WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › New England Patriots
New England Patriots 2026 Team Report
AFC East · Bye: Week 11
Next game
Week 7 · Thu, Oct 22 · at Chicago Bears · opponent power rank #6 Group B (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line +3
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
SEAHAWKS 13, Patriots 10 (SEA -3). Sam Darnold got hurt on the opening drive, and the Seahawks couldn't do anything offensively until the second half when the Patriots fell asleep at a late hour. A.J. Brown got hurt, while Drake Maye and Romeo Doubs made numerous mistakes.
PATRIOTS 20, Steelers 3 (NE -5.5). The Patriots began this game with a turnover in the red zone, but they smothered Aaron Rodgers and forced him into two turnovers, including a strip-six. 327-235 NE, 6.2-3.5 NE
JAGUARS 35, Patriots 6 (JAX -3). The Jaguars dominated from start to finish, as the Patriots repeatedly shot themselves in the foot. New England got its yardage in garbage time. 317-315 NE, 5.3-5.3 tie
Patriots 29, BILLS 26 (BUF -6.5). Drake Maye lost a fumble but was otherwise back to 2025 form with his passing and rushing. This was a back-and-forth game with the Patriots scoring late to go up three and then Josh Allen, missing D.J. Moore who got hurt, throwing an interception. 405-340 NE, 6.3-5.5 BUF
PATRIOTS 45, Raiders 17 (NE -3.5). The only mistake the Patriots made in this game was a Corey Kiner fumble. Otherwise, Drake Maye lit up the Raiders, and Kirk Cousins couldn't keep up at all with no help from the running game. 536-306 NE, 8.1-5.4 NE
PATRIOTS 26, Jets 19 (NE -7). The Jets had a sloppy start in this game and fell behind double digits. They played better in the second half, but couldn't complete the comeback because they couldn't get off the field as the Patriots ran the ball down their throat with Corey Kiner. 426-412 NYJ, 7.2-6.1 NYJ
Bye week: Week 11.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 3-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Away | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1-1 |
| As favorite | 3 | 3-0 | 2-0-1 |
| As underdog | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1-1 |
Average cover margin: +3.2 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #4 | #13 | #11 |
| Defense | #10 | #22 | #21 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #5 | Group B |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #10 | Group B |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #8 | Group B |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #14 | Group C |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #14 | Group C |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #10 | Group B |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #10 | Group B |
Injury history
RBs
- Rhomandre Stevenson LLL 5 (in)
- TreVeyon Henderson LLL 6
WR/TE
- A.J. Brown out 2-5
- Mack Hollins out 5-IR
- A.J. Brown LLL 6
OL
- Michael Onwenu out 3-IR
- Morgan Moses DDL 4 (in)
- Morgan Moses LLL 5 (in)
- Will Campbell LLL 6
Int DL
- Dre'Mont Jones LLL 2 (in)
- Dre'Mont Jones out 3
- Dre'Mont Jones LLL 4 (returns)
- Christian Barmore out 4
- Christian Barmore LLF 5 (returns)
- Dre'Mont Jones LLL 5 (in)
Pass Rush
- Harold Landry out 1-PUP
LBs
- Christian Elliss LLL 4-5 (in)
- Christian Elliss LLF 6
CBs
- Carlton Davis DDD 2 (out)
- Carlton Davis returns 3
- Christian Gonzalez out 4-5
- Carlton Davis out 5-6
- Christian Gonzalez returns 6
Safeties
- Craig Woodson DDL 3 (out)
- Craig Woodson LLL 4 (returns)
- Craig Woodson LLL 5 (in)
- Craig Woodson LLF 6
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
