NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2011

NFL Picks (Preseason 2011): 11-4 (+$1,340)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2011): 5-9-2 (-$575)

NFL Picks (2011): 16-13-2 (+$765)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Sept. 19, 5:05 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 2 NFL Picks – Early Games

Dallas Cowboys (0-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-0)
Line: Cowboys by 3. Total: 42.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Cowboys -3.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Cowboys -3.
Sunday, Sept. 18, 4:05 ET
Discuss Game, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Cowboys.

If you didn’t see it, Emmitt on the Brink is back! Season 4, Episode 1 has been posted – Emmitt is looking for work after retiring as New England’s head coach. Unfortunately, no one will hire him. Episode 2 will be posted this weekend.

DALLAS OFFENSE: Jerry Jones said Tuesday afternoon that Tony Romo played one of the best games of his career against the Jets. Maybe one of the best 50-minute segments; though I guess Romo choking in the clutch is the norm in Dallas.

The Cowboys have tons of play-makers on offense, but the offensive line is a concern. The 49ers racked up five sacks against Seattle last week, and they could come close to matching that number Sunday afternoon.

This will make things difficult at times for Romo and company to move the chains, especially if Dez Bryant’s quad isn’t fully healed. The Cowboys haven’t offered an update on the injury, but Bryant may not be 100 percent at San Francisco. If so, Romo will have to rely on Miles Austin-Jones and Jason Witten. Felix Jones could also have a solid game against a 49er rush defense that wasn’t tested against the Seahawks.

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: It’s not common that Alex Smith would have the edge over a secondary, but that appears to be the case in this instance. Dallas has so many injuries at corner that they spent Tuesday afternoon signing guys off the street.

As long as this game is close and the 49ers can stay two-dimensional with Frank Gore as a threat out of the backfield, they should have some success moving the chains. With Mike Jenkins, Terence Newman and Orlando Scandrick all potentially out, there won’t be anyone to match up with Braylon Edwards. And then there’s Vernon Davis going over the middle of the field.

If, however, San Francisco falls behind, the Dallas pass rush will be able to tee off Smith. I don’t trust San Francisco’s offensive line to block DeMarcus Ware, Anthony Spencer and Jay Ratliff in long-yardage situations.

RECAP: Atlanta was the trap game last week. Dallas might be the trap game this Sunday. Every single casual bettor thinks the Cowboys are easy money, yet the spread hasn’t moved off -3.

Now, why is this? Why do the sharps like Dallas so much? Maybe it’s because they believe the Cowboys are overrated in the wake of all of their injuries and offensive line troubles. Or perhaps they don’t think Dallas should be a road favorite coming off a loss. Or could it be that they know the Cowboys are going to be down after that emotional loss to the Jets?

Probably a combination of all three.

Unit Change: I’m dropping this down to one unit. I’ve done some research, and I’m not really comfortable with this selection.

The Psychology. Edge: 49ers.

The Cowboys are coming off an emotional loss against the Jets.

The Vegas. Edge: 49ers.

Everyone and their ugly stepsister is on Dallas.

Percentage of money on Dallas: 84% (79,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.

Tony Romo is 26-17 ATS as a starter before Dec. 1.

Tony Romo is 10-4 ATS as a starter in September.

Opening Line: Cowboys -3.

Opening Total: 41.5.

Weather: Sunny, 67 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Week 2 NFL Pick: 49ers 26, Cowboys 23
49ers +3 (1 Unit) — Push; $0
Over 42 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Cowboys 27, 49ers 24

Houston Texans (1-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-1)
Line: Texans by 3. Total: 48.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Texans -1.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Texans -3.
Sunday, Sept. 18, 4:15 ET
Discuss Game, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Texans.

Another friendly reminder that Jerks of the Week for Sept. 12, 2011 are up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks are: 1) Whiskey Tango. 2) Racist KKK Bikers. 3) Drunkest Woman Ever.

HOUSTON OFFENSE: Poor Dolphins. There’s no reprieve for them after getting torched by Tom Brady. Going against Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels isn’t much easier.

Miami’s secondary stinks. I know that Brady piled up some yardage when Vontae Davis and Sean Smith were out of the game, but the Dolphins have no depth behind them. The safeties, Reshad Jones in particular, are also pretty terrible.

I don’t see the Dolphins containing the Texans. Schaub obviously isn’t as good as Brady, but he has a better offensive line and running game to work with. Arian Foster’s status is up in the air, but Ben Tate proved last week that he can handle the load.

