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2012 NFL Mock Draft - Greg Cox

Last update: Thursday, April 26, 2012
Greg Cox was a senior writer at and appeared as a guest on the NFL Network's Path to the Draft.
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  1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
    This has for the most part been the "Andrew Lock" since the season ended. He might have fallen short in the past two Heisman Trophy votes to Cam Newton and Robert Griffin III, but as an NFL prospect, Luck has fewer detractors than either of them. At Stanford, he made a supporting cast of receiving targets better and behind a top shelf offensive line was very accurate. It is too much to look at him as the next Peyton Manning, and the Colts are going to struggle for at least a year or two even in a soft AFC South division. Houston, which No. 18 owned, is the new bully on the block.

  2. Washington Redskins: Robert Griffin, QB, Baylor
    Well, this is not very much fun. The mock portion of the draft has not begun yet. This is more like evaluating what will happen. The Redskins gave up a lot for the right to select the dynamic Heisman Trophy winner. Is Robert Griffin III worth it?

    For me, this move has potential disaster written all over it. I have followed Griffin since high school when he was a record-setting hurdler who gave up a chance to set the national record to enroll early at Baylor for football. Griffin has a lot of athletic ability, but will be going to a team short several premium picks and already short on talent relative to its division. I am concerned about Griffin�s ability to develop in this situation, but if anyone can succeed under these circumstances, he is the guy.

  3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT, USC
    Why would the Vikings do anything other than take a safe left tackle to protect their new franchise quarterback who has the front office�s support? As everyone knows by now, Kalil's brother Ryan is a stud center for the Panthers and Matt was the reason last year's No. 9 overall pick Tyron Smith played right tackle at USC. Minnesota would love to trade out and still secure him, but I don�t see that happening. This is absolutely the right move for the Vikings.

  4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
    Colt McCoy should not have been handed the keys to this franchise, but Mike Holmgren�s ego got in the way of common sense. He thought he could find another Joe Montana in the third round. Now they are paying the price after being outbid for the right to draft Robert Griffin III.

    What the heck do they do know? I mulled over giving them a bookend corner for Joe Haden last year, and with LSU�s Morris Claiborne on the board they have another chance to bolster an already stout young secondary, but as Walt pointed out in his mock draft how much better can you get than No. 1? The Browns are dead in the water without a quarterback in the AFC North, especially if Andy Dalton progresses. They can either draft one of the two Big XII quarterbacks or throw a bunch of support behind McCoy.

    This would be doing the latter. All Richardson has to do now is avoid the cover of Madden. It is risky to spend a high pick on running back, but this is an exception. In the past 10 drafts, only seven backs have gone in the top 10 and Adrian Peterson is probably the only one who has justified it. Darren McFadden might if he can ever stay healthy and Reggie Bush has been somewhat polarizing depending on the source, although most would agree he has not been worth it.

    Pick change; previously Ryan Tannehill, QB

  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
    Their offense was a wreck last year, but with Trent Richardson off the board, this is the pick that makes sense. Cornerback is a big need and Claiborne is an absolute stud. What more can be said about this pick that hasn�t already been said?

    Pick change; previously Trent Richardson, RB

  6. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State
    Sometimes a pick seems to be set in stone early in the draft process, and, in the end, it winds up being off. This might be the case with the Rams and Oklahoma State wide receiver Justin Blackmon. They took a bounty of picks from the Redskins to move down four slots and now have the classic decision to make: need or value?

    Great front offices choose value every time. I like Blackmon and think he has been run through the ringer a little too much, but that�s what the draft process does to prospects. It�s part of the deal. They fill a key need by selecting him here. Their other option is waiting until the second round hoping Baylor�s Kendall Wright is available.

    Pick change; previously Morris Claiborne, CB

  7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina
    Mocking for this team gives me a headache. The Jaguars want to surround their young quarterback Blaine Gabbert with talent, and the best way to do that is to secure a wide receiver. However, the top targets don�t fit Gene Smith�s high-character profile. Another cog for the defensive line would put Jacksonville's defense a step closer to elite status. The offense has been killing the team's chances. Going 5-11 when the defense holds the opposition to a maximum of 17 points in half of the games is a joke. If the defense can generate a pass rush, the Jaguars will be hard to deal with.

  8. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M
    Matt Moore battling David Garrard for the starting quarterback job must have Miami's fan base rushing out to buy season tickets, right? The assumption is that Tannehill is going to be available for the Dolphins to select here, but it would not stun me to see a team trade up to No. 7, where as everyone knows, Jacksonville is dying to move down, or if Cleveland takes him flat out, although that seems unlikely. As it sits, Miami gets a quarterback to develop and their fans can dream of a better tomorrow.

    Pick change; previously Justin Blackmon, WR

  9. Carolina Panthers: Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina
    It will be tough for the Panthers to spend a premium pick on a defensive tackle given what they did in the 2011 NFL draft. They still might, but the late money is coming in on either Boston College linebacker Luke Kuechly or South Carolina corner Stephon Gilmore. There is always a surprising player taken higher than expected for much of the draft season and this could be it. Carolina has a need and could slide down several spots before securing him. I�m not going to project the trade because it will give me a headache.

