NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 19, 2012

NFL Picks (Preseason 2012): 6-9-1 (-$1,440)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2012): 3-13 (-$2,250)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2012): 8-7-1 (+$430)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2012): 7-9 (+$70)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2012): 7-8 (+$640)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2012): 7-7 (-$340)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2012): 9-5 (+$1,670)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2012): 7-5-1 (+$420)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2012): 6-8 (-$450)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2012): 8-6 (+$240)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2012): 8-6 (+$730)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2012): 6-7-1 (+$110)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2012): 5-9-2 (-$1,080)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2012): 8-7-1 (-$420)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2012): 8-8 (-$1,110)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2012): 5-11 (-$1,480)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2012): 11-5 (+$410)
NFL Picks (Week 17, 2012): 7-9 (-$1,150)
NFL Picks (Week 18, 2012): 2-2 (-$360)

NFL Picks (2012): 128-141-7 (-$5,360)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,925)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$6,080)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$3,370)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$4,330)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Jan. 13, 11:55 a.m. Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games

Seattle Seahawks (12-5) at Atlanta Falcons (13-3)
Line: Falcons by 2.5. Total: 45.5.
Walt’s Projected Line: Falcons -3.
Sunday, Jan. 13, 1:00 ET
Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Seahawks.

Week 19 NFL Picks will be posted all day Wednesday, per the new schedule. I’ve received mix reaction to this, so voice your opinion via e-mail or in the comment box below. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.

Jerks of the Week for Jan. 7, 2013 is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks are Jerks of Christmas Shopping.

It’s time for some Migelini Madness! NFL.com sucks. They no longer have their regular GameCenter chat format; they installed a Facebook chat app instead, which really blows. This means that we won’t be hearing from our favorite idiots anymore. No more pervy Aaron3619. No more stupid Migelini. No more childish Taton. No more insane Farim.

Well, I’m taking a stand against this via two methods. First, I have hundreds of unused GameCenter comments saved up, so I have enough to survive for a few more years. Second, I plan on re-creating our favorite GameCenter characters and having them troll the Facebook posters in the app. I made a Migelini account and my girlfriend, Awesome Girl Who Loves Football, who was once harassed by Aaron3619, is the new Aaron. Feel free to re-create other ones!

I don’t have much for you from my end. I was trolling during the Seattle-Atlanta game, but because NFL.com now sorts them chronologically, I can’t see what I wrote because there were so many posts after that. Maybe clicking “Follow Post” from now on will allow me to view them more easily, so I’ll try that. Fortunately, the other trollers were active, including:

“Cerlis Marlin, are you even an American?” What’s wrong with not being an American? Poor Cerlis Marlin – he’s just trying to fit in with the American culture, and he has a**holes like Kene Gogo Dancer Gorham busting his balls.

Here’s a new troller:

I love how James Michael Bauman called this guy “Brian,” not even noticing that “Brian” was misspelled as “Brain.”

Here are some more:

So great that everyone’s taking them seriously. By the way, I thought the guy at the end, “Ray Labas,” might be another troller, but he’s actually a legitimate person being fooled by this.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: If you’ve listened to various football podcasts, you may have heard that the Seahawks match up extremely well against the Falcons on this side of the football. Well, that happens to be a highly accurate statement. The things Seattle does well is what the Falcons tend to struggle with.

For example, the Seahawks have one of the deadliest rushing attacks in all of football. Marshawn Lynch is unquestionably a top-five NFL back, while Russell Wilson also adds a running element – he gained 67 yards on eight scrambles at Washington on Sunday. The Falcons cannot stop opposing ground attacks in the slightest, ranking 26th against them (4.53 YPC).

The one way to contain Wilson, as the Rams showed us in Week 17, is to pressure him like crazy. The Redskins also had some success with this. The Falcons won’t be able to copy this tactic. They have one of the weakest pass rushes in football – they’ve accumulated just three sacks after Thanksgiving weekend – and the only player of theirs who can consistently get to the quarterback, John Abraham, is coming off an ankle sprain and probably won’t be 100 percent.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: Speaking of injured pass-rushers, Seattle lost theirs to a torn ACL. Chris Clemons is out for this contest, which means that rookie Bruce Irvin will start in his place. Irvin can get to the quarterback effectively, but he’s a total liability in run support because he can be pushed around quite easily. This would be a major concern against a team like the 49ers, but the Falcons don’t run the ball very well. Michael Turner has been slow and sluggish in most games this year, averaging 3.6 yards per carry.

