NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 18, 2016

NFL Picks (Preseason 2016): 12-7-1 (+$1,290)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2016): 13-3 (+$1,735) full review
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2016): 9-7 (-$430) full review
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2016): 7-7-2 (+$880) full review
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2016): 7-8 (-$70) full review
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2016): 6-7-1 (+$115) full review
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2016): 7-7-1 (+$515) full review
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2016): 11-4 (+$1,560) full review
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2016): 8-4-1 (-$60) full review
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2016): 5-6-2 (-$1,170) full review
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2016): 9-4-1 (+$80) full review
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2016): 7-7 (+$225) full review
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2016): 5-10-1 (-$1,090) full review
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2016): 9-6 (-$205) full review
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2016): 7-8-1 (-$440) full review
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2016): 8-8 (+$55) full review
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2016): 4-12 (-$2,205) full review
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2016): 8-7-1 (+$415)

NFL Picks (2016): 142-122-10 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$2,360)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$5,580)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$5,760)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 8, 12:30 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Miami Dolphins (10-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5)
Line: Steelers by 11. Total: 47.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Steelers -9.5.
Sunday, Jan. 8, 1:05 ET
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The Game. Edge: Steelers.

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Emmitt on the Brink Season 9 is complete! Season 8 saw Emmitt going to North Korea to stop Kim Jong-un from destroying the world. It featured a mind-blowing twist at the very end that you absolutely need to check out if you haven’t already. Season 9 dealt with the election, as well as the League of Failed General Managers, led by Matt Millen and Hillary Clinton.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is called Self-Entitled Douche Bag Kids in TV commercials (Xfinity girl who doesn’t want to visit grandparents; kid who wants his dad to drive him in the snow on a date.)

MIAMI OFFENSE: Three teams playing this weekend have glaring quarterback issues this week, one of which happens to be Miami. It’s unclear if Ryan Tannehill will be able to play, but even if he does, he may not be 100 percent. It could be in the Dolphins’ best interest to start Matt Moore again, as Moore hasn’t been that much of a downgrade from Tannehill, save for the scrambling ability.

Moore’s inability to escape a pass rush could end up hurting him against the Steelers, given the state of his offensive line. Center Mike Pouncey being out has really harmed the offense, while left tackle Branden Albert clearly isn’t 100 percent and figures to struggle against James Harrison as a consequence.

The Dolphins would love to establish Jay Ajayi, as he rushed for 200 yards against Pittsburgh in the first meeting. However, that was with Pouncey in the lineup, and Ajayi hasn’t been as potent ever since losing his Pro Bowl center. Ajayi doesn’t appear to be completely healthy either.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Speaking of that first matchup, the Steelers lost to the 1-4 Dolphins, and at the time, many were surprised. However, Roethlisberger suffered an injury in that game. He left the field temporarily, then returned, but clearly wasn’t himself. He ended up missing the following game as a result, so I wouldn’t read anything into that contest.

Roethlisberger hasn’t quite been himself since returning from that injury, but he was absolutely prolific versus the Ravens in the fourth quarter on Christmas Night. Plus, there’s no doubt that he’ll be better than he was in the first matchup against Miami. It’s also worth mentioning that the Dolphins have a couple of key players in the secondary who are hurt. Byron Maxwell is dealing with an ankle, and he’s considered questionable. Even if he suits up, the Dolphins will be without Isa Abdul-Quddus, meaning both starting safeties will be missing, as Reshad Jones landed on injured reserve back in October. Roethlisberger will be able to shred Miami’s depleted secondary with ease.

The Dolphins have major issues against the run as well. That’s definitely not good news, given that they’ll be tasked with containing Le’Veon Bell. In short, I don’t see how the Dolphins stop any facet of Pittsburgh’s offense.