    Pick change; previously Fletcher Cox, DT

  10. Buffalo Bills: Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College
    The offensive line has been an issue for the Bills for a while so Iowa�s Riley Reiff has to be a consideration. They made free agent moves to attack opposing quarterbacks and this is another nice addition for their front seven as they move to the 4-3. I am reluctant to put linebackers high, but this feels just right to me.

    Pick change; previously Riley Reiff, OT

  11. Kansas City Chiefs: David DeCastro, G, Stanford
    Scott Pioli likes to build in the trenches, and he likes to get elite prospects. When I first ran through this, I had DeCastro�s teammate Jonathan Martin here, but in terms of talent evaluation compared to positional value, it is definitely the right move to select DeCastro. He was a major reason quarterback Andrew Luck went relatively untouched the past two years on the farm. Another possibility is combine star Dontari Poe out of Memphis.

    Three years ago, I implored the Chiefs to take B.J. Raji even though he was a reach at No. 3, but they went with Tyson Jackson. We�ll see if they finally go after a nose tackle instead, possibly after trading down.

  12. Seattle Seahawks: Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
    I can�t help thinking the ability to rush the passer will help keep Coples in the middle of the opening round. Maybe he slips to the Bears at No. 19, and this seems like his ceiling, but I like the fit. Pete Carroll can start his motor and the Seahawks need to sack the quarterback. I�m not sure too many mock drafts are going to get this pick correct. Could they take Mississippi State defensive tackle Fletcher Cox? I also wouldn�t be stunned to see them trade down for Alabama linebacker Dont�a Hightower.

    Pick change; previously Luke Kuechly, ILB

  13. Arizona Cardinals: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
    The team's strategy is to not take offensive linemen early, but maybe it gives Russ Grimm Stanford�s Jonathan Martin to work with here. The Cardinals need to get the running game going to help out whoever ends up as their starting quarterback in 2012. Ryan Williams will be coming off a season lost due to injury and Beanie Wells finally cracked 1,000 yards in his third year in the league.

    If Arizona can open up some holes for this duo, the team might finally have a running game. However, the flip side is taking a superior talent capable of helping out the struggling quarterback situation. Floyd is a polarizing prospect. I have always liked him in this range, perhaps higher. Putting him with Larry Fitzgerald makes sense.

  14. Dallas Cowboys: Mark Barron, SS, Alabama
    The secondary has been in a sorry state for a while now and as I always say there are two ways to solve that problem. One is to draft talent there and the other is to address the pass rush. Everyone can chill out now, I�m going with the logical and common choice of Barron whose leadership is needed as much as his talent.

    Pick change; previously Quinton Coples, DE

  15. Philadelphia Eagles: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State
    Some teams are tough to get a handle on and this is one of them. This is an awesome defensive tackle class and yet it appears the Eagles are locked in on Cox (not that there�s anything wrong with that) and might even move to No. 7 to get him. I�m cheating a little here hoping they take him after moving up without shuffling my mock up. I honestly could see him being available here though.

    Pick change; previously Michael Brockers, DT

  16. New York Jets: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
    Someone has to protect the blind side of Tim Tebow, right? Burn! I kid, I think. Anyway one overlooked aspect of Mark Sanchez�s decline is an offensive line that has, well, declined. Obviously, the Jets want to rush the passer without calling the kitchen-sink blitz, but if Reiff falls to them here it might be a surprise pick they feel compelled to make.

    Would the team take Georgia Tech wide receiver Stephen Hill instead of filling a need? I think this makes more sense because New York needs to give Sanchez time to operate, and Hill running open deep while Te-chez is staring at the sky makes less sense.

    Pick change; previously Courtney Upshaw, DE/OLB

  17. Go to Greg Cox's 2012 NFL Mock Draft: Picks 17-32

    Sorry for cutting this into two halves; I've received complaints about load times and putting the mock draft on two pages saves bandwidth.

    Greg Cox's 2012 NFL Mock Draft - Round 2

    2012 NFL Mock Draft - Walt's

Leave a comment

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Anank 01-08-2014 03:16 pm (total posts: 1)
2     2

Merry Christmas in July! Your post is wonderful - I alsobutely love that chocolate dress! (Lindor Truffles?! my favorite!) Thanks for stopping by my blog! There's more to come tonight.<3 Gina
Alyn 01-04-2014 04:47 pm (total posts: 1)
2     2

Learning a ton from these neat ariltces.
Saturnino 07-24-2012 01:48 am (total posts: 1)
14     12