MIAMI OFFENSE: Chad Henne inexplicably eclipsed the 400-yard barrier against the Patriots, but that was a bit of a fluke. While Henne made several great throws and showed good command of the offense, he got away with nearly two picks and struggled in the red zone.

The Texan defense, which looks revitalized under Wade Phillips, is going to put a ton of pressure on Henne. Miami’s offensive line is in shambles; every single player on the front, excluding rookie center Mike Pouncey, struggled mightily against New England. The right side in particular was atrocious.

Although J.J. Watt had a monstrous opening-day performance, Houston looks to be susceptible to the run. Unfortunately for the Dolphins, they can’t really take advantage of that. Reggie Bush is a great receiving weapon out of the backfield, but he can’t effectively pound the rock in between the tackles 15-plus times per game.

RECAP: If the Texans didn’t have two tough matchups against the Saints and Steelers coming up, I’d make them a big play. The Dolphins are reeling after that loss to the Patriots. They threw the kitchen sink at New England, yet still managed to lose by 14. I doubt they’ll be focused for Houston.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
Houston may not be focused here; the team has the Saints and Steelers after this “easy” win, making this a Breather Alert.

However, the Dolphins also figure to be operating at less than 100 percent; they’re coming off an emotional loss to the Patriots.

The Vegas. Edge: Dolphins.

No one wants any part of the Dolphins.

Percentage of money on Houston: 83% (51,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

Texans are 16-29 ATS after a win (10-13 since 2007).

Texans are 2-5 ATS as road favorites in franchise history.

Dolphins are 31-24 SU in September since 1994.

Opening Line: Texans -3.

Opening Total: 46.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 89 degrees. Mild wind, 12 mph.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Texans 31, Dolphins 20
Texans -3 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Over 48 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Texans 23, Dolphins 13

San Diego Chargers (1-0) at New England Patriots (1-0)
Line: Patriots by 7. Total: 53.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Patriots -4.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Patriots -4.
Sunday, Sept. 18, 4:15 ET
Discuss Game, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Patriots.

It’s time for Notes from NFL.com GameCenter – a list of a few stupid comments I found on NFL.com’s GameCenter and my thoughts on them:

1. “losers tbat cant fill the stadium for ioe.ing day. that sur is a mark if progression”

Not putting periods in the middle of your words would be some progression as well.

2. “Vick is a future Cam wannabe…..he is over rated to say the least”

So, QB Dog Killer, who has been in the NFL since 2001, is a future Cam Newton? That may not make any sense to you, but it’s perfectly logical on GameCenter.

3. “WHERE ARE MY THOUGHTS”

It’s never a good sign if you don’t know where your thoughts are.

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: Yeah, so, I’m thinking the Patriots aren’t going to have much trouble against the Chargers. Just a theory.

Tom Brady is on top of his game right now. His dissection of Miami’s secondary was masterful. It’s like he saw every play before it happened. As long as the offensive line holds up – rookie right tackle Nate Solder was awesome against Cameron Wake – it’s hard to imagine any defense stopping Brady.

Of course, I can’t mention the front without discussing Dan Koppen. The Pro Bowl center is expected to miss about two months with a fractured ankle. While backup Dan Connolly is a serviceable reserve, the injury threatens the depth of the line. If another player goes down, I don’t know what the Patriots are going to do.

SAN DIEGO OFFENSE: New England isn’t flawless. The offense might be close, but the defense looked far from it when it surrendered big play after big play to Chad Henne on Monday night.

If Henne can move the ball with ease, why can’t Philip Rivers? Unlike Henne, Rivers won’t spontaneously combust when he reaches the red zone, so the Chargers should be able to hang with the Patriots.

RECAP: If you’ve been following my picks, you know where I’m going with this. I love the Chargers. Philip Rivers has an incredible spread record as an underdog (12-4 ATS).

To be honest, I was ready to take San Diego for 2-3 units at my projected line of +4, so I’m loving +7. By the way, Rivers has covered two of three games in his career as an underdog of 6.5 or more. The sole loss was a defeat in the divisional round of the playoffs at Pittsburgh.

LOCKED IN: The Chargers are available for +7 -105 on Bodog. I love that. Get it if you can. I’m also OK with +7 -110. Like I said, I would have taken San Diego at +4.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on New England: 55% (61,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chargers.

Philip Rivers is 12-4 ATS as an underdog.