RECAP: There’s only one victory separating these teams, but there’s no debate about which team is vastly superior. The Dolphins have done absolutely nothing this year. Aside from their victory against the Steelers, which, again, happened because Roethlisberger was injured, Miami’s wins this year have been against the Browns (thanks to a missed field goal), Bills, Jets, Chargers, Rams (down 10-0 late in the fourth quarter), 49ers, Cardinals, Jets and Bills. None of those teams have winning records. Conversely, when they’ve battled tough teams like the Ravens and Patriots, they’ve been slaughtered. Even the Bengals demolished them.

The Dolphins were playing well in the middle of the season, particularly when they beat the Chargers, but they’re not the same team anymore. Mike Pouncey, Reshad Jones and Isa Abdul-Quddus have been massive losses no one is discussing because of the Tannehill injury.

I obviously like the Steelers to cover, but I was hoping we’d get a more reasonable spread like -7, or even -7.5. Ten is a bit too high, but I still think Pittsburgh gets there. I’ll take them for a unit.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: It sounds like Matt Moore will get the nod, but that doesn’t matter all that much to me. The Steelers seem like the right side with all of the injuries the Dolphins have suffered, but this spread is a bit too high for my liking. We’re basically paying a tax on this game because Pittsburgh is such a public team.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I wish this line were still -10, but I’m jumping on the Steelers for a second unit, joining the sharps. All week, I’ve been hearing things like, “The Dolphins held Ben Roethlisberger in check last time” and “Antonio Brown was shut down by Byron Maxwell.” Uhh, hello, Roethlisberger was hurt! Re-watch the game – Roethlisberger was barely moving in the pocket, and he seemed to give up on some plays. He was so banged up that he missed the following game. Roethlisberger is healthy now, while the Dolphins are missing three starters in the secondary, including Maxwell. This has blowout written all over it. This spread is available at -11 at BetUS (and also Pinnacle, for you non-U.S. people), and while that’s not quite -10, I still like Pittsburgh a good bit.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 59% (48,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Underdog is 75-43 ATS in the Dolphins’ last 118 games.

Dolphins are 17-13 ATS on the road vs. teams with a winning record since 2007.

Steelers are 33-14 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Ben Roethlisberger is 9-5 ATS in the playoffs (6-4 as a favorite).

Opening Line: Steelers -10.

Opening Total: 47.5.

Weather: .

Week 18 NFL Pick: Steelers 31, Dolphins 17
Steelers -11 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Over 46 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Steelers 30, Dolphins 12

New York Giants (10-6) at Green Bay Packers (11-5)
Line: Packers by 5. Total: 46.5.
Walt’s Calculated Line: Packers -6.
Sunday, Jan. 8, 4:40 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Packers.

This week on FOX , we’re going to have Joe Buck and Troy Aikman calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards and Matt Millen, and aloof people like Dan Fouts. Here’s what it would sound like if these seven dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Green Bay, where the dumb Giants are playing the dumb Packers. Guys, this game is dumb because my Eagles aren’t involved. We beat the Giants fair and square on a Thursday night. I remember this because I was rubbing mother’s feet, which were sweaty because she played bingo for five hours beforehand, and she made me wait in the parking lot until she finished so she could drive me home. Guys, I want the Giants to die, but my plans to kill opposing NFC East quarterbacks hasn’t worked, so I’m going to change up my plans and kill their receiver instead. The guy with the blond hair, David Beckham Jr.

Emmitt: Maggie, David Beckham Jr. I belief is a professional soccer ball player. Soccer ball the sport where the guy kick the checkers ball, and they kick the ball into the net, and then they play checker to see when the pawn going to turned into the kingpin.

