*** 2018 NFL MOCK DRAFT (3 rounds) updated Nov. 23. This mock draft will be updated occasionally. Check out old versions of this 2018 NFL Mock Draft in the archived mock section. Follow @walterfootball for NFL Draft updates. ***
Cleveland Browns: Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
The Browns attempted to trade for A.J. McCarron and failed because they forgot to submit the paperwork. This secretly saved them, as I discussed in the NFL Disaster Grades. Cleveland could try to obtain McCarron again, but it really depends on what the new regime will want to do.
DeShone Kizer showed promise during the preseason, but he hasn't shown many signs that he can be a viable NFL quarterback. Despite getting good protection, Kizer has made lots of mistakes and has held on to the ball too long in the pocket. He played somewhat well versus the Lions, but that was just one game. Kizer was only a second-round pick, anyway, and we saw the Panthers give up on Jimmy Clausen, another second-rounder, after one year when they selected Cam Newton first overall.
I've had Sam Darnold as the top quarterback for a while, but he has struggled so much this season that I'm wondering if he returns to USC for 2018 in an attempt to rebuild his draft stock. Lamar Jackson occupied this top spot for about a month, but I'm moving to Josh Rosen following his terrific performance against USC.
NFL coaches and owners are wary of the sort of things Rosen has discussed to the media, and his open views could hurt him. Scouts have told us that his teammates don't like him either, so that's a major strike against him. And for the cherry on top, even if his high school coach criticized him. However, Rosen has been prolific in some big games this year, so that could push him into the top spot.
San Francisco 49ers: Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State
I've repeatedly written that I wouldn't be mocking a quarterback to the 49ers because there was a good chance they would obtain Kirk Cousins. Well, they traded for another signal-caller instead, acquiring Jimmy Garoppolo. I have NFL Trade Grades posted for this in the link.
Saquan Barkley is certainly a candidate to go No. 1 overall. If the Browns get the top pick and pass on him, the 49ers will definitely consider taking him. Carlos Hyde is having a solid year thus far, but he's an impending free agent, and San Francisco could deem him too injury-prone to sign to a big contract.
Saquon Barkley ran a 4.33 at the Penn State pro day in March and happens to be an even better prospect than Ezekiel Elliott. It's quite possible that he could be the first-overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft.
New York Giants: Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
I had the Giants trade up for a quarterback earlier in the season. They no longer have to do that, as they can pick the top signal-caller the Browns don't want.
Eli Manning turns 37 in January, and he's in obvious decline. The Giants will likely have a new front office, so they'll want their own franchise quarterback.
The battle to be the top quarterback could be between Lamar Jackson and Josh Rosen. If so, Jackson may ultimately win out, as he has higher upside and better intangibles. He needs to improve his ball placement, but coaches are going to fall in love with his skill set.
Pick change; previously Josh Rosen, QB
Denver Broncos: Minkah Fitzpatrick, S/CB, Alabama
The poor Broncos missed out on the top two quarterbacks. If they don't get a top-three selection, they'll either have to trade up for find a quarterback earlier in the offseason. Perhaps they'll be able to acquire Kirk Cousins somehow, or maybe Peyton Manning will talk John Elway into going after his younger brother.
As for this pick, the Broncos have a couple of liabilities in their secondary. Bradley Roby has been torched this year, while Darian Stewart hasn't lived up to his new contract. Denver could shore up the "No Fly Zone," which has been weak to deep passes this year.
Pick change; previously Da'Ron Payne, DT
Indianapolis Colts: Bradley Chubb, DE, N.C.State
Indianapolis has some nice edge rushers in Jabaal Sheard and John Simon, but neither is the elite talent Key happens to be. Some will want the Colts to select an offensive tackle, but Bradley Chubb is one of the two best players available, and they don't need a safety (Derwin James), so he makes the most sense at No. 5 overall.