Tom Brady is 123-39 as a starter (95-63 ATS).

Opening Line: Chargers -6.5.

Opening Total: 51.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 63 degrees. Mild wind, 13 mph.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Patriots 31, Chargers 28
Chargers +7 -105 (4 Units) — Incorrect; -$420
Over 53.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Patriots 35, Chargers 21

Cincinnati Bengals (1-0) at Denver Broncos (0-1)
Line: Broncos by 3.5. Total: 40.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Broncos -6.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Broncos -3.5.
Sunday, Sept. 18, 4:15 ET
Discuss Game, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Bengals.

More Notes from NFL.com GameCenter: I’ll give you six instead of the usual three here. I wanted to do a print screen so I could show you how much of a douche bag this guy was:

Highdeaf14, u mad bro?

DENVER OFFENSE: TE-BOW! TE-BOW! TE-BOW! TE-BOW! TE-BOW!

I’m not mimicking the Bronco fans. I was chanting this as well Monday night. I really don’t understand it. Kyle Orton is incredibly overrated because so many people love to say he’s underrated. He’s not accurate; he doesn’t have a good arm; and he spontaneously combusts in the red zone and on third down. He’s a solid game-manager, but that’s it. He’s not a tenth of the quarterback Tim Tebow is capable of becoming. He’s actually the opposite; he shines in practice and isn’t nearly as good in games, whereas Tebow struggles in practice, but knows how to pull off victories when it counts. Unless the Broncos’ grand-master plan is to “Suck for Luck,” they are being incredibly stupid.

Well, I’m ready for more Orton mediocrity, how about you? Cincinnati’s defense is actually pretty good; the Bengals will put the clamps on Knowshon Moreno (if he even plays) and Willis McGahee, just as they did with Peyton Hillis. This will force Orton into unfavorable situations, and thus more inaccurate passes well short of the marker on third down.

CINCINNATI OFFENSE: I’m not sure if Denver’s offense or defense is worse. Probably the latter. The Broncos struggled to move the chains Monday night, but they had no hope of containing Darren McFadden.

Cedric Benson is obviously nowhere near as talented as McFadden, but he has superior blocking, thanks to right tackle Andre Smith being in shape for the first time in his professional career.

Benson will pound the rock against Denver’s anemic front, giving Andy Dalton plenty of short-yardage opportunities to work with. Dalton did a solid job at Cleveland, and I think he’ll continue to be efficient in this contest.

RECAP: I really like the Bengals; I just wish we were getting +6 or more. We lost some value because of Champ Bailey’s hamstring (he’ll be listed as questionable) and Denver’s Monday night debaclation, unfortunately.

Two key numbers:

1. Marvin Lewis is 9-4 against the spread in the second of his back-to-back road games.

2. The Broncos are an anemic 2-14 against the spread as favorites of -3.5 or more since 2008. That’s hilarious awful.

LOCKED IN: With Champ Bailey, Knowshon Moreno and Brandon Lloyd all potentially out, this line could be +3 by kickoff. Get +3.5 while you still can.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No psychological edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Cincinnati: 55% (33,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Bengals.

Marvin Lewis is 9-4 ATS in his second consecutive road game.

Bengals are 13-6 ATS as underdogs since 2009.

Broncos are 10-30 ATS as a favorite since 2006.

Broncos are 4-13 ATS before back-to-back road games the previous 17 instances.

Broncos are 2-14 ATS as favorites of 3.5 or more since 2008.

Opening Line: Broncos -6.

Opening Total: 39.5.

Weather: Sunny, 74 degrees. Light wind.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Bengals 17, Broncos 16
Bengals +3.5 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
Under 40.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Broncos 24, Bengals 22

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-1)
Line: Eagles by 2.5. Total: 49.5.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Falcons -3.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Falcons -1.5.
Sunday, Sept. 18, 8:20 ET
Discuss Game, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Eagles.

If you’ve been following my 2011 Fantasy Football Rankings this summer and you’re wondering which players to start, I’ve got you covered. You can check out my Fantasy Football Start Em, Sit Em page (will be posted tonight) as well as my Weekly Fantasy Football Rankings, which will be updated by Wednesday afternoon each week.

PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: The Eagles are one of the overrated teams listed on the home page of my NFL Picks section. Their offensive line blows. QB Dog Killer was constantly harassed and had to run for his life against the Rams. It looks great when he does it, but he’s going to get popped one of these times, and he’s not going to get up.