Herm: NOT RIGHT! NOT ACCURATE! INACCURATE! INRIGHT! NOT A WORD, BUT YOU GET THE POINT! DO YOU GET THE POINT!? HERM HOPES YOU GET THE POINT! AND NOT THE POINT LIKE A SCORE IN A GAME! NOT A SCORE IN A GAME NOW! NO SCORE IN A GAME! TALKIN’ ABOUT THE POINT! BUT NOT THE POINT THAT GETS YOU THE SCORE! DEFINITELY NOT TALKING ABOUT THE SCORE! WOULD NEVER TALK ABOUT THE SCORE! WELL, MAYBE HERM WOULD TALK ABOUT THE SCORE! IT DEPENDS IF HERM’S TALKING ABOUT THE SCORE! DEPENDS ON WHAT!? HERM’S NOT SURE! HERM DOESN’T EVEN KNOW WHAT THE SCORE IS! WHAT’S THE SCORE!? GUYS, SERIOUSLY WHAT’S THE SCORE!? HERM CAN’T SEE THE SCORE ON THE SCOREBOARD! NO SCORE ON THE SCOREBOARD! NO SCORE! WHERE’S THE SCORE!? WHAT’S THE SCORE!?

Reilly: Score? You idiot, the game hasn’t even started yet. Guys, David Beckham Jr. loves nets. He even proposed to one. I wonder if I’ll ever propose to a girl, or even kiss a girl. Mother says I can’t because I’m not ready. But I’m going to take advantage of this and dress up as a net. Then, when David Beckham Jr. tries to have sex with me, I’ll take out this hammer and bop him on the head!

Millen: Kevin, may I suggest something? When a 100-percent USDA Man and I go back to my hotel room, I’ll sometimes have a net waiting there for him. He’s always pleasantly surprised, and he always asks me to cut up pieces of the net and insert them into his backside in addition to my kielbasas. Then, we disassemble th net, and I insert the metallic poles into both of our backsides.

Reilly: What a stupid suggestion. I just want to kill David Beckham Jr., not have sex with him, idiot!

Tollefson: Kevin, I would be careful. I’ve told myself before that I don’t want to kill any women I kidnap to cook and clean naked for me, but sometimes I use too much Chloroform on the women I stalk, and they don’t make it. It saddens me sometimes if a particular woman looks like she’ll cook and clean especially well for me. But if she appears to be a mediocre cooker and/or cleaner, it’s not a big deal.

Wolfley: DON, I’M NOT AN EXPERT, BUT MAYBE YOU SHOULDN’T ADMIT TO MURDER ON LIVE TELEVISION. I ONCE MURDERED A PLASTIC BAG WITH A SMILEY FACE ON IT, AND I REGRET IT. WHOOPS, I JUST MADE THE SAME MISTAKE.

Reilly: I wasn’t paying attention to anything you idiots were saying. I was busy putting on my net costume. What do you guys think? Millen, stop trying to disassemble me! Guys, shhh, David Beckham Jr. is coming.

Odell Beckham Jr.: Hey guys, can’t wait for… wait, why’s there a net on one of the chairs?

Fouts: And here’s what he means by a net in the chair. There’s this thing called a net, and it’s a thing that nets things, which is why it’s called a net. There are numerous types of nets. A fishing net, for example, which you use to fish with. There’s a butterfly-catching net, which you use to catch butterflies with. There’s a sun net, which you use to catch sun beams with. There’s also a fake net like this one, which is where a person like Kevin dresses up as a net and tries to have sex with Odell Beckham Jr. And here’s what I mean by chair…

Odell Beckham Jr.: Wait, what? This net is an actual person!?

Reilly: No, I swear I’m not! I’m a real net! Please make a sex with me! Mother says it’s OK, I swear!

Odell Beckham Jr.: Ugh, what a weirdo. Peace out, gentlemen.

Reilly: NOOOOOOOO!!!

Charles Davis’ Voice: Kevin, I’m going to assume it’s my time to talk now, Kevin. Let’s discuss flavors of Jolly Ranchers, Kevin. There’s cherry, Kevin. Then there’s apple, Kevin. How about strawberry, Kevin? Let’s discuss grape, Kevin. Some say grape is for pu**ies, Kevin, but I don’t agree, Kevin. Let’s try watermelon, Kevin. How about lemon, Kevin? Let’s go with orange, Kevin. These used to be former flavors, Kevin. Then they added blue raspberry, Kevin, even though blue raspberry isn’t a real fruit, Kevin. Can you name the last remaining former flavor, Kevin? I’ll give you 716,000 guesses, Kevin.

