WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Houston Texans
Houston Texans 2026 Team Report
AFC South · Bye: Week 8
Next game
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · vs. New York Giants · opponent power rank #28 Group D (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line -9
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Bills 36, TEXANS 31 (HOU +0.5). This was a back-and-forth thriller with big plays by both teams on both sides of the ball. The Texans forgot to run the ball in the second half and Kamari Lassiter dropped a game-sealing interception. The Texans had a chance to win at the end, but the Bills sacked C.J. Stroud twice in the red zone. 409-381 BUF, 7.9-5.2 BUF
Bengals 20, TEXANS 6 (HOU -2.5). The Texans botched some early scoring opportunities. The Bengals had two amazing touchdowns to Ja'Marr Chase, and then Cincinnati's pass rush smothered C.J. Stroud. 374-267 HOU, 4.8-4.5 HOU
COLTS 19, Texans 17 (IND +1.5). The Texans strip-sacked Daniel Jones twice in this game, but Jones otherwise shredded Houston's secondary, while C.J. Stroud couldn't get anything going on offensive. The Texans once again blew a scoring opportunity on a fourth-down stuff. 300-223 IND, 4.4-4.2 HOU
Cowboys 34, TEXANS 30 (HOU -3). The Texans led 16-6 at halftime, but couldn't stop CeeDee Lamb in the second half. They had some big plays from Nico Collins, but kicked way too many field goals in an eventual shootout. 399-397 DAL, 7.6-5.5 HOU
Texans 26, TITANS 3 (TEN +7.5). The Titans kicked an early field goal and then the Texans outscored them 26-0 the rest of the way. Their defensive line gave Cam Ward no chance. 329-187 HOU, 5.2-3.2 HOU
Texans 34, Jaguars 31 (JAX -2.5). The Jaguars had the body-clock advantage, but they were lethargic and sloppy in this game. They had first-half drives end at the Houston 32 and 5. They tried to play catch-up in the second half, but couldn't stop C.J. Stroud. They settled for a 60-yard field goal, giving the Texans a good chance to win.
Bye week: Week 8.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Away | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Neutral | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| As favorite | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| As underdog | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Average cover margin: -1.8 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
My adjustment: Collins 4-6
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #10 | #26 | #16 |
| Defense | #14 | #21 | #13 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #6 | Group B |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #5 | Group B |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #7 | Group B |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #16 | Group C |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #18 | Group C |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #16 | Group C |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #11 | Group B |
Injury history
RBs
- David Montgomery out 6
WR/TE
- Jayden Higgins out 1-IR
- Tank Dell out 1-6
- Nico Collins out 2-3
- Nico Collins returns 4
OL
- Braden Smith out 1-4
- Ed Ingram out 2-3
- Trent Brown DLF 3 (in)
- Ed Ingram LLF 4 (returns)
- Braden Smith LFF 5
Int DL
- Kayden McDonald out 2-4
- Mario Edwards out 4-IR
- Logan Hall LFL 4 (in)
- Kayden McDonald LFF 5
Pass Rush
- Jadeveon Clowney out 2-3
- Jadeveon Clowney LLD 4 (returns)
LBs
- Henry To'oTo'o out 2-5
- Jake Hansen LLF 4 (in)
- Azeez Al-Shaair out 4
- Azeez Al-Shaair returns 5
- Henry To'oTo'o LFF 6
Safeties
- Jalen Pitre out 6
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
