NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2016

NFL Picks (Preseason 2016): 12-7-1 (+$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2016): 13-3 (+$1,735) full review
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2016): 9-7 (-$430) full review
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2016): 7-7-2 (+$880) full review
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2016): 7-8 (-$70) full review
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2016): 6-7-1 (+$115) full review
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2016): 7-7-1 (+$515) full review
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2016): 11-4 (+$1,560) full review
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2016): 8-4-1 (-$60) full review
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2016): 5-6-2 (-$1,170) full review
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2016): 9-4-1 (+$80) full review
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2016): 7-7 (+$225) full review
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2016): 5-10-1 (-$1,090) full review
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2016): 9-6 (-$205) full review
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2016): 7-8-1 (-$440) full review
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2016): 8-8 (+$55) full review
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2016): 4-12 (-$2,205) full review
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2016): 8-7-1 (+$415) full review
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2016): 2-2 (+$445)

NFL Picks (2016): 144-124-10 (+$1,645)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$2,360)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 14, 3:45 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 19 NFL Picks – Sunday Games

Seattle Seahawks (11-5-1) at Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
Line: Falcons by 6.5. Total: 51.
Walt’s Projected Line: Falcons -2.5.
Saturday, Jan. 7, 4:35 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.

WEEK 18 RECAP: A solid start to the playoffs. I didn’t love anything last weekend, but I did take the Packers and Steelers for three and two units, respectively. I lost half of a unit on the Raiders, but I don’t mind that because I decreased that wager from two units to a half when I learned that Donald Penn was out. I should’ve just gone to zero.

I’ll say that I love two games this week, so it should make for a more exciting weekend.

Anyway, I’m not listing overrated and underrated teams this week because they’re pretty much the same, and most of the teams aren’t in the playoffs anymore (i.e. the overrated Giants lost). Check out my NFL Power Rankings if you wish to re-read them.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: I have a feeling Matt Ryan will win the MVP award, and if he does, I wouldn’t be upset about it, though I’d give it to Aaron Rodgers. Still, Ryan had an excellent season, and if you replace him with a middling quarterback, the Falcons almost certainly wouldn’t have made the playoffs. That makes him a great runner-up, as far as I’m concerned. However, I wouldn’t be all too confident that Ryan will end up with more playoff victories than Rodgers this year, given this matchup.

Ryan generated 335 yards and three total touchdowns in the Week 6 meeting at Seattle, but most of that came in the second half when the Falcons were down big in the early going. Earl Thomas is out, but Kam Chancellor wasn’t available in the prior matchup, so I think that’s a wash. Richard Sherman should be able to cover Julio Jones well, so Ryan will have to get his other targets involved. Taylor Gabriel hit some big plays versus lesser opponents, but the Seahawks will be prepared for him.

It’s all going to be about Ryan because the Seahawks contain the run extremely well. Don’t expect much out of Devonta Freeman, who was limited to just 40 yards on 12 carries in the first meeting. Seattle’s linebackers also did a great job on Freeman as a receiver out of the backfield; his three catches went for just 10 yards, which was a season-low for him in yards per reception.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: Everyone who has paid attention to the NFL knows that the Seahawks’ offensive line has struggled this year, but they did a great job of run blocking versus the Lions. Pass protection has obviously been an issue for them, but a suddenly healthy Thomas Rawls gained 161 yards on 27 carries last week. Granted, the Lions are very weak to the run, but the same can be said about Seattle’s opponent this week. The Falcons have been beaten up in the trenches against physical teams this season. They haven’t played many foes like that, but the two most recent teams that love to grind opponents out, the Eagles and Chiefs, were able to bully Atlanta around. Ryan Mathews had one of his best performances this year versus Atlanta, and Rawls figures to have similar success.

The Falcons also don’t have a consistent pass rush. Vic Beasley has been great in his sophomore campaign, but that’s about it. Russell Wilson didn’t face much pressure in the second half of last week’s victory, and I expect that to be the case once again this week, as Atlanta just doesn’t have the overall talent up front to fully expose Seattle’s poor blocking.

With that in mind, I expect Wilson to have a great game. The Falcons have lost top cornerback Desmond Trufant, yet they haven’t really been exposed in that regard. Doug Baldwin figures to perform well, as does Jimmy Graham, given that the Falcons have struggled versus tight ends all year.

RECAP: I’ve been harping about two teams being overrated for most of the season: the Giants and the Falcons. The former lost last week, and I expect the latter to go down this weekend.

The Falcons haven’t been tested at all since losing their No. 1 corner. They were hot to end the season, but following their loss to the Chiefs, they’ve beaten the Rams, 49ers, Panthers (who were playing on four days of rest) and the Saints. Drew Brees was the one competent quarterback they’ve played since the Trufant injury, and if that game had been extended by a few minutes, New Orleans probably would’ve prevailed because the Falcons had no answer for Brees in the second half. I’m expecting something similar out of Wilson.