With that in mind, the Seahawks also seem to have a mismatch on this side of the ball. The Falcons will have to throw the ball a ton with Matt Ryan unless Turner somehow finds the fountain of youth. This will be a problem because Seattle will be able to expose a couple of the holes on Atlanta’s front line with its 12th-ranked defense in terms of accumulating sacks.

Of course, the strength of the Seahawks’ stop unit is in the secondary, where shutdown cornerbacks Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner are complemented by stud safeties Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor. The four defensive backs will make it extremely difficult for Julio Jones and Roddy White to get open. They’re good enough to get separation occasionally, but when they do, will Ryan have Irvin and Red Bryant breathing down his neck?

RECAP: This is the first media overreaction game of the week. The Falcons might be favored, but everyone assumes Seattle will win. Atlanta has to feel completely disrespected.

That’s one thing the Falcons have on their side. The other is the same circadian rhythms I discussed in the San Francisco-Green Bay pick. West Coast teams are usually sluggish in 1 p.m. East Coast contests because the human body isn’t completely awake that early. The Seahawks have a dubious track record in such games.

I’m taking Falcons, but I’m not betting on them because the Seahawks are the better team. Seattle just happen to be in a very tough spot.

The Psychology. Edge: Falcons.

Everyone assumes the Seahawks will win. The Falcons have to feel disrespected.

The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.

Percentage of money on Atlanta: 53% (129,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Falcons.

Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 14-22 ATS since 2003 (11-17 since 2005).

Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 9-3 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.

Seahawks are 15-30 ATS on the road since 2006 if they’re not coming off an away loss.

Seahawks are 2-11 ATS on the road vs. teams that average 24+ ppg since 2007.

Pete Carroll is 1-3 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games.

Matt Ryan is 24-13 ATS at home.

Mike Smith is 17-6 ATS after a loss.

Opening Line: Falcons -1.

Opening Total: 45.5.

Weather: Dome.

Week 19 NFL Pick: Falcons 24, Seahawks 20
Falcons -2.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Under 45.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Falcons 30, Seahawks 28

Houston Texans (13-4) at New England Patriots (12-4)
Line: Patriots by 9. Total: 48.5.
Walt’s Projected Line: Patriots -7.5.
Sunday, Jan. 13, 4:30 ET
Discuss Playoff Games, Talk Trash

The Game. Edge: Patriots.

This week on CBS, we’re going to have Jim Nantz and Phil Simms calling the shots instead of the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt and Matt Millen, annoying guys like Charles Davis and senile guys like Bob Greise. Here’s what it would sound like if those six clowns were calling this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to the city of New England, where there is high drama! Tonight, the Patriots take on the Houston Oilers. Guys, Tom Brady is often the headliner, but the big story heading into this game is Adrian Foster – how he crumpled up a New England beat writer’s article and made it his Twitter avatar. Do you think this will give Houston motivation to win this game, Emmitt?

Emmitt: Mike, I agree with you. Adrian Froster gonna use this like a big ole chip on his shoulders. And not a small chocolate chip or potato chip or a chimpmunk chip, he gonna use this like… uhh… somethin’ that is bigger than a chocolate, potato or chimpmunk.

Reilly: Thanks, Emmitt. What about you, Tolly? Will this give Foster what he needs to beat the Patriots?

Tollefson: That’s a stupid question, Kevin. All the motivation he needs is to come home to a house where naked women are cleaning and cooking for him. That’s what gets me through the day anyway. But I don’t know, maybe this Foster guy thinks differently because he’s a stupid vegan.

Reilly: A vegan? What does that have to do with anything? I’m a Scorpio myself, but I don’t think your astrological sign should have anything to do with your sexuality, GOD DAMN IT, WHY DID I JUST SAY THAT!?

Millen: Oh, Kevin. Oh, boy, Kevin, you don’t know a thing do you? I’ve done extensive research on this. I’ve hired accounting firms to help me crunch the data. I’ve determined that someone’s astrological sign has a direct – yes, I said “direct” – correlation on how much kielbasa can be shoved into their backside. Kevin, did you know that Pisces has the best backside-to-kielbasa ratio? This did not surprise me one bit because, well, I hate to brag, but I’m a Pisces myself.

Reilly: No one cares, Millen. No one.

Millen: See, that’s where you’re wrong, Kevin. I care, and so does Arian Foster. He’s 100-percent USDA Man, and being a vegan, he’s well, let’s see, he’s No. 3 on the backside-to-kielbasa ratio list! No wonder we had such a glorious time in my hotel room last night. Vegans are OK in my book.

Griese: I think you guys mean Virgos and not vegans… weh? What year is it?

Reilly: Go back to sleep, Griese.

Davis: Sleep is good. Good for the Aquarius, like you Bob. There are lots of different astrological signs. Let’s start with Aries. That goes from March 21 to April 19. I bet you didn’t know that Jackie Chan and Lady Gaga are both Aries. Let’s move on to Taurus. That goes from April 20 to May 20. Famous Taurus include John Cena, Mark Zuckerberg and Chris Brown, former running back of the Tennessee Titans. Then there’s Gemini. That’s a synonym for double or two. Mega Man 3 had a boss named Gemini Man, but he was just stupid because all you had to do was stand on the left side and jump over him. Then there’s Cancer. Uh-oh, right? Cancer sounds bad, but it’s actually just a harmless astrological symbol in this case, going from June 21 to…

Reilly: THAT’S IT! I’VE HAD IT WITH YOU, CHARLES DAVIS! YOU JUST STATE MEANINGLESS FACTS AND NEVER GIVE ANY SORT OF OPINION! We’ll be back after a word from our local sponsors!

HOUSTON OFFENSE: The thing about Foster is true. The Boston Globe’s Dan Shaughnessy wrote that the Patriots had two bye weeks in the playoffs. Foster crumpled up a printed version of Shaughnessy’s column and posted it as his Twitter avatar. Hopefully this motivational tactic will also help Foster on the field; he gained just 46 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries versus New England during Week 14’s 42-14 blowout.

Foster hasn’t been very good this year in terms of a yards-per-carry standpoint, but he came alive last week, mustering 140 yards and a score on 32 attempts versus a tough Cincinnati stop unit. The Patriots rank just about evenly with the Bengals in terms of shutting down ground attacks, so Foster could theoretically duplicate Saturday’s performance.

The Texans absolutely need Foster to do that because everything they do offensively is so predicated on the run. If Foster can move the chains, Matt Schaub will be able to orchestrate his patented play-action bootlegs and find Andre Johnson or his tight ends downfield. If not, Schaub will make more mistakes like he did against Cincinnati, like throwing an absolutely awful pick-six. It’ll also be very important for Schaub to convert in the red zone. His team settled for way too many threes last week. The Patriots are 13th in red-zone defense – just a bit worse than the Bengals (8th).

NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: The Texans couldn’t do anything to stop Tom Brady in the aforementioned Week 14 affair. Brady went 21-of-35 for 296 yards and four touchdowns – and could have been even better because he was errant on a handful of passes. For instance, he completely missed a wide-open Matt Slater for a score. He also went cold in the latter stages of the second quarter and uncharacteristically couldn’t do anything in the 2-minute drill.

The scary thing is that Brady didn’t even have Rob Gronkowski for that previous matchup. The Gronk played a bit in Week 17, but has enjoyed the luxury of a week off. He’ll be healthier, so it makes me wonder how in the world Houston will have an answer for Brady. The Texans have been torched often by elite quarterbacks this season.

With Houston paying so much attention to Brady and his targets, they won’t be able to focus on Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen and Danny Woodhead. Ridley and Vereen combined for 112 yards on 26 carries in Week 14. The Texans could barely contain BenJarvus Green-Ellis on Saturday, as the plodder ripped off several long gains. If Green-Ellis could do that, imagine what Ridley, Vereen and Woodhead will be capable of with the defense paying way more attention to Brady than it did to Andy Dalton.

RECAP: If you think that laying 9.5 with the Patriots means easy money like Shaughnessy apparently does, you’re mistaken. New England typically doesn’t live up to expectations as a big playoff favorite, owning a dubious 3-8 spread record laying 4.5 or more points in the Bill Belichick era.

But what about the blowout, you ask? Didn’t the Patriots prove that they can dominate the Texans? Not really. I did some research: Non-divisional teams that beat an opponent in the regular season and then meet them at the same site in the playoffs are 12-26 against the spread since 2002. If they won by 17 or more in the previous meeting, they are 2-5 against the spread in the postseason.

The Texans have undoubtedly spent countless hours studying film and trying to figure out what they did wrong in Week 14. They’re a good team, and they will bounce back. They deserve more respect than this, and they should not be written off so easily.

The Psychology. Edge: Texans.

Everyone in the media has written off the Texans.

The Vegas. Edge: Texans.

No surprise that the public is backing the host.

Percentage of money on New England: 66% (106,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Texans.

Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 14-22 ATS since 2003 (11-17 since 2005).

Patriots are 25-14 ATS in December & January home games since 2000.

Tom Brady is 146-48 as a starter (112-77 ATS).

Tom Brady is 16-6 in the playoffs (9-13 ATS).

Tom Brady is 19-26 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (9-19 ATS since November 2007).

Opening Line: Patriots -9.

Opening Total: 49.

Weather: Partly cloudy, 48 degrees. Light wind.

Week 19 NFL Pick: Patriots 24, Texans 23
Texans +9 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Under 48.5 (0 Units) — Incorrect; $0
Patriots 41, Texans 28

Week 19 NFL Picks – Saturday Games
Ravens at Broncos, Packers at 49ers

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenver winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Moneyline Underdog: Texans +340 (0.5 Units) — Incorrect; -$50

Teaser: Packers +9, Seahawks +9 (1 Unit) — Incorrect; -$100

2024 NFL Mock Draft - April 23

NFL Power Rankings - Feb. 22

Fantasy Football Rankings - Feb. 19

NFL Picks - Feb. 12

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 18, 2023): 10-6 (-$415)
Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 3-1 (+$460)
Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 18, 2023): 1-1 (-$40)
Last Week Over-Under (Week 18, 2023): 7-9 ($0)
Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 18, 2023): -$15

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 1-4, 20.0% (-$2,480)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-135-7, 50.4% (-$7,735)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 43-38-3, 53.1% (+$520)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 28-27-1, 50.9% (-$3,110)
2023 Season Over-Under: 139-128-3, 52.1% (+$100)
2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,630

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)
2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)
2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)
2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)
2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)
2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)
2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)
2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)
2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)
2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)
2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)
2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)
2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)
2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,420-3,152-195, 52.1% (+$21,170)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,106-983-56 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 549-485-25 (53.1%)
Career Over-Under: 2,853-2,829-74 (50.3%)
Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-34-1 (57.5t%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 8-9	Bears: 11-4	Bucs: 6-11	49ers: 10-7
Eagles: 7-7	Lions: 9-8	Falcons: 8-9	Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-9	Packers: 5-12	Panthers: 8-9	Rams: 8-9
Redskins: 14-3	Vikings: 6-9	Saints: 10-7	Seahawks: 7-9

Bills: 9-7	Bengals: 12-5	Colts: 7-10	Broncos: 9-6
Dolphins: 6-11	Browns: 11-5	Jaguars: 13-4	Chargers: 8-9
Jets: 8-9	Ravens: 11-6	Texans: 5-12	Chiefs: 5-10
Patriots: 7-9	Steelers: 11-6	Titans: 9-8	Raiders: 6-9

Divisional: 50-35 (2011-22: 558-526)	2x Game Edge: 36-24 (2011-22: 363-361)	2x Motivation Edge: 32-36 (2011-22: 478-405)	2x Spread Edge: 41-40 (2011-22: 197-168)
2x Vegas Edge: 41-38 (2011-22: 407-406)	2x Trend Edge: 15-13 (2011-22: 306-279)	Double Edge: 17-13 (2011-22: 190-172)	Triple Edge: 1-1 (2011-22: 32-36)

2024 NFL Mock Draft

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