on Sunday.

SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: The one thing the Browns still had going for them was Shaun Rogers. Rogers constantly dominated the interior of the line of scrimmage. A few weeks ago, he caused havoc for the Ravens, who had trouble moving the chains against Cleveland.

Rogers is out for the year with an Achilles injury. Now, a defense that is already horrific has gotten a lot worse.

The Chargers won’t have any problem scoring in this game. The Browns surrender 400-yard passing games to Matthew Stafford, and they’ve given up at least 100 rushing yards to everyone they’ve played this season with the exception of Detroit.

CLEVELAND OFFENSE: Take away a fluky Detroit shootout, and the Browns have scored just six offensive touchdowns in the past 16 games. Can you imagine a team going a full season and scoring just six times? That’s really embarrassing.

There’s simply no talent on this offense. The Browns can’t run the ball because their offensive line isn’t very good and their running backs are terrible. They can’t pass because Brady Quinn’s downfield accuracy is abysmal, and he has no one to throw it to anyway.

San Diego has improved a lot defensively during its six-game winning streak. Cleveland’s offensive ineptness will continue.

RECAP: If the Browns were semi-competent, I’d have them cover this large spread. The Chargers are in a tough spot because they have the Cowboys and Bengals after this easy, cross-country game.

However, Cleveland is one of the worst teams I’ve ever seen. I figure the most they could possibly score here is 10 points, so the Chargers need just 23 to cover. They should be able to get that easily, especially without Rogers in the lineup.

The Psychology. Edge: Browns.

Obvious Breather Alert for the Chargers. They have the Cowboys and Bengals after this easy contest. The Browns might also be on an emotional low after battling tough against rival Cincinnati and coming up short.

The Vegas. Edge: Browns.

Who would bet on the Browns right now?

Percentage of money on San Diego: 94% (137,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chargers.

Browns are 6-13 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Opening Line: Chargers -13.

Opening Total: 43.

Weather: Cloudy, 34 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 13 NFL Pick: Chargers 41, Browns 6
Chargers -13.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Over 42.5 (0 Units) — Correct; +$0
Chargers 30, Browns 23

San Francisco 49ers (5-6) at Seattle Seahawks (4-7)
Line: 49ers by 1.5. Total: 41.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 12): Seahawks -3.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 12): Seahawks -3.

Sunday, 4:15 ET

The Game. Edge: None.
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

With the 2009 NFL Season underway, I’ll be posting my Jerks of the Week on Wednesdays because I’ll be tied up on Sundays. Jerks of the Week for Nov. 30, 2009 are up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks are: 1) Major League Soccer. 2) Bipolar Driver. 3) Goggles Man.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: Matt Hasselbeck was confused. That’s why he went just 14-of-25 for 102 yards against the Rams. Hasselbeck is so used to getting knocked around that when he was sacked only once at St. Louis, he didn’t know what was going on.

Sean Locklear’s return to the lineup has really helped Hasselbeck’s pass protection. Locklear hasn’t allowed a single sack this year, and that streak should continue against a 49ers defense that doesn’t get much pressure on the quarterback (19 sacks on the year before last week).

San Francisco does stop the run relatively well – they’ve allowed only two 100-yard rushing games in the past six weeks – so don’t expect another huge game on the ground from Justin Forsett. However, Forsett should have a decent performance catching balls out of the backfield. I also expect Hasselbeck to rebound and torch a poor 49ers secondary.

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: Last week’s game against the Rams marked the first time since Oct. 11 that the Seahawks hadn’t allowed 20 or more points to the opponent.

As you can tell, it’s been rough times for Seattle. The defense has given up five straight 100-yard rushing performances, while the secondary has held only one opponent to less than 249 passing yards since Oct. 11.

All the numbers point to Frank Gore rebounding against the Seahawks, but if the 49ers continue to play in their shotgun spread formation, Gore won’t have a big game. The reason teams don’t use the shotgun spread is because it really limits the ground attack.

That said, the 49ers should still be able to move the chains consistently at Seattle. The secondary is that bad, and the pass rush sometimes doesn’t show up (22 sacks on the year before the Rams win).