Reilly: I SWEAR TO GOD, IF I EVER FIND WHERE THIS RECORDING IS COMING FROM, I’M-

Charles Davis: Sorry, Kevin, the answer is not pepperoni pizza, Kevin. The answer is peach, Kevin. How could you guess pepperoni pizza, Kevin? What a foolish choice, Kevin.

Reilly: I NEVER GUESS PEPPERONI PIZZA! I NEVER DO! WHY DO YOU ALWAYS SAY I DO!? F*** YOU, CHARLES DAVIS!!! F*** YOU FOREVER AND F*** YOU DAN FOUTS FOR RUINING MY PLANS! I’LL KILL ALL OF YOU SOON! We’ll be back after this…

GREEN BAY OFFENSE: Numerous teams playing this weekend have major question marks regarding their quarterbacks. On the other end of the spectrum, there’s Aaron Rodgers, who has been on fire since telling reporters that he thought his team would run the table. Rodgers has thrown 18 touchdowns and no interceptions in the past seven games, and it’s also helped that he’s been healthy. Finally overcoming his various leg maladies, Rodgers was as spry as ever in the victory over the Lions.

Rodgers faces a tougher test against New York’s defense, obviously. Then again, Rodgers did manage to torch the Seahawks in Week 14, going 18-of-23 for 246 yards and three scores. The Giants, on the other hand, haven’t battled truly explosive offenses very often this year. The two exceptions were against the Packers and Steelers, and they surrendered a combined 47 points in those contests, losing by seven and 10, respectively.

A big problem for the Giants in this matchup will be their defense’s inability to pressure Rodgers. Jason Pierre-Paul is out, and it might not have mattered anyway because the Packers have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. They don’t really have a liability up front. Maybe left guard Lane Taylor, but he’s not bad. It’ll be difficult for Olivier Vernon and company to put heavy heat on Rodgers, and that’ll prove to be detrimental if Janoris Jenkins is either out or hobbled in a premature return to the field.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: The Packers obviously have injury issues themselves in the secondary. They’ve missed Sam Shields all year, and now Quinten Rollins is going to be out. They have a couple of stellar safeties, but Green Bay can still be beaten downfield. And there’s no doubt that Odell Beckham will torch them for a couple of big plays.

Having said that, the Giants’ offense has been inconsistent all year, even against poor defenses. Eli Manning has struggled, and the same can be said of his offensive line. The blocking has gotten better since Justin Pugh returned from injury, but the tackles remain atrocious. Nick Perry and Julius Peppers figure to put plenty of pressure on Manning, who will undoubtedly make some mistakes, as he’s been wont to do this year.

One area where the Giants could have success is in the running game. They’ve moved the ball a bit better on the ground since Pugh’s return from injury, and the Packers’ rush defense hasn’t been very strong lately. They had trouble with Zach Zenner, while Jordan Howard ripped off 5.3 yards per carry against them a few weeks ago. That said, if the Giants are playing catch-up with a red-hot Rodgers, they may not be able to run the ball very often.

RECAP: I’m upset that Packers -3.5 is no longer available. That’s the first spread I saw on Sunday night, and I absolutely loved Green Bay at that number. This was going to be a four-unit pick.

The spread has since moved to -4, and now to -4.5. It sucks that the line value isn’t as great, but I still think we’re getting some at -4.5. My line for this game is -6.5. As you all know by now, I’ve been down on the Giants all year. They’ve eked by mediocre or poor teams for most of the season, and it was no surprise that they weren’t competitive at Pittsburgh. They also lost at Philadelphia two weeks ago, which was far from a surprise. And let’s not forget that Green Bay absolutely dominated them in Lambeau back in Week 5. The margin was only seven, but the Packers were up by double digits for most of the evening.