I also don’t agree with this spread. I made it Falcons -2.5. Atlanta has a poor home-field advantage. The Falcons are 15-16 straight up, 13-18 against the spread as hosts over the past three years. Take a look at what they’ve done at home this year versus decent opposition (i.e. not the 49ers)…

Loss SU and ATS to Buccaneers
Win SU and ATS vs. Panthers
Loss SU and ATS to Chargers
Win SU and Loss ATS vs. Packers
Win SU and ATS vs. Cardinals
Loss SU and ATS to Chiefs
Win SU and Loss ATS to Saints

Given that the Packers weren’t quite themselves back in Week 8, none of those teams, except for the Chiefs, are remotely close to the Seahawks. The Falcons clearly don’t deserve a field goal for being at home, and these teams are close in overall talent, so why is this spread -4.5? That really makes no sense to me.

I’m betting Seattle for four units. My only concern is wagering heavily on the team with the inferior offensive line, but we’re getting plenty of points with the Seahawks, who generally play games closely. All but one of their losses this year have been by single digits, so even if they’re down, Wilson will have a chance to score a back-door touchdown, which we’ve just seen the Falcons surrender.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: This spread is up to +5, but that’s inconsequential in the grand scheme of things. It appears to be sharp money moving this line up, but as I theorized on the podcast, this could be smart money trying to manipulate the line so that the pros can bet on Seahawks +6. I’m going to be monitoring this spread, and if it hits +6, I’ll lock it in pretty quickly.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I said I would lock in this pick if the line hit +6. Just kidding! This spread soared past +6 very quickly and went to +6.5. Now, I’m closely monitoring for a +7 line. I’ll definitely lock that in ASAP at five units. At +6.5, I’m still on the Seahawks for four units. More often than not, you’re going to win when taking a great quarterback with this many points, plus being above six gives us overtime insurance. Seattle’s offensive line bothers me, but the Falcons don’t have a great pass rush. I could actually see Atlanta being up by a couple of scores in this game, only to have Wilson come back and either cover or win.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Seahawks.

There’s sharp money coming in on the Falcons.

Percentage of money on Atlanta: 65% (45,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.

Seahawks are 20-7 ATS in Week 11 or later since 2013.

Russell Wilson is 12-4 ATS as an underdog.

Seahawks are 32-44 ATS on the road since 2006 if they’re not coming off an away loss.

Seahawks are 8-15 ATS on the road vs. teams that average 24+ ppg since 2007.

Opening Line: Falcons -3.5.

Opening Total: 49.5.

Weather: .

Week 19 NFL Pick: Seahawks 30, Falcons 27
Seahawks +6.5 (4 Units) — Incorrect; -$440
Over 51 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Falcons 36, Seahawks 20

Houston Texans (10-7) at New England Patriots (14-2)
Line: Patriots by 15.5. Total: 44.5.
Walt’s Projected Line: Patriots -14.
Saturday, Jan. 7, 8:15 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Patriots.

HATE MAIL: I didn’t get much hate this week, but Ross Avila sent me some when the Packers were losing to the Giants…

The Packers ended up winning, but Ross didn’t apologize, or anything. I imagine he was busy because his mom made him shovel snow.

There was lots of snow this weekend, but Ross barely had enough time to chime in during the college football national championship:

Ross must think pretty highly of himself if he believes anyone is going to care what some 17-year-old Foot Locker employee has to say. I’m just glad he posts on my Facebook wall because it’s so highly amusing.

Nevertheless, my college football championship pick was one I made reluctantly, as I was concerned about a possible distraction or worsened play by Alabama in the wake of the Lane Kiffin firing. It was a one-unit selection, but that didn’t stop this idiot from making a long post:

Wow, this guy has a lot of time on his hands. Not only does he make irrational rants like this, he also spends countless hours up-voting his own posts, which is why he has 293 thumbs-ups. This guy has absolutely no life. Seriously, take a look at his profile page.

Wow, Somehow, some way, he actually makes Ross Avila look like a pretty cool dude. And that’s saying a lot.

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: Everyone just assumes the Patriots are going to roll in this game. Whenever most people believe something to be true, the opposite usually occurs. Usually, being the key word, because in this instance, everyone is probably right.

The Texans have a terrific defense, but their strengths don’t exactly match up well versus the Patriots. For instance, two of their best players are edge rushers Jadeveon Clowney and Whitney Mercilus, who were able to destroy the Donald Penn-less Raiders. They won’t have as much success in this contest because New England’s tackles have performed on a very high level this year. Meanwhile, cornerback A.J. Bouye has been incredible, but Tom Brady doesn’t really take many shots downfield. Instead, he’ll spread the Texans out and attack their weaknesses, and Houston certainly has some in the secondary.

