@StatsGuru= I seen Pinnacle at -4.5 -105 this morning and the majority down to -5, Bovada still had a -6 and 65% 35% split on the tickets so bigger money ticket bets must be coming in on DEN so far for this line to be moving down.
St. Louis Rams: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
If the Rams want to take a chance on Sam Bradford at No. 1 over Jimmy Clausen, then be my guest. This is certainly a better pick than Ndamukong Suh because
at least it's a quarterback.
I've been waiting for Clausen to gain some momentum in the media, but it just hasn't happened, and it doesn't look it will with Adam Schefter recently saying that he "guarantees" Bradford will be the No. 1 pick in the 2010 NFL Draft.
I've certainly never completely ruled this pick out - I have just doubted this because Bradford has so many question marks regarding college scheme, durability and arm strength. If the NFL believes Bradford is the top quarterback in this class, then so be it. But I'm standing my ground on Clausen being the best quarterback in the 2010 NFL Draft by a mile.
Detroit Lions: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
I've flip flopped here again with the Lions. Ultimately, I think they should draft Russell Okung and it makes a lot of sense
for them to do so, but I think they are enamored enough with Jeff Backus to take the best player on the board for their
football team. This pick could very well be Gerald McCoy or Okung, but the reality is nobody knows what the Lions are going
to do at this point and Suh seems like the most likely candidate for this pick.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
The Buccaneers aren't going to be able to get out of this pick now that Cleveland and Seattle feel like they are set at the
quarterback position, which means this pick can only be Gerald McCoy. If the Buccaneers don't draft one of the defensive
tackles here I would be absolutely shocked.
Washington Redskins: Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State
This is a no-brainer with the recent trade of Donovan McNabb. You can say that the people who already had Okung here were right, but I disagree. Mike Shanahan was never going to be
sold on Jason Campbell - a quarterback whom he had no loyalty toward. They traded their second-round pick for a solid price, but is also by no means a steal.
I also thinks this really helps
them against Philadelphia because it might hurt the Eagles. Had McNabb been traded to another team, then it's a lot tougher to beat the Eagles. I think McNabb's greatest asset is his vast
knowledge of the Eagles offense. He becomes an extension of the coaching staff in game planning and scheming against Andy Reid; it honestly wouldn't shock me if the Redskins swept the Eagles
next year. They take the best left tackle in the draft to really help their offensive line, and if Devin Thomas can develop this season, Shanahan works some magic, and Haynesworth comes back to
life - watch out NFC East.
I will say here I think Clausen is the better long-term solution because McNabb is a bit over-the-hill, but Okung really does help this offensive line and if you
can get three good years out of McNabb there is nothing to criticize.
San Francisco 49ers: Joe Haden, CB, Florida
The 49ers have to take Haden here if he is on the board. He really gives them a lot of playmaking at corner and they get a lot younger at that position. This would be a dream
draft for the 49ers, and with Arizona failing to make a play for Donovan McNabb, San Francisco becomes the clear-cut favorite to win the NFC West.
Seattle Seahawks: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
Anthony Davis showed up at his Pro Day late and then refused to weigh in and work out. He has severe work ethic and conditioning issues in the past,
and I think Seattle would pass up on him here. Spiller is a solid value to a team desperate for a running back in a very overrated running back draft.
Seattle also is abysmal in their return game so Spiller is certainly a weapon of mass destruction that this team would love to have.
New York Giants: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
The Giants need a leader in the middle of their defense and I think Weatherspoon makes a lot of sense for this team. They are desperate
at the linebacker position and need a true playmaker in the middle of their defense. Derrick Morgan and Brian Price are also in
play at this pick. Weatherspoon's versatility as a weakside linebacker also makes him a very attractive option to the Giants.
Tennessee Titans: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
The Titans have a great defensive line coach, and this team would love to add an absolute freak to their defensive line, which is their biggest need. Tennessee
is desperate for pass rushers, and if they take a gamble on Pierre-Paul, he could pay off very big dividends down the road. He has outstanding
athletic ability and prototypical physical tools. Kyle Wilson could be the pick here since corner is a top need, but Pierre-Paul looks like the top value.
Buffalo Bills: Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee
A couple sources from Indianapolis told me Rutgers tackle Anthony Davis performed very poorly in interviews, and after serious concerns with his work ethic and conditioning in the past
added to a highly unimpressive Combine where he looked sloppy and nearly ran a 5.40 40 time, I don't think he is any longer in top-10 consideration.