RECAP: I completely disagree with this line. Vegas is telling us that the 49ers are three points better than the Seahawks. I don’t understand what that is based on. Sure, San Francisco beat the Jaguars by 17, but Seattle dismantled Jacksonville more impressively, 41-0.

Neither of these teams are very good, but the Seahawks still have a great homefield advantage. With Hasselbeck under center, they are 3-1 at Qwest Field this year, losing only to Arizona. They also own this rivalry, having won nine of the past 13 meetings.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No pyschological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Seahawks.

I’m a bit surprised that the action is this lopsided here.

Percentage of money on San Francisco: 71% (100,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.

History: Seahawks have won 9 of the last 13 meetings.

Boomerang Game: Teams returning home from a three-game road trip are 12-16 ATS since 2000.

Seahawks are 11-3 ATS as home favorites since 2007.

Opening Line: Seahawks -1.

Opening Total: 41.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 39 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 13 NFL Pick: Seahawks 20, 49ers 10
Seahawks +1.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Under 41.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Seahawks 20, 49ers 17

Dallas Cowboys (8-3) at New York Giants (6-5)
Line: Cowboys by 1.5. Total: 45.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 12): Giants -3.

Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 12): Giants -3.

Sunday, 4:15 ET

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

My e-mail address is published on this site, so I tend to get more spam and junk mail than the average person. Each week, I’m going to find a hilarious e-mail and post it for your entertainment. Here is this week’s edition:

Hello,

My name is Smith. I’m interested in your lesson.

I would like you to be taking my daughter your leson while i am at work in your location. I live in England, but i’m moving to your area beacause i’m having a contract with Issey Miyake Jnr.

I work as a model and the contract will be just for FOUR weeks, I will be in the State very soon because there is a great program going on here in London in which i am the main in this show.

So it will be so difficult for me to see you, in this case you have to assist me alot on by taking her the leson , cause i will be busy all through. Her name is (Juliet), she is 18 years old.

I think this e-mail is legit. Really, how many models are named Smith? If this person said, “My name is Brandee” or “my name is Cinnamon,” I would have been suspicious because that would have been too obvious. But Smith? No one names their kid “Smith!”

I also did a Google check on this “Issey Miyake Jnr.” person. Apparently, he’s some Japanese fashion designer and not some fictitious child molester. That’s 2-for-2.

Turns out I’m definitely going to be able to give this 18-year-old Juliet some “lesons.” Giggidy, giggidy, all right!

DALLAS OFFENSE: The Giants were debacled in every way imaginable on Thanksgiving. The Broncos rushed for 138 yards, while Kyle Orton went 18-of-28 for 245 yards. New York managed just one sack the entire night.

It’s hard to imagine the Cowboys not scoring tons of points Sunday afternoon. New York’s secondary is abysmal and won’t be able to keep Miles Austin-Jones, Roy Williams and Jason Witten from ripping off long gains. Tony Romo, sacked just thrice in the past two weeks, won’t feel any heat from a Giants defensive front that has forgotten how to generate pressure with Steve Spagnuolo gone.

One area where New York’s defense will shine is against the run. I know Moreno ran wild against the Giants, but let’s chalk that up to jet lag off a short work week. In their past seven games, they’ve allowed only one team to eclipse 3.5 yards per carry. Barber still looks hampered by his quad. so I think New York should be able to contain the rush.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: Eli Manning has been sacked nine times in his past three starts, including three times at Denver. That’s definitely not helping his foot injury.

The Cowboys love to bring pressure, so the Giants will need to establish the run to keep Dallas at bay. Unfortunately, that hasn’t really worked recently. Brandon Jacobs is definitely not the same runner we saw in 2008, while Ahmad Bradshaw is injured and may not play. The Cowboys can be run on, as we saw on Thanksgiving, but the Giants simply don’t have the horses to take advantage of this weakness.

With that in mind, Dallas should be able to sack Manning a few times, and force him into a turnover or two. Manning claims that his foot injury isn’t affecting him, but he’s clearly lying; he’s just not the same quarterback we saw in the first few weeks of the season.