The Packers are definitely the better team, and I think they’ll dispatch the Giants by 7-14 points. I’m a bit fearful of a Manning back-door touchdown, but I’ll still take Green Bay for three units.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Packers seem like the best side this weekend, but it’s really an underwhelming slate of games. Nothing looks very appealing from both an entertainment and betting perspective.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I’m not changing this pick. I still like the Packers a lot, as they happen to be the better team and are not favored by enough. Their edge in the trenches is very important. The New York offensive tackles will struggle to block Nick Perry and Julius Peppers, while the the Giants’ Jason Pierre-Paul-less pass rush will have trouble getting to Aaron Rodgers, who wasn’t playing nearly as well when he defeated the Giants back in Week 5. Jordy Nelson wasn’t close to 100 percent either. Now, they’re both playing at the top of their games. I’m taking Green Bay for three units.

The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
A bit of sharp money on the Giants.

Percentage of money on New York: 56% (74,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Giants are 46-31 ATS on the road since 2006 as long as they’re not favored by 3.5 or more.

Eli Manning is 39-29 ATS as an underdog since 2007.

Packers are 29-16 ATS in December home games since 2000.

Packers are 33-20 ATS at home since 2010.

Aaron Rodgers is 77-48 ATS since 2009 (9-6 ATS as a favorite of 12+).

Opening Line: Packers -3.5.

Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: .

Week 18 NFL Pick: Packers 24, Giants 16
Packers -5 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
Under 46.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Packers 38, Giants 13

Week 18 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Raiders at Texans, Lions at Seahawks

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Props to be posted here

NFL Picks - Nov. 20

2025 NFL Mock Draft - Nov. 20

NFL Power Rankings - Nov. 19

Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 4

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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 12, 2024): 11-3 (+$2,020)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-1 (+$580)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 12, 2024): 3-0 (+$1,400)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 12, 2024): 6-8 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 12, 2024): +$905

2024 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-3, 25.0% (-$1,365)

2024 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 89-82-6, 52.0% (-$2,545)
2024 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 22-26-1, 45.8% (-$600)
2024 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-17, 51.4% (-$155)
2024 Season Over-Under: 82-82-2, 50.0% (+$95)
2024 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$740

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-141-7, 50.5% (-$7,285)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-40-3, 52.4% (+$285)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-27-1, 54.2% (-$1,310)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)
2023 Season Over-Under: 145-135-3, 51.8% (+$200)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$2,565

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)
2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-5, 28.6% (-$2,550)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,510-3,234-202, 52.0% (+$19,125)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,129-1,011-57 (52.8%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 571-502-25 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,941-2,916-76 (50.2%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 47-37-1 (56.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 6-3	Bears: 5-5	Bucs: 6-4	49ers: 6-4
Eagles: 5-5	Lions: 9-1	Falcons: 6-5	Cardinals: 8-2
Giants: 3-6	Packers: 6-3	Panthers: 4-6	Rams: 5-5
Redskins: 5-5	Vikings: 4-6	Saints: 5-6	Seahawks: 6-3

Bills: 4-7	Bengals: 2-9	Colts: 6-5	Broncos: 7-4
Dolphins: 4-6	Browns: 3-7	Jaguars: 3-7	Chargers: 6-3
Jets: 6-5	Ravens: 5-5	Texans: 5-6	Chiefs: 4-5
Patriots: 6-3	Steelers: 4-6	Titans: 6-3	Raiders: 5-5

Divisional: 21-23 (2011-23: 608-561)	2x Game Edge: 18-14 (2011-23: 401-387)	2x Motivation Edge: 31-25 (2011-23: 510-441)	2x Spread Edge: 21-30 (2011-23: 239-211)
2x Vegas Edge: 33-47 (2011-23: 448-446)	2x Trend Edge: 12-8 (2011-23: 321-293)	Double Edge: 13-16 (2011-23: 207-185)	Triple Edge: 4-8 (2011-23: 33-37)