WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings 2026 Team Report
NFC North · Bye: Week 6
Next game
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · vs. Indianapolis Colts · opponent power rank #24 Group D (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line -5.5
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
VIKINGS 39, Packers 22 (MIN -1.5). The Vikings couldn't get anything going for most of the afternoon with Carson Wentz, while the Packers hit numerous big plays. Everything changed in the fourth quarter. The Vikings were bailed out by numerous defensive penalties on route to a touchdown and then they pressured Jordan Love heavily. 419-239 GB, 6.3-3.9 GB
Vikings 9, BEARS 3 (CHI -4.5). This was a windy and wet game where both offenses struggled. Caleb Williams got hurt in the fourth quarter. Tyson Bagent got the Bears close to winning, but couldn't complete the drive. 297-246 CHI, 4.8-4.2 MIN
Vikings 23, BUCCANEERS 16 (TB +1). The Buccaneers looked in disarray the entire game. They made many mistakes, including allowing a punt return touchdown and having a hold negate an 87-yard touchdown pass to Chris Godwin. Baker Mayfield got hurt at the end. 243-230 TB, 4.2-3.8 MIN
VIKINGS 15, Dolphins 10 (MIN -10.5). The Vikings dominated time of possession by 20 minutes and Malik Willis didn't even get 10 completions. They couldn't convert in the red zone. All the Dolphins could manage was a long touchdown run by Ollie Gordon. 336-198 SEA, 6.7-4.0 SEA
Vikings 23, SAINTS 13 (NO +2). The Vikings made some mistakes, including an Aaron Jones fumble in the red zone and a Myles Price returned fumble for a touchdown, but Kyler Murray completed most of his passes and made plays with his legs to get the victory. 364-142 MIN, 5.4-3.3 MIN
Bye week: Week 6.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Away | 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| As favorite | 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| As underdog | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
Average cover margin: +6.9 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #27 | #21 | #32 |
| Defense | #1 | #4 | #1 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #16 | Group C |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #21 | Group D |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #14 | Group C |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #12 | Group C |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #13 | Group C |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #12 | Group B |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #12 | Group B |
Injury history
QBs
- Kyler Murray out 2
- Kyler Murray returns 3
RBs
- Jordan Mason out 2-IR
WR/TE
- Jauan Jennings out 2
- Jauan Jennings returns 3
- Justin Jefferson out 4
- Justin Jefferson LLL 5 (in)
- Jordan Addison DLL 5 (out)
OL
- Brian O'Neill LDL 2 (in)
- Donovan Jackson out 5-IR
- Christian Darrisaw out 5
- Brian O'Neill LLL 5 (in)
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