RECAP: If this game were being played in September, October or November, I might take the Cowboys. But it’s December, so you know what that means… it’s Tony Aurora Snowmo time!

Snowmo chokes every December. In his career, when the date has been Dec. 1 or later, Snowmo has only five touchdowns to six picks and six fumbles. As Cousin Sal said on the B.S. Podcast, “The guy who made this line forgot that Romo chokes in December.”

And speaking of the line, I don’t really agree with it. Sure, the Giants stink right now, but the Cowboys were shut out by Green Bay, nearly lost to the Redskins and had trouble pulling away from the Raiders on Thanksgiving. Who are they to be laying points on the road against a competent team?

The Psychology. Edge: Giants.

It’s December, when Tony Romo becomes Aurora Snowmo. Almost a must-win for the Giants.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action after early money on Dallas.

Percentage of money on Dallas: 52% (131,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Giants.

History: Giants have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.

Tony Romo is 12-9 ATS on the road.

Tony Romo is 2-11 ATS as a starter after Nov. 30 (0-3 ATS as an underdog).

Giants are 14-9 ATS after a loss since 2005.

Giants are 6-3 ATS after a double-digit loss since 2007.

Opening Line: Giants -1.

Opening Total: 45.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 36 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 13 NFL Pick: Giants 27, Cowboys 24
Giants +1.5 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Over 45.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Giants 31, Cowboys 24

Minnesota Vikings (10-1) at Arizona Cardinals (7-4)
Line: Vikings by 3. Total: 48.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 12): Cardinals -3.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 12): Cardinals -2.5 (Warner) or Vikings -4 (Leinart).
Sunday, 8:20 ET

The Game. Edge: Vikings.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

It’s time for the Video of the Week segment. This is an interesting video featuring Percy Harvin, brought to you by e-mailer Vincent G.

Three things to look for:

1. At the 44-second mark, listen to what Harvin says. What in the world is a Collaard Kector? If my little cousin tells me he wants to be a Collaard Kector when he grows up, what do I say?

2. Look at Harvin’s eyes at 2:05. My thoughts exactly.

3. Speaking of which, how hot is the girl interviewing Harvin? I’m now inspired to be on a football card one day so she can “interview” me. Giggidy, giggidy, all right!

ARIZONA OFFENSE: There’s probably not going to be a line on this game until Sunday morning. Kurt Warner has been having vision problems, which is never good. Considering how anal the league is about concussions right now – and rightfully so – Warner will probably sit.

Matt Leinart played well last week. He was 21-of-31 for 220 yards, and put together a nice drive in the fourth quarter to give the Cardinals a temporary lead. However, he really limited Arizona’s offense. His longest completion was for just 28 yards, so the Titans never really felt threatened that he could beat them deep. And he can’t.

The Vikings still have to worry about Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Steve Breaston, but the guy who will worry the most here is Leinart. Arizona’s offensive line is solid, but left tackle Mike Gandy had to leave last week’s game with an injury. Even if he’s 100 percent for this contest, he’ll have major problems keeping Jared Allen out of the backfield. Pat Williams, Kevin Williams and Ray Edwards will also wreak havoc upon Leinart and eliminate Arizona’s rushing attack.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE: The Cardinals played well defensively at the beginning of the year, but have struggled of late. Five of their past six opponents have accumulated 100-plus rushing yards, while three of the previous four quarterbacks they’ve battled have compiled at least 300 passing yards.

The Vikings can do it all. They obviously run the ball very effectively with Adrian Peterson. Brett Favre can still make all the throws and has so many weapons to work with. And the offensive line will keep the 40-year-old gun-slinger clean the entire evening.

I would be shocked if Minnesota’s offense doesn’t score three touchdowns at the very least in Arizona.

RECAP: It’s hard to make a prediction without knowing Warner’s status or what the spread is. However, here are three things to consider:

1. The Vikings are the better team. They have the running game and defense to win on the road. They lost at Heinz Field, but their other road tilts have been victories by 14, 14, 28 and 12 points.

2. This game means more to Minnesota. Favre and company are chasing the Saints for homefield advantage. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are pretty much stuck in limbo just like last year. They can’t get a bye, yet they’re way ahead of everyone in the division. Arizona doesn’t need to win this contest.

