2026 NFL Matchup Hub: Indianapolis Colts

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Indianapolis Colts 2026 Team Report

AFC South · Bye: Week 13

Record2-4straight up
Against the spread3-3vs. Circa line
Power ranking#24Group D Week 7 rankings (was #21)
Net EPA rank#25Off #17 · Def #23
Points144-164differential -20
Strength of schedule19.5avg. opponent rank at kickoff, 6 games (#24 toughest)

Next game

Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · at Minnesota Vikings · opponent power rank #12 Group B (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line +5.5

Matchup preview: compare both teams ›

Game log & recaps

Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.

Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F

Week 1Sun, Sep 13 vs. Baltimore Ravens Opp. rank #11Group B
L 23-41 Line +3.5 ATS: Did not cover (-14.5)

Ravens 41, COLTS 23 (IND +3.5). The Ravens dominated this game with so many big plays from the three primary players. This was a 28-6 game when the Colts did stuff in garbage time. 506-251 BAL, 7.9-4.7 BAL

Week 2Sun, Sep 20 at Kansas City Chiefs Opp. rank #14Group C
L 30-33 Line +6.5 ATS: Covered (+3.5)

CHIEFS 33, Colts 30 (KC -6.5). This was a back-and-forth game where barely any defense was played. The Chiefs won with two possessions in overtime compared to the Colts' one. 523-329 KC, 6.7-5.2 KC

Week 3Sun, Sep 27 vs. Houston Texans Opp. rank #7Group B
W 19-17 Line +1.5 ATS: Covered (+3.5)

COLTS 19, Texans 17 (IND +1.5). The Texans strip-sacked Daniel Jones twice in this game, but Jones otherwise shredded Houston's secondary, while C.J. Stroud couldn't get anything going on offensive. The Texans once again blew a scoring opportunity on a fourth-down stuff. 300-223 IND, 4.4-4.2 HOU

Week 4Sun, Oct 4 vs. Washington Redskins (neutral) Opp. rank #29Group F
W 30-13 Line -3.5 ATS: Covered (+13.5)

Colts 30, REDSKINS 13 (WAS +3.5). The Colts were trailing until Marcus Mariota got hurt. Athan Kaliakmanis gave the Colts a free touchdown. Jonathan Taylor took over in the second half, saving Daniel Jones from a poor performance. 317-257 WAS, 5.2-3.7 WAS

Week 5Sun, Oct 11 at Pittsburgh Steelers Opp. rank #25Group D
L 22-34 Line +2.5 ATS: Did not cover (-9.5)

STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT

Week 6Sun, Oct 18 vs. Tennessee Titans Opp. rank #31Group F
L 20-26 Line -7 ATS: Did not cover (-13)

Titans 26, COLTS 20 (IND -7). The Colts led 13-0, but Daniel Jones made some mistakes in the second half. The Titans got on the board and then scored a touchdown on a blocked punt. Their defense shut down Jones after that to get the win. 399-186 IND, 5.1-4.1 IND

Week 7Sun, Oct 25 at Minnesota Vikings Opp. rank #12Group B
Upcoming · Circa line +5.5

Bye week: Week 13.

Splits

SituationGamesStraight upATS
Home31-21-2
Away20-21-1
Neutral11-01-0
As favorite21-11-1
As underdog41-32-2

Average cover margin: -2.8 points per game against the Circa line.

EPA rankings

Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.

Net EPA#25last week #25
Offense#17
Defense#23
DropbackRushSuccess rate
Offense#24#6#19
Defense#18#28#15

Power rankings history

#1#3220272624222124PreW2W3W4W5W6W7
RankingsPublishedRankGroup
Preseason rankingsSept. 2, 2026#20Group C
Week 2 rankingsSept. 14, 2026#27Group D
Week 3 rankingsSept. 22, 2026#26Group D
Week 4 rankingsSept. 29, 2026#24Group D
Week 5 rankingsOct. 6, 2026#22Group D
Week 6 rankingsOct. 13, 2026#21Group D
Week 7 rankingsOct. 19, 2026#24Group D

Injury history

WR/TE

  • Alec Pierce out 3-IR
  • Keenan Allen LLD 4 (out)
  • Keenan Allen LLF 5 (in)
  • Tyler Warren out 6

Pass Rush

  • Arden Key out 5-IR

LBs

  • Jaylon Carlies out 5

CBs

  • Charvarius Ward DLF 3 (in)
  • Charvarius Ward LLF 5 (in)

Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.