Brady may not even have to do much. LeGarrette Blount and Dion Lewis figure to run the ball very well, as former teammate Vince Wilfork appears to be completely worn down. The Raiders’ poor quarterbacking allowed the Texans to play close to the line of scrimmage in an attempt to focus on the rush. They won’t have that luxury with Brady being such a threat.

HOUSTON OFFENSE: I don’t know why, but Brock Osweiler plays extremely well versus the Raiders, but no one else. Osweiler had his second solid game against Oakland last week, but now he’ll be facing a team that limited him to just 196 passing yards on 41 attempts (4.8 YPA) in a Week 3 demolition. Good luck, Brock!

Bill Belichick is great at taking away the best element of an opposing team’s offense, and that would be DeAndre Hopkins, who tortured the Raiders a week ago. He won’t do so versus Malcolm Butler, so Osweiler will have to look elsewhere, all while being under siege behind his pedestrian offensive line.

The Texans won’t be able to run the ball effectively either. Thanks to Alan Branch, the Patriots clamp down on ground attacks very effectively, so Lamar Miller will struggle to average three yards per carry.

RECAP: The Patriots crushed the Texans back in Week 3, 27-0. Usually, when teams battle each other in the playoffs at the same location, the games tend to go much differently. In the past 15 years, teams seeking revenge in such situations are 30-16 against the spread, though that didn’t quite work out for the Giants on Sunday.

That said, Brady didn’t play in that first matchup, so it’s not like the Texans can game plan for something the future Hall of Famer did in that blowout. Hell, Jimmy Garoppolo didn’t even quarterback New England in that contest. It was Jacoby Brissett, who was making his first start.

This game should be an easy blowout. However, betting such a huge favorite is unprecedented. This is the first time since I started the site in 1999 (that’s how far back my records go) that there’s been a favorite of more than 15 in the postseason.

I wouldn’t recommend betting the Patriots because weird things could happen to allow Houston to cover. There could be a fluky fumble returned for a touchdown, or a big play on special teams, or a back-door cover at the very end. Wagering on such a high spread is awfully risky, though I do think New England is the right side.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Favorites of 15.5 or more are 3-1 against the spread in the playoffs, but I still think it’s too risky to lay so many points like this. As I said, a weird fumble, a kickoff return, etc. could turn the tide and make it difficult for New England to cover such a high spread, though I do think the Patriots are the right side.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Just got word from Matvei that favorites of 6.5 or more this year are now a ridiculous 44-25-1 against the spread. The n00b, square bettors have been very successful this year, and the n00b squares are all over the Patriots. The public has taken this spread up to -16, and it’s even -17 at Bovada. BetUS still has -15.5 posted for those of you who want to bet the favorite. I’m still taking the Patriots, but not wagering on them because this spread is just too high. Then again, the prospect of selecting Brock Osweiler in the playoffs is pretty sickening.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: Texans.

No surprise that most people are betting the Patriots.

Percentage of money on New England: 76% (75,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Patriots are 33-16 ATS in December & January home games since 2000.

Tom Brady is 205-65 as a starter (150-107 ATS).

Tom Brady is 22-9 in the playoffs (14-17 ATS).

Tom Brady is 29-31 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (18-24 ATS since November 2007).

Opening Line: Patriots -16.

Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: .

Week 19 NFL Pick: Patriots 27, Texans 10
Patriots -15.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Under 44.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Patriots 34, Texans 16

Week 19 NFL Picks – Sunday Games
Steelers at Chiefs, Packers at Cowboys

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 19 NFL Picks – Sunday Games

NFL Picks - Nov. 20

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 12, 2024): 11-3 (+$2,020)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-1 (+$580)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-0 (+$1,400)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 12, 2024): 6-8 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 12, 2024): +$905

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-3, 25.0% (-$1,365)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 89-82-6, 52.0% (-$2,545)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 22-26-1, 45.8% (-$600)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-17, 51.4% (-$155)
2024 Season Over-Under: 82-82-2, 50.0% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$740

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,510-3,234-202, 52.0% (+$19,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,129-1,011-57 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 571-502-25 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,941-2,916-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-3	Bears: 5-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-4
Eagles: 5-5	Lions: 9-1	Falcons: 6-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 6-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 5-5
Redskins: 5-5	Vikings: 4-6	Saints: 5-6	Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 4-7	Bengals: 2-9	Colts: 6-5	Broncos: 7-4
Dolphins: 4-6	Browns: 3-7	Jaguars: 3-7	Chargers: 6-3
Jets: 6-5	Ravens: 5-5	Texans: 5-6	Chiefs: 4-5
Patriots: 6-3	Steelers: 4-6	Titans: 6-3	Raiders: 5-5

Divisional: 21-23 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 18-14 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 31-25 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 21-30 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 33-47 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 13-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-8 (2011-23: 33-37)