The Falcons rush the passer well with John Abraham and Ray Edwards. Like St. Louis, they’re going to put tons of pressure on Philadelphia’s quarterback. It’s just a matter of containing him when he scrambles and forcing a fumble or two when he doesn’t recognize the blitz in the pocket.

The key for Atlanta is the pressure. If the defense gives him all day to throw, he’ll eat the Falcons’ secondary alive. Or drown them in water.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: Philadelphia isn’t exactly the “Dream Team” because of its poor run defense, and shoddy safety and linebacker play. Steven Jackson was set to have a career day before he left last week’s game with an injury. I fully expect Michael Turner to eclipse the century mark.

If Turner runs well, Matt Ryan will have an easier time in the pocket, and won’t have to worry about Jason Babin and Trent Cole as much. He won’t be able to use Julio Jones; since Jones plays on the left side, he’ll draw Nnamdi Asomugha in coverage. Instead, he’ll have to look for Roddy White, who will draw double coverage on nearly every play, and Tony Gonzalez underneath.

The Ryan-to-Gonzalez connection should work well. As stated earlier, the Dream Team’s linebacking corps is a mess. Rams tight end Lance Kendricks could have had a big day if he didn’t drop a billion passes.

RECAP: This was a really tough game to handicap. I could make cases for both sides.

The Eagles own the Falcons. They’ve beaten them each of the past three years by a combined score of 92-38.

With that being said though, Ryan was on the field for only two of those meetings, and both were in Philadelphia. This game could be another story, especially with the emotion in the Georgia Dome. This is a huge game for the Falcons. They can’t allow QB Dog Killer to walk into Atlanta and come away with a win. They just can’t.

I also feel like we’re getting good value with Atlanta. Prior to their loss at Chicago, this spread might have been -2.5 in favor of the home team. With that in mind, I’m siding with the host.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
This is do or die for the Falcons. Meanwhile, the Eagles will want to win for their deranged quarterback.

The Vegas. Edge: Falcons.

Tons of the action on the Dream Team.

Percentage of money on Philadelphia: 79% (66,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Eagles are 70-48 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2001.

Andy Reid is 16-6 ATS in his second round game.

Matt Ryan is 15-6 ATS at home.

Mike Smith is 12-2 ATS after a loss.

Mike Smith is 4-0 ATS after losing as a favorite.

Opening Line: Eagles -2.5.

Opening Total: 50.5.

Weather: Dome.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Falcons 24, Eagles 23
Falcons +2.5 (0 Units) — Correct; $0
Under 49.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Falcons 35, Eagles 31

St. Louis Rams (0-1) at New York Giants (0-1)
Line: Giants by 7. Total: 44.
Walt’s Projected Line (Before Week 1): Giants -6.
Walt’s Projected Line (After Week 1): Giants -6.5 (Bradford) or Giants -12.5 (Feeley)
Monday, Sept. 19, 8:30 ET
Discuss Game, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Giants.

It’s Monday Night Football, but we’re going to have Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski and Jon Gruden calling the shots instead of the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Don Tollefson and Herm Edwards, and inept ESPN guys Emmitt and Matt Millen. Here’s what it would sound like if those five clowns were calling this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to New Jersey, home of the stupid Giants. Did you guys notice that I didn’t say New York? The Giants are such frauds that it makes me sick. I might have some respect for them if they changed their name to the New Jersey Giants, but I don’t have any respect for them whatsoever. E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!

Emmitt: Kyle, I play for the Cowboy for almost all my career most of the time, but you do not hear me yellin’, “C-O-W-uhh… the letter than come after W… uhh…”

Reilly: That’s because the Cowboys suck! Everyone sucks except for my Eagles!

Herm: Not everyone sucks! Not everyone stinks! Not everyone’s bad! Not everyone’s mad! Some teams are good! Some teams are well! Some teams are solid! Some teams are swell! Some teams… uhh…

Reilly: Herm, if you say one more word, I’m going to poop in your post-game dinner!

Tollefson: Post-game dinner? I thought we were getting some concubines to pleasure us, since that’s all women are good for. That, and cleaning and cooking, of course.

Emmitt: Dan, that is very racism. The race of woman have overcome some very tough times. A long time ago, there was somethin’ call the woman’s suffering, where woman everywhere went through sufferin’ and other bad thing.