The Bills lack an elite nose tackle, and in a very weak nose tackle draft that only goes three deep (Williams, Terrence Cody, Cam Thomas), Williams
becomes an extremely valuable asset. This pick can't be Jason Pierre-Paul because they spent No. 11 money on Aaron Maybin last year - who plays the same position.
Inside linebackers don't usually go in the top 10, and I think Rolando McClain is a slightly overrated prospect. This pick makes a lot of sense for Buffalo as they make the move to the 3-4
and are lacking a powerful 0-technique.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
If Pierre-Paul has character concerns, it is unlikely Gene Smith would consider him at this pick. Therefore, I moved him down in my mock draft. Ultimately,
nobody has any clue what Jacksonville will do here since Smith goes by the "best player available" theory. This pick could be Earl Thomas. It could be Jimmy
Clausen. It could even C.J. Spiller. Trading down is a significant possibility here for the Jags especially if Philadelphia is willing to move up this high
to get Earl Thomas. Morgan might be the highest-rated player on the board at this point and it makes some sense for a team that lacks a pass rush, but like
I said, everyone is throwing darts at this point when it comes to Jacksonville.
Pick Change; previously Jason Pierre-Paul, DE
Denver Broncos: Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
McClain makes sense here to the Broncos for a lot of reasons, but I could also very well see them passing up on McClain if they are concerned enough with his Crohn's disease.
This said, when I go back and re-evaluate, I think McClain to Denver is the safe (and smart) play. They really lack a thumper at inside linebacker; he brings leadership and he's
a decent value at this pick when you analyze their positional needs.
Miami Dolphins: Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
I really hope I haven't been fooled here, but a source I spoke with said the Dolphins highest-rated outside linebacker on the board is Sergio Kindle
from Texas. Earl Thomas makes a lot of sense for the Dolphins, but if Kindle is rated in their top 10 players, he makes a ton of sense for a team lacking
a pass rush. This said, I think Kindle is extremely overrated. He is soft, he can't get off blocks, and he only had 3.5 sacks in his first 12
games last season. I don't know what kind of an "elite pass rusher" puts up mediocre production, but Kindle seems to be likely headed to Miami one way or another.
Pick Change; previously Earl Thomas, FS
Kansas City Chiefs: Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa
The Chiefs have got to take a left tackle here. I keep pounding this point, but for some reason people still think Eric Berry is a possibility. If you pass up on Aaron
Curry, a better prospect than Tyson Jackson, just because he is an inside linebacker, then you aren't drafting a safety since safety has just slightly more positional value than
inside linebacker. However, I'm not criticizing what the Chiefs are doing. Granted, I would never have traded for Matt Cassel and instead selected Mark Sanchez at No. 3 overall last year, but once
you hitch your wagon to Cassel you have to protect your investment. Solidifying the left tackle position is a very smart move. The question is whether this is Bulaga or Trent Williams. I'm
banking, as many are, on the Kirk Ferentz-Scott Pioli connection.
Seattle Seahawks: Trent Williams, T, Oklahoma
In my last mock I mentioned that I was 50-50 on Trent Williams or Eric Berry being the pick here. A week later, it seems
like Seattle is leaning toward taking one of the big three tackles left in the Draft (Okung, Bulaga, Williams). Williams certainly
fills the left tackle position, but if he struggled playing left tackle in college, I'm just not sure how he is going to hold up against
NFL pass rushers. He's highly inconsistent and with his athletic ability he should have been far more dominant on tape than he was.
I think if the Seahawks
take Williams over Berry they will live to regret it. Eric Berry could be an All-Pro, and you shouldn't pass up on these types of players.
Cleveland Browns: Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
The Browns prayed to the draft gods, and their prayers were answered. If Berry was gone at this pick they would be in quite a predicament that they likely
can't get out of since the No. 7 overall pick isn't very tradable. Berry gives this team much needed leadership and playmaking
that they lack on either side of the football. He has elite intangibles and his competitiveness is extremely underrated. If Berry isn't
one of the two or three best safeties in the league in four years, I'll be disappointed in him.
Oakland Raiders: Bruce Campbell, T, Maryland
Like I have been telling you for the past two months: The Oakland Raiders will draft Campbell. After the Combine, everybody is now on the Campbell-to-Rayduhs
bandwagon after he cracked a 4.78 unofficial 40, 32-inch vertical jump, and 34 bench press reps at 6-6 and 313 pounds.
Some speculate this pick will be USC safety
Taylor Mays after he had a 40 time of around 4.30, but they selected Michael Mitchell, also a strong safety, in the second round the previous season, while Michael
Huff played quite well at free sfaety. Al Davis isn't going to give up on JaMarcus Russell just yet and he wants to add a left tackle to man his blind side.