Comments on: Climate and Meteorological Information Requirements for Water Management A review of isseusPage 6: For the purpose of flood forecasting and warning I would add the requirement of humidity and wind speed. Firstly most methods used in practice utilise soil moisture accounting models which require evaporatranspiration as an input. Also for catchments influenced significantly by snow, these variables can be important for describing snowmelt. Page 8: The number of days after which no skill can be derived for decision making seems very crisp. This is very much dependent on the size of the basin as well as the dominant climatology. In small basins (e.g. 250,000 km2) there may be quite some skill in these longer range predictions. Also dominant processes such as snowmelt may be of significant influence on the predictability of available water resources at longer lead times. I would in any case add some note of this relationship with size of basin, as well as dominant processes.Page 12: In the last line of the 1st paragraph and also in the second paragraph, the argument seems to be given that data should not be shared between agencies and if so only at a cost and under contract. It also suggests that duplication is not necessarily an issue, in lieu of independence of agencies. I am not sure I would fully support this argument and would suggest promoting a more open approach such as the paradigm followed in the US. I believe that a lot can be achieved by sharing data more openly, in particular in developing countries where data ownership is seen as a proxy for power, and in many such countries payment schemes such as also suggested later in the document lead only to virtual inaccessibility to data.Page 29: In the sections on data sharing, rationalisation of networks and modernisation, I would emphasise the importance of seeking to use open standards for data as well as for meta-data. The use of standards (some currently emerging) will greatly enable interchange that has been hitherto difficult. There have been some recent efforts to improve the use of standards in the water resources community – but it would seem that there is much to learn from the meteorological community in this respect. Standards in meta-data are equally important as without this the sharing of the data is often meaningless.In the last section on isseus and applications, it may be relevant to come back to some of the isseus noted in the 2nd section, in particular the difficulties of measuring the primary variables that are used in water resources management. Whilst some of the isseus with remotely sensed data are very rightly mentioned, the opportunity of improving the ground based data is not. In particular in mountainous basins and even more so in mountainous basins with significant snowfall, the characterisation of precipitation is extremely difficult. Point rainfall measurements may be underestimate precipitation by 30-40% in such regions, and I think there are very few cases where the density of the network is adequate to capture the spatial variability of precipitation. Observation of flow (and connected to this management of rating curves) is another key issue, and equally very often neglected.
MarthaWILKINS29 07-12-2012 10:53 pm (total posts: 9)
22     13

Magdalena19Bailey 07-10-2012 07:48 am (total posts: 9)
14     14

Richard35Merle 07-09-2012 06:56 am (total posts: 9)
13     14

Jack 06-29-2012 04:05 pm (total posts: 1)
13     25

they were seeing if they could get the first round and snecod round done in one evening. they want to make the draft a three day event. so this year was a test run to see if they could get it done. and yes they can. next years draft will more then likely take 3 days instead of just 2
Lucinda35MCCARTHY 06-02-2012 03:42 am (total posts: 6)
18     15

LillieDavis34 05-18-2012 08:48 am (total posts: 9)
19     15

Jack Sprat 04-27-2012 12:32 pm (total posts: 1)
27     20

Amen, Greg. It's my hobby. Pretty much year-round, true, but still JUST a hobby. I don't confuse myself with Mel Kiper (I'm not NEARLY as obsessive as that broken-voiced kid whom I first heard in Houston on a morning drive in the spring of 1982), much less Martin Mayhew.
Greg 04-27-2012 01:44 am (total posts: 15)
24     22

I want to let everyone know that the negative comments don't really bother me. I'm happy with my performance I know I could have done better, but under the circumstances I think I did just fine.

One note on Irvin the reason I kept him out was due to red flags. If you read this mock you see how many times I mentioned pass rushers being coveted I wouldn't have put him in R1 but certainly R2. Obviously, as Walt has pointed out numerous times, Pete didn't care.

Take it easy everyone and enjoy days 2 and 3! The draft is supposed to be fun. It's OK to be passionate just realize that there are more important things in life and this is an escape from those burdens we all have.
Gavin 04-26-2012 03:37 pm (total posts: 1)
28     25

At 37, Browns will not take a QB. It will be WR Sanu.. LB Brown / CB Jenkins are good also.

Hosley failed his drug test, so second round is way too early.

Redskins 04-26-2012 03:33 pm (total posts: 1)
27     27

"Griffin has a lot of athletic ability, but will be going to a team short several premium picks and already short on talent relative to its division."

Beat the Giants both games last year. Would have beat the Cowboy both times with anyone other than Grossman/Beck at QB. The only division opponent they struggled with was Philly and still lost a 4 INT game by only 7.

The Redskins defense is very good. The RB/WR are good. The OL needs a little more help but was better than most think last year. QB was the glaring need and it's been addressed.

If it doesn't work out for RGIII, it won't be due to talent relative to the division.
Bolts4Life 04-26-2012 02:28 pm (total posts: 1)
28     25

Ming the Merciless! Flash...AHAAAA...LOL!
James (from Vietnam) 04-26-2012 12:38 pm (total posts: 1)
33     25

Perfect Mock for the Eagles.

If they pull that off I'll be a happy man :)

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