2026 NFL Matchup Hub: Pittsburgh Steelers

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Pittsburgh Steelers 2026 Team Report

AFC North · Bye: Week 9

Record4-2straight up
Against the spread4-2vs. Circa line
Power ranking#23Group D Week 7 rankings (was #24)
Net EPA rank#30Off #24 · Def #27
Points137-128differential +9
Strength of schedule20.3avg. opponent rank at kickoff, 6 games (#28 toughest)

Next game

Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · vs. New Orleans Saints (neutral site) · opponent power rank #27 Group D (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line -2.5

Matchup preview: compare both teams ›

Game log & recaps

Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.

Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 vs. Atlanta Falcons Opp. rank #29Group F
W 20-13 Line -3.5 ATS: Covered (+3.5)

STEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 at New England Patriots Opp. rank #10Group B
L 3-20 Line +5.5 ATS: Did not cover (-11.5)

PATRIOTS 20, Steelers 3 (NE -5.5). The Patriots began this game with a turnover in the red zone, but they smothered Aaron Rodgers and forced him into two turnovers, including a strip-six. 327-235 NE, 6.2-3.5 NE

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 vs. Cincinnati Bengals Opp. rank #4Group A
W 30-27 Line +3.5 ATS: Covered (+6.5)

STEELERS 30, Bengals 27 (PIT +3.5). The Bengals couldn't stop Aaron Rodgers in the first half, but tightened up defensively for the most part in the second half. The Bengals had the lead twice and were set to get possession but they roughed the punter and later muffed the punt. Joe Burrow moved into field goal range at the end, but lost a strip-sack. 411-352 PIT, 7.0-6.3 PIT

Week 4Thu, Oct 1 at Cleveland Browns Opp. rank #28Group F
L 24-27 Line -3 ATS: Did not cover (-6)

BROWNS 27, Steelers 24 (CLE +3). The Steelers went up 7-0, but the Browns dominated most of the game until late when there was a Deshaun Watson interception. The Steelers tied the game, but Watson came up big in the clutch. 372-361 CLE, 6.0-5.6 CLE

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 vs. Indianapolis Colts Opp. rank #22Group D
W 34-22 Line -2.5 ATS: Covered (+9.5)

STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT

Week 6Sun, Oct 18 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Opp. rank #29Group F
W 26-19 Line -2.5 ATS: Covered (+4.5)

Steelers 26, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB +2.5). The Buccaneers led 13-0 and 16-3, as the Steelers were very sloppy. Aaron Rodgers couldn't deal with Tampa Bay's pressure for most of the afternoon, but eventually overcame it with some great drives. Jalon Daniels made some great plays early, but turned into a pumpkin late. 300-224 PIT, 3.9-3.1 PIT

Week 7Sun, Oct 25 vs. New Orleans Saints (neutral) Opp. rank #27Group D
Upcoming · Circa line -2.5

Bye week: Week 9.

Splits

SituationGamesStraight upATS
Home33-03-0
Away31-21-2
As favorite43-13-1
As underdog21-11-1

Average cover margin: +1.1 points per game against the Circa line.

EPA rankings

Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.

Net EPA#30last week #26
Offense#24
Defense#27
DropbackRushSuccess rate
Offense#26#4#15
Defense#19#29#19

Power rankings history

#1#3225262722252423PreW2W3W4W5W6W7
RankingsPublishedRankGroup
Preseason rankingsSept. 2, 2026#25Group D
Week 2 rankingsSept. 14, 2026#26Group D
Week 3 rankingsSept. 22, 2026#27Group D
Week 4 rankingsSept. 29, 2026#22Group D
Week 5 rankingsOct. 6, 2026#25Group D
Week 6 rankingsOct. 13, 2026#24Group D
Week 7 rankingsOct. 19, 2026#23Group D

Injury history

RBs

  • Rico Dowdle out 3-4
  • Jaylen Warren LLL 3 (in)
  • Rico Dowdle LLL 5 (out)

WR/TE

  • Michael Pittman Jr. LDD 2 (out)
  • Michael Pittman Jr. LLL 3 (returns)
  • Michael Pittman Jr. out 5-IR
  • Roman Wilson out 6
  • DK Metcalf FFD 6

OL

  • Troy Fautanu DLF 2 (in)

Int DL

  • Derrick Harmon out 5-IR
  • Keeanu Benton DLF 6

CBs

  • Joey Porter LLL 1 (out)
  • Joey Porter out 2
  • Joey Porter LLL 3 (out)
  • Jamel Dean DLL 3 (in)
  • Joey Porter out 4-18
  • Jamel Dean out 5
  • Jamel Dean LLL 6

Safeties

  • DeShon Elliott out 1-6
  • Jalen Ramsey DLL 5 (in)
  • Jalen Ramsey DLL 6

Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.