3. My only concern with taking the Vikings is that they haven’t played a road game since Nov. 1. I don’t know how they were awarded a schedule like that, but I would imagine winning an away contest after not leaving home for more than a month could be pretty difficult.

The Psychology. Edge: Cardinals.
This isn’t really a major game for either team. A loss wouldn’t hurt the Vikings or Cardinals. Perhaps Arizona will want revenge after the trashing they took last year, but that’s not a major edge.

The Vegas. Edge: Cardinals.

People are siding with Brett Favre over Matt Leinart? I’m shocked.

Percentage of money on Minnesota: 84% (135,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.

Cardinals are 15-5 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Cardinals are 8-2 ATS at home as underdogs or favorites of less than -3 under Ken Whisenhunt.

Brad Childress is 3-0 ATS on the West Coast.

Opening Line: Vikings -4.

Opening Total: 48.

Weather: Dome.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 13 NFL Pick: Vikings 27, Cardinals 17
Vikings -3 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Under 48.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Cardinals 30, Vikings 17

Baltimore Ravens (6-5) at Green Bay Packers (7-4)
Line: Packers by 3.5. Total: 43.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 12): Packers -1.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 12): Packers -2.5.
Monday, 8:30 ET

The Game. Edge: Packers.

NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

This week on Monday Night Football, we get to see the Ravens and Packers battle in what should be a thrilling game. Unfortunately, we’re going to have Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski and Jon Gruden calling the shots instead of Emmitt, Herm and Philadelphia Eagles Television Network guy Kevin Reilly (a huge homer who called Maurice Jones-Drew “Maurice Drew-Jones” and Torry Holt “Terry Holt”). Here’s how it would sound like if Reilly, Emmitt and Herm were in the booth for this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to Green Bay, the northern-most city closest to San Francisco! Tonight, the Baltimore Colts take on the Green Bay Packers. Guys, people are always saying that Brett Favre should retire. I say, let the old guy play! I just traded for him in my fantasy league, so I need him to put up points here.

Emmitt: Brett Favre was trade? I did not hear these! If Favre is back in the state of Green Bay, what happen to Aaron Rodger?

Reilly: No, no, no, Emmitt. He was traded in my fantasy league. Favre will live and die a Green Bay Packer! All of these rumors of him going to Minnesota are hogwash!

Herm: That’s incorrect! That’s wrong! You’re wrong! Brett Favre’s a purple! I mean Brett Favre is in purple! Look at the purple! Do you see the purple? You have to see the purple! There’s the purple!

Reilly: Coach, you are once again annoying me. There is no way Favre will ever be a Viking. If he were a Viking, I would have never traded for him, so there!

Emmitt: I am looking on these newspaper, and nowhere in the words do it say that Favre was traded today. Perhaps it is, like the wise men say, hidden in between the lines? Someone get me a magnifying glass so I can read in between the line!

Reilly: Emmitt, you bring up a point. This newspaper is trash. It doesn’t say that I traded for Favre. How ignorant.

Herm: It’s fantasy! Not reality! It’s not reality! It’s just fantasy! Fantasy’s not real! Real and fantasy are different! They’re not the same! Here’s a magnifying glass, Emmitt! Here it is! I had one in my pocket! In this pocket right here! Do you see anything between the lines? Do you see anything at all? No, because it’s reality! I mean it’s fantasy! It’s fantasy! Not reality!

Emmitt: Coach, you have befuddle my brains and my minds.

Reilly: Yeah, really. Stupid coach! We’ll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

BALTIMORE OFFENSE: Joe Flacco really isn’t playing well right now. He has thrown only one touchdown since Week 8, and he took five sacks against the Steelers. There’s been some speculation that his injured ankle is giving him problems. Even if he’s hurt, Flacco needs to be at his best because he’s taking on a Packers defense that has played really well of late.

Flacco may not be able to rely on Ray Rice for a complementary ground attack. The Packers have limited their previous four opponents to 81 rushing yards or less. Granted, they’ve gone against the Lions, Buccaneers and shotgun-spread 49ers in that stretch, but that’s still pretty impressive.