Millen: And here’s what Emmitt means by suffering. When someone suffers, something bad usually happens to them. It could be that they got into a car accident and they can’t walk anymore. It could be that their favorite snack wasn’t available in the supermarket. It could be that your favorite athlete didn’t come into your hotel room to stick his kielbasa up your anus. That’s what Emmitt means my suffering.

Herm: Kielbasa up your anus? Uhh… Uhh… That’s… Uhh… Uhh… That’s… Uhh… Uhh…

Reilly: Yeah, I agree with Herm for the first time. That’s pretty weird, Matt. But don’t think this will stop me from putting poop in Herm’s dinner! We’ll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

ST. LOUIS OFFENSE: Maybe I should just do an injury report instead. Sam Bradford is expected to play, as is right tackle Jason Smith. Steven Jackson is likely out, so Cadillac Williams will start. Danny Amendola will be gone for a long time with a dislocated elbow.

As for the Giants, they still have major injuries in their back seven, but Justin Tuck is expected to suit up. That’s obviously not what Bradford wanted to hear; his offensive line surrendered five sacks against the Eagles, and the Giants obviously aren’t going to respect the run with Cadillac lined up in the backfield.

The Rams have no explosive players on offense, so Bradford will have to dink and dunk his way down the field. Although New York has a decrepit secondary, that’s still easier said than done because of Amendola’s absence. Relying on Mike Sims-Walker and a rookie tight end will prove to be difficult.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: The Giants have only one injury on offense, but it’s a major one. Hakeem Nicks is doubtful.

That’s obviously horrible news for a New York scoring unit that struggles to move the chains. Eli Manning has been woefully inaccurate this year, while his offensive line isn’t doing him any favors either. The Rams can put pressure on the quarterback, so Eli’s unlikely to break out of his slump.

The Giants will have to stick with the running game to have success on offense. St. Louis doesn’t defend the rush well, so both Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs could have big games.

RECAP: The Rams have one big advantage here, and it’s that Steve Spagnuolo coached the Giants a couple of years ago. He’s very familiar with their scheme and personnel. Whether St. Louis’ hobbled roster can execute Spagnuolo’s game plan is another story – and that’s why I’m keeping this at just two units.

The Psychology. Edge: Rams.

Steve Spagnuolo is New York’s former defensive coordinator.

The Vegas. Edge: Rams.

Same late money on the Giants.

Percentage of money on New York: 79% (99,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Giants.

Rams are 28-43 ATS in road games since 2001 (9-7 since 2009).

Rams are 19-28 ATS on grass since 2001.

Tom Coughlin is 5-2 ATS as a favorite after losing as a favorite.

Opening Line: Giants -4.5.

Opening Total: 44.

Weather: Cloudy, 64 degrees. Light wind.

Week 2 NFL Pick: Giants 28, Rams 25
Rams +7 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Over 44 (0 Units) — Push; $0
Giants 28, Rams 16

Week 2 NFL Picks – Early Games
Bears at Saints, Chiefs at Lions, Jaguars at Jets, Raiders at Bills, Cardinals at Redskins, Ravens at Titans, Seahawks at Steelers, Packers at Panthers, Buccaneers at Vikings, Browns at Colts

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Moneyline Underdog: Bears +240 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Moneyline Underdog: Chargers +255 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Moneyline Underdog: Bengals +165 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Moneyline Underdog: Rams +230 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

Teaser: Lions -1.5, Ravens +0.5 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$330

Small Parlay: Bears +7, Redskins -4, Colts +3 (-125), Chargers +7, Bengals +3.5 (.5 Units to win 11.0) — Incorrect; -$50

2011 NFL Season Betting Props

NFL Picks - Nov. 22

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
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2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
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2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
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2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,510-3,234-202, 52.0% (+$19,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,129-1,011-57 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 571-502-25 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,941-2,916-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-3	Bears: 5-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-4
Eagles: 5-5	Lions: 9-1	Falcons: 6-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 6-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 5-5
Redskins: 5-5	Vikings: 4-6	Saints: 5-6	Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 4-7	Bengals: 2-9	Colts: 6-5	Broncos: 7-4
Dolphins: 4-6	Browns: 3-7	Jaguars: 3-7	Chargers: 6-3
Jets: 6-5	Ravens: 5-5	Texans: 5-6	Chiefs: 4-5
Patriots: 6-3	Steelers: 4-6	Titans: 6-3	Raiders: 5-5

Divisional: 21-23 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 18-14 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 31-25 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 21-30 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 33-47 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 13-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-8 (2011-23: 33-37)