WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars 2026 Team Report
AFC South · Bye: Week 7
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
JAGUARS 34, Browns 10 (JAX -8.5). Deshaun Watson was a disaster in this game with many turnovers. The Jaguars took advantage of all the errors. Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 360-272 JAX, 6.4-5.6 JAX
BRONCOS 20, Jaguars 13 (DEN -2.5). The Jaguars led for most of this game, with Denver making mistakes on offense throughout the first half. That reversed in the second half with Brian Thomas Jr. drops and a Trevor Lawrencce interception. 392-268 DEN, 6.6-4.9 DEN
JAGUARS 35, Patriots 6 (JAX -3). The Jaguars dominated from start to finish, as the Patriots repeatedly shot themselves in the foot. New England got its yardage in garbage time. 317-315 NE, 5.3-5.3 tie
Jaguars 22, BENGALS 17 (CIN -2.5). The Bengals lost Ja'Marr Chase early and Joe Burrow threw two interceptions. The Jaguars couldn't distance themselves because of countless penalties and mistakes. 437-323 CIN, 6.2-6.0 CIN
Jaguars 19, Eagles 17 (JAX -7.5). The Jaguars outplayed the Eagles in all three facets, but constantly shot themselves in the foot with untimely penalties. The Eagles scored no points in the second half until a final-minute drive, but a great kickoff return set up Jacksonville with the decisive field goal. 408-232 JAX, 6.0-3.9 JAX
Texans 34, Jaguars 31 (JAX -2.5). The Jaguars had the body-clock advantage, but they were lethargic and sloppy in this game. They had first-half drives end at the Houston 32 and 5. They tried to play catch-up in the second half, but couldn't stop C.J. Stroud. They settled for a 60-yard field goal, giving the Texans a good chance to win.
Bye week: Week 7.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Away | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Neutral | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| As favorite | 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| As underdog | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Average cover margin: +5.6 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #13 | #14 | #13 |
| Defense | #25 | #1 | #18 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #10 | Group B |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #7 | Group B |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #9 | Group B |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #7 | Group B |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #4 | Group A |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #4 | Group A |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #7 | Group B |
Injury history
OL
- Patrick Mekari out 1-IR
- Anton Harrison out 6-IR
CBs
- Montaric Brown out 6
Safeties
- Eric Murray out 5
- Eric Murray returns 6
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