Of course, Flacco will still be able to use Rice as a weapon out of the backfield. He’ll need to; Charles Woodson will put the clamps on Derrick Mason. Flacco has no other consistent downfield weapon to work with, which hurts because the Packers rank seventh versus the pass. I know Mark Clayton just had a big game, but he’s way too unreliable.

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: By now, we know that the Ravens can’t contain aerial attacks. In their previous six games against quality quarterbacks – Colts, Bengals twice, Vikings, Patriots and Chargers – Baltimore has surrendered an average of 282 passing yards per contest. I’d say Aaron Rodgers fits the description of a quality quarterback.

Like the Ravens, the Packers will have trouble running the ball against a stout defense. However, that doesn’t really matter because Baltimore can’t generate a consistent pass rush. The team has just 21 sacks on the year, so Rodgers should be able to convert third downs to his talented weapons.

Prior to their victory against the Cowboys, the Packers were notorious for their leaky offensive line. In fact, Rodgers at one point was on pace to be sacked 73 times. However, Rodgers has taken just three sacks in the past two games. Tackles Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher are back in the lineup and are doing a great job.

RECAP: Although this will be a fun game to watch, this is one of my least favorite plays of the week. I feel like the Ravens and Packers are pretty evenly matched, and I think they’ll play a tight battle that will go down to the wire. Nothing would really surprise me here aside from a blowout either way.

The Ravens do have one major edge here: desperation. They need to win this game. The Packers don’t. At 7-4, Green Bay is in control of a wildcard spot. Baltimore, meanwhile, is log jammed with several other squads at 6-5. If they lose, they’ll need to win out, which means going into Heinz Field and coming away with a victory.

The Psychology. Edge: Ravens.

The Ravens definitely need this one more than the Packers.

The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.
Slight edge on the Packers.

Percentage of money on Green Bay: 60% (177,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

KOing the Champ: Favorites beating defending Super Bowl champions are 4-1 ATS on the road the following week.

Ravens are 9-6 ATS as an underdog under John Harbaugh.

Ravens are 11-5 ATS on the road under John Harbaugh.

Packers are 12-10 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Packers are 2-4 ATS as non-conference favorites under Mike McCarthy.

Opening Line: Packers -3.

Opening Total: 44.

Weather: Snow, 25 degrees. Light wind.

For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.

Week 13 NFL Pick: Ravens 27, Packers 23
Ravens +3.5 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$110
Over 43 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Packers 27, Ravens 14

Week 13 NFL Picks – Early Games
Jets vs. Bills, Eagles at Falcons, Rams at Bears, Lions at Bengals, Titans at Colts, Broncos at Chiefs, Saints at Redskins, Buccaneers at Panthers, Texans at Jaguars, Patriots at Dolphins, Raiders at Steelers

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Teaser: Patriots +3, Eagles +0.5 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200

Moneyline Dog: Buccaneers +220 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Moneyline Dog: Rams +370 (.5 Units) — Incorrect; -$50

Moneyline Dog: Titans +230 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Moneyline Dog: Ravens +155 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Psychological Edge Parlay: Rams +9, Lions +13, Titans +7, Jaguars PK, Patriots -3, Ravens +3 (.5 Units to win 23.6) — Incorrect; -$50

NFL Picks - Nov. 20

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,510-3,234-202, 52.0% (+$19,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,129-1,011-57 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 571-502-25 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,941-2,916-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-3	Bears: 5-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-4
Eagles: 5-5	Lions: 9-1	Falcons: 6-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 6-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 5-5
Redskins: 5-5	Vikings: 4-6	Saints: 5-6	Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 4-7	Bengals: 2-9	Colts: 6-5	Broncos: 7-4
Dolphins: 4-6	Browns: 3-7	Jaguars: 3-7	Chargers: 6-3
Jets: 6-5	Ravens: 5-5	Texans: 5-6	Chiefs: 4-5
Patriots: 6-3	Steelers: 4-6	Titans: 6-3	Raiders: 5-5

Divisional: 21-23 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 18-14 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 31-25 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 21-30 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 33-47 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 13-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-8 (2011-23: 33-37)