Chubb has been steadily moving up my mock drafts. At 6-4, 275, Chubb has a great blend of size and speed, and he's been dominant this season. There's some talk that Chubb is viewed as the top defensive prospect in NFL circles.
Chicago Bears: Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama
I think the Bears would jump all over the top wide receiver prospect in the class if they have the ability to obtain him. Kevin White has been a bust thus far, while Cameron Meredith's long-term status is unclear because of the brutal injury he suffered in the preseason. The Bears need to give Mitchell Trubisky a viable No. 1 receiver.
Los Angeles Chargers: Derwin James, S, Florida State
Everyone thought the Chargers would select Malik Hooker No. 7 overall. They went with Mike Williams instead, so here's their chance to obtain an upgrade at safety. They'll need one if Tre Boston, who has played well this year, departs via free agency this spring.
Cincinnati Bengals: Quenton Nelson, G, Notre Dame
NFL teams and scouts absolutely love Quenton Nelson. He's viewed as an elite prospect. He's a guard, so he may have trouble being chosen in the top five, though it's not completely impossible. He's viewed as the next Logan Mankins, so I'll be surprised if he's not taken in the initial 10 selections.
The Bengals could certainly take Nelson. They have severe offensive line concerns, so they need to spend multiple early picks on new blockers.
Pick change; previously Minkah Fitzpatrick, S
Oakland Raiders: Arden Key, DE/OLB, LSU
The Raiders have the fewest sacks in the NFL as of this writing, so they could definitely use a potent edge rusher to bolster their defense. Arden Key is a special talent, so having him across from Khalil Mack could really go a long way in improving Oakland's meager pass rush.
Pick change; previously Roquan Smith, LB
Arizona Cardinals: Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
Tackle Jared Veldheer discussed retirement last offseason, and he has certainly performed as if he's already hung up the cleats. Veldheer is terrible and needs to be replaced. Giving Carson Palmer much better protection is essential for Arizona's playoff aspirations next year.
Pick change; previously Christian Wilkins, DT
Cleveland Browns: Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
The Browns have the foundation for a great defensive front, but they need another talent next to Danny Shelton. Da'Ron Payne would certainly qualify.
Payne, a freak athlete, has a chance to be chose in the top five - I considered him to Cincinnati at No. 5 a couple of weeks ago - so he's a huge steal at No. 11.
Pick change; previously Mike McGlinchey, OT
New York Jets: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
The Jets have gotten a lot out of Kony Ealy, who has been tremendous for them despite the Patriots cutting him during the preseason. However, Ealy is an impending free agent and may command a high price tag. If heads elsewhere, the Jets will need another new edge rusher.
Washington Redskins: Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU
Terrelle Pryor was a major free agent bust signing, but the good news for the Redskins is that they obtained him for just one year. They can try to find another No. 1 receiver this upcoming offseason.
Courtland Sutton would be a nice option for the Redskins, as he has improved his stock tremendously this year.
Miami Dolphins: Ken Webster, CB, Ole Miss
A quarterback will be debated here if there is a worthy one available, but I think the Dolphins will continue to start Ryan Tannehill next year. They'll focus on another position, and perhaps that'll be cornerback. Byron Maxwell was released, so Miami will need to find a replacement.
Pick change; previously Quenton Nelson, G
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Austin Bryant, DE, Clemson
It's unreal that the Buccaneers have murdered their draft positioning with two meaningless wins. They're no longer in position to select Bradley Chubb or Arden Key, but they can still obtain a talented edge rusher with this choice.
Austin Bryant has been a terror thus far, and he's now firmly in top-15 discussion. He's a decent value pick here.
Pick change; previously Arden Key, DE
Dallas Cowboys: Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia
Roquan Smith is too talented to fall out of the top half of the opening round, so the Cowboys would definitely consider him with this selection. Anthony Hitchens is an impending free agent, while Jaylon Smith hasn't played up to his billing